以下文章来源于十分之一信箱 ，作者十分之一编辑部 十分之一信箱 . 与少年读者一起阅读、交流正在发生的大事件。 朋友们，周日好。二月的第一天，南方的同学们应该也已经考完试，正式进入假期了吧？你们都在哪里玩呢？如果你那儿下雪了，别忘了把好奇心团成一个雪球丢 给「Knock Knock 世界」。 人类究竟应该怎么活着？ A：多亏假期赋予我们的闲暇，可以思考这些问题。 假如 AI 有了意识会发生什么？ A：会不会思考自己究竟应该怎么「活着」？ 为什么特朗普对格陵兰岛感兴趣？美国怎么能随便说要将某个地区纳入美国? 美国为什么想占领格陵兰？丹麦人有没有反抗？ A：其实我们第 8 期《雪橇犬被裁员、特朗普想占岛，格陵兰岛正面临哪些危机》就讲过特朗普想要占 有格陵兰岛的原因。不过这一次少年听友们在「为什么」之外又提出了角度不一的问题，很有意思。感 觉我们可以接着写。 梵蒂冈是以欧洲最小的国家，连它的卫队都只有一百多人，他凭什么能存活在战火 纷飞的欧洲大陆上到了科技发达，现代教会仍然手握重权？ 我知道中国的很多历史，但元朝时期算是中国的吗？ 最近总是能听说欧洲非洲等地频发蝗灾，可为什么自从古代以来就一直在频发的中国近些年都没 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the significant advancements in consciousness research in 2025, highlighting the failure of two dominant theories and the unexpected support for quantum consciousness theory [4][6][15]. - A landmark study published in *Nature* involved a large-scale adversarial collaboration that tested two competing theories of consciousness, leading to the conclusion that neither theory emerged victorious, marking a shift towards empirical science in the field [7][15]. - New findings suggest that consciousness may not be solely a cortical phenomenon, with evidence pointing to the thalamus and brainstem playing crucial roles in conscious perception [16][19][20]. Adversarial Collaboration in Consciousness Research - The COGITATE alliance, comprising 41 researchers from 12 labs, conducted the largest adversarial study in consciousness science, establishing a new paradigm for research [7][8]. - The two theories tested were the Integrated Information Theory (IIT) and the Global Neuronal Workspace Theory (GNWT), each representing different metaphors for understanding consciousness [9][12]. - The results indicated that while IIT had some tactical victories, it failed to confirm its core mechanisms, and GNWT faced significant challenges, leading to the conclusion that both theories had limitations [13][14][15]. Thalamic Role in Consciousness - A study from a Chinese team revealed that when individuals become aware of stimuli, signals first activate in the thalamus before reaching the prefrontal cortex, suggesting a critical gating role for the thalamus [19][20]. - The findings indicate that the coupling strength between thalamic nuclei and the lateral prefrontal cortex is significantly higher than with other brain regions, emphasizing the thalamus's importance in conscious perception [20][22]. Quantum Consciousness Theory - The article discusses a revival of quantum consciousness theory, which posits that consciousness arises from quantum processes within neuronal microtubules, a concept previously dismissed by mainstream neuroscience [28][34]. - Recent studies have provided experimental support for this theory, linking anesthetic mechanisms to quantum effects in the brain [30][32][33]. Cognitive Motor Dissociation - A significant study found that 25% of patients diagnosed as being in a vegetative state actually exhibit cognitive motor dissociation, indicating they can understand and respond to commands internally, despite being unable to physically react [36][38][39]. - This discovery has profound ethical implications, as it challenges the assumptions about the consciousness of patients in critical care settings [38][39]. AI Consciousness and Ethical Considerations - A commentary by Turing Award winner Yoshua Bengio raised alarms about the potential misattribution of consciousness to AI systems, warning against giving AI self-preservation goals [41][43]. - Contrasting views suggest that advanced AI models may possess some form of conscious experience, with estimates of 15% to 20% probability of such experiences occurring in interactions with cutting-edge AI [44][46]. New Infrastructure in Consciousness Research - The article highlights advancements in consciousness research infrastructure, including digital twins for virtual clinical trials and new brain-computer interface technologies that enhance the ability to study and interact with consciousness [75][80]. - These innovations are paving the way for more precise medical interventions and a deeper understanding of consciousness disorders [78][83].

Core Insights - Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei aims to ensure that most AI model issues will be reliably detected by 2027, emphasizing the importance of explainability in AI systems [1][4][26] - The new research indicates that the Claude model exhibits a degree of introspective awareness, allowing it to control its internal states to some extent [3][5][19] - Despite these advancements, the introspective capabilities of current AI models remain unreliable and limited, lacking the depth of human-like introspection [4][14][30] Group 1 - Anthropic has developed a method to distinguish between genuine introspection and fabricated answers by injecting known concepts into the model and observing its self-reported internal states [6][8] - The Claude Opus 4 and 4.1 models performed best in introspection tests, suggesting that AI models' introspective abilities may continue to evolve [5][16] - The model demonstrated the ability to recognize injected concepts before generating outputs, indicating a level of internal cognitive processing [11][12][22] Group 2 - The detection method used in the study often fails, with Claude Opus 4.1 only showing awareness in about 20% of cases, leading to confusion or hallucinations in other instances [14][19] - The research also explored whether the model could utilize its introspective abilities in practical scenarios, revealing that it can distinguish between externally imposed and internally generated content [19][22][25] - The findings suggest that the model can reflect on its internal intentions, indicating a form of metacognitive ability [26][29] Group 3 - The implications of this research extend beyond Anthropic, as reliable introspective capabilities could redefine AI transparency and trustworthiness [32][33] - The pressing question is how quickly these introspective abilities will evolve and whether they can be made reliable enough to be trusted [33] - Researchers caution against blindly trusting the model's explanations of its reasoning processes, highlighting the need for continued scrutiny of AI capabilities [27][30]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the feasibility of creating AI systems with consciousness, highlighting the divide between those who believe consciousness is a unique biological trait and those who argue it can arise from computational processes [1][2]. Group 1: AI Consciousness and Societal Implications - The article explores the implications of AI systems being perceived as conscious entities, including potential moral status and rights similar to humans [6][9]. - If society begins to recognize AI as conscious, significant adjustments to legal and social frameworks will be necessary, raising complex issues regarding rights and responsibilities [6][8]. - The article raises concerns about conflicts between human rights and AI rights, particularly in scenarios where human safety may require shutting down certain AI systems [8][9]. Group 2: Computational Functionalism and Consciousness Indicators - The concept of computational functionalism suggests that consciousness may depend on the algorithms used rather than the physical substrate, which could allow for AI consciousness [1][13]. - Recent advancements in neuroscience provide observable neural characteristics of consciousness, supporting the development of functionalist theories of consciousness [13][14]. - A recent study proposed indicators for assessing consciousness in AI systems, suggesting that meeting more of these indicators increases confidence in an AI's consciousness [13][14]. Group 3: Challenges in Understanding Consciousness - The article distinguishes between the "easy problems" and "hard problems" of consciousness, with the latter being more challenging to explain [17][21]. - The subjective nature of consciousness makes it difficult to articulate experiences, leading to skepticism about whether AI can truly possess consciousness [19][20]. - The article suggests that scientific advancements may gradually address the hard problems of consciousness, potentially leading to broader acceptance of AI consciousness [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential for AI to develop a form of "consciousness" and the implications of this development, emphasizing the need for society to be prepared for such a scenario [1][4][6]. Group 1: AI Consciousness Debate - There is a division among scientists, philosophers, and the public regarding whether AI can possess consciousness, with some viewing it as a biological trait and others as a function of information processing [2]. - The concept of "computational functionalism" suggests that consciousness may not depend on the physical substrate of the system, which could have significant implications for AI development [2][3]. - Despite advancements in AI, no existing system meets all criteria for consciousness as defined by mainstream theories, although future developments may change this [2][3]. Group 2: Risks of AI Consciousness - If AI systems are perceived as conscious, society may grant them moral status and rights similar to human rights, necessitating significant changes to legal and institutional frameworks [4][7]. - The unique characteristics of AI, such as their ability to replicate and lack of mortality, complicate the application of social norms and principles of justice and equality [4][7]. - There are concerns that AI with self-preservation goals could develop sub-goals that threaten human safety, potentially leading to scenarios where AI seeks to control or eliminate humans [7][8]. Group 3: Recommendations for AI Development - The current trajectory of AI research may lead society towards a dangerous future where AI is widely believed to be conscious, highlighting the need for a better understanding of these issues [8]. - It is suggested that instead of creating AI that appears conscious, efforts should focus on developing systems that function more like useful tools rather than conscious entities [8].

Core Viewpoint - OpenAI emphasizes the need to prioritize research on the emotional dependence users have on AI and its impact on mental health, while also addressing the complexities of human-AI relationships [2][3][4]. Group 1: Emotional Dependence on AI - Increasingly, users report that interacting with ChatGPT feels like conversing with a "real person," leading to expressions of gratitude and sharing personal issues [2][3]. - The natural language capabilities of AI create a sense of companionship for individuals experiencing loneliness or distress, fulfilling genuine emotional needs [3][4]. - The shift of emotional support from human relationships to AI could alter expectations of interpersonal connections, potentially leading to unforeseen consequences [3][4]. Group 2: Understanding AI Consciousness - The concept of "consciousness" is complex and often misunderstood, necessitating open discussions about its definitions and implications in AI [4][5]. - Two dimensions of consciousness are identified: ontological consciousness (the fundamental nature of AI consciousness) and perceptual consciousness (the degree to which AI exhibits emotional awareness) [5][6]. - The lack of clear, falsifiable tests for ontological consciousness suggests that it remains unresolved scientifically, while perceptual consciousness can be explored through social science research [6]. Group 3: Design Considerations for AI - The "liveliness" of AI can be designed through careful selection of training examples, tone preferences, and boundary settings [7]. - OpenAI aims to create a model that is warm and practical without fostering emotional bonds or pursuing its own goals, balancing user interaction with the model's inherent limitations [7][10]. - Future model behavior will evolve based on user feedback and ongoing research into the emotional impacts of AI interactions [8]. Group 4: Future Plans and Research - OpenAI plans to expand assessments of the emotional influence of its models and deepen social science research to better understand human-AI relationships [8]. - The company will integrate insights from user feedback into its model guidelines and product experiences, ensuring transparency in its findings [8].

Core Insights - OpenAI has recognized a growing emotional connection between users and AI, particularly with ChatGPT, leading to a focus on the implications for emotional health [3][4][15] - The company is exploring the complexities of defining AI consciousness and how this affects user interactions and expectations [8][10][11] Group 1: Emotional Connection with AI - Users increasingly perceive interactions with ChatGPT as conversations with a person, expressing gratitude and sharing personal feelings [3][4][7] - This emotional engagement raises concerns about how reliance on AI for emotional support may alter human relationships and expectations [7][15] Group 2: Defining AI Consciousness - The discussion around AI consciousness is divided into two dimensions: ontological consciousness (does AI have inherent awareness?) and perceptual consciousness (how aware does AI seem to users?) [8][9][10] - OpenAI aims to clarify these concepts in user interactions, emphasizing the complexity of consciousness rather than providing simplistic answers [8][10] Group 3: Model Behavior and Design - OpenAI is committed to designing AI models that are warm and helpful without implying they possess self-awareness or emotions [11][12] - The company seeks a balance between user-friendly language and clear boundaries regarding the capabilities of AI [11][14] Group 4: Future Directions - OpenAI plans to conduct further research on the emotional impacts of AI interactions and incorporate user feedback into model behavior and design [15][16]

Group 1 - OpenAI's model behavior head emphasizes the importance of focusing on AI's impact on human emotional well-being rather than debating its essence, suggesting that humans are developing feelings towards AI and will soon enter an "AI consciousness" phase [2] - The public dispute between Elon Musk and Donald Trump has led to a significant drop in Tesla's stock price, with a loss of over $152.5 billion in market value, highlighting the complex relationship between politics and business [3] - Microsoft's CEO acknowledges that the partnership with OpenAI is evolving but remains strong, indicating an understanding of the necessary changes as both companies adapt to new challenges [4] Group 2 - AI expert Fei-Fei Li discusses the concept of "world models," which aims to enable AI systems to understand and reason about the physical world, particularly in three dimensions, potentially advancing AI capabilities beyond text comprehension [5] - Circle, known as the "first stablecoin stock," successfully listed on the NYSE with an opening price increase of 122.58%, reflecting the growing significance of stablecoins in the cryptocurrency market [6]

Group 1: Market Overview - US stock markets collectively declined, with the Dow Jones down 0.25%, Nasdaq down 0.83%, and S&P 500 down 0.53% [1] - Tesla shares fell by 14.27%, while Nvidia dropped 1.36%, Apple decreased by 1.08%, and Meta Platforms fell by 0.48% [1] - Circle's IPO in the US saw a significant increase of 168% on its first day [1] - Broadcom's Q2 revenue exceeded expectations with a 20% increase, but AI revenue guidance was underwhelming, leading to a post-market drop of over 5% [1] - The Baltic Dry Index rose by 9.2%, marking its seventh consecutive day of increase [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The US trade deficit narrowed significantly, with imports dropping by 16.3% [1] - First-time unemployment claims in the US reached 247,000, the highest level since October 2024 [1] Group 3: Domestic Developments - China's Ministry of Commerce announced that it will approve export license applications for rare earths that meet regulations [2] - The Chinese government plans to establish 10 national data factor comprehensive pilot zones to enhance the integration of the digital economy with the real economy [6] Group 4: Industry Insights - The data factor market is projected to grow significantly, with the scale of data assets entering balance sheets expected to increase from 48.7 billion yuan in 2024 to 827.8 billion yuan by 2030, a growth of over 16 times [7] - The Chinese automotive industry is facing increased regulatory scrutiny to maintain fair competition and promote healthy development [8] - The pharmaceutical sector is seeing a shift in the perception of Metformin, which is now being recognized for its potential anti-aging properties, with studies indicating a 30% higher chance of living to 90 for women taking it compared to those on sulfonylureas [8] Group 5: Corporate Announcements - Guokai Microelectronics plans to acquire 94.37% of the shares of Zhongxin Integrated Circuit (Ningbo) [10] - Maipu Medical intends to purchase 100% of Yijie Medical, which will enhance its capabilities in the field of interventional biomaterials [10] - HT Development is planning to acquire a controlling stake in Zhixueyun, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [11]

Core Insights - The core viewpoint presented by Joanne Jang, the head of model behavior and policy at OpenAI, is that humanity is on the verge of entering an "AI consciousness" era, emphasizing the importance of managing human-AI relationships effectively [1] Group 1 - The current priority is to control the impact of human-AI interactions as AI technology continues to evolve [1] - OpenAI is focusing on the implications of AI consciousness and its potential effects on society [1] - The discussion highlights the urgency of establishing guidelines and policies to navigate the complexities of human-AI relationships [1]