Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for JD Industrial (07618) as a first-time coverage [1]. Core Insights - JD Industrial is a leading provider of industrial supply chain technology and services in China, having established a comprehensive digital infrastructure for end-to-end supply chain solutions. By 2024, it is projected to become the largest player in the MRO procurement market in China, serving over 11,100 key enterprise clients and offering approximately 81.1 million SKUs from around 158,000 suppliers [5][18]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of CNY 20.4 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.4% from 2021 to 2024. The adjusted net profit is forecasted to reach CNY 909 million, with a CAGR of 21.9% during the same period [4][25]. - The Chinese industrial supply chain market is the largest globally, with a market size of CNY 11.4 trillion in 2024, but the digital penetration is only 6.2%, significantly lower than the 15% in the U.S. [5][50]. - JD Industrial's market share in the domestic industrial supply chain technology and services market is 4.1%, while its share in the MRO procurement market is only 0.8%, indicating substantial growth potential [5][59]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue and profit forecasts for JD Industrial from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - Revenue: CNY 17.34 billion (2023), CNY 20.40 billion (2024), CNY 24.49 billion (2025E), CNY 29.91 billion (2026E), CNY 35.96 billion (2027E) [4]. - Adjusted net profit: CNY 818 million (2023), CNY 909 million (2024), CNY 1.10 billion (2025E), CNY 1.74 billion (2026E), CNY 2.30 billion (2027E) [4]. - The expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are 41 (2023), 36 (2024), 30 (2025E), 19 (2026E), and 14 (2027E) [4]. Industry Overview - The industrial supply chain market in China is characterized by its vast size and the early stage of digital transformation. The MRO procurement market is projected to reach CNY 3.7 trillion in 2024, with a CAGR of 6.1% from 2019 to 2024 [5][55]. - The market is highly fragmented, with JD Industrial being a key player. The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing digitalization trends, which are expected to accelerate market consolidation [5][58]. - The report highlights that the U.S. leading MRO companies have consistently outperformed the growth of the manufacturing value added, indicating a potential for similar trends in China as the market matures [5][8].

Market Overview - As of November 27, 2025, the number of projects in China's inquiry transfer market reached 163, a 140% increase compared to the entire year of 2024[4] - The transfer scale reached 84.445 billion yuan, which is 380% higher than the total for 2024[4] - The average discount rate for inquiry transfers in 2025 is approximately 84.34%, significantly lower than the 87.2% for private placements[15] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The inquiry transfer mechanism was officially implemented on the ChiNext board in May 2024, leading to a surge in transfer announcements, with 69 recorded in 2025, accounting for 42.33% of the total[4][24] - The inquiry transfer market has seen a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 100.74% in project numbers from 2020 to 2025, and a CAGR of 84.68% in transfer scale[20] Investment Characteristics - Inquiry transfers have a shorter registration time of about one week compared to 3 weeks to 1 month for regular private placements, reducing capital occupation time by 2-3 weeks[14] - The inquiry transfer mechanism allows for a more flexible exit strategy for early investors, providing a low-disturbance path for orderly exits, which is crucial in a market with scarce quality assets[18][29] Market Performance - In the week of December 6 to December 12, 2025, the A-share market saw a general increase, with the ChiNext index rising by 2.74%[31] - The CPO index experienced the highest weekly increase of 14.26%, with a year-to-date increase of 183.30%[34] Key Recommendations - Focus on sectors such as smart vehicles (e.g., Hu Guang Co., Rui Hu Mould, Xin Quan Co., and Xin Dong Lian Ke) and high-end manufacturing (e.g., Ao Pu Te, Qing Niao Fire Protection, and Lei Te Optoelectronics) for potential investment opportunities[36]

Core Viewpoint - JD Industrial has successfully listed on the Hong Kong main board, with an initial share price of HKD 14.1, but has seen a decline of 7.8% to HKD 13, resulting in a market capitalization of HKD 34.938 billion [2][3]. Company Overview - JD Industrial, established in October 2018 as a subsidiary of JD Group, focuses on industrial supply chain technology and services, primarily in MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Operations) procurement [5][4]. - The company has transitioned from a loss of RMB 1.3 billion in 2022 to a profit of RMB 480 million in 2023, with projected net profits of RMB 7.6 billion in 2024 [13][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue figures for JD Industrial from 2022 to 2024 are RMB 141 billion, RMB 173 billion, and RMB 204 billion respectively, with a revenue growth rate of 18.91% in the first half of 2025 [11][12]. - The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable but low, at 18.0%, 16.1%, and 16.2% over the reporting periods, primarily due to over 90% of revenue coming from product sales with low margins [15][16]. Market Position and Competition - JD Industrial holds a 4.1% market share in the MRO procurement service sector, making it the largest provider in China, but faces intense competition from companies like Zhenkunhang and US-based GSI [7][19]. - The MRO procurement service market in China is projected to grow from RMB 2.7 trillion in 2019 to RMB 3.7 trillion by 2024, indicating significant growth potential for JD Industrial [19]. Strategic Plans - Post-IPO, JD Industrial plans to allocate 25% of the raised funds for international expansion, aligning with JD Group's global ambitions [4][21]. - The company aims to leverage its existing logistics and supply chain capabilities to enhance its service offerings in international markets, particularly as it follows Chinese manufacturing clients abroad [21]. Ownership Structure - JD Group holds approximately 78.84% of JD Industrial, with founder Liu Qiangdong controlling about 83% of the voting rights, ensuring strategic alignment between the two entities [7][18].

Core Insights - JD Industrial has successfully transitioned from a unicorn to a publicly listed company, marking a significant milestone in its development and establishing a benchmark for capitalizing on industrial digital transformation under the "new quality productivity" policy direction [1] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency in the industrial sector through technology, addressing pain points in traditional supply chains [1][2] - JD Industrial's listing reflects market recognition of its industry position and the potential of the industrial digitalization sector [2] Business Overview - JD Industrial has built a service network covering 80 product categories and over 81.1 million SKUs, serving more than 11,000 core industrial enterprises and millions of SMEs, including around 60% of China's top 500 companies [2][3] - The company’s revenue growth is driven by its "Taipu" integrated supply chain solution, which has shown significant performance improvements across various industries [3][6] Financial Performance - From 2023 to 2024, JD Industrial's net profit is projected to increase from 4.799 million to 762 million, with a 54.96% year-on-year growth expected in the first half of 2025 [3] - Revenue from general MRO products is expected to rise from 9.4 billion to 11.1 billion, while professional MRO and BOM product revenues are also anticipated to grow significantly [6] Market Position - JD Industrial holds a 4.1% market share in the industrial supply chain technology and services market, leading the industry but facing competition from specialized platforms and comprehensive e-commerce players [4] - The industrial supply chain market is highly fragmented, with the top 10 companies accounting for only 1.5% of the market [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched the JoyIndustrial industrial supply chain model and initiated the "Intelligent Empowerment of Thousands of Industries, Trillion Cost Reduction" campaign, targeting a significant reduction in supply chain costs [7][8] - JD Industrial's dual-driven strategy combines industrial models with supply chain applications to enhance operational efficiency and address long-standing challenges in the sector [8] Global Expansion - JD Industrial is exploring international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, and has established a presence in countries like Brazil, Thailand, and Malaysia [9][10] - The company aims to build a resilient global supply chain network, focusing on localizing capabilities while ensuring effective collaboration across its operations [10]

Core Viewpoint - JD Industrial Technology (京东工业) has been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking it as the sixth company under Liu Qiangdong's leadership to enter the capital market, with an opening price of HKD 12.73, reflecting a 9.72% drop and a total market capitalization of approximately HKD 34.08 billion [1]. Company Overview - JD Industrial is a provider of industrial supply chain technology and services, focusing on digital transformation to help clients ensure supply, reduce costs, enhance efficiency, and maintain compliance [1]. - The company is projected to become the largest service provider in China's industrial supply chain technology and services market, with a market share of 4.1% based on transaction volume in 2024 [1]. Financial Performance - Revenue for JD Industrial is expected to grow from CNY 141.35 billion in 2022 to CNY 203.98 billion in 2024, with net profits transitioning from a loss of CNY 12.69 billion in 2022 to a profit of CNY 7.62 billion in 2024 [2]. - For the first eight months ending August 31, 2025, the company recorded total revenue of CNY 141 billion, representing an 18.9% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [3]. Shareholding Structure - Prior to the IPO, JD.com, through its subsidiaries, held approximately 78.84% of JD Industrial's issued share capital [4][6]. - Following the global offering and adjustments, JD.com is expected to control about 72.34% of the issued share capital of JD Industrial [6]. - Liu Qiangdong has been granted a 3.68% equity stake in recognition of his contributions to the company [5]. Governance and Control - Liu Qiangdong controls approximately 72.4% of JD.com’s total voting rights, which includes shares held by various entities associated with him [7]. - The company will continue to operate as a subsidiary of JD.com post-listing, with a governance structure that includes JD.com and its associated entities as the controlling shareholders [8].

Core Insights - China is leading the global industrial supply chain market with a market size of 11.4 trillion yuan, but faces systemic issues of inefficiency and lack of strength in its industrial supply chain [2] - The digital penetration rate of China's industrial supply chain is projected to rise from 6.2% in 2024 to 8.2% by 2029, which is expected to drive rapid growth in the industrial supply chain technology and service market, potentially exceeding one trillion yuan by 2029 [2] - JD Industrial aims to enhance operational efficiency in the industrial world through technology, positioning itself as a leader in the transformation driven by "Artificial Intelligence+" and new industrialization [2][3] Company Overview - JD Industrial originated from JD Group's enterprise business and became an independent unit in 2017, focusing on empowering industrial supply chains with its digital supply chain technology [4] - The company has developed a unique integrated supply chain solution that combines digital and physical aspects, enhancing customer experience and driving cost reduction [4] - JD Industrial's "Tai Pu" solution aims to optimize internal supply chains for enterprises, helping them save 10% to 30% on procurement costs through full-link digitalization [5] Technological Innovations - JD Industrial has created the Joy Industrial model, which addresses long-standing pain points in the industrial supply chain, such as data silos and management complexities [7][9] - The model leverages over 81.1 million industrial SKU data and insights from more than 40 industry practices, providing deep industry understanding and serving over 10,000 key industrial enterprises [9] - The company is also developing intelligent agents for various applications, significantly improving efficiency and reducing management costs [10] Market Response - JD Industrial's shares were oversubscribed by approximately 60.25 times in the Hong Kong public offering, indicating strong investor confidence [3] - The company aims to assist the Chinese industrial sector in achieving a "trillion yuan" cost reduction over the next five years through targeted industry solutions [11] Future Directions - JD Industrial is expanding its services internationally, providing "accompanying overseas" services to over 100 enterprises across various countries [12] - The company offers multiple supply chain solutions tailored to different stages of overseas operations, including a one-stop solution for cross-border goods [13][14] - The listing of JD Industrial marks a significant shift in the industrial supply chain's perception from a "cost center" to a "digital efficiency engine" [15][16]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling approximately 1.3%, and overall market sentiment remained weak, leading to a decrease in trading volume to about 1,644 billion HKD [2][3] - Southbound capital flows showed a decrease, with net inflows remaining low at around 2.3 billion HKD, indicating a cautious market environment [2][3] Group 2: Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical and technology sectors were the main contributors to the market decline, with significant sell-offs in high-valuation areas such as biomedicine and AI healthcare [3] - The real estate sector continued to struggle, reflecting ongoing concerns about financing conditions and sales data [3] - Consumer stocks also saw a downturn, indicating insufficient recovery in domestic demand, particularly in the automotive sector, which faced notable weakness [3] Group 3: Company Analysis - JD Industrial - JD Industrial is a leading industrial supply chain service platform in China, focusing on supply chain technology and services through its "Taipu" platform, covering over 8.11 million SKUs across 80 categories [6][7] - For the first half of 2025, JD Industrial reported a transaction scale of 14.6 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 17%, with self-operated transactions accounting for approximately 66% [6][7] - The company is set to go public, with JD Group retaining a 72.34% stake post-IPO, indicating a strong backing from its parent company [7] Group 4: Financial Performance - JD Industrial's total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 10.3 billion HKD, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth, with a gross profit margin of 18.6% [7][8] - The adjusted net profit for the same period was 495 million HKD, marking a 34% increase, with a profit margin of 4.8% [7][8] Group 5: Industry Outlook - The industrial supply chain technology and services market in China is projected to reach approximately 800 billion HKD in 2025, growing at a CAGR of 8.3% from 2025 to 2029, driven by the demand for cost reduction and efficiency improvements [8][9] - JD Industrial holds a leading market share of 4.1% in the domestic supply chain technology and services market, outpacing the industry growth rate [8][9] Group 6: Competitive Advantages - The industry has significant room for online penetration due to the fragmented distribution channels, and JD Industrial's leading market position and high customer retention rates provide a competitive edge [9] Group 7: IPO Details - The IPO is scheduled from December 3 to December 8, 2025, with expected net proceeds of approximately 2.827 billion HKD, allocated for enhancing supply chain solutions, expanding product categories, and potential strategic acquisitions [11][12] - The offering price is set between 12.7 and 15.5 HKD, with a projected market capitalization of 34 to 41.5 billion HKD post-IPO [13]

Core Viewpoint - JD Industrial plans to globally issue 211 million shares with a price range of HKD 12.7 to HKD 15.5 per share, aiming to enhance its industrial supply chain capabilities and expand its market presence [1][4][5]. Company Overview - JD Industrial is a leading provider of industrial supply chain technology and services in China, offering a comprehensive digitalized supply chain solution called "Taipu" that integrates products and services [1][5]. - The company has established a robust end-to-end digital infrastructure for supply chain management, covering procurement, fulfillment, and operations [1][6]. Market Position - According to market data, JD Industrial holds a 4.1% market share in China's industrial supply chain technology and services market, making it the largest service provider in this sector as of 2024 [1][5]. - The company's revenue is projected to grow from approximately CNY 14.1 billion in 2022 to CNY 20.4 billion in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.1% [1][5]. Product Offering - As of June 30, 2025, JD Industrial offers around 81.1 million SKUs across 80 product categories, sourced from approximately 158,000 manufacturers, distributors, and agents [2][5]. Industry Trends - The Chinese industrial supply chain market is characterized by high fragmentation and inefficiencies, with a digital penetration rate of only 6.2% in 2024, expected to rise to 8.2% by 2029 [2][6]. - The market size for industrial supply chain technology and services is anticipated to grow from CNY 7 trillion in 2024 to CNY 11 trillion in 2029, with a CAGR of 9.8% [2][6]. Operational Model - JD Industrial has adopted a light-asset operational model, leveraging digital connections between procurement needs and inventory from distributors and manufacturers, allowing for direct shipping from suppliers to customers [3][6]. Fund Utilization - The company plans to allocate approximately 35% of the raised funds to enhance industrial supply chain capabilities, 25% for regional business expansion, 30% for potential strategic investments or acquisitions, and 10% for general corporate purposes and working capital [3][7]. Ecosystem Development - JD Group has systematically built an ecosystem around its core supply chain business, integrating various platforms in consumption, health, logistics, and industrial sectors to enhance collaboration and competitiveness [3][7].

Core Viewpoint - JD Industrial plans to globally offer 211 million shares with a price range of HKD 12.7 to HKD 15.5 per share, aiming to enhance its industrial supply chain capabilities and expand its market presence [1][3]. Company Overview - JD Industrial is a leading provider of industrial supply chain technology and services in China, offering a comprehensive digitalized supply chain solution called "Taipu" that integrates both digital and physical aspects [1][2]. - The company has established a vast industrial product supply network with approximately 81.1 million SKUs across 80 product categories, sourced from around 158,000 manufacturers, distributors, and agents [2]. Market Position and Growth - According to market data, JD Industrial holds a 4.1% market share in China's industrial supply chain technology and services market, projected to grow from approximately CNY 14.1 billion in 2022 to CNY 20.4 billion in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.1% [1][2]. - The digital penetration rate in China's industrial supply chain market is expected to rise from 6.2% in 2024 to 8.2% by 2029, driving the market size from CNY 7 trillion to CNY 11 trillion, with a CAGR of 9.8% [2]. Operational Strategy - JD Industrial employs a light-asset operational model by integrating procurement needs with inventory and production capacities of distributors and manufacturers, enabling direct shipping from suppliers to customers [3]. - The company plans to allocate approximately 35% of the raised funds to enhance its industrial supply chain capabilities, 25% for regional business expansion, 30% for potential strategic investments or acquisitions, and 10% for general corporate purposes and working capital [3]. Ecosystem Development - JD Group has systematically built an ecosystem around the core business of "supply chain," covering various sectors such as consumption, health, logistics, and industry, which enhances its competitive edge against industry fluctuations [3].

Company Overview - JD Industrial is a leading industrial supply chain service platform in China, focusing on supply chain digitization services through its "Taipu" platform, covering over 8.11 million SKUs across 80 categories[1] - As of June 2025, JD Industrial served 11,000 key enterprise clients, with a transaction scale of 14.6 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a 17% year-on-year growth[1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 10.25 billion RMB, a 19% increase year-on-year, with product sales contributing 9.6 billion RMB, accounting for 93% of total revenue[2] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 495 million RMB, up 34% year-on-year, with a profit margin of 4.8%[2] Market Trends - The industrial supply chain technology and service market in China is projected to reach 800 billion RMB in 2025, growing at a CAGR of 8.3% from 2025 to 2029[3] - JD Industrial holds a 4.1% market share in the domestic supply chain technology and service market, leading the sector with a transaction scale of 28.8 billion RMB in 2024[3] Competitive Landscape - JD Industrial's market share is significantly higher than its closest competitors, with the second and third players holding 1.5% and 0.9% market shares, respectively[3] - The company benefits from a high customer retention rate and a transparent online trading platform, which enhances its competitive advantage[4] Risks and Challenges - The company's gross margin is lower than that of overseas peers, which may impact long-term net profit margins[5] - A significant portion of revenue (36% in 1H25) still comes from JD Group, indicating potential dependency risks[5] IPO Details - The IPO is scheduled from December 3 to December 8, 2025, with trading commencing on December 11, 2025[6] - The expected net proceeds from the offering are estimated at 2.827 billion HKD, with 35% allocated to enhancing supply chain solutions and 30% for potential strategic acquisitions[9] Valuation Insights - The expected IPO price range is 12.7 to 15.5 HKD, with a projected market capitalization of 34 to 41.5 billion HKD post-IPO[10] - The company's P/E ratio is estimated to be between 29.8x and 36.4x, which reflects a premium compared to domestic and overseas peers[10]