每经AI快讯，首都在线（SZ 300846，收盘价：21.34元）11月25日晚间发布公告称，近日，公司收到国 家工业和信息化部颁发的国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业证书，有效期为3年。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——国开行辟谣的"人民资产"是什么？记者实探：号称投资600元80天赚8万 元！一位投资人的女儿：劝不住她，警察都拦不住 （记者 曾健辉） 2025年1至6月份，首都在线的营业收入构成为：计算机软件应用占比26.09%，其他占比25.57%，大模 型及AIGC占比16.4%，游戏占比15.62%，视频占比8.03%，电商占比5.43%。 截至发稿，首都在线市值为107亿元。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 （於 中 華 人 民 共 和 國 註 冊 成 立 的 股 份 有 限 公 司） （股 份 代 號：2429） 自願公告 可信資產管理平台服務協議 本公告乃由北京友寶在線科技股份有限公司（「本公司」連 同 其 附 屬 公 司（統 稱 「本集團」））自 願 作 出。 可信資產管理平台服務協議 本公司董事（「董 事」）會（「董事會」）欣 然 宣 佈，於2025年11月20日（交 易 時 段 後）， 本集團與螞蟻雙鏈科技（上 海）有限公司（「螞蟻雙鏈科技」）訂立可信資產管理平 台服務協議（「可信資產管理平台服務協議」），據 此，螞 蟻 雙 鏈 科 技 同 意 自 行 或 連 同 其 關 連 方 及╱或 供 應 商，於 螞 蟻 數 字 科 技 可 信 資 產 管 理 平 台 上 向 本 集 團 提 供 服 務，包 括 供 應 可 信 鏈 上 軟 體 開 發 ...

Group 1 - The core concern is the increasing worries about an "AI bubble" leading to significant sell-offs in US tech stocks, with debates on whether AI has driven the market to a bubble state [1] - Pessimists argue that high valuations prompt a tendency to cash out, while optimists, including management from AMD and Nvidia, assert that the demand for AI data centers is real and growing rapidly, distinguishing it from the 2000 internet bubble [1] - UBS Global Wealth Management's Jason Draho suggests that the Chinese tech sector offers an attractive way to balance US tech stock holdings due to the high valuations in the US market [1] Group 2 - Many large Chinese tech companies are valued at only one-third to half of their US counterparts, yet they are launching competitive AI products [1] - The Chinese tech sector, particularly the Hong Kong market, is attracting investors due to its valuation advantages, with the Hong Kong tech index showing a PE ratio around 40% over the past three years, significantly lower than the NASDAQ [1] Group 3 - The first ETF focusing on the Hong Kong chip industry has been launched, comprising 70% hardware and 30% software, and includes 42 Hong Kong tech companies, with significant weights in companies like SMIC and Xiaomi [4] - The ETF aims to capture the potential of the Hong Kong AI hard tech market, excluding large internet firms like Alibaba and Tencent for a sharper focus [4] Group 4 - The ongoing trend of domestic AI chip localization is seen as a long-term necessity, with current conditions viewed as optimal for the development of domestic chips [4] - The ETF tracking the Hong Kong tech index is designed to adapt to market fluctuations, with individual stock weights adjusted semi-annually [5]

Market Overview - Global stock markets experienced a significant decline, with the Korean Composite Index and Nikkei 225 both dropping over 3% [1] - A-shares also fell, with 4,106 stocks closing down, particularly in coal, power equipment, steel, and non-ferrous metals sectors [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.81% at 3,939.81 points, while the ChiNext Index fell 1.16% to 3,069.22 points [2] Sector Performance - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector showed resilience, with the media sector rising by 1.6% [7] - Semiconductor, computer software, and Huawei HiSilicon concepts saw gains, while sectors like power battery recycling, phosphorus chemical, and coal experienced significant declines [4] - Among 31 first-level industries, 26 sectors closed down, with coal, power equipment, steel, and non-ferrous metals each dropping around 3% [5] Trading Activity - Daily trading volume slightly increased from 1.93 trillion yuan to 1.95 trillion yuan, indicating active leverage funds [2] - Margin trading balance in Shanghai and Shenzhen returned to 2.5 trillion yuan as of November 17 [2] Investment Sentiment - Market sentiment remains cautious due to external market declines and the need for A-shares to correct [1] - Investors holding heavy positions in technology stocks are advised to reduce their holdings, particularly in thematic technology stocks [1][11] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest a "dual-line layout" strategy, focusing on undervalued financial and dividend sectors while also participating in TMT segments with potential for rebound [12] - The long-term trend for technology remains positive, with ongoing support from policies and rapid development in AI and semiconductor sectors [11][13]

◎记者赵明超 临近年末，又到机构调仓时。 从年内市场表现看，科技股强势领跑，多只相关基金净值翻倍，公募基金对科技相关板块的配置比例， 已进入历史高位区间。随着筹码日趋集中，机构之间的分歧开始显现："坚守者"依然看好科技创新的星 辰大海，风物长宜放眼量；"撤退者"认为大树不能涨上天，"君子不立于危墙之下"；观望者则是见机行 事，认为唯有业绩不会辜负。 平安基金基金经理刘洁倩在接受上海证券报记者采访时表示，国内企业关于AI的资本开支启动相对较 晚。今年2月，阿里巴巴宣布未来3年投入3800亿元用于云基础设施和AI建设，与海外市场动辄千亿美 元的资本开支相比，存在较大差距，后续还有较大提升空间。 "即使短期海外市场有关于AI泡沫的讨论，对国内而言尚不存在这样的问题。"刘洁倩表示。 从资金端来看，在市场震荡调整时，资金依然在持续流入。据Choice测算，截至11月14日，人工智能主 题ETF近一周净申购额为48.68亿元，近一个月净申购额为44.23亿元。 沪上某新锐基金经理告诉上海证券报记者，在近期科技板块的调整中，他捡拾了部分筹码，"短期来 看，科技板块或有所震荡，但从中长期来看，科技是十分确定的投资方向"。 撤 ...

◎记者 赵明超 临近年末，又到机构调仓时。 从年内市场表现看，科技股强势领跑，多只相关基金净值翻倍，公募基金对科技相关板块的配置比例， 已进入历史高位区间。随着筹码日趋集中，机构之间的分歧开始显现："坚守者"依然看好科技创新的星 辰大海，风物长宜放眼量；"撤退者"认为大树不能涨上天，"君子不立于危墙之下"；观望者则是见机行 事，认为唯有业绩不会辜负。 坚守者：风物长宜放眼量 10月以来，市场趋于震荡，板块轮动速度明显加快，前期大涨的AI概念股有所调整，新能源板块卷土 重来。从主要指数走势看，上证指数围绕4000点波动，创业板指则围绕3100点波动。临近年底，机构如 何看科技板块后市？ 东吴基金权益投资总部总监刘元海在接受上海证券报记者采访时表示，近期国内外关于AI产业是否存 在泡沫的讨论较多，AI产业相关公司股价也出现一定波动，但从产业发展趋势看，当前AI产业还处于 早期发展阶段。随着大模型不断进步，未来几年有望看到AI应用的规模增长，实现资本投入与AI收入 正向循环。 平安基金基金经理刘洁倩在接受上海证券报记者采访时表示，国内企业关于AI的资本开支启动相对较 晚。今年2月，阿里巴巴宣布未来3年投入3800亿 ...

Core Insights - The first Hong Kong stock ETF focusing on the "Hong Kong chip" industry chain has been launched, tracking the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Composite Index, which is a rare product heavily invested in the Hong Kong chip industry [1] Group 1: ETF Characteristics - The ETF consists of 70% hardware and 30% software, focusing on semiconductor, electronics, and computer software sectors, excluding major internet companies like Alibaba and Tencent, thus providing a sharper focus on hard technology [1] - The ETF includes 42 Hong Kong hard technology companies, with the largest weight being SMIC at 20%, and the top five stocks accounting for 50% of the index, indicating a high concentration of leading companies [1] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Since the end of 2022, the index has achieved a cumulative increase of 89.60% and an annualized return of 25.71%, outperforming other Hong Kong technology indices such as the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (16.16% annualized return) and the Hang Seng Technology Index (13.97% annualized return) [2][4] - The index has a lower maximum drawdown compared to its peers, with a maximum drawdown of -36.31% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations around the 4000-point mark, with a slight weekly increase and active trading, but there is a notable rotation of funds towards consumer and pharmaceutical sectors, while previously strong AI and technology stocks are undergoing adjustments [1] Market Performance - The CSI 300 Index has increased by 21.65% since the beginning of 2023, with a current rolling TTM PE of approximately 14.1 times, positioned at about the 64th percentile historically [2] - The CSI 500 Index has risen by 25.01% in 2023, with a TTM PE of around 34 times, situated at about the 62nd percentile historically, indicating a higher valuation cost-effectiveness [2] - The ChiNext Index has seen a 38.47% increase since the start of 2023, with a TTM PE of approximately 41 times, located at the 35th percentile historically, suggesting a greater undervaluation compared to the other indices [2] Valuation Comparison - The A-share market, represented by the CSI 300 Index at 14.1 times PE, is significantly lower than major global indices such as the S&P 500 (29.1 times), NASDAQ (42.3 times), Nikkei 225 (23.2 times), and Sensex (23.2 times), highlighting the valuation advantage of A-shares [3] - The risk premium, indicated by the dividend yield minus the ten-year government bond yield, is currently at 0.73, which is notably above the historical average, suggesting attractive excess returns for equity investors [2] Investor Sentiment - Despite the market's rise over the past year, A-share investors remain cautious rather than overly optimistic, reflecting a mixed performance across sectors, with some benefiting from the global AI cycle while others, like real estate and midstream manufacturing, continue to struggle [4] - The current market environment does not indicate systemic overvaluation risks but rather a correction of overly pessimistic expectations, particularly in growth and cyclical sectors [4] - The outlook for A-shares is optimistic, supported by clear policy frameworks, stable economic fundamentals, improving liquidity, and healthier valuations, suggesting a preference for a "slow bull" market rather than a "crazy bull" scenario [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.426 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 11.1%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 110 million yuan, showing a decline of 4.74% year-over-year [6] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 504 million yuan, with a year-over-year increase of 7.36%, and a net profit of 39 million yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 42.33% year-over-year. This profit increase is attributed to the transition of AI products from research to market, leading to a decrease in R&D expense ratio [6] - The company's intangible assets grew significantly, reaching 267 million yuan as of September 30, 2025, a 42.78% increase from the beginning of the year, primarily due to the capitalization of joint cloud business customer acquisition costs [6] - The company has maintained a high level of contract liabilities, with 768 million yuan as of the report date, providing a solid foundation for future revenue growth [6] - Operating cash flow has increased in the negative direction, with a net outflow of 246 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, compared to 104 million yuan in the same period last year [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 2.382 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-over-year growth rate of 22.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 186 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 64.9% [5] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to be 56.8% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 59.1% by 2027 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 7.1% in 2025 to 13.9% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strongly Recommended" [1][13] Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 5.148 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 229 million yuan, up 50.72% year-on-year [4][8] - The company's smart IoT business is a significant driver of growth, with revenue from this segment increasing by 136.14% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [9] - The launch of the Drip AI OS and AI BOX positions the company to capitalize on the automotive industry's shift towards AI-driven solutions [9] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.148 billion yuan, with a net profit of 229 million yuan and a non-GAAP net profit of 200 million yuan [4][8] - The Q3 revenue was 1.848 billion yuan, reflecting a 42.87% increase year-on-year, while the net profit for the quarter was 70.57 million yuan, up 48.26% year-on-year [8] - The company expects continued high growth in revenue and profits for the full year 2025 [8] Business Segment Performance - The smart automotive segment is expected to benefit from the Drip AI OS and AI BOX, which integrate advanced AI capabilities into vehicles [9] - The smart IoT business has developed a diverse range of products, including handheld devices, AI PCs, and robotics, contributing significantly to revenue growth [9] - The company has established a strong presence in various industries, including retail, logistics, and healthcare, through its IoT solutions [9] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 562 million yuan, 677 million yuan, and 831 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.22 yuan, 1.47 yuan, and 1.80 yuan [9][10] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 54.9x, 45.5x, and 37.1x, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [9][11]