Investment Rating - The mechanical industry is rated as "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing significant advancements, with various companies unveiling new models and applications, indicating a growing market potential [2][3][6][7] - The engineering machinery industry is showing signs of recovery, with excavator sales increasing by 17.6% year-on-year in April 2025, suggesting a rebound in demand driven by infrastructure investments [13] - The agricultural machinery market is facing challenges, with a decline in the market sentiment index, indicating potential risks in this sub-sector [9][10] Summary by Relevant Sections Humanoid Robots - Lenovo's humanoid robot showcased at the Tech World 2025 conference demonstrates advanced capabilities such as Tai Chi performance and business Q&A [2] - Sichuan Mianyang deployed humanoid robots for traffic guidance, highlighting practical applications in urban settings [2] - ZTE is entering the companion robot market, indicating a diversification of applications in the humanoid robot sector [2] Engineering Machinery - In April 2025, excavator sales reached 22,142 units, with domestic sales at 12,547 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.4% [13] - The industry is expected to benefit from increased infrastructure investments as major projects are set to commence [13] Agricultural Machinery - The agricultural machinery market sentiment index dropped to 47.9% in April 2025, a decrease of 13.8 percentage points from the previous month [9] - The production of various types of tractors showed mixed results, with large tractors increasing by 6.1% year-on-year, while smaller tractors faced declines [9][10] Market Trends - The humanoid robot industry is anticipated to see mass production breakthroughs in 2025, which will enhance data collection and training capabilities [7] - The engineering machinery sector is expected to recover gradually as macroeconomic policies take effect, improving equipment utilization rates [13] Key Data Tracking - Japan's machine tool orders in March 2025 reached 151.1 billion yen, a year-on-year increase of 11.4% [8] - China's metal cutting machine tool production in the first quarter of 2025 was 182,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.5% [8]

2025 年 5 月 12 日 招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 每日投资策略 宏观、行业及公司点评 ◼ 中国经济 - 转口贸易和抢出口暂时抵消关税影响 尽管受到关税冲击，中国出口在 4 月仍表现出意想不到的韧性。尽管对美出 口大幅下滑，但对东盟的强劲增长在很大程度上抵消了这一损失，凸显了东 盟作为贸易转口目的地的作用日益增强。进口也远超市场预期，工业原材料 和集成电路进口量激增，可能因为对美国芯片关税豁免政策刺激抢进口。 我们预计关税政策最坏时刻可能过去，但对外贸冲击最严重的时刻尚未到来。 中国到美国的集装箱海运订单量和 PMI 出口订单指数等先行指标均大幅下降。 中美已开启谈判，我们认为将总体关税税率从 145%降至 80%在近期是可以 实现的，但进一步降至 30-40%的长期终端税率可能需要更长时间。 展望未来，我们预计中国商品出口增速将从 2024 年 5.9%放缓至 2025 年 1%， 进口增速可能从 1.1%小幅放缓至 0.5%。我们预计美元/人民币将从 2024 年 底的 7.35 降至 2025 年底的 7.25。（链接） 招银国际研究部 全球市场观察 宏观点评 邮件：resea ...

证券研究报告 | 策略研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 12 年 月 日 投资策略 财报过后，供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 一、策略专题：供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 4 月 30 日，A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报披露完毕，我们结合最新数据 对供给出清、出口链与高股息行业进行再梳理。 从供需格局的角度，有两类行业值得关注，第一类是左侧思路的"供给出 清"行业，即库存与产能均处于较为明显的出清状态，在需求能够保持稳 定甚至高速增长的背景下，上述行业有望凸显盈利弹性，25Q1 具备上述 特征的行业主要包括塑料、通用设备、游戏、种植业、小金属、光学光电 子、通信服务。 即国内需求存在压力的情况下，海外收入占比较高的出口链有望取得独立 景气，我们结合 2024 年上市公司主营构成与海关总署披露的出口数据对 各行业海外收入占比进行测算，当前全球出口链重点行业包括其他家电、 消费电子、航运港口、小家电、工程机械等。 第二类行业是右侧思路的"强势扩产"行业，即营收高速增长反映需求旺 盛，同时产能扩张处于较高水平，未来有望通过提高产量推动利润扩张， 25Q1 具备上述特征的行业主要包括其他电子 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 工程机械行业点评报告 4 月挖机出口表现亮眼，看好海外需求加速 推荐（维持） 复苏 风险提示：国内经济复苏趋缓；市场竞争加剧；原材料价格波动。 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 邮箱：chenhongyang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524100002 | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 股价（元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 三一重工 | 19.72 | 1.02 | 1.28 | 1.60 | 19.25 | 15.46 | 12.30 | 2.19 | 强推 | | 恒立液压 | 76.10 | 2.14 | 2.56 | 3.09 | 35.52 | 29.69 | 24.62 | 5.73 | 强推 | | 中联重科 | 7.63 | 0.58 | 0.70 | 0.8 ...

证券研究报告 | 策略研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 12 年 月 日 投资策略 财报过后，供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 一、策略专题：供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 4 月 30 日，A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报披露完毕，我们结合最新数据 对供给出清、出口链与高股息行业进行再梳理。 1.3 高股息：交运与消费部分行业股息率有明显抬升 我们结合各行业 2025 年现金分红情况与最新的 PE（ TTM）对预期股息率 进行测算，高股息重点行业包括煤炭开采、油气开采、炼化与贸易、航运 港口、白色家电等。值得提示的是，今年交运与消费部分行业股息率相对 上年有明显抬升，包括航运港口、物流、白色家电、装修建材等。 二、策略观点：变盘仍未结束，静待方向明确 大势研判：本周 A 股市场继续凸显韧性，ETF 保持净流出态势反映护盘资 金入场力度减少，而 A 股仍然稳中有升，同时成交量能保持在万亿以上。 此前我们指出，受海内外因素影响，市场处于变盘点，需要密切关注风格 是否出现切换：特朗普对华态度出现缓和、4 月政治局会议落地、A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报将完整披露。而目前来看，我们 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the leadership transition at SANY Group, with Mr. Tang Xiuguo appointed as the chairman from May 16, 2025, to May 15, 2026, emphasizing adherence to the company's core values and operational standards [1]. Group Leadership - Mr. Tang Xiuguo will serve as the chairman of SANY Group, responsible for daily operations and ensuring compliance with the company's cultural values [1]. Industry Insights - The article highlights the recovery in the construction machinery industry, indicating a potential turnaround with improved performance metrics [3]. - The transition to "National IV" emissions standards for construction machinery is set to begin on December 1, 2025, which may impact industry dynamics [3]. - Domestic sales have seen a continuous decline for 13 months, while exports have surged over 70%, raising questions about the future of the excavator industry [3]. - February's construction activity showed improvement, leading to optimistic expectations for the construction machinery sector [3]. Market Data - The article includes sales data for excavators and loaders, indicating trends and performance metrics for 2023 and 2024 [4]. - It also mentions the operating hours of Komatsu machinery, which can serve as an indicator of market demand and activity levels [5]. Expert Opinions - Industry experts discuss the current development trends in the construction machinery sector and the push for new energy solutions in machinery and commercial vehicles [6].

2025年6月17—19日 烟台金沙滩喜来登酒店 地址：山东省烟台市经济技术开发区海滨路88号 电话：0535-6119999 随着"双碳"目标的持续推进以及人工智能、大模型等新技术广泛应用，传统工程机 械正向动力源变革、智能化升级、数字化转型、网络化联接的方向发展。新能源工程机 械将促进产业转型升级、重塑市场格局、推动可持续发展。 2025"新能源工程机械大会" 以 "绿色转型 智能升级" 为主题，将于 2025年6月17 —19日在烟台 召开。本届会议将汇聚全球工程机械产业领导者，探讨新能源、数智化的 产业政策和创新技术，解析市场需求与发展趋势，协同产供链，推动新能源工程机械产 业高质量发展。 诚邀行业精英共襄盛会，交流思想、分享经验、凝聚共识、开创未来。 01 会议名称 2025新能源工程机械大会 2025 New Energy Construction Machinery Conference（NECMC 2025） 02 会议时间及地点 当今全球正处于向低碳转型的重要历史时期，工程机械迎来了百年未有之大变革， 呈现出绿色转型和智能升级新趋势。 03 会议内容 国家有关主管部门和组织，全球工程机械领域 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 机械行业周报（20250505-20250511） 4 月挖机出口提速，关注机器人三大方向 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 股价（元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 汇川技术 | 69.47 | 2.12 | 2.55 | 3.01 | 32.80 | 27.27 | 23.07 | 5.69 | 强推 | | 法兰泰克 | 10.79 | 0.66 | 0.85 | 1.04 | 16.26 | 12.74 | 10.33 | 2.21 | 强推 | | 信捷电气 | 59.54 | 2.05 | 2.57 | 3.11 | 29.06 | 23.18 | 19.15 | 3.36 | 强推 | | 欧科亿 | 17.62 | 0.71 | 1.02 | 1.25 | ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive trend in China's trade, with April's import and export volume reaching 3.84 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [6][9] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slight increase of 0.1% month-on-month in April, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, indicating ongoing deflationary pressures [6][9] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has outlined its legislative work plan for 2025, focusing on key projects related to public and private funds, futures, and listed companies [6][9] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,342.00, down 0.30%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.69% to 10,126.83 [4] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are at 13.71 and 36.60, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [10][15] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down 0.67%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also experienced declines of 0.45% and 0.15%, respectively [5] Industry Analysis - The report notes a significant increase in photovoltaic (PV) installations in March, with a year-on-year growth of 124.39%, although the sector faced a decline of 10.61% in April [22][23] - The nuclear power sector is experiencing accelerated project approvals, with the recent approval of 10 nuclear reactors, indicating a strong growth outlook for nuclear energy in China [33][34] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong fundamentals and stable earnings, such as traditional engineering machinery and high-speed rail equipment, while also considering emerging technologies like humanoid robots [31][32] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring policy developments and market conditions, particularly in the technology and consumer sectors, for potential investment opportunities [10][15]

装备制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 12 日 [T分析师： able_Author 赵晓闯] 执业证书号：S1030511010004 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：zhaoxc@csco.com.cn 分析师：杨贵洲 4 月 28 日-5 月 9 日，机械设备、电力设备及汽车行业指数涨 跌幅分别为+5.07%、+3.46%及+2.55%，在 31 个申万一级行业 中排名分别为第 3、8、12 位；同期沪深 300 涨跌幅为+1.56%。 行业观点： 执业证书号：S1030524060001 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：yanggz1@csco.com.cn 研究助理：董李延楠 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：donglyn@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 工程机械景气持续，展现业绩弹性 [Table_ReportType]装备制造行业周报（5 月第 2 周） [Table_S 市场行情回顾： ummary] 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] [Ta ...