摩根士丹利发布研报称，金沙中国(01928)去年末季EBITDA为6.07亿美元，经赢率调整后为5.82亿美 元，低于市场预期的6.17亿美元，业绩逊预期原因包括大众市场基数持平、产品组合恶化及成本上升。 予该股"增持"评级，目标价23港元。 集团第四季度EBITDA利润率按季减200个基点至29.5%。营运支出按季增长12%，大摩引述公司指竞争 强度已趋于稳定，其策略正在见效，但大摩尚未看到此迹象。 大摩指出，以2026年预估绩效为基准，其交易价格对应企业价值倍数为10.7倍，及自由现金流收益率为 8.2%，相较于历史平均水平具有吸引力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reported that Sands China (01928) had an EBITDA of $607 million for the last quarter of the year, adjusted to $582 million, which was below the market expectation of $617 million due to stagnant mass market base, deteriorating product mix, and rising costs [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The fourth quarter EBITDA margin decreased by 200 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 29.5% [1] - Operating expenses increased by 12% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Morgan Stanley noted that competition intensity has stabilized, and the company's strategy is beginning to show results, although no signs of this have been observed yet [1] Group 3: Valuation Metrics - Based on projected performance for 2026, the trading price corresponds to an enterprise value multiple of 10.7 times and a free cash flow yield of 8.2%, which is attractive compared to historical averages [1]

里昂发表研报指，金沙中国2025年第四季EBITDA按年增长6%至6.08亿美元，当中包括因贵宾厅赢率高 于正常水平而带来的2600万美元正面影响，但仍较市场及该行预期低3%及10%；EBITDA利润率按年下 降2.7个百分点至29.6%，主要由于营运开支上升，以及高端博彩业务的收入占比增加。展望未来，公司 见到促销力度已开始稳定，未来重点仍集中于提高EBITDA。该行予其"跑赢大市"评级，目标价为22.9 港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Sands China’s EBITDA for the last quarter was $607 million, adjusted for winning rates to $582 million, which fell short of market expectations of $617 million due to stagnant mass market growth, deteriorating product mix, and rising costs [1] Financial Performance - EBITDA profit margin decreased by 200 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 29.5% [1] - The estimated enterprise value multiple based on projected performance for 2026 is 10.7 times, with a free cash flow yield of 8.2%, which is attractive compared to historical averages [1] Market Strategy - Morgan Stanley cites that the intensity of competition has stabilized, and the company's strategies are beginning to show effectiveness, although no clear signs of this have been observed yet [1] Investment Rating - The stock is rated "Overweight" with a target price of HKD 23 [1]

消息面上，金沙中国今早公告，2025年第四季的净收益总额由2024年第四季增加16.4%至20.5亿美元； 净收入为2.13亿美元，而2024年第四季则为2.37亿美元。此外，2025年第四季的经调整物业EBITDA为 6.08亿美元，而2024年第四季则为5.71亿美元；2025年全年的经调整物业EBITDA为23.1亿美元，而2024 年全年则为23.3亿美元，同比微减0.858%。 金沙中国(01928)重挫逾8%，截至发稿，跌8.23%，报17.29港元，成交额2.65亿港元。 ...

金沙中国2025年的净收益总额由2024年增加5.1%至74.4亿美元。金沙中国2025年的净收入为9.01亿美 元，而2024年则为10.5亿美元。 金沙中国2025年第四季的经调整物业EBITDA为6.08亿美元，而2024年第四季则为5.71亿美元。金沙中 国2025年全年的经调整物业EBITDA为23.1亿美元，而2024年全年则为23.3亿美元。 金沙中国有限公司(01928)发布公告，金沙中国2025年第四季的净收益总额由2024年第四季增加16.4%至 20.5亿美元。金沙中国2025年第四季的净收入为2.13亿美元，而2024年第四季则为2.37亿美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jefferies reported that the average daily gaming revenue in Macau reached 695 million MOP as of January 25, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase, but a slight week-on-week decline of 1% [1] Group 1: Revenue Insights - The estimated average daily gaming revenue for the remaining days of the month is projected to be between 650 million and 720 million MOP, indicating a total monthly revenue of 21.7 billion to 22.1 billion MOP, which represents a year-on-year growth of 19% to 21% [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment - The firm anticipates that the upcoming fourth-quarter earnings reports from gaming companies will restore short-term market confidence and holds a positive outlook for the performance during the Lunar New Year [1] Group 3: Company Outlook - Jefferies continues to favor stocks of Wynn Macau, Sands China, Galaxy Entertainment, Las Vegas Sands, and Wynn Resorts [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citi's report indicates that Macau's total gaming revenue for the first 25 days of January reached 17.8 billion MOP, showing a year-on-year increase of 18% in average daily revenue compared to January of the previous year [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - The average daily revenue for the week ending January 12 was approximately 693 million MOP, which is about 1% lower than the previous week [1] - The total gaming revenue forecast for January remains at 21.5 billion MOP, indicating a year-on-year growth of 18%, requiring an average daily revenue of approximately 617 million MOP for the last six working days of the month [1] - The combined total gaming revenue forecast for January and February is maintained at 42 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.5% [1] Group 2: Segment Performance - The VIP room betting and mass gaming revenue segments have shown a month-on-month increase of approximately 6% to 8% [1] - However, the win rate in VIP rooms is reported to be lower than the level observed in the week ending January 19 [1]

瑞银发表研报指，澳门过去7日的日均博彩收入约为6.93亿澳门元，与前7日约7亿澳门元大致持平，使 本月至今的日均博彩收入达到约7.12亿澳门元，按年增长约21%，按月上升约6%，升幅高于2015至2019 年同期平均的2%。至于即将来临的农历新年假期，该行追踪的32间酒店中，有27间显示客房已售罄， 情况与去年同期大致相若。该行维持银河娱乐及永利澳门为行业首选，目标价分别为46.9港元及8.9港 元，均予"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that several Macau gaming stocks are set to announce their Q4 2025 earnings, with investors expected to focus on profit trends amid concerns over additional spending for the November National Games and intense competition [1] Industry Summary - The firm anticipates a quarterly and year-on-year increase in industry EBITDA by 4% and 13% respectively, compared to a quarterly and year-on-year rise in total gaming revenue of 6% and 14% [1] - The increase in operating expenses and the shift of gaming revenue towards the lower-margin VIP segment are noted as contributing factors [1] Company-Specific Insights - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is expected to see its EBITDA rise by 28% quarter-on-quarter to $550 million, driven by a higher VIP win rate [1] - MGM China (02282) is projected to have an EBITDA increase of 8% quarter-on-quarter to $328 million, attributed to a robust recovery in gaming revenue [1] - Sands China (01928) is forecasted to experience a 4% quarter-on-quarter EBITDA increase to $628 million, as retail revenue growth is offset by higher operating expenses and promotional costs [1] Future Outlook - For 2026, the overall gaming revenue is expected to increase by 8% year-on-year, with EBITDA rising by 10%, leading to industry EBITDA and recurring free cash flow reaching $9.1 billion and $6.4 billion respectively, nearing pre-COVID levels [1] - The firm believes that the current industry valuations remain attractive and reiterates a "buy" rating for Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, and Sands China [1]