Core Viewpoint - Recent roadshow in Tokyo highlighted that many investors agree with the view that growth in China's industrial profits should continue to drive Macau's gaming revenue [1] Industry Summary - Investors are currently favoring high-quality companies, with the gaming sector trading at an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 9.4 times for 2026, compared to the bank's established "new normal" range of 11 to 12 times [1] Company Summary - The bank maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, with Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) identified as preferred stocks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that the growth in mainland industrial profits is expected to continue driving the growth of Macau's gaming revenue, with stock investors still favoring high-quality companies [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Recent stock price corrections have led the sector to trade at 9.4 times the 2026 enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), which is lower than the 11 to 12 times level set as the new normal for Macau [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - Credit Lyonnais maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, identifying Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China as its preferred stocks in the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains its total gaming revenue forecast for Macau in 2025 while raising the forecast for 2026, expecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and 5% respectively, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] Group 1: Revenue Forecasts - Total gaming revenue is expected to grow by 9% in 2025 and 5% in 2026, reaching 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - Mass gaming revenue is projected to increase by 7% and 6% in the next two years, recovering to 119% and 126% of 2019 levels [1] - VIP gaming revenue is anticipated to grow by 19% in 2025 but decline by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] Group 2: Industry EBITDA - The industry EBITDA for the third quarter is expected to reach $2.108 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2%, recovering to 91% of the 2019 level [1] - Total gaming revenue remains resilient; however, increased market competition and rising reinvestment rates are expected to pressure EBITDA [1] Group 3: Company Outlook - CICC is optimistic about MGM China (02282) and Sands China (01928), forecasting adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter to be HKD 2.352 billion and USD 590 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19% and 1% respectively [1] - Target prices for MGM China and Sands China are set at HKD 19.8 and HKD 23.8, both rated as "outperform the industry" [1]

智通财经APP获悉，中金公司发布研报称，维持2025年澳门总博彩收入预测，同时上调2026年预测，预 计今明两年总博彩收入分别同比增长9%和5%，恢复至2019年的84%和88%。其中，该行预计今明两年 的中场博彩收入同比增长7%和6%，恢复至2019年的119%和126%;并预计贵宾博彩收入2025年同比增长 19%，2026年同比下降5%，恢复至2019年的29%和28%。 今年第三季，该行预计行业EBITDA达21.08亿美元，同比增长9%，按季增长2%，恢复至2019年同期水 平的91%。期内总博彩收入维持韧性，但由于市场竞争加剧，再投资率上升，拖累EBITDA。 股份方面，该行较看好美高梅中国(02282)及金沙中国(01928)，料两间博企第三季经调整EBITDA分别为 23.52亿港元及5.90亿美元，同比升19%及1%;目标价分别为19.8港元及23.8港元，均予"跑赢行业"评级。 ...

Group 1: Market Reactions and Economic Data - The Hong Kong stock market showed a strong rebound, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.42% [1] - The U.S. government shutdown continues, leading to increased public dissatisfaction, highlighted by a nationwide protest involving approximately 7 million participants [1] - China's economic data for the first three quarters of 2025 shows a GDP of 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, although consumption and investment have declined [3] Group 2: Robotics and Technology Developments - Yubiquitous Technology secured a contract worth 126 million yuan for the procurement of humanoid robots, adding to its significant order backlog of over 630 million yuan for the Walker series [4] - The robotics sector is experiencing growth, with companies like Yushutech reporting substantial sales figures and aiming for increased production in the coming year [3][4] Group 3: Stock Buybacks and Market Performance - Companies engaging in significant stock buybacks, such as China Resources Gas, are seeing positive market reactions, with shares rising over 4% [5] - Sanhua Intelligent Control announced an increase in its share repurchase price cap, leading to an 8% rise in its stock price [4] Group 4: Shipping and Aviation Industry Trends - The global shipping industry is undergoing a significant reshuffle due to new port fees, benefiting companies like COSCO Shipping Energy, which saw an 8% increase in stock price [6] - The aviation sector is also thriving, with China Eastern Airlines reporting a 9% increase in stock price, driven by a strategic focus on international routes [6] Group 5: IPOs and Investment in Technology - The rapid IPO process for Muxi Integrated Circuit indicates strong regulatory support for technology firms, with related companies experiencing stock price increases [7] - MINIEYE's successful bid for an autonomous driving project marks a significant step in the commercialization of its technology, leading to a 7% rise in its stock price [7] Group 6: Tourism and Hospitality Sector Insights - The tourism industry shows steady demand, with hotel average daily rates and revenue per available room experiencing positive growth, although supply pressures remain [8] - Analysts are optimistic about the Macau gaming sector, particularly for companies like Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment, due to low revenue baselines [8] Group 7: Company Performance and Global Expansion - Shenzhou International reported a revenue increase of 15.3% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in leisure and overseas markets [9] - The company is expanding its global production capacity, with overseas factories accounting for approximately 53% of total garment output [9][10]

Group 1: Market Overview - The US-China trade relations show signs of easing, and China's GDP growth for the first three quarters is reported at 5.2% year-on-year [1] - Hong Kong's three major indices rebounded collectively, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.42% to close at 25,858.83 points, and a total trading volume of HKD 239.16 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 3%, indicating a strong performance in the tech sector [1] Group 2: Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Alibaba (09988) saw a significant increase of 4.86%, closing at HKD 161.9, contributing 113.55 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include NetEase (09999) up 5.18%, China Petroleum (00857) up 5.05%, while Orient Overseas International (00316) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) experienced slight declines [2] Group 3: Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks rebounded, with Alibaba rising nearly 5%, and Baidu and Tencent both increasing over 3% [3] - The aviation sector continued its upward trend, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) surging over 9% [3] - Semiconductor stocks also saw gains, driven by the acceleration of domestic self-sufficiency and AI advancements [4] Group 4: Robotics and Gaming Sector - Robotics stocks performed well, with UBTECH (09880) rising by 9.77% after winning a significant contract worth HKD 126 million [5][6] - Gaming stocks collectively increased, with Wynn Macau (01128) up 4.44% and Sands China (01928) up 4.37% [5][7] Group 5: Gold Stocks and Market Sentiment - Gold stocks faced declines, with notable drops including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) down 6.18% [7] - Recent volatility in gold prices, including a drop from a historical high of USD 4,379 to a low of USD 4,185, has affected market sentiment [7] Group 6: Notable Stock Movements - Haixi Pharmaceutical (02637) debuted with a 20.6% increase, closing at HKD 104.2 [8] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) reached a new high, closing up 7.91% at HKD 10.09, supported by strategic developments in the shipping sector [9] - Leap Motor (09863) saw a rise of 6.19% after significant insider buying [10] - YF Financial (00376) and Yao Cai Securities (01428) declined, attributed to regulatory actions affecting stablecoin projects [11]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains its 2025 total gaming revenue forecast for Macau while raising the 2026 forecast, expecting total gaming revenue to grow by 9% and 5% year-on-year for the next two years, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels respectively [1] Industry Summary - The estimated industry EBITDA for Q3 is projected to reach $2.108 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 2%, recovering to 91% of the same period in 2019 [1] - Total gaming revenue remains resilient; however, increased market competition and rising reinvestment rates are putting pressure on EBITDA [1] Company Summary - CICC is optimistic about MGM China and Sands China, forecasting adjusted EBITDA for Q3 to be HKD 2.352 billion and $590 million respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 19% and 1% [1] - Target prices for MGM China and Sands China are set at HKD 19.8 and HKD 23.8, both receiving an "outperform" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a rebound in Hong Kong's gaming stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major companies such as Melco International Development, Sands China, and Wynn Macau, all rising by 4.6% [1] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) maintains its forecast for total gaming revenue in Macau for 2025 while raising the forecast for 2026, expecting annual growth of 9% and 5% for the next two years, respectively, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - The expected growth in mass gaming revenue is projected at 7% and 6% for the next two years, recovering to 119% and 126% of 2019 levels, while VIP gaming revenue is expected to grow by 19% in 2025 and decline by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] Group 2 - CICC is particularly optimistic about MGM China and Sands China, forecasting adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter at HKD 2.352 billion and USD 590 million, representing year-on-year increases of 19% and 1%, respectively [1] - Target prices for MGM China and Sands China are set at HKD 19.8 and HKD 23.8, with both companies rated as "outperforming the industry" [1]

Group 1 - The gaming stocks collectively rose, with Sands China increasing by 5.04% to HKD 18.98, Wynn Macau up by 4.6% to HKD 6.59, Melco International Development rising by 4.45% to HKD 4.69, and Galaxy Entertainment gaining 3.94% to HKD 38.48 [1] - CICC maintains its forecast for total gaming revenue in Macau for 2025 while raising the forecast for 2026, expecting total gaming revenue to grow by 9% and 5% year-on-year for the next two years, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - The firm anticipates mass gaming revenue to grow by 7% and 6% year-on-year for the next two years, recovering to 119% and 126% of 2019 levels, while VIP gaming revenue is expected to grow by 19% in 2025 and decline by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities estimates that the number of visitors to Macau, after excluding weather impacts, aligns with government expectations and exceeds levels from the same period in 2019, with daily gaming revenue during the National Day holiday showing a slight year-on-year increase [1] - The core drivers for the gaming sector post-holiday include policy benefits from the "one permit, multiple entries" scheme, the wealth effect from "gold stocks," and the synergistic effects of non-gaming events such as the NBA China Games and the National Games [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup has issued a "Buy" rating for Wynn Macau, setting a target price of HKD 7.2, which corresponds to an estimated enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of approximately 7.3 times for 2026 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Wynn Macau's stock has increased nearly 4%, currently trading at HKD 6.54 with a transaction volume of HKD 30.22 million [1] - Despite a continuous decline in market share since 2025, Citigroup believes that the completion of the "Chairman's Club" VIP gaming area expansion in the first quarter of next year will positively impact the company's performance [1] Group 2: Market Expectations - The market generally anticipates a year-on-year EBITDA growth of about 7% for Macau gaming operators in the third quarter of this year [1] - Citigroup projects that Wynn's EBITDA may increase by 17% year-on-year during the same period, indicating a potential outperformance compared to the market [1] - Wynn Macau has been placed on Citigroup's 30-day upward catalyst watchlist, suggesting that positive stock price momentum may occur around the time of the company's earnings announcement next month [1]