投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 市场情绪延续回暖，玻璃、焦煤、纯苯涨幅靠前 ——中信期货晨报20250711 中信期货研究所 仲鼎 从业资格号F03107932 投资咨询号Z0021450 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 | | | | SEE THE FOR COLLECTION POST OF COLLECTION | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 板块 | 品种 | 现价 | | | 日度涨跌幅周度涨跌幅月度涨跌幅季度涨跌幅今年涨跌幅 | | | | 股指 | 沪深300期货 | 3972 | 0.49% | 0.91% | 2.224 | 222 | 1.30% | | | 上证50期货 | 2740.4 | 0.60% | 0.85% | 11914 | 1 91% | 2.33% | | | 中证500期货 | EdE88 | 0.49% | ...

焦煤日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/7/11 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 年变化 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 年变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 柳林主焦 | 1150.00 | 0.00 | 22.00 | 50.00 | -34.29% Peak Downs | 191.00 | -0.50 | -4.00 | -2.50 | -58.00 | | 原煤口岸库提价 | 754.00 | 3.00 | 19.00 | 53.00 | -42.66% Goonyella | 194.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | -3.50 | -55.00 | | 沙河驿蒙5# | 1080.00 | 0.00 | 10.00 | -20.00 | -40.00% 盘面05 | 947.50 | 15.00 | 13.50 | 139.50 | -45.50% | | 安泽主焦 | 1200.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | 30.00 | -3 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - US stock markets rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.43%, Nasdaq up 0.09%, and S&P 500 up 0.27%. Notable stock movements included Tesla rising 4.73% and Nvidia up 0.75% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high, boosting market confidence and potentially attracting more capital into the market, with expectations of a continued upward trend [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - The ice-making industry in Henan is experiencing a surge in demand due to high temperatures, with some factories producing nearly 300 tons of ice daily, leading to a doubling of sales. The market for ice products is projected to exceed 63 billion yuan by 2026 [4] - Coal futures saw a significant increase, with coking coal rising 3.98% and coking coal up 3.44%. The demand for coal is expected to rise due to seasonal factors and policy changes aimed at reducing excess production capacity [5] - JD.com is entering the short drama market, indicating a strategic focus on this growing sector, with competitive salaries offered to attract top talent [5][6] - The micro-short drama market in China is projected to reach 505 billion yuan by 2024, surpassing annual box office revenues for films, with a compound annual growth rate of 19.2% expected [6] Group 3: Company Announcements - Baosteel plans to adjust the price of rare earth concentrate for Q3 2025 to 19,109 yuan per ton [9] - Guosheng Financial Holdings expects a net profit of 150 million to 220 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 236.85% to 394.05% [9] - The expected net profit for Sailyus in the first half of the year is between 2.7 billion to 3.2 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 66.20% to 96.98% [9] - WuXi AppTec anticipates an adjusted net profit of approximately 6.315 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of about 44.43% [9] Group 4: Emerging Technologies - Chengdu Hanhai Fusion Energy is set to witness a milestone event on July 18, marking the completion of China's first linear fusion device, HHMAX-901, which signifies a major breakthrough in the commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion [8]

Group 1: Innovation and Technology Development - The Xuanyuan Science and Technology Innovation Center in Huangling County has successfully incubated 179 enterprises, including 44 high-tech companies and 83 technology-based SMEs, within three years [1] - The center has created 15 national and provincial innovation platforms and established five innovation and entrepreneurship carriers, marking it as Shaanxi's first county-level innovation-driven platform [1][2] - The center supports enterprises like Shanxi Chuanmengjiang Meino Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. by providing resources for e-commerce and live streaming, enhancing their market reach [1][2] Group 2: Industrial Transformation and Economic Impact - The Huangling Mining Company has successfully applied the first set of ultra-thin coal seam intelligent and efficient mining technology, setting a benchmark in the industry for smart mining [3] - A new 2×1000MW power generation project by Huangling Mining is expected to generate an annual output of 11 billion kWh and an annual revenue of 4 billion yuan, creating over 300 jobs [4] - The mining company's transition includes the integration of artificial intelligence and big data for automated management, improving efficiency and safety while also establishing ecological restoration areas [5] Group 3: Cultural and Tourism Integration - The agricultural and cultural tourism project initiated by Zhang Cheng combines ecological farming with Huangdi culture, transforming traditional dwellings into popular tourist spots [2] - The Xuanyuan Science and Technology Innovation Center provides comprehensive support for innovative practices in cultural tourism, enhancing rural revitalization efforts [2]

中金研究 6 月 CPI 同比由负转正，主要受工业消费品价格回升带动，除国际原油和贵金属价格上涨外，反 " 内卷 " 打压 " 价格战 " 、促消费政策提振，汽车、家电价 格同比改善， PPI 同比中汽车制造、光伏、锂电池价格同比均改善。但 PPI 同比跌幅进一步走扩、环比连续第 7 个月负增，供过于求、需求不足仍是主要 矛盾。向前看，反 " 内卷式 " 竞争拉开序幕，提振消费和纠正无序同质竞争在供需两端同时发力，有望助益物价回升。 点击小程序查看报告原文 1. 工业消费品价格回升助力CPI同比转正 6月CPI同比结束连续四个月的负增，由上月的-0.1%转为0.1%，主要受工业消费品价格的拉动，能源与核心商品同比均改善，后者带动核心CPI同比升至 14个月新高的0.7%（5月为0.6%）。 ► 肉价弱，果蔬强，食品通胀微升。 CPI食品价格同比下降-0.3%，比上月收窄0.1个百分点。其中，受生猪供给持续释放和去产能推进，猪肉价格同比由 上月的上涨3.1%转为下降8.5%，边际拖累CPI同比0.14ppt；因部分地区高温天气和供应地调整，应季蔬菜价格同比较上月-8.3%大幅收窄至-0.4%，鲜果价 格同比亦由 ...

金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/07/11 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 焦煤期货价格上涨原因及影响与展望 ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 2025年7月9日，焦煤期货价格出现上涨，这一现象值得关注。从供应端来看，主产区安全检查升级，6月 山西、陕西、内蒙古超30处煤矿停产整顿，且市场有消息称下半年产能置换窗口将关闭，预计减产1.2亿 吨每年 ，使得焦煤供应紧张。7月1日实施的《矿产资源法》提高煤矿产能门槛，30%小煤矿面临退出，如 山西首批1200万吨产能停产，优质主焦煤供应吃紧，现货价格逆势上涨50元/吨。 需求方面，正值"迎峰度夏" ，全国高温预警频发，电厂日耗突破240万吨，焦化行业开工率回升至82%， 创下年内新高。铁水日产回升至235万吨，焦化厂开工率73%，钢厂被动补库推高短期需求 。 焦煤期货价格上涨，会使钢铁企业生产成本增加，可能推动钢铁价格上涨。还会提升市场对煤炭行业的信 心，吸引更多资金流入。把握回调低吸多的机会。 GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：公开资料、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的P ...

Core Viewpoint - Shaanxi Energy Investment Co., Ltd. has disclosed its major operational data for the second quarter of 2025, indicating a decline in electricity generation and sales, while coal production and external sales of self-produced coal have increased significantly [1]. Operational Data Summary - **Electricity Generation**: In Q2 2025, the electricity generation was 97.37 billion kWh, a decrease of 10.07% compared to 108.27 billion kWh in Q2 2024. Cumulatively, the generation was 219.22 billion kWh, down 9.03% from 240.99 billion kWh [1]. - **Electricity Sales**: The on-grid electricity sales for Q2 2025 were 90.80 billion kWh, down 10.00% from 100.89 billion kWh in Q2 2024. Cumulative sales reached 204.82 billion kWh, a decrease of 8.91% from 224.85 billion kWh [1]. - **Coal Production**: The coal production in Q2 2025 was 553.97 million tons, an increase of 25.24% from 442.32 million tons in Q2 2024. Cumulatively, coal production was 988.62 million tons, up 6.53% from 928.01 million tons [1]. - **External Sales of Self-produced Coal**: The external sales of self-produced coal in Q2 2025 were 384.62 million tons, a significant increase of 72.05% compared to 223.55 million tons in Q2 2024. Cumulative external sales reached 572.27 million tons, up 50.34% from 380.64 million tons [1].

Core Viewpoint - The company is proposing a guarantee for a financing lease agreement involving its subsidiary, Luoyang Yian Mining Co., Ltd, to support its operational needs and long-term development [2][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Henan Dayou Energy Co., Ltd. is holding a shareholder meeting on July 18, 2025, to discuss various agenda items, including a proposal for a guarantee related to financing leasing [1]. - Luoyang Yian Mining Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of the company, was established on February 21, 2006, with a registered capital of 332.5985 million yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Financial Data - For the fiscal year 2024, Luoyang Yian Mining reported an audited revenue of 501.938 million yuan and a net profit of 2.8482 million yuan [2]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the unaudited revenue was 114.3382 million yuan, with a net profit of 11.5244 million yuan [2]. - As of March 31, 2025, the total assets of Luoyang Yian Mining were 752.0218 million yuan, and the net assets were -156.0971 million yuan [3]. Group 3: Financing Lease and Guarantee Details - The financing lease agreement involves a total amount of 100 million yuan with a term of 36 months and an interest rate of 4.5%, with specific repayment schedules outlined [3][4]. - The company will provide an irrevocable joint liability guarantee for the financing lease, covering all obligations of Luoyang Yian Mining to the lessor, Xi'an Huasheng Leasing [3][4]. - The guarantee period will last until two years after the lease contract's expiration, with Wanji Holdings providing counter-guarantees based on its shareholding in Luoyang Yian Mining [3][4]. Group 4: Necessity and Feasibility of the Guarantee - The guarantee is deemed necessary to support the operational and developmental needs of Luoyang Yian Mining, aligning with the company's overall interests and strategic goals [4]. - The company maintains effective control over Luoyang Yian Mining's operations, finances, and investments, ensuring manageable risk associated with the guarantee [4]. - The decision-making process for the guarantee complies with relevant laws and regulations, ensuring no harm to the interests of the company or its shareholders [4]. Group 5: Current Guarantee Status - As of now, the company has a total external guarantee balance of 420 million yuan, which accounts for 7.42% of the latest audited net assets, all of which are guarantees for subsidiaries without any overdue guarantees [4].

关注、加星，第一时间接收推送！ 文 | 赵伟、贾东旭、侯倩楠、 耿佩璇 联系人 | 侯倩楠 摘要 中央财经委会议提出"依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争…推动落后产能有序退出"为"反内卷"指明方向。 相比过往，本轮"内卷"症结何在，如何破解"内卷"困境？系统分析，供参考。 一、本轮"反内卷"，有何不同？站位更高，覆盖面更广，协同性更强 中央财经委员会第六次会议召开，以纵深推进全国统一大市场建设为主题，为"综合整治内卷式竞争"政 策部署指明方向 。 会议提出"五统一、一开放"要求，同时强调"依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争…推动 落后产能有序退出"等，进一步明确行后续"反内卷"政策路径。 本轮"反内卷"站位更高，覆盖面更广，协同性更强。 本轮"反内卷"，地方政府（招商引资）、企业（过 度投资、降价）、居民（日均工作时间增加）可能都在讨论的范畴中。且"内卷"领域民营经济占比较高 下，本轮"反内卷"协同性或更强，更突出政策与市场机制配合。同时，本轮"反内卷"更强调区域治理， 明确将推动全国统一大市场建设列为核心任务。 见微知著，部分企业"内卷"症结或部分缘于营收增速大幅回落与固定费用刚性的矛盾，使得其不得不采 用降价等方式追 ...

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Analysis - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Guangdong showed a year-on-year decline of 0.4%, consistent with the previous month, while the month-on-month decline expanded [2][3] - Food prices decreased by 1.0% year-on-year, with a larger decline of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, contributing approximately 0.20 percentage points to the CPI decline [2] - Non-food prices also saw a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, maintaining the same decline as the previous month, impacting the CPI by about 0.21 percentage points [2] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Analysis - In June, the Producer Price Index (PPI) in Guangdong experienced a year-on-year decline of 1.8%, with the decline remaining unchanged from the previous month [4] - The prices of production materials fell by 2.5% year-on-year, while living materials saw a decrease of 0.4%, affecting the overall PPI by 1.63 and 0.12 percentage points respectively [4] - The PPI showed a month-on-month decline of 0.3%, with production materials prices decreasing by 0.4% and living materials prices down by 0.1% [5]