资讯晨报 ——金元证券研究 2025 年 12 月 9 日 资讯晨报 | 指数 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 近一交易日% | 近20交易日% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业 | 47,972 47,739 | | -0.45 | 1.60 | | 纳斯达克 | 23,638 23,546 | | -0.14 | 2.35 | | 标普500 | 6,875 | 6,847 | -0.35 | 1.75 | | 富时100 | 9,667 | 9,645 | -0.23 | -1.45 | | 日经225 | 50,643 50,582 | | 0.18 | 0.61 | | 上证指数 | 3,909 | 3,924 | 0.54 | -2.35 | | 深证指数 | 13,179 13,330 | | 1.39 | -0.73 | | 科创50 | 1,326 | 1,351 | 1.86 | -4.03 | | 恒生指数 | 26,068 25,765 | | -1.23 | -3.32 | | 主要市场股指表现 | | | | | | 3.00 | | ...

市场研究部证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 9 日 国内市场综述 量价齐升 上涨延续 周一（12 月 8 日）大盘量价齐升，上涨延续。截至收 盘，上证综指收于 3924.08 点，上涨 0.54%；深成指 收于 13329.99 点，上涨 1.39%；科创 50 上涨 1.86%； 创业板指上涨 2.6%，万得全 A 成交额共 20516 亿元， 较前一日有所上升。 行业方面，30 个中信一级行业有 24 个上涨，其中通 信、电子及计算机涨幅居前，而煤炭、石油石化及食 品饮料则跌幅较大。概念方面，光模块、光电路交换 机及光芯片等指数表现活跃。 海外市场综述 美股三大指数小幅收跌，特斯拉跌超 3% 周一（12 月 8 日），美国三大股指小幅收跌，道指跌 0.45%，标普 500 指数跌 0.35%，纳指跌 0.14%。宝洁 公司、耐克跌超 3%，领跌道指。万得美国科技七巨头 指数跌 0.28%，特斯拉跌超 3%，谷歌跌逾 2%。中概股 涨跌不一，硕迪生物涨超 102%，传奇生物跌逾 7%。 未经授权引用或转发须承担法律责任及一切后果，并请务必阅读文后的免责声明 1 每日晨报 深证成指 12269.21 20 ...

FICC日报 | 2025-12-09 政策利好提振信心，股指放量上涨 市场分析 重要会议释放积极信号。宏观方面，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作。会议强调，明年经济 工作要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策，发挥存量政策和增量政 策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，切实提升宏观经济治理效能。海外方面，美联储定于12月9日和10日 举行议息会议，市场普遍认为，美联储很可能再次降息25个基点。市场将高度关注鲍威尔新闻发布会问答环节， 以及本年度最后一份"点阵图"。 股指上涨。现货市场，A股三大指数高开高走，沪指涨0.54%收于3924.08点，创业板指涨2.6%。行业方面，板块指 数涨多跌少，通信、电子、非银金融、计算机行业领涨，煤炭、石油石化、食品饮料行业跌幅居前。当日沪深两 市成交额突破2万亿元。海外方面，美国三大股指小幅收跌，道指跌0.45%报47739.32点。 IF基差修复。期货市场，基差方面，IH、IF的贴水修复。成交持仓方面，四大期指的成交量和持仓量同步下降。 策略 海外方面，市场在联储货币政策会议结果揭晓前保持谨慎，美股三大指数小幅收跌。 ...

Group 1 - Hubei Wanrun New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has obtained a patent for a method of preparing lithium iron phosphate, with the authorization announcement number CN117003217B, and the application date is August 2023 [1] - Hubei Wanrun New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2010, located in Shiyan City, and primarily engages in the manufacturing of computers, communications, and other electronic devices, with a registered capital of 1,261.18463 million RMB [1] - The company has invested in 19 enterprises, participated in 49 bidding projects, holds 28 trademark registrations, and has 287 patent records, along with 79 administrative licenses [1] Group 2 - Anqing Derun New Energy Materials Co., Ltd. was established in 2019, located in Anqing City, and primarily engages in the manufacturing of electrical machinery and equipment, with a registered capital of 400 million RMB [1] - Anqing Derun New Energy Materials Co., Ltd. has participated in 19 bidding projects, holds 9 patent records, and has 15 administrative licenses [1]

中证1000ETF（159845）紧密跟踪中证1000指数。中证1000指数由全部A股中剔除中证800指数成分股后，规模 偏小且流动性好的1000只股票组成，综合反映中国A股市场中一批小市值公司的股票价格表现。 资金面来看，中证1000ETF（159845）近五个交易日资金净流入7.26亿元，近十个交易日净流出6.18亿元。最新 规模达457.53亿元，近一个月规模增长9.65亿元。今日盘中成交额3.92亿元，近一周日均成交高达10.79亿元，流 动性较好。 国内方面，11月PMI显示价格景气持续改善，保险新政加力支持长线资金入市。经济方面，11月制造业PMI小幅 回升，价格景气进一步上行。 平安证券表示，当前A股仍处于牛市上行中继阶段，短期或保持区间震荡格局，待12月美联储议息会议以及国内 重要经济会议落地后，市场预期有望进一步明晰。 12月9日上午，A股三大指数走势分化，其中沪指下跌0.11%。截至10:45，中证1000ETF（159845）下跌0.13%。 其他宽基指数中，上证50跌0.37%，沪深300跌0.09%，中证500跌0.26%。 个股表现来看，中证1000ETF前50只权重股中，涨幅靠前 ...

上周A股大多宽基指数延续反弹态势，市场风格延续资源品+AI的格局。行业上，非银行业热度提升， 商业航天、机器人主题拉动军工和机械板块走强；传媒、计算机，地产与消费等跌幅居前。 宏观分析：关注美联储议息会议与中央经济工作会议定调 国内方面，上周主要有以下事件值得关注：一是，证监会主席在中国证券业协会第八次会员大会上致 辞，强调加快打造一流投资银行和投资机构，更好助推资本市场高质量发展，提出对优质机构适当"松 绑"，进一步优化风控指标，适度打开资本空间和杠杆限制，提升资本利用效率。部分头部券商有望受 益于适度打开资本空间和杠杆限制，若券商板块走强将进一步提振市场情绪。 二是，金融监督管理总局调整保险公司相关业务风险因子，推动更好发挥耐心资本作用。其中，持仓时 间超过两年的科创板上市普通股的风险因子从0.4下调至0.36，有助于推动长期资本对科技创新方向的持 续投资。保险板块在下调相关业务风险因子利好催化下反弹，跨年行情中非银板块有望引领市场情绪回 升。 三是，央行收短放长"组合拳"，继续维持流动性充裕的整体取向。央行通过MLF和买断式逆回购向市场 较注入中期流动性，旨在助力政府债券顺利发行，支持银行加大信贷投放力 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The target price for PULIAN Convertible Bond on its first day of listing is estimated to be between RMB 137 and RMB 142, with a recommended active subscription. The expected conversion premium rate on the first - day of listing is in the range of 42% - 47% [3][22]. - The estimated first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0018% - 0.0022% [4][23]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1. PULIAN Convertible Bond New - Bond Analysis and Investment Recommendations 3.1.1. Analysis of Convertible Bond Basic Terms - The PULIAN Convertible Bond will be issued through priority placement and online issuance. Its bond and issuer ratings are both A+. The issuance scale is RMB 243 million, with an initial conversion price of RMB 18.26. The conversion parity on December 5, 2025, was RMB 96.44, and the pure - bond value is RMB 82.46. The game terms (lower - adjustment, redemption, and put - back clauses) are normal. Overall, the bond has a low issuance scale, poor liquidity, and a weak rating, but the bond floor protection is acceptable. It is difficult for institutions to include it in their portfolios, but there is no objection to primary - market participation [2][17]. 3.1.2. Analysis of New - Bond Initial Listing Price - The company's main business is to provide information solutions and IT integrated services for large - scale group enterprises. The funds raised from this issuance will be used for upgrading and expanding existing products, enhancing market competitiveness, and maintaining a leading position in industry technology [3][21]. - The target price for PULIAN Convertible Bond on its first day of listing is estimated to be between RMB 137 and RMB 142, with a recommended active subscription. The expected conversion premium rate on the first - day of listing is in the range of 42% - 47% [3][22]. 3.1.3. Analysis of Convertible Bond New - Bond Lottery Winning Rate - The estimated first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0018% - 0.0022%. Assuming an old - shareholder placement ratio of 21% - 34%, the scale available in the market is between RMB 161 million and RMB 191 million. Assuming 8.7 million online valid subscriptions, the lottery - winning rate when subscribing to the maximum limit is around 0.0018% - 0.0022% [4][23]. 3.2. Analysis of the Underlying Stock's Fundamental Conditions 3.2.1. Company's Main Business and the Upstream and Downstream of the Industry - The company's main business is to provide information solutions and IT integrated services for large - scale group enterprises. It has strong innovation and delivery capabilities and serves many large - scale central enterprises [24]. - The upstream of the industry consists of enterprises producing basic software and computer hardware products, with sufficient supply. The downstream includes energy, construction, and finance industries, and the digital transformation of the downstream market drives the development of the software industry [24][25]. 3.2.2. Company's Operating Conditions - The company's operating income has shown an overall upward trend from 2022 to the first half of 2025, with year - on - year growth rates of 19.31%, 7.80%, 11.60%, and 9.45% respectively. Customized software business is the main source of income [28]. - The company's comprehensive gross profit margin and net profit rate have shown a downward trend from 2022 to the first half of 2025, mainly due to factors such as changes in the market environment and a significant increase in labor costs [31]. - The company's periodic expenses and R & D expenses have fluctuated greatly in recent years. The proportion of accounts receivable in operating income has shown an upward trend, and the accounts - receivable turnover rate has slightly decreased [34][39][40]. - The company's net profit attributable to the parent has fluctuated greatly, and its profitability and weighted ROE have also fluctuated significantly [44]. 3.2.3. Company's Equity Structure and Main Subsidiaries - As of June 30, 2025, the company's equity structure is relatively dispersed. The top two shareholders, Lin Guoqiang and Wang Hu, have a combined shareholding of 21.41%, and they are the controlling shareholders and actual controllers. Through a concerted action agreement, they jointly control 38.27% of the voting rights of the company's shares [47]. 3.2.4. Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has long - term technological accumulation, with XBRL - related systems and products widely applied. It has a mature development platform with high performance, strong scalability, and high flexibility [50]. - The company has advantages in talent reserves and R & D innovation. It has a R & D team with rich experience, a sound talent - training system, a R & D project - management mechanism, and close industry - university - research cooperation [51]. - The company has advantages in customer resources and market - feedback acquisition. It has a wide range of customers, can optimize products based on customer feedback, and quickly implement R & D results to expand market share [53]. 3.2.5. Allocation of Funds Raised in this Issuance - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise a maximum of RMB 243 million. After deducting issuance fees, RMB 85 million will be used for the domestic ERP function expansion project, RMB 49 million for the digital intelligent financial risk management and control product construction project, and RMB 108 million for the Yunhu Platform R & D and upgrade project [1][15][54]. - The domestic ERP function expansion project aims to upgrade and expand the existing ERP product, with an expected average annual operating income of RMB 141.1822 million, an after - tax internal rate of return of 17.78%, and an after - tax payback period of 7.99 years (including the construction period) [55]. - The digital intelligent financial risk management and control product construction project aims to upgrade and expand existing XBRL application products and solutions. The expected average annual operating income is RMB 54.0622 million, the after - tax internal rate of return is 23.55%, and the after - tax payback period is 6.41 years (including the construction period) [56]. - The Yunhu Platform R & D and upgrade project aims to enhance the platform's intelligence and technical capabilities, which is beneficial for the company to maintain and enhance its technological advantages and core competitiveness, but it does not directly generate economic benefits [57].

今日，上证指数涨0.54%，深证成指涨1.39%，创业板指涨2.6%，北证50涨1.27%。全市场成交额2.05万亿元，较上日成交 额放量3126亿元，时隔16个交易日再度站上2万亿元大关。 板块题材上，市场结构性分化显著，科技一枝独秀，AI硬件概念王者归来，光模块、光电路交换、光芯片、光通信、玻璃 纤维、高速铜连接、两岸融合等板块涨幅靠前，市场人气明显聚集，而随着市场风险偏好持续回升，资金从避险板块中流 出，此前表现较强的央企煤炭、煤炭开采、磷化工、汽车整车、化学原料及电力等板块跌幅居前。申万一级行业上，通 信、综合、电子、非银金融、计算机等行业领涨，主要聚焦于科技（TMT）板块；而煤炭、石油石化、食品饮料、公用事 业、钢铁等行业表现疲软，主要集中在消费与周期板块。 板块层面，关注AI硬件等科技方向，近期迎来产业利好催化，调整后性价比显著。自9月以来，AI硬件等科技方向持续震 荡调整，主要是因为AI泡沫论等声音放大，英伟达走势疲弱对A股形成不利映射。不过，虽然英伟达尚未复现当初的强 势，但谷歌作为AI一体化龙头重新接棒，展现出AI行情更多是切换而非是结束。与此同时，被称为"中国版英伟达"的摩尔 线程于上周五 ...

荣科科技股价创出历史新高，截至9:33，该股上涨3.14%，股价报32.49元，成交量1306.72万股，成交金 额4.26亿元，换手率2.04%，该股最新A股总市值达207.85亿元，该股A股流通市值207.79亿元。 两融数据显示，该股最新（12月8日）两融余额为14.57亿元，其中，融资余额为14.57亿元，近10日增加 5250.99万元，环比增长3.74%。 公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季度公司共实现营业收入4.54亿元，同比下降4.49%，实现净利 润-3169.01万元，同比下降378.82%，基本每股收益为-0.0495元。（数据宝） 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，荣科科技所属的计算机行业，目前整体跌幅为0.16%，行业内，目前股价上 涨的有105只，涨幅居前的有宏景科技、达华智能、大位科技等，涨幅分别为10.12%、9.96%、7.59%。 股价下跌的有244只，跌幅居前的有佳华科技、创识科技、*ST立方等，跌幅分别为11.10%、3.74%、 3.41%。 （文章来源：证券时报网） ...

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