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Why Super Micro's stock is falling after earnings — even as guidance moves higher
MarketWatch· 2025-11-04 21:49
Core Insights - Super Micro is experiencing margin pressure in the latest quarter, which is indicative of a competitive server market [1] Company Summary - The company continues to face challenges related to its profit margins, suggesting that the competitive landscape in the server market is intensifying [1]
Supermicro stock plummets as Q1 earnings, revenue fall short of Wall Street estimates
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-04 21:16
Core Viewpoint - Supermicro's stock experienced a decline of over 8% following the release of its first-quarter fiscal year 2026 results, which fell short of Wall Street expectations in both revenue and earnings [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported first-quarter revenue of $5.02 billion, a decrease from $5.94 billion in the same period last year, and below the analyst expectation of $6.09 billion [1]. - Adjusted earnings per share were $0.35, lower than the projected $0.41 but an increase from $0.07 in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 [2]. Earnings Trends - This report marks the sixth consecutive quarter where Supermicro's earnings and revenue have not met analyst estimates [2]. Investor Expectations - Prior to the earnings report, Supermicro had already lowered its revenue outlook for the first quarter to $5 billion from a previous range of $6 billion to $7 billion, attributing this adjustment to delays in revenue from product design upgrades [3]. Market Position - Supermicro designs AI servers utilizing Nvidia chips and was an early participant in the AI market, which previously contributed to significant stock price increases during the AI boom [4]. Regulatory and Compliance Issues - The company has faced scrutiny following a report by Hindenburg Research, which accused it of accounting and export control violations, leading to delays in its SEC filings and the resignation of its accountant, raising the risk of Nasdaq delisting [5]. Competitive Landscape - Increased competition in the AI server market has raised concerns regarding Supermicro's long-term profitability, with the stock showing volatility throughout 2024 but having risen over 50% this year [6].
Super Micro misses quarterly estimates on delivery delays
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-04 21:10
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer missed Wall Street estimates for quarterly profit and revenue due to a shift in delivery schedules for large AI deals, resulting in an over 8% drop in shares during extended trading [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported first-quarter revenue of $5 billion, which fell short of analysts' average estimate of $6 billion [4] - Adjusted earnings were 35 cents per share, below the expected 40 cents [4] - Super Micro forecasts second-quarter revenue between $10 billion and $11 billion, exceeding analysts' average estimate of $7.83 billion [5] - The annual revenue forecast was raised to $36 billion from the previous projection of $33 billion [5] Group 2: Operational Challenges - Nearly $1.5 billion in revenue was shifted from the September quarter to the December quarter due to last-minute configuration upgrades by a high-volume customer [2] - The complexity of new GPU racks necessitated intricate integration, testing, and validation, making sourcing and building more time-consuming [2] Group 3: Market Position and Demand - Super Micro has over $13 billion in orders for the Nvidia Blackwell Ultra-based GB300 product line [4] - The company's growth is heavily reliant on data center demand, with a focus on AI GPU platforms as a key growth driver [3][4] - Collaboration with Nvidia positions Super Micro to be among the first to market with systems built around new chip architecture [3]
浪潮信息_推出面向大型 AI 模型的 SuperPod AI 服务器,受益于中国云资本支出增长;2025 年第三季度环比增长;买入
2025-11-03 03:32
Summary of Inspur (000977.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Inspur (000977.SZ) - **Industry**: AI Servers and Cloud Computing Key Financial Results - **3Q25 Revenue**: Rmb 40.5 billion, a 21% increase QoQ but 16% below estimates due to GPU supply constraints and product cycle delays [1][2] - **3Q25 Gross Margin (GM)**: 5.6%, down from 6.1% in 2Q25, attributed to increased sales to CSP clients with lower margins [2] - **Operating Income (OP)**: Increased by 16% QoQ to Rmb 676 million, but lower GM resulted in a smaller increase compared to revenue growth [2] - **Net Income**: Rmb 683 million, a 103% increase YoY but down 2% QoQ [3] Product Launch and Market Position - **New Product**: Launched the SuperPod AI server solution "YuanNao SD200" in August 2025, designed for AI models with over 1 trillion parameters, supporting local AI chips [1] - **Market Demand**: Anticipated recovery in revenue growth at 39% YoY in 4Q25 to Rmb 44 billion, driven by rising demand for generative AI in China and improvements in the local GPU supply chain [1] Earnings Revisions - **Revised Earnings Estimates**: Net income estimates for 2025-2027 were revised down by 14%, 2%, and 3% respectively, primarily due to lower revenue expectations from AI servers amid GPU restrictions [3][7] - **Future Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025E at Rmb 164.6 billion, down from Rmb 195.6 billion previously [7] Valuation and Price Target - **Target Price**: Rmb 86.5, based on a target P/E multiple of 29.5x for 2026E EPS, reflecting the company's growth potential [11][12] - **Upside Potential**: Current price at Rmb 65.23 indicates a potential upside of 32.6% [12] Risks and Challenges - **Key Risks**: Slower-than-expected ramp-up of AI servers in China, delays in local GPU supply, and increased pricing competition [11] Additional Insights - **Operating Expenses**: Opex ratio in 3Q25 was 3.9%, consistent with rising R&D spending on new AI server solutions [2] - **Future Margins**: GM is expected to improve slightly in 2026 and 2027 due to better cost structures as the company transitions to local chipset platforms [3][7] This summary encapsulates the essential points from the conference call regarding Inspur's financial performance, product developments, market outlook, and associated risks.
2025年中国加速服务器行业产业链、市场规模、细分市场格局、竞争格局及发展趋势研判:市场规模有望突破2000亿元,非GPU服务器市场规模占比将不断提升[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-11-01 01:20
Core Insights - The accelerated server market in China is experiencing rapid growth, driven by policy support and advancements in artificial intelligence technology, with the market size projected to increase from 22.8 billion yuan in 2020 to 157.7 billion yuan in 2024, and expected to surpass 200 billion yuan by 2025 [1][3]. Market Overview - The internet sector is the primary market for accelerated servers, holding a 69% market share [3]. - The demand for accelerated servers in China is predominantly met by GPU servers, which are expected to account for approximately 69% of the market share in 2024 [3]. Industry Definition and Classification - Accelerated servers are designed to enhance network communication speed and performance, optimizing data transmission, processing, and storage to improve user experience [2]. Industry Development Status - The accelerated server market in China is projected to grow significantly, with a market size forecasted to reach 157.7 billion yuan in 2024, up from 22.8 billion yuan in 2020, and potentially exceeding 200 billion yuan by 2025 [3]. Industry Chain - The upstream of the accelerated server industry includes components such as chips, memory, cooling materials, PCB, CPU/GPU/ASIC, and power modules, while the midstream involves production and system integration [4]. Competitive Landscape - Major players in the Chinese accelerated server market include hardware manufacturers, internet cloud service providers, and specialized AI chip manufacturers, such as Inspur, H3C, Lenovo, and Cambricon [6]. - By the first half of 2025, the market share in accelerated computing servers is expected to be dominated by Inspur, H3C, and Lenovo, collectively accounting for about 50% of sales revenue [8]. Future Trends - With ongoing policy support, domestic accelerated computing server manufacturers are enhancing technological innovation and product quality, positioning the Chinese market as a core growth area for global AI infrastructure [9].
工业富联:2025 年第三季度业绩小幅超预期;2026 年 visibility 增强;目标价上调至 101 元人民币
2025-10-31 01:53
Summary of Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII) 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII) - **Stock Code**: 601138.SS - **Industry**: Hardware and Networking Products Key Financial Highlights - **3Q25 Net Profit**: Rmb10.4 billion, beating expectations by 4% and 9% compared to CitiE and BBGe respectively [1][2] - **3Q25 Revenue**: Rmb243 billion, representing a 21% increase QoQ and 43% YoY, but below expectations by 12% and 10% [2][9] - **Gross Margin**: 7.0%, up 0.5 percentage points QoQ, flat YoY, exceeding expectations by 1.2 and 2.6 percentage points [2][9] - **Operating Profit**: Rmb12.9 billion, a 50% increase QoQ and 56% YoY, beating expectations by 10% and 5% [2][9] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Rmb0.52, a 51% increase QoQ and 62% YoY [9] Segment Performance - **Cloud Computing Revenue**: Increased over 75% YoY in 3Q25, up from over 50% in 2Q25, although below the 100% growth guidance [3] - **CSP AI GPU Server Sales**: Surged by over 5x YoY and 90% QoQ [3] - **Switch Business Revenue**: Jumped by 100% YoY, with 800G switch revenue growing by over 27x YoY, significantly exceeding the 15x guidance [3] Market Outlook and Growth Projections - **2026 Growth Visibility**: Enhanced by the delivery of 14 million additional GPUs over the next five quarters, which is expected to boost investor confidence [1][8] - **Rack Shipment Estimates**: Increased for 2026 to 42,000 from 35,000, with 2025 estimates maintained at 13,000 [8] - **Net Profit Estimates**: Raised for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to approximately Rmb35 billion, Rmb77 billion, and Rmb99 billion respectively, which are 8%, 62%, and 73% higher than consensus [8][10] Valuation and Investment Strategy - **Target Price**: Raised to Rmb101.0, based on a blended P/E of 26x for 2026E earnings [4][20] - **Investment Rating**: Rated as "Buy" due to expected benefits from CSPs' deployment of AI servers and market share gains [19] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Include lower-than-expected end-demand, AI sector de-rating, intensified competition, component and labor shortages, and production yield issues [21] Additional Insights - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately Rmb1,604.5 billion (US$226.0 billion) [4] - **Expected Total Return**: 26.2%, with a dividend yield of 1.2% [4] This summary encapsulates the key financial metrics, segment performance, market outlook, valuation, and risks associated with Foxconn Industrial Internet as discussed in the 3Q25 earnings call.
超微电脑(SMCI.US)盘前拉升涨超4%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-29 13:20
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US) has announced the establishment of a federal entity in the U.S. to expand its presence in the federal market, particularly focusing on AI server products [1] Group 1: Company Developments - The new federal subsidiary will leverage the company's data centers to build modular solutions [1] - Super Micro Computer is exploring the establishment of new manufacturing facilities in the U.S. to meet the growing demand [1] Group 2: Market Impact - The company's stock rose over 4% in pre-market trading following the announcement [1]
Supermicro Smashes AI Trading Records With Intel And Micron — What's Powering The Surge?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 00:31
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc has set new world records in the STAC-M3 financial analytics benchmark through collaboration with Intel and Micron, showcasing its high-performance computing capabilities for quantitative trading [1][2] - The company has launched new Petascale servers powered by Intel Xeon 6 processors and Micron 9550 NVMe SSDs, achieving top benchmark results while optimizing space and CPU core usage [2][3] - Supermicro's stock has increased by 72% year-to-date, outperforming the Nasdaq 100 index, as its AI servers gain traction as a key supplier to Nvidia [3] Financial Performance - Supermicro has revised its first-quarter revenue forecast to approximately $5 billion, down from a previous range of $6–$7 billion, due to delivery timing shifts on over $12 billion in design wins expected in the next quarter [5] - The company is targeting $33 billion in revenue for fiscal 2026, driven by rising demand for its liquid-cooled systems [6] Product Development - Supermicro is expanding its server portfolio with the introduction of the MicroBlade multi-node system powered by AMD EPYC 4005 processors, aimed at helping cloud providers and enterprises modernize data centers with improved density and efficiency [4]
Supermicro Just Announced New Record Computing Results. Does That Make SMCI Stock a Buy Here?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-28 18:19
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing stock gains following the announcement of record-breaking STAC-M3 benchmark results, which highlight its leadership in AI server technology and financial analytics infrastructure [1][3]. Group 1: Performance and Achievements - SMCI achieved record STAC-M3 benchmark results in collaboration with Intel and Micron, showcasing its Petascale X14 Series All-Flash Storage Servers powered by Intel Xeon 6 processors and Micron 9550 NVMe SSD [1][3]. - The STAC-M3 results validate the speed, scalability, and efficiency of SMCI's servers, which are critical for time-sensitive workloads such as quantitative trading and AI model training [3][4]. - The compact 12U footprint and 1.6 petabyte capacity of the servers demonstrate engineering excellence, enhancing SMCI's reputation among financial firms and hyperscalers [4]. Group 2: Market Performance - Following recent gains, SMCI shares have increased approximately 100% from their year-to-date low set in early February 2025 [2]. - Despite the positive STAC-M3 news, SMCI stock faces near-term challenges, including a revised revenue guidance for Q1 at $5 billion, nearly $1 billion less than the previous year [5]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Risks - Analysts project a 52% year-over-year decline in SMCI's earnings per share (EPS) for Q1, indicating ongoing pressure on margins due to operational inefficiencies [5]. - Rising competition is a significant risk for SMCI, with notable investor Jim Cramer recommending selling SMCI stock in favor of Dell [6]. - Wall Street analysts advise caution regarding SMCI stock at current levels, reflecting concerns about its future performance [7].
中国长城(000066.SZ):公司AI服务器电源已正式投产
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-27 06:45
Core Viewpoint - Research and development investment is a key driver for technological innovation and product upgrades for the company [1] Group 1 - The company has officially launched the production of AI server power supplies [1]