Group 1 - The resilience of the index comes from internal certainty, with April A-share market showing a rebound after initial declines, driven mainly by internal policies and medium to long-term funding certainty [3][6][29] - Future changes may become complex, with increasing pressure on the US economy and inflation due to tariff policies, alongside a declining dollar index and record high US debt maturities [3][36][46] - Key investment themes include domestic consumption, domestic substitution, and industries with high Q1 2025 performance, such as non-ferrous metals and home appliances [3][36][68] Group 2 - The market style is expected to rotate between defensive and growth styles, with current policies focusing on stability and potential weak market sentiment [3][36] - The Hong Kong market also shows resilience, with significant inflows from mainland investors and improved valuation due to tariff impacts [3][36] - Domestic policies are anticipated to stimulate investment and real estate, with historical data indicating a significant increase in local government bond issuance [58][59]

Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) saw a volume increase and closed up 0.82%, marking two consecutive days of gains, with funds increasing by over 95 million yuan for five consecutive days [1] - The Bank ETF leader (512820) ended a three-day decline with a 1.42% increase, with a trading volume exceeding 54 million yuan, a 39% increase compared to the previous period [3] Group 2: Insurance Capital Preferences - In 2022, insurance capital initiated a new wave of "stake acquisitions," with eight insurance companies making a total of 20 acquisitions, predominantly targeting dividend assets, particularly the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China H-shares, which exhibit low valuation and high dividend characteristics [5] - In 2023, insurance giants have made 12 stake acquisitions involving 11 stocks, continuing their preference for banks and Hong Kong dividend assets [5] Group 3: Investment Environment - The insurance capital's demand for equity asset allocation has increased due to new regulations aimed at reducing profit volatility and a shift towards flexible dividend insurance products [7] - Policies are strongly supporting insurance capital and other long-term funds entering the market, with a target for large state-owned insurance companies to invest 30% of new premiums in A-shares starting in 2025 [7] Group 4: Dividend Asset Characteristics - High dividend assets are favored in a low-interest-rate environment, as they provide stable returns and lower volatility compared to growth stocks, making them attractive for insurance capital [7] - The Hong Kong dividend assets have a higher cash dividend ratio of 48.9% compared to A-shares at 41.8%, and the dividend yield of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) is 8.88%, leading the market's mainstream dividend indices [8][9] Group 5: Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector is characterized by high dividends and low valuations, with the Bank ETF leader (512820) showing a dividend yield of 6.71%, the highest among all secondary industry indices [9] - The banking industry is closely tied to macroeconomic growth, and with ongoing policies to stabilize growth, there is potential for improvement in profitability and valuations within the banking sector [10]

Group 1 - The low volatility ETF (512890) increased by 0.81% on May 7, with a trading volume of 276 million yuan, marking three consecutive days of net inflows and reaching a new high in shares at 14.351 billion, with a total scale of 15.914 billion yuan [1] - The head of the Financial Regulatory Bureau stated that the banking and insurance sectors are operating in an orderly manner, with key regulatory indicators remaining healthy, indicating a solid foundation for large financial institutions and significant progress in the reform of small and medium-sized financial institutions [1] - Key indicators such as the capital adequacy ratio of banks and the solvency ratio of insurance companies have shown a stable upward trend, with the non-performing loan ratio decreasing by approximately 0.1 percentage points year-on-year and the provision coverage ratio increasing by about 10 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2 - Xiangcai Securities highlighted the implementation of the "timely reserve requirement and interest rate cuts" policy, which aims to support technology innovation, expand consumption, and promote inclusive finance, providing a clear path for stabilizing the real estate and stock markets [2] - The A-share market is expected to continue operating in a "slow bull" manner in 2025, driven by the overlap of the new "National Nine Articles" policy and a similar "4 trillion" investment trend [2] - Investment focus areas include technology, green initiatives, consumption, and infrastructure, with short-term attention on dividend-related sectors and consumption fields benefiting from expanded domestic demand [2] Group 3 - Huachuang Securities emphasized the importance of absolute yield and cost-effectiveness of dividend assets, recommending stocks with improved dividend attributes post-annual reports [3] - Stable dividend assets include banking and transportation, while quality dividend assets comprise food and beverage, and home appliances [3] - The current market environment favors dividend cash flow assets, particularly in consumer resource sectors that are less affected by tariffs, indicating a strong absolute yield potential [3] Group 4 - Investors can consider the low volatility ETF (512890) and its associated funds (Class A 007466, Class C 007467, Y share 022951) for investment opportunities [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that dividend assets in the Hong Kong stock market are gaining attention due to their defensive attributes amid market uncertainties and performance disclosure periods [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) has risen over 1.2%, reflecting the market's focus on high-dividend assets as a stable investment option [1] - The Hong Kong Dollar has recently touched the strong-side convertibility guarantee, indicating investor enthusiasm for Hong Kong or RMB assets [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (code: 930914), which selects listed companies with high dividend yields available for trading through the Stock Connect [1] - The index primarily covers sectors such as transportation, resources, and consumer goods, aiming to reflect the overall performance of high-dividend Hong Kong stocks [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment ETF Initiated Link A (022274) and Link C (022275) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that May may present trading opportunities after a clearing of positions, with a focus on technology and industry themes such as multi-modal AI, AI/AR glasses supply chain, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2] - Institutions are generally optimistic about the market environment in May, suggesting an increase in risk appetite, particularly in the technology sector while also considering mid-cap value stocks for defense [2] - Morgan Stanley believes that opportunities in A-shares in May may surpass those in April, with reduced earnings uncertainty following the first quarter reports, leading to an expected increase in risk appetite [2] Group 2 - Institutions widely agree on a balanced strategy of "growth + value" in industry allocation, with a long-term focus on basic industrial products and sectors like cultural tourism and medical services [3] - Short-term outlooks favor liquidity-sensitive growth sectors such as new energy and AI, while also recommending defensive sectors like food and beverage [3] - Continuous monitoring of policy dynamics, including potential interest rate cuts and special bond issuances, is advised [3]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of May 6, the total market financing balance reached 1.79 trillion yuan, indicating an increase of 143.81 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with notable contributions from both the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [1]. Financing Balances - Shanghai stock exchange financing balance: 908.24 billion yuan, up by 59.40 billion yuan - Shenzhen stock exchange financing balance: 876.71 billion yuan, up by 83.55 billion yuan - Beijing Stock Exchange financing balance: 5.12 billion yuan, up by 86.21 million yuan [1]. Individual Stock Performance - On May 6, 2,239 stocks received net financing purchases, with 566 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan, and 21 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan [1]. - Leading net purchases included: - Luxshare Precision: 228 million yuan - Runhe Software: 212 million yuan - Changshan Beiming: 199 million yuan - Other notable stocks: Inspur Information, Sichuan Changhong, and Dongfang Caifu [1][2]. Industry Concentration - The industries with the highest concentration of stocks receiving net financing purchases over 100 million yuan included: - Computer: 5 stocks - Non-ferrous metals: 3 stocks - Electronics: 3 stocks [1]. Financing Balance to Market Value Ratio - The average ratio of financing balance to circulating market value for stocks with significant net purchases was 4.78% - Stocks with the highest ratios included: - Hanyu Group: 9.63% - Guanghetong: 8.53% - Dongfang Caifu: 7.51% - Runhe Software: 7.49% [2][3]. Notable Stock Data - Top net purchases on May 6 included: - Luxshare Precision: 3.11% increase, net purchase of 227.62 million yuan - Runhe Software: 9.55% increase, net purchase of 212.02 million yuan - Changshan Beiming: 10.02% increase, net purchase of 198.69 million yuan - Other significant stocks included Inspur Information, Sichuan Changhong, and Dongfang Caifu [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities (Group) Co., Ltd. has received a credit rating of AAA with a stable outlook from China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co., Ltd. for the period from April 30, 2025, to April 29, 2026 [1]. Group 1 - The company commissioned China Chengxin International to assess its credit status based on a comprehensive analysis of its operational conditions, macroeconomic factors, and relevant industry situations [1]. - The credit rating report is titled "2025 Annual Credit Rating Report of Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities (Group) Co., Ltd." and is identified by the report number CCXI-20251203M-01 [1]. - The credit rating is valid for one year, from April 30, 2025, to April 29, 2026 [1].

Core Viewpoint - The recent fund issuance market has continued its recovery from March, with over 100 new funds launched in April, totaling nearly 100 billion yuan in issuance. The total number of new funds established this year exceeds 400, with a combined issuance scale of over 340 billion yuan, nearly half of which are equity funds [1]. Fund Issuance Overview - As of this year, 427 new funds have been established, an increase of 20 compared to the same period last year, with a total issuance scale of 342.46 billion yuan [1]. - The issuance scale of newly established equity funds accounts for nearly half of the total, with 255 new stock funds launched, a year-on-year increase of 70%, totaling 138.77 billion yuan, which represents 40.52% of the total fund issuance, a year-on-year growth of 206.43% [1]. - There are 20 new FOFs with an issuance scale of 23.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 456.44%, accounting for nearly 7% [1]. - Seven new QDIIs were established with an issuance scale of 4.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 74% [1]. - The issuance scales for 61 mixed funds and 77 bond funds were 20.19 billion yuan and 152.86 billion yuan, respectively, accounting for 5.89% and 44.64%, both showing a year-on-year decline [1]. Index Fund Performance - A total of 271 index funds have been issued with a combined scale of 190.18 billion yuan, accounting for nearly 56%, showing a year-on-year growth of nearly 26% [2]. - Among these, passive index stock funds and enhanced index stock funds account for over 240 funds with an issuance scale exceeding 100 billion yuan [2]. - The largest single index fund issued is the Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Comprehensive ETF Link, with a scale of nearly 5 billion yuan [2]. Market Outlook - Public fund institutions are generally optimistic about future opportunities in the equity market. Looking ahead to the second quarter, it is noted that with rising expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S. and increasing recession fears, investors should pay attention to the potential return of foreign capital [2]. - In terms of asset allocation, a "dividend + technology growth" barbell strategy is recommended for A-shares [2]. Investment Themes - The investment themes for the second quarter include three main lines: dividend defense during market fluctuations, technological advancements in emerging industries, and sectors benefiting from domestic demand policies [3]. - In the initial phase of the second quarter, the market is entering a period of fluctuations, suggesting a focus on defensive strategies in sectors such as utilities and banking [3]. - For technological advancements, attention should be given to innovations in AI applications, including humanoid robots, while also considering investment opportunities in sectors benefiting from policy stimuli and cyclical consumption [3].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q2 2025, the company reported an NFEPS of $1.78 per share, an increase from $1.41 per share in the previous year, reflecting higher NFE at New Jersey Natural Gas due to increased utility gross margin from a recent base rate case settlement [21] - The fiscal 2025 NFEPS guidance was raised by $0.10 to a range of $3.15 to $3.3 per share, exceeding the long-term growth target of 7% to 9% [10][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New Jersey Natural Gas continues to show consistent customer growth, driven by new construction, system expansions, and steady conversions, with $254 million invested this year, 46% of which provides near real-time returns [14][16] - Clean Energy Ventures added 31 megawatts of solar capacity this fiscal year and has a project pipeline exceeding one gigawatt, with 60 megawatts currently under construction [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The storage and transportation segment reported improved performance, particularly at Leaf River, which is undergoing a capacity recovery project [21][19] - The company is exploring the development of a fourth cavern at Leaf River, with encouraging interest from a recent nonbinding open season [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes disciplined capital deployment, operational excellence, and strategic innovation across all business segments to ensure long-term sustainable growth [9][10] - The focus remains on affordability and reliability, with ongoing investments in utility infrastructure and clean energy initiatives [9][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning against macroeconomic factors, particularly tariffs, noting that most gas supply comes from domestic sources, minimizing exposure [26][28] - The company is well-prepared for potential market dislocations, with a strong balance sheet and liquidity, and does not rely on equity issuances to fund its capital plan [28][29] Other Important Information - The company plans capital expenditures between $1.3 billion and $1.6 billion for fiscal 2025 and 2026, aligning with long-term growth targets [22][23] - The adjusted funds from operations to adjusted debt ratio is projected to be between 19% and 21% for fiscal 2025, maintaining a strong investment-grade credit rating [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing and capital requirements for Leaf River expansion - Management indicated that the total capital costs for the Leaf River expansion are estimated between $175 million and $200 million, with no finite timeline set for advancing the project [33] Question: Cost exposure to tariffs for Clean Energy Ventures - Management acknowledged the fluid situation regarding tariffs but emphasized that existing contractual protections should mitigate risks [36][38] Question: Expected economics of Leaf River compared to existing caverns - Management stated that the decision to build would depend on securing appropriate returns and contracts, with a focus on ensuring safety factors in the investment [46] Question: Regulatory environment and affordability initiatives - Management expressed confidence in the regulatory landscape following the completion of a recent rate case, emphasizing ongoing efforts to maintain affordability for customers [49][51] Question: Customer growth fundamentals - Management highlighted that customer growth is driven by a predominantly residential service territory with attractive demographics, and ongoing energy efficiency programs are helping to save customers money [60][61]

证券研究报告：公用事业 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 l 盈利预测与投资评级: | 最新收盘价（元） | 5.87 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）22.63 | / 22.63 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）133 | / 133 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 6.47 / 5.03 | | 资产负债率(%) | 32.5% | | 市盈率 | 20.00 | | 第一大股东 | 联众新能源有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:杨帅波 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070002 Email:yangshuaibo@cnpsec.com 分析师:侯若雪 SAC 登记编号:S1340524100002 Email:houruoxue@cnpsec.com 联美控股(600167) 2024 年业绩受减值影响，分红稳健 l 投资要点 事件：2025 年 4 月 29 日，公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季 报。 2024 年公司营收 35.1 亿元，同比+2.9%；归母净利润 6.6 亿元， 同比-23.3%；其中 202 ...