证券研究报告 | 2025年06月09日 公用环保 202506 第 2 期 优于大市 国家能源局组织开展新型电力系统建设第一批试点工作，2025 年 4 月工业级混 合油（UCO）出口量价双升 市场回顾：本周沪深 300 指数上涨 0.88%，公用事业指数下跌 0.13%，环 保指数上涨 0.46%，周相对收益率分别为-1.01%和-0.42%。电力板块子 板块中，火电下跌 0.97%；水电下跌 1.47%，新能源发电下跌 0.45%；水 务板块上涨 0.16%；燃气板块上涨 1.18%；检测服务板块上涨 0.98%。 重要事件：国家能源局组织开展新型电力系统建设第一批试点工作。要求聚 焦新型电力系统有关前沿方向，依托典型项目开展单一方向试点，依托 典型城市开展多方向综合试点，探索新型电力系统建设新技术、新模式， 推动新型电力系统建设取得突破。坚持重点突破；坚持因地制宜；坚持 创新引领，鼓励采用新技术、新模式；坚持全程管理，做好试点项目的 申报优选、组织实施、效果评估、推广应用等全过程管理。提出了关于 构网型技术、系统友好型新能源电站、智能微电网、算力与电力协同、 虚拟电厂、大规模高比例新能源外送、新一代煤 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The acceleration of unmanned sanitation bidding indicates rapid industry development and technological iteration [8] - Decrease in capital expenditure in waste incineration leads to increased dividends, while improvements in heating and IDC enhance ROE and valuation [9] - Water utility operations show steady growth and high dividends, with water price reforms reshaping growth and valuation [12] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Unmanned sanitation bidding is accelerating, with a procurement project for 100 small autonomous cleaning vehicles announced, budgeted at 28.6 million yuan [8] - The waste incineration sector is seeing a decline in capital expenditure, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends [9] - The water utility sector is experiencing stable growth, with a projected revenue of 655 billion yuan in 2024, and a net profit of 112 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% increase [12] Key Recommendations - Recommended companies include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., and others for their strong dividend performance and growth potential [4] - Focus on companies like Yuehai Investment and Xingrong Environment for their robust cash flow and dividend commitments [12] Equipment and Technology - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 6.14 percentage points to 14.55% in the first four months of 2025, with sales of 3,570 units, a 73% year-on-year increase [21][22] - The market for bio-diesel remains challenging, with prices stable and profits under pressure due to rising raw material costs [36] Financial Performance - Companies like Junxin Co. and Green Power are expected to increase their cash dividends significantly in 2024, with Junxin's cash dividend projected at 507 million yuan, a 37% increase [9] - The water utility sector is set to benefit from recent price reforms, with Guangzhou implementing significant price increases for residential water [13][14]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The acceleration of unmanned sanitation bidding indicates rapid industry development and technological iteration [8] - Decrease in capital expenditure in waste incineration leads to improved dividends, while heating and IDC collaborations enhance ROE and valuation [9] - Water utility operations show steady growth and high dividends, with water price reforms reshaping growth and valuation [12] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Unmanned sanitation bidding is accelerating, with significant projects announced, such as the procurement of 100 autonomous cleaning vehicles with a budget of 28.6 million yuan [8] - The waste incineration sector is experiencing a decline in capital expenditure, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends. For instance, Junxin Co. plans to distribute 507 million yuan in cash dividends in 2024, a 37% increase year-on-year [9] - Water utility sector performance remains robust, with a projected revenue of 655 billion yuan in 2024, despite a 2% decline, and a 27% increase in net profit [12] Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Hanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., and others, focusing on companies with strong dividend policies and growth potential [4] - The report highlights the importance of water price reforms, with Guangzhou implementing significant price increases, which are expected to drive profitability [13][14] Equipment and Technology - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 6.14 percentage points to 14.55% in the first four months of 2025, with sales of new energy sanitation vehicles rising by 73% [21][22] - The report notes the profitability challenges in biodiesel production, with current prices leading to negative margins [36] Market Performance - The environmental protection and public utilities index rose by 0.81% from June 2 to June 6, 2025, underperforming compared to the broader market indices [44] - Top-performing stocks in the environmental sector included Jingyuan Environmental and Juguang Technology, with significant price increases [46]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Cinda Securities highlights the increasing demands for environmental quality and low-carbon industrial development during the 14th Five-Year Plan, indicating that energy conservation, environmental protection, and resource recycling are expected to maintain high prosperity levels [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 6, the environmental protection sector rose by 0.46%, underperforming the broader market; the water governance sector increased by 1.38%, while the waste incineration sector declined by 0.31% [2] - The air governance sector saw an increase of 1.01%, while the solid waste sanitation sector dropped by 6.55% [2] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment released the "2024 China Ecological Environment Status Bulletin," indicating continuous improvement in national ecological environment quality, with an increase in the proportion of days with good air quality and a decrease in heavy pollution days [2] - A joint implementation plan for ecological protection compensation mechanisms along major rivers was announced, aiming for a stable operation by 2027 and comprehensive coverage by 2035 [2] Group 3: Policy Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice promoting the development of green electricity direct connection, which supports the integration of renewable energy production and consumption [3] - This policy is expected to optimize grid allocation and facilitate collaboration between waste incineration power generation and data centers, with several environmental companies actively exploring this new model [3] Group 4: Recommended Companies - Key recommendations include: Huanlan Environment (600323.SH), Xingrong Environment (000598.SZ), and Hongcheng Environment (600461.SH) for their stable profitability and positive cash flow [1] - Companies to watch include: Wangneng Environment (002034.SZ), Junxin Co., Ltd. (301109.SZ), Wuhan Holdings (600168.SH), and others [1]

行 华福证券 公用事业 2025 年 06 月 08 日 一年内行业相对大盘走势 业 研 究 行 业 公用事业 第 23 周：组织开展建设第一批试点工作，浙江 迎峰度夏方案发布 投资要点： 行情回顾： 6 月 3 日-6 月 6 日，燃气、水务板块分别上涨 1.15%、0.64%，环保、 电力板块分别下跌 0.07%、0.60%，同期沪深 300 指数上涨 0.88%。 定 期 报 告 《新型电力系统行动方案》规划迈向实施，组织开展建设第一批试点工作：近日， 国家能源局组织开展新型电力系统建设第一批试点工作。试点工作先期围绕 7 个方向开 展试点工作，对应 2024 年 7 月印发的《加快构建新型电力系统行动方案（2024—2027 年）》提及的 9 项专项行动中的 5 项。试点工作中的构网型技术、系统友好型新能源电 站、智能微电网、算力与电力协同、虚拟电厂、大规模高比例新能源外送有助于解决新 能源发展的瓶颈问题，有利于提高新能源的接入能力和消纳能力同时提高可靠出力水 平，也将促进算力与电力产业的协同发展。新一代煤电针对清洁降碳、高效调节两类指 标分别开展试点，推动煤电从保障性电源向高效调节角色转变，更好的适 ...

Core Viewpoint - The reform of water rights is crucial for optimizing water resource allocation and promoting efficient and sustainable use of water resources in China [1] Group 1: Water Rights Reform Progress - China has accelerated the initial allocation of water rights and promoted market-based trading of water rights, leading to positive progress in water rights reform [1] - In Ningxia, the implementation of water-saving technologies has reduced the average water usage per mu from over 600 cubic meters to 240 cubic meters, saving over 300 cubic meters per mu [2] - The use of digital twin systems has improved water management precision, allowing for real-time monitoring of water usage [2] Group 2: High-Quality Development Support - Water rights reform is seen as a key support for high-quality development, with plans to enhance agricultural irrigation efficiency to a utilization coefficient of 0.6 [3] - The promotion of recycled water usage in industrial parks aims to replace fresh water resources, thereby improving overall water resource efficiency [3] Group 3: Innovative Measures for Resource Allocation - Various regions are exploring innovative measures for water rights reform, including water rights trading to optimize resource allocation [4] - In Gansu, a water rights trading transaction of 480,400 cubic meters was completed, addressing the water needs of agricultural enterprises [4] - Gansu has established a provincial water rights trading management platform, achieving significant progress in online water rights trading [5] Group 4: Financing Opportunities through Water Rights - Water rights trading has created new development opportunities, with initiatives like water rights pledging for loans being implemented [7] - In Gansu, a company secured a loan of 5 million yuan using its water rights as collateral, marking the first instance of water rights pledge loans in the province [7] Group 5: Successful Case Studies - In Hebei, a villager successfully traded saved irrigation water rights for nearly 400 yuan, demonstrating the financial benefits of water rights reform [8] - The water rights trading mechanism in Hebei has become more efficient, with over 3 billion cubic meters of water resources being traded [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - Lingnan Ecological Culture Tourism Co., Ltd. (ST Lingnan) has experienced significant stock price volatility, characterized by rapid fluctuations between涨停 (limit up) and 跌停 (limit down), reflecting high-risk speculative behavior among investors [2][4][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - ST Lingnan's main business segments include ecological environment construction and restoration (52.72% of revenue), water environment governance (42.33%), and cultural tourism (4.95%) as of the end of 2024 [3]. - The company has faced continuous net profit losses for three consecutive years from 2022 to 2024, with total losses amounting to 36.3 billion [3][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Total revenues for ST Lingnan from 2022 to 2024 were 25.69 billion, 21.31 billion, and 8.62 billion respectively, with net profits of -15.54 billion, -10.92 billion, and -9.84 billion [6]. - As of the end of 2024, the company had only 2.034 billion in cash while short-term borrowings reached 21.09 billion, indicating a significant liquidity crisis [6][7]. Group 3: Debt Issues - ST Lingnan has faced multiple overdue debts, with new overdue debts totaling 4.47 billion from February 22 to March 31, 2025, representing 21.25% of the audited net assets for 2023 [7]. - The company has acknowledged the potential for further legal actions and financial strain if debt issues are not resolved [7][8]. Group 4: Market Reactions - Following the designation of "ST," the stock price initially plummeted below 2 yuan, but later saw a recovery with a 40% increase during a series of涨停 days from May 19 to May 27 [4][5]. - The stock has been subject to significant speculation, with investors hoping for a turnaround due to the company's status as a state-owned enterprise undergoing reform [4][5].

6月6日，市场监管总局(国家反垄断局)发布《中国反垄断执法年度报告(2024)》(下称：报告)。 报告指出，2024年，市场监管总局(国家反垄断局)全年办结垄断协议、滥用市场支配地位案件11件，对 1件拒绝、阻碍调查案件作出行政处罚，审结经营者集中案件643件；大力整治地方保护、市场分割突出 问题，立案查处滥用行政权力排除、限制竞争案件72件。从严从快查处机动车检测领域系列垄断协议 案，对46家检测机构依法作出处理，有效降低群众生活成本和经营主体负担。依法对奔驰等5家品牌汽 车供应商、Avanci等开展提醒敦促，公开发布专项行动典型案例，及时防范化解垄断风险。 报告指出，2024年，逐步完善数字经济领域反垄断常态化监管。严格督导阿里巴巴集团高质量完成三年 整改并向社会公开整改情况，充分发挥重大典型案件示范效应。深入评估美团整改进展，要求限期整改 到位。督导知网完成首年整改，推动其解除独家合作、降低学术文献数据库收费标准。查处金融数据领 域第一案宁波森浦滥用市场支配地位案，规范数据市场竞争秩序。 报告指出，2024年，市场监管总局(国家反垄断局)对4起重大交易提出竞争关注，附条件批准日本JX金 属收购拓自达案， ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) has shown resilience with a slight decline of 0.59% while experiencing net inflows for three consecutive days, highlighting its attractiveness in the market [1] Group 1: Fund Performance - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) has distributed dividends for 11 consecutive times, leading in the number of distributions among Hong Kong dividend ETFs [1] - The fund's underlying index, the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index, boasts a dividend yield of over 8% in the past 12 months, ranking it among the top in its category [5][6] - The fund's total return index has demonstrated strong long-term performance, with cumulative returns significantly higher than other similar dividend indices since 2017, indicating robust reinvestment effects [9] Group 2: Index Characteristics - The underlying index of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) is classified as a pure dividend index, with stock selection and weighting based solely on dividend yield [6][4] - The index maintains a balanced industry distribution, with significant allocations in traditional high-dividend sectors such as banking (26.3%) and oil and petrochemicals (9.9%), while also diversifying into transportation (19.8%) and telecommunications (9.3%) [7] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The fund employs an innovative "monthly evaluation of dividends" strategy, allowing for up to 12 distributions per year, which enhances its appeal to investors seeking predictable income [14] - The fund's valuation advantage is highlighted by its lower valuation compared to A-shares, providing a more substantial margin of safety for investors [14] - The fund focuses on high-quality, high-dividend leading stocks, with a total of 30 constituent stocks, ensuring a concentrated yet diversified investment approach [14]

盘面上，权重科技股多数上涨，美团涨3%，腾讯控股、快手、百度、网易涨超1%，阿里巴巴、小米、 京东飘红；核电股大涨，中广核矿业涨超28%；创新药板块强势上涨，信达生物涨超14%；中资券商股 活跃，中泰期货涨6%；烟草股、生物医药股、稀土概念股、军工股、煤炭股纷纷上涨。 另一方面，水务股下挫，中国水业集团跌超15%；电信股下跌，中国联通跌超2%；化妆品股、家电 股、燃气股、保险股低迷。 个股方面，消费品F4蜜雪集团、泡泡玛特、老铺黄金齐创新高。 具体来看： 权重科技股多数上涨，美团涨3%，腾讯控股、快手、百度、网易涨超1%，阿里巴巴、小米、京东微 涨。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 胀跌幅 V | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 03690 | 美团-W | (0) | 140.700 | +4.100 | 3.00% | | 00700 | 腾讯控股 | | 512.000 | +7.000 | 1.39% | | 01024 | 快手-W | | 51.900 | +0.700 | 1.37% | | 09888 | 百度集团-SW | ...