Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant shift in China's consumer landscape, contrasting the performance of traditional consumer brands like Kweichow Moutai with new consumer brands like Pop Mart, indicating a transition towards "new" consumption driven by changing demographics, real estate cycles, and evolving consumer values [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Kweichow Moutai announced a stock buyback plan of 1.5 to 3 billion yuan but saw its stock price decline after the initial buyback, reflecting a defensive market perception [1][3]. - In contrast, Pop Mart's stock buyback of 350 million HKD led to a market capitalization increase of nearly 60 billion HKD within a week, showcasing a strong growth narrative [1][3]. - On January 29, Kweichow Moutai's stock experienced a rare surge, recovering to over 1400 yuan, which also positively impacted other liquor stocks and the real estate sector [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The article discusses the divergence in investment logic between traditional and new consumer brands, with the former viewed as defensive and the latter as growth-oriented [3][4]. - Traditional consumer stocks, particularly in the liquor sector, are closely tied to macroeconomic conditions and the real estate cycle, which has been under pressure, leading to a challenging environment for recovery [3][4]. - New consumer brands like Pop Mart, Anta, and Li Ning are not solely reliant on macroeconomic support but are leveraging innovation to create structural growth opportunities [4][5]. Group 3: Growth Drivers - The core driver for new consumption has shifted from "demographic dividends" to "emotional dividends," focusing on consumer identity and self-expression rather than basic material needs [4][5]. - The Hong Kong consumer index, which includes new consumption sectors, saw a cumulative increase of about 20% in 2025, while the Shanghai consumer index, dominated by traditional sectors, fell nearly 8% [4]. Group 4: International Expansion - Traditional consumer companies lacking international expansion capabilities face stagnation, while new consumer brands are showing strong growth overseas, with Pop Mart reporting a 3.7 times increase in overseas revenue by Q3 2025 [5]. - Successful international strategies are evident in brands like Anta and Li Ning, which are expanding rapidly in Southeast Asia, indicating a shift from "Made in China" to "Global Brands" [5]. Group 5: Valuation and Investment Considerations - Traditional consumer leaders like Kweichow Moutai still hold strong market positions and stable cash flows, with their valuations entering historically low ranges, appealing to risk-averse investors [6]. - New consumer brands face unique challenges, such as sustaining IP creation and managing acquisitions, with high valuations making them sensitive to any signs of growth slowdown [6][7]. - The sustainability of "self-indulgent" consumption is questioned, as it relies on consumer sentiment and disposable income, which may be the first to be scrutinized in uncertain economic times [8].

★ 宏观动态 ★ 央行：2025年第四季度全国新发放商业性个人住房贷款加权平均利率为3.06% 据央行消息，2025年第四季度全国新发放商业性个人住房贷款加权平均利率为3.06%。 国务院办公厅印发《加快培育服务消费新增长点工作方案》 国务院办公厅日前印发《加快培育服务消费新增长点工作方案》（以下简称《工作方案》），旨在优化和扩大 服务供给，促进服务消费提质惠民，为经济高质量发展提供有力支撑。《工作方案》提出3方面支持政策。一 是聚焦交通服务、家政服务、网络视听服务、旅居服务、汽车后市场服务、入境消费等重点领域，从优化服务 供给、推进先行先试、创新消费场景、加强人才培养等方面发力，激发发展活力。二是聚焦演出服务、体育赛 事服务、情绪式体验式服务等潜力领域，从健全激励机制、优化安全管理、培育优质品牌、建设平台载体等方 面着手，培育发展动能。三是通过健全标准体系、加强信用建设、强化财政金融支持等，加强对培育服务消费 新增长点的支持保障。《工作方案》要求各地区、各有关部门加强政策设计，创新支持举措，优化服务消费环 境，根据需要制定出台具体服务消费领域支持政策。 北京首个人形机器人中试验证平台正式启动，预计年产能50 ...

旅游及景区 旅游及景区 2026 年 01 月 28 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 38% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 旅游及景区 沪深300 相关研究报告 海南专题报告：风宜长物放眼量，自贸港赶海正当时 风险提示：宏观经济波动风险、政策落地不及预期、高端消费复苏不及预期。 ——行业深度报告 | 初敏（分析师） | 叶彬慧（联系人） | | --- | --- | | chumin@kysec.cn | yebinhui@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080008 | 证书编号：S0790124070053 | yebinhui@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070053 海南自贸港：双向循环战略支点，枢纽功能徐徐演进 开 源 证 券 证 券 研 海南自贸港是中央基于全球化格局深度调整、全球供应链加速重构背景，高标准 建设的中国特色自由贸易港，享有国内高规格、系统性的开放试验授权。对比全 球成熟的自贸港枢纽，依托内地超大规模统一市场的腹地优势和最大经济特区禀 赋，海南聚焦打造三大核心定位： ...

客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 【#深圳杰我睿兑付难#，客户账户余额有数十万元：#杰我睿客户申请500元提款排4万人后#】1月28 日，深圳罗湖通报杰我睿珠宝公司客户账户难兑付事件称，已成立专班介入。此前客户可在杰我睿线上 平台充值或寄料以进行交易。客户叶先生说，平台还可"约价"交易，如金价为1000元时付定金约价，期 限内涨金价后仍可以1000元价格付尾款。还有积分制度延期或取消订单。行业从业者说，行内鲜少对散 客开放约价。杰我睿曾公告，有本金客户可每日提现500元或取1克黄金。叶先生称，他26日申请"排到 约4万人后"。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑：朱赫楠 【#深圳杰我睿兑付难#，客户账户余额有数十万元：#杰我睿客户申请500元提款排4万人后#】1月28 日，深圳罗湖通报杰我睿珠宝公司客户账户难兑付事件称，已成立专班介入。此前客户可在杰我睿线上 平台充值或寄料以进行交易。客户叶先生说，平台还可"约价"交易，如金价为1000元时付定金约价，期 限内涨金价后仍可以1000元价格付尾款。还有积分制度延期或取消订单。行业从业者说，行内鲜少对散 客开放约价。杰 ...

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Currency Movements - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, ending a three-rate cut cycle, with a focus on achieving full employment and a 2% inflation target [1][14] - The Chinese yuan's midpoint exchange rate broke the 7.0 mark against the US dollar for the first time in two and a half years, driven by a weak dollar and seasonal demand for currency settlement [1][15] Group 2: Company Developments and Financial Performance - Huadong Heavy Machinery expects a significant decline in net profit for 2025, projecting a decrease of 39.05% to 59.36% due to the divestment of its profitable CNC machine tool business and losses from its newly acquired chip subsidiary [1][18] - Agricultural University Technology listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, becoming Shandong's first A-share company of the year, with its stock price surging by 111.56% on the first day despite concerns over its revenue and profit trends [1][20] - Seagate Technology's stock surged over 16% to a record high following a strong earnings report, with significant revenue and earnings per share exceeding market expectations [1][20] - SK Hynix reported a nearly 1.2 times increase in net profit for the previous year, driven by the AI storage market, and expects continued growth in storage demand [1][20] Group 3: Legal and Regulatory Issues - Shenzhen Water Bay Jewelry faced withdrawal difficulties, with thousands of investors unable to cash out, raising concerns about illegal gold betting practices [1][16] - Sunflower's major asset restructuring plan was terminated due to an investigation by the Securities Regulatory Commission, leading to significant losses for investors [1][21] - Dike Co., a leader in photovoltaic silver paste, initiated patent infringement lawsuits against two companies, seeking a total of 4 billion yuan in damages [1][21] Group 4: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The price of international spot gold reached a new high, exceeding $5,300 per ounce, prompting major jewelry brands to adapt their business strategies to focus on design and service rather than raw material value [1][23] - The price of Flying Moutai surged to 1,600 yuan per bottle, driven by seasonal demand and supply constraints, leading to a secondary market for reselling [1][24] - Industrial Fulian, an AI giant, projected a significant increase in net profit for 2025, driven by strong growth in cloud computing and AI server revenues [1][25]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, aligning with market expectations, with a vote of 10 in favor and 2 against [4] - Fed Chairman Powell indicated that the impact of tariff increases on consumer prices has largely been transmitted, and he expects the influence on goods prices to peak and then decline, provided there are no new significant tariff hikes [4] - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up 0.02%, Nasdaq up 0.17%, and S&P 500 down 0.01%, while storage stocks surged, with Seagate Technology rising over 19% [4] Group 2 - International oil prices continued to rise, with WTI crude oil up 1.6% at $63.39 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 1.35% at $67.49 per barrel [5] - Gold prices reached a new high, with spot gold rising 4.51% to $5,415.23 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures up 6.02% to $5,388.50 per ounce [5] Group 3 - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) announced plans to enhance the "AI+" initiative, focusing on investment traction, scene cultivation, and data supply optimization [10] - The tax authorities plan to deepen tax system reforms in 2026, aiming to optimize tax structures and expand local tax sources [11] Group 4 - The Chinese government is encouraging smart home companies to adapt to domestic operating systems and chips, aiming to enhance the smart home industry ecosystem [11] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange announced adjustments to the trading limits and margin requirements for nickel and other futures contracts, effective January 30, 2026 [12]

【国内要闻】 ·记者1月28日从全国税务工作会议上获悉，2026年，税务部门将会同相关部门深化税收制度改革，优化 税制结构，推动地方政府用足用好地方税种法定授权，着力拓展地方税源，增加地方自主财力。税务部 门还将会同有关部门推动基本养老保险全国统筹、基本医疗保险省级统筹，鼓励支持新就业形态人员参 加职工保险，推进加快建立长期护理保险制度，切实增强人民群众获得感幸福感。 ·国资委相关负责人介绍，2026年中央企业高质量发展的目标是"两个确保、两个力争"：确保增加值持 续增长，力争与国家GDP增速相匹配；确保"一利五率"经营指标，即利润总额、营业收现率、净资产 收益率、研发经费投入强度、全员劳动生产率、资产负债率稳中向好，力争总体优化。 【重点关注】 ·2026年税务部门将深入推进税制改革着力拓展地方税源增加地方自主财力 ·中央企业2026年高质量发展目标是"两个确保、两个力争" ·多家头部量化机构回应："量化股票交易规则或变化"为不实消息 ·中国商火：2026年深化资源统筹，誓保首飞和回收成功 【国际要闻】 ·1月28日，黄金价格延续近期强劲涨势，截至发稿，美国纽约商品交易所黄金期货价格突破每盎司5300 美元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent difficulties faced by Shenzhen Jie Wo Rui Jewelry Co., Ltd. and its associated online platforms in cash withdrawals have raised concerns in the market, affecting investors nationwide. Group 1: Company Overview - Shenzhen Jie Wo Rui was established in 2014, primarily engaged in the wholesale of non-ferrous metals and ores, and developed a mini-program for gold purchasing and recycling services [1]. - The platform allows users to engage in gold trading by paying a minimal deposit, which can lead to significant financial exposure [1]. Group 2: Withdrawal Issues - Investors reported withdrawal difficulties starting from January 19, with some having amounts as high as millions of yuan stuck on the platform [2][1]. - On January 21, the platform limited daily withdrawal amounts to 500 RMB or 1 gram of gold [3]. Group 3: Company Response - On January 24, the platform's management attempted to reassure investors through a video, stating that they would adhere to the official mini-program homepage announcements [4]. - By January 27, Jie Wo Rui acknowledged losses and promised to distribute remaining funds to affected investors in an orderly manner [5]. Group 4: Regulatory Involvement - The local government has intervened, forming a task force to oversee the company's operations and ensure it fulfills its responsibilities [5]. - The task force is currently investigating the complaints raised by investors [6]. Group 5: Market Risks - Market experts have indicated that the pricing business of Jie Wo Rui resembles unlicensed illegal futures trading, which poses significant risks due to high leverage and volatility in gold prices [11].

据深圳"罗湖发布"微博消息，罗湖区工作专班1月28日发布情况通报。 近日，工作掌握辖区企业深圳市杰我睿珠宝有限公司（以下简称"杰我睿"）经营异常，引发关注。现将 情况通报如下： 一、我区高度重视，第一时间组建工作专班介入，督促企业履行主体责任。 二、目前，杰我睿负责人及相关核心管理人员均在岗，积极开展与投资人沟通、资产梳理和兑付等工 作。 三、针对投资人反映的诉求，工作专班正在核查中。 请公众理性对待网络信息，通过合法渠道进行投资，不信谣、不传谣。 大家都在看 来源：罗湖发布 审核：刘晓阳 责编： 谢丛蔓 张菁菁 见习编辑：王如雪 ...

Group 1 - The India-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is the largest trade deal the EU has ever reached, aimed at facilitating European automotive and industrial goods access to the Indian market [1] - The agreement is seen as a strategic move by medium powers to reduce dependence on the US amid rising global trade uncertainties and tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [1] - The EU Commission President referred to the agreement as a "mother of all agreements," emphasizing Europe's choice of cooperation and strategic partnerships in response to global instability [1] Group 2 - The FTA still requires final text completion and approval from both parties, which may take a year or longer, needing consent from the European Parliament and member states [2] - Once effective, the agreement is expected to eliminate or reduce tariffs on most goods traded between the EU and India, potentially saving the EU approximately $4.8 billion annually in tariff costs [2] - Key provisions include the reduction of Indian tariffs on EU machinery, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals, with automotive tariffs decreasing from 110% to 10% for up to 250,000 vehicles annually [2] Group 3 - Indian Prime Minister Modi stated that the agreement will boost confidence among businesses and investors in India, covering about a quarter of the global economy [3] - The agreement is expected to lower tariffs on labor-intensive products exported to Europe, which exceed $30 billion, from 4% to 26% down to zero, benefiting sectors like apparel, footwear, seafood, plastics, and jewelry [3] - India has surpassed Japan to become the world's fourth-largest economy and is projected to overtake Germany within three years [3] Group 4 - European officials anticipate that EU exports to India could double following the implementation of the agreement [4]