FICC日报 | 2026-01-22 去美元化重启，关注格陵兰危机 市场分析 有色板块驱动转缓。从宏观角度，1、"232"调查落地，特朗普宣布暂时不对关键矿产进口加征新关税，同时表示 正在构想一种建立"价格底线"的机制，旨在促进美国盟友阵营内的供应链发展；当地时间1月17日，美总统特朗普 发文称，将对8个反对其收购格陵兰岛的欧洲国家加征10%的关税。自2026年6月1日起，加征关税的税率将提高至 25%。他表示，这一关税措施将持续实施，直至就"完全、彻底购买格陵兰岛"达成协议。当地时间20日，欧洲议会 宣布冻结对去年7月与美国达成的贸易协议的批准程序。这被视为欧盟对美国总统特朗普最新施压举措作出的首次 回应。特朗普21日表示，不会以武力夺取格陵兰岛。2、美联储主席候选人风波略降温，在对美联储主席鲍威尔提 起刑事调查后，多方密集发声支持美联储独立性，特朗普也表态"没有撤换美联储主席鲍威尔的计划"。鲍威尔计 划周三（1月21日）亲自出席最高法院针对美联储理事Cook的听证会。贝森特还称，特朗普最早下周公布新美联储 主席。从事件的角度，需要关注保证金和流动性市场带来的变量。根据芝商所1月12日发布的通知，将改变黄 ...

相关生产商有：川能动力(000155)藏格矿业(000408)西藏矿业(000762)盐湖股份(000792)大中矿业 (001203)融捷股份(002192)盛新锂能(002240)赣锋锂业(002460)天齐锂业(002466)雅化集团(002497)中矿资 源(002738)永兴材料(002756)天华新能(300390)金银河(300619)宁德时代(300750)红星发展(600367)科力远 (600478)科达制造(600499)永杉锂业(603399)芳源股份(688148)等。 据生意社监测，碳酸锂01月21日最新价格159000.00元/吨，最近10天上涨13.57%，15天上涨23.26%，20 天上涨33.17%，30天上涨47.59%，60天上涨68.67%。 相关生产商有：川能动力(000155)藏格矿业(000408)西藏矿业(000762)盐湖股份(000792)大中矿业 (001203)融捷股份(002192)盛新锂能(002240)赣锋锂业(002460)天齐锂业(002466)雅化集团(002497)中矿资 源(002738)永兴材料(002756)天华新能(300390 ...

2026 年 1 月 22 日 商 品 研 究 碳酸锂：拍卖价格支撑叠加供给减量预期，偏强震 荡延续 | 邵婉嫕 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015722 | shaowanyi@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 刘鸿儒 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0023466 | liuhongru@gtht.com | 【基本面跟踪】 碳酸锂基本面数据 | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2605合约（收盘价） | 166,740 | 6,240 | 4,800 | 24,440 | 60,580 | 90,920 | | | | 2605合约（成交量） | 376,418 | -74,656 | -212,601 | -43,989 | -637,498 | 351,608 | | | | 2605合约（持仓量） | 427,928 | 12,577 | -24,655 | -78,592 | -244,783 ...

非洲自主锂矿II期已建成投产，自有矿山和包销对原料双重保障 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 Q3业绩亮眼 2025年Q3公司实现营业收入60.47亿元，同比增长2.07%；实现归母净利润3.34亿元，同比提升116.02%。业绩 向好主要系公司优质头部客户订单稳定，部分客户终端产品市场反馈良好带动公司锂盐产品第三季度销量大幅 增长，公司加强生产运营各环节管控，加强矿、产、销平衡，提高效率，降低成本，使公司经营业绩回升向 好，较去年同期有所增长。 储能需求提振预期，2026年供需格局有望向好 受益于成本端下滑、136号文出台后峰谷价差扩大、国内部分省份推出容量电价/容量补偿政策等变化，国内储 能收益率有望提升从而带动需求。根据鑫椤咨询统计，2025年全球储能锂 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a strong independent trend amidst internal and external market dynamics, with the index opening slightly lower due to a drop in US stocks but rebounding later, driven by sectors like metals, lithium, and semiconductors [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index opened at 4103.53 points, fluctuating between 4110 and 4136 points throughout the day, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices also showed strength [1] - The overall spring market trend continues, but there are clear signs of short-term structural adjustments, with funds shifting towards high-growth sectors [1] Trading Volume - The total trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.60 trillion yuan, a decrease of 180 billion yuan or 6.4% from the previous trading day, marking the fourth consecutive day below 3 trillion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The precious metals sector led the market, with gold prices surpassing 4800 USD per ounce, resulting in stocks like Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Mining hitting the daily limit [4] - The semiconductor industry saw significant gains, with multiple stocks such as Huada Technology and Longxin Technology reaching their daily limits [4] - The lithium mining sector also experienced a rebound, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy and Dazhong Mining hitting the daily limit [4] - The oil and gas sector was active, with stocks like Huibo and Intercontinental Oil hitting the daily limit [5] - Conversely, the consumer sector weakened, particularly in the liquor segment, and the banking sector saw declines, with Agricultural Bank dropping nearly 3% [5][6] Individual Stock Highlights - Haiguang Information had the highest trading volume at 177 billion yuan, followed by TBEA, Xinyi Technology, Aerospace Electronics, and Xinwei Communication, all exceeding 150 billion yuan in trading volume [7] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rebounded to a high of 4135.96 before closing with a small gain, indicating a need for a potential pullback to the 20-day moving average [9] - The index is currently showing a death cross between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, suggesting that a strong upward movement may require either a significant bullish candle or a period of consolidation [9]

每经AI快讯，盛新锂能1月21日晚间发布公告称，截至本公告日，公司及控股子公司实际发生的对外担 保余额（不含本次担保）为人民币约44.76亿元，占2024年12月31日经审计归属于母公司净资产的 37.21%。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——特朗普强要格陵兰岛，丹麦一养老基金率先清仓美债，美国资产全线下 跌！欧洲手握"金融核按钮"，双方会"鱼死网破"吗？专家解读→ （记者 王晓波） 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 ...

盛新锂能公告称，全资子公司遂宁盛新因业务需要，拟向光大银行申请不超7000万元借款，期限不超13 个月。2026年1月21日，公司与其签署《最高额保证合同》，提供连带责任保证。遂宁盛新最近一期经 审计资产负债率低于70%，公司此前已获担保额度授权，本次担保后，该类子公司可用担保额度为 32.17亿元。截至公告日，公司对遂宁盛新担保总额（不含本次）为13.21亿元。另外，2025年1 - 9月， 遂宁盛新营收12.52亿元，净利润4055.52万元。 ...

Group 1 - A-shares showed resilience with the three major indices experiencing slight increases, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.7%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.54% [2] - The precious metals sector saw a significant surge, with multiple stocks such as Sichuan Gold and Western Gold hitting the daily limit, as spot gold prices reached $4,830 per ounce, marking a 1.5% increase [2] - Semiconductor stocks strengthened, with companies like Longxin Zhongke and Dagang Co. also hitting the daily limit [3] Group 2 - Lithium mining concept stocks rebounded, with Shengxin Lithium Energy and Dazhong Mining reaching the daily limit [4] - In contrast, sectors such as coal, retail, liquor, and banking experienced notable declines [5] - A significant increase in trading volume was observed in multiple broad-based ETFs, with the Shanghai 50 ETF achieving a transaction volume of 16.9 billion yuan, the highest in a decade [6] - The transaction amounts for various ETFs, including Huatai-PineBridge and Jiashi, exceeded 10 billion yuan [7] - Additionally, there was a sudden spike in the petrochemical ETF, which appeared to be a case of erroneous trading [8]

Core Viewpoint - The market sentiment is cautious amid reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with Hong Kong stocks showing mixed performance, particularly in the technology and gold sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.37% to close at 26,585.06 points, with a total turnover of HKD 250.45 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.11%, closing at 5,746.3 points, indicating strong performance in technology stocks [1] - Semiconductor stocks, led by SMIC, saw significant gains, with SMIC rising by 3.69% to HKD 77.25, contributing 19.94 points to the Hang Seng Index [2][3] Group 2: Sector Highlights - Gold stocks surged as spot gold prices broke through USD 4,800, with notable increases in companies like Datang Gold, which rose by 10.29% [3][4] - The robotics sector was active, with MicroPort Robotics increasing by 17.3% to HKD 30.92, driven by advancements in humanoid robot technology [4][5] - Lithium stocks experienced a collective rise, with Ganfeng Lithium up by 5.54% to HKD 65.7, influenced by a significant increase in lithium carbonate futures prices [6][7] Group 3: Company Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to promote humanoid robot technology and support the industry through investment funds and standardization efforts [5] - UBS highlighted that China National Heavy Duty Truck is expanding its market presence, particularly in Brazil and Europe, with expectations of exceeding 150,000 heavy truck exports this year [8] - Neway International's stock fell by 22.79% after announcing a conditional agreement to acquire stakes in COPE Holding and Hyperlining Holding, reflecting challenges in the cross-border e-commerce logistics sector [12]

光大证券研报指出，雅化集团2025年Q3实现营业收入60.47亿元，同比增长2.07%；实现归母净利润3.34 亿元，同比提升116.02%。Q3业绩亮眼。储能需求提振预期，2026年供需格局有望向好。储能接棒电动 车有望成为锂需求第二成长曲线，2026 年供需格局有望向好。固态电池前瞻性布局，预计2026年开展 硫化锂中试线建设。公司顺应民爆行业重组整合的产业政策要求，公司将积极参与行业并购整合、不断 扩大产能规模及业务辐射区域。在海外，公司将依托扎根于津巴和澳洲的区位优势，加大非洲和澳洲区 域海外民爆业务拓展力度，为公司民爆业务贡献新增长点。鉴于2025年上半年锂价一度超跌，下调2025 年盈利预测，鉴于公司未来产能扩张，维持"增持"评级。 ...