□本报记者 王雪青 其中，医疗保险巨头联合健康目前属于困境阶段。从今年4月1日至8月14日，公司股价已下跌超45%。 值得注意的是，二季度出手联合健康的不止伯克希尔，买家还包括多家知名对冲基金，例如大卫·泰珀 旗下Appaloosa、"大空头"原型迈克尔·伯瑞旗下Scion以及被称为"量化之王"的文艺复兴科技，还有索罗 斯基金等。相关机构买入的消息披露后，联合健康8月15日涨超10%。 此外，今年二季度，伯克希尔减持苹果2000万股，减仓幅度约为6.67%，苹果仍为第一大重仓股；伯克 希尔还减持美国银行逾2630万股，减持幅度约为4.17%。伯克希尔在二季度还卖出了2家通讯公司股 票，减持特许通讯，清仓T-MOBILE US。 截至北京时间8月15日，美股机构投资者2025年二季度持仓报告基本披露完毕。 中国证券报记者梳理了包括巴菲特旗下伯克希尔·哈撒韦、李录旗下喜马拉雅资本、高瓴旗下HHLR、高 毅、景林、桥水、橡树资本、老虎环球基金、柏基投资、著名对冲基金经理大卫·泰珀旗下的 Appaloosa、"大空头"原型迈克尔·伯瑞的Scion，以及先锋领航、贝莱德、摩根大通等知名投资机构的持 仓情况。 总体来说， ...

据报道，美国企业正以创纪录的速度回购股票，今年的股票回购总额预计将超过创纪录的1.1万亿美 元。数据显示，今年迄今为止，美国企业宣布了价值9836亿美元的股票回购，由科技巨头和大型银行领 衔。媒体援引Birinyi Associates自1982年以来的数据指出，这一数字创下有记录以来年初阶段的最佳表 现。股票回购规模排名前列的公司包括苹果(AAPL.US)、Alphabet(GOOGL.US)、摩根大通(JPM.US)、 美国银行(BAC.US)以及摩根士丹利(MS.US)。 Birinyi Associates总裁Jeffrey Yale Rubin表示："情况比大家想象的要好得多。企业现金充裕，甚至在盈 利改善之前，他们就处于健康状态。" 在贸易不确定性的背景下，股票回购也变得更具吸引力，因为不确定性抑制了企业的投资计划。虽然企 业往往在股价上涨时回购股票，但它们在今年早些时候市场疲软时也同样进行了回购。标普500指数成 分股在2025年第一季度的股票回购规模达到2,935亿美元，创下单季纪录。 强劲的盈利表现、贸易协议的达成以及经济韧性推动美股在7月创下新高，导致更多的企业宣布股票回 购。Biriny ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a significant surge in performance driven by strong earnings reports and positive economic data, indicating robust economic growth and potential investment opportunities. Group 1: Stock Market Performance - Major U.S. stock indices showed slight gains ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with notable increases in high-performing stocks like LendingClub and Wingstop, which surged over 31% and 29% respectively [2][8]. - The overall performance of the stock market is characterized by a broad rally among high-performing stocks, with significant gains reported across various sectors [8]. Group 2: Economic Data - The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported a preliminary estimate of a 3.0% year-over-year growth rate in real GDP for Q2 2025, significantly exceeding market expectations of 2.6% [3][15]. - The second quarter's GDP growth not only reversed the previous quarter's contraction of -0.5% but also reflects strong consumer spending and a notable decline in imports [16]. Group 3: Company Earnings Reports - Wingstop reported a substantial increase in adjusted earnings per share, leading to a stock price surge to its highest level since 2022 [8]. - LendingClub's earnings report showed revenue and earnings per share exceeding expectations, with strong guidance for Q3 performance [8]. - Teradyne, a semiconductor testing equipment manufacturer, also saw its stock rise over 22% following a strong earnings report [8]. Group 4: Upcoming Earnings and Analyst Expectations - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies like Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon are anticipated to influence market trends, with analysts projecting strong revenue growth for Apple and Amazon [10][12]. - Analysts expect Microsoft's earnings to reflect its leadership in AI and robust core business growth, suggesting a favorable risk-reward profile [11].

Group 1: Cryptocurrency Legislation - The U.S. House of Representatives passed three cryptocurrency-related bills, including the Clarity Act and the Genius Act, aimed at significant regulatory reform for cryptocurrencies [3] - The Genius Act received 308 votes in favor and 122 against, and is expected to be signed into law by President Trump [3] - The Clarity Act, which aims to establish a broader regulatory framework for digital assets, passed with 294 votes in favor and 134 against and will be reviewed by the Senate [3] Group 2: Stock Market Performance - On July 17, U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.52% at 44,484.49 points, the S&P 500 up 0.54% at 6,297.36 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.74% at 20,884.27 points, marking new historical highs for both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq [6] - Major technology stocks saw gains, with the U.S. Tech Giants Index rising by 0.52% [7] - Notable stock performances included Microsoft up 1.2%, Nvidia up 0.95%, and Google up 0.51% [8] Group 3: Chinese Concept Stocks - Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 1.23% and the Wind Chinese Technology Leaders Index up 0.79% [11] - Leading stocks included JD.com up 3.32%, Pinduoduo up 2.70%, and Meituan up 2.21% [11] - Some stocks experienced declines, such as Hesai Technology down over 8% and Ctrip down over 1% [11] Group 4: Federal Reserve Outlook - Federal Reserve officials anticipate two interest rate cuts this year, with current inflation expected to remain between 3% and 3.5% [13] - Economic growth is projected at about 1% for the year, with an expected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.5% by year-end [13] - Officials noted that tariffs could increase inflation by about 1 percentage point in the latter part of 2025 and into 2026 [13]

Group 1 - The European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced a carefully calculated plan that could be one of the most influential moves in the trade war of this decade [1] - The EU is preparing to impose €21 billion in retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods but has postponed these measures until early August, giving Washington a three-week respite [2][4] - The conflict between the EU and the U.S. is not just a simple trade dispute but signals a deeper transformation in global economic rules, challenging the established order since World War II [4][6] Group 2 - The potential "10% solution" represents a significant concession from the initial U.S. position of 30% tariffs, allowing both sides to claim victory while avoiding a full-blown trade war [11][15] - The EU is likely to accept a compromise involving a 10% tariff with exemptions for key industries, which would be less damaging than a 30% tariff [11][16] - The EU's strategy includes a list of products that could be exempt from tariffs, focusing on high-value items that are attractive to U.S. consumers [16] Group 3 - The EU has a complex arsenal of eight countermeasures against U.S. tariffs, including retaliatory tariffs, anti-coercion tools, and potential WTO litigation [25][27] - The "carbon border adjustment mechanism" (CBAM) is a strategic tool that targets high-carbon imports, aligning with the EU's climate goals while impacting U.S. industries [35][36] - The EU's approach includes financial buffers to support affected businesses and workers in case of a trade war, ensuring economic stability [38] Group 4 - If a "10% plus industry exemptions" agreement is reached, European automotive parts companies and luxury goods manufacturers are expected to benefit significantly [44][45] - U.S. agricultural producers may also gain from increased exports to the EU, as part of the concessions made during negotiations [48] - The potential for a rebound in the euro is noted, contingent on the resolution of trade tensions and the European Central Bank's monetary policy [50] Group 5 - The ongoing trade conflict is reshaping the global market environment, with companies needing to adapt to new rules and uncertainties [6][7] - The EU's focus on green and digital initiatives will continue to drive investment in renewable energy and digital compliance infrastructure [58] - Companies with strong pricing power or essential goods are positioned to withstand inflationary pressures resulting from tariffs and supply chain disruptions [60]

Group 1 - The European Commission has abandoned its plan to impose a digital tax on tech giants, marking a significant victory for the Trump administration and companies like Apple and Meta [1][2][3] - The EU is now considering three new tax measures targeting electronic waste, tobacco products, and large enterprises with revenues exceeding €50 million, aiming to generate €25 billion to €30 billion annually to repay EU debt [2][3] Group 2 - Ongoing trade negotiations between the EU and the US are focused on automotive and agricultural tariffs, with the EU seeking to keep agricultural export tariffs below 10% [4][5] - The EU is expected to propose delaying the implementation of countermeasures originally planned in response to US tariffs on steel and aluminum [4][5] Group 3 - The outcome of the negotiations and any potential agreements are heavily dependent on President Trump's decisions, as he has set unilateral tariff rates for over twenty countries [5] - The EU aims to restore predictability in policies and prevent escalation of trade wars, while the German automotive industry expresses strong concerns over the uncertainty created by US tariff policies [5]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. financial market experienced significant declines across stocks, bonds, and currencies due to weak demand in the 20-year Treasury auction and concerns over fiscal deficits, leading to the largest single-day drop in major stock indices since April 21 [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.91% to close at 41,860.44 points, the S&P 500 dropped 1.61% to 5,844.61 points, and the Nasdaq Composite decreased by 1.41% to 18,872.64 points [3]. - Major U.S. tech stocks saw declines, with Tesla and Apple dropping over 2%, while Google gained 2.87% [5][6]. - Chinese concept stocks had mixed results, with NIO and Xpeng Motors rising by 16.2% and 13.08% respectively, following better-than-expected earnings reports [8][9]. Group 2: Bond Market Insights - The 20-year Treasury auction showed weak demand, with a high yield of 5.047%, which was about 1 basis point higher than pre-auction trading levels [12]. - Indirect bidders, including governments and fund managers, accounted for 69% of the auction, indicating strong foreign demand despite overall demand being below average [12]. - The yield on the 20-year Treasury rose to 5.127% post-auction, marking the highest level since November 2023, raising concerns about the U.S. budget deficit [12]. Group 3: Commodity Market Movements - Gold prices continued to rebound, with spot gold prices rising above $3,310 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures climbing to $3,317.5 per ounce, reflecting a 1% increase [14]. - In contrast, international oil prices fell, with WTI crude dropping to $61.33 per barrel and Brent crude to $64.66 per barrel [14].

Market Overview - US stock market opened with declines, with Dow Jones down 0.75%, S&P 500 down 0.97%, and Nasdaq down 0.74% [1] - By 11:10 PM, Dow Jones narrowed its decline to 0.35%, S&P 500 down 0.37%, and Nasdaq down 0.54% [1] Technology Sector Performance - Among the seven major US tech companies, only Apple saw a slight increase of 0.08%, while others experienced declines [3] - Tesla and Nvidia both dropped over 2%, while Facebook and Google fell more than 1.5% [3] - Microsoft and Amazon decreased by 0.56% and 0.91% respectively [3] Chinese Stocks Performance - Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index saw a slight increase of 0.22% [4] - ZTO Express rose over 2%, while Alibaba, Tencent Music, and Baidu Group all increased by over 1% [4][5] Gold Market Insights - Key factors supporting gold prices include ongoing geopolitical tensions, central banks increasing gold holdings, and excess global liquidity [7] - Technical analysis suggests a potential price rally if gold finds support at the 20-day moving average [7]