Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant volatility, with a sharp drop in the morning followed by a gradual recovery in the afternoon [2] - The A-share market also showed fluctuations, with the three major indices slightly rising by the end of the trading day [6] Group 2: Company Specifics -药捷安康 -药捷安康-B experienced a dramatic flash crash, initially surging approximately 50% before plummeting over 50%, with the stock price dropping from a peak of 679.5 HKD to below 200 HKD [4] - The company, which focuses on developing innovative therapies for cancer and other diseases, reported zero revenue and a loss of 1.23 billion RMB in the first half of the year [4] -药捷安康's stock had skyrocketed 50 times since its listing at 13.15 HKD on June 23, attributed partly to a recent announcement regarding a clinical trial for its core product [4][5] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The small float of药捷安康's shares, with only 15.28 million out of a total of 397 million shares available for trading, contributed to the stock's volatility, allowing minor capital inflows to significantly impact the stock price [5] - In the A-share market, 3,629 stocks rose, with 88 hitting the daily limit up, while 1,689 stocks declined [7][8] - The robotics sector saw a collective surge, with multiple stocks, including三花智控 and双环传动, reaching their daily limit up [9] Group 4: Sector Performance - The unified market concept stocks strengthened, with companies like新宁物流 and炬申股份 seeing significant gains [11] - Conversely, the pork sector faced collective adjustments, with天域生物 hitting the daily limit down [13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes China's commitment to ensuring food security and enhancing the diversity of food supply during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2] Group 2 - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has introduced measures to strengthen food security, including increasing grain yield and implementing a large-scale production enhancement initiative [1] - By 2024, China's grain yield per mu is expected to reach 394.7 kg, an increase of 12.5 kg compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan," with single yield contributing over 60% to the growth of grain production [1] - The total grain production in China is projected to exceed 1.4 trillion jin by 2024, an increase of 74 billion jin from 2020, ensuring basic self-sufficiency in grains and absolute safety in staple food [1] Group 3 - By the end of 2024, the total output of meat, eggs, and dairy products in China is expected to reach 175 million tons, an increase of 18.8% from 2020 [2] - The per capita annual consumption of meat and poultry eggs in China is projected to reach 72 kg and 25 kg, respectively, both exceeding the global average [2] - The total output of aquatic products in China is expected to reach 73.58 million tons by 2024, marking a 12.3% increase from 2020, maintaining the country's position as the world's largest producer for 36 consecutive years [2] Group 4 - The area of facility agriculture in China is expected to reach 40 million mu, with the annual output of facility vegetables exceeding 20 million tons [2] - The nutritional intake of urban and rural residents in China is approaching that of developed countries, indicating improved dietary quality and health [2] - The overall message conveys that the Chinese population is not only able to eat enough but also enjoys better and more nutritious food [2]

9月16日，近期港股最"妖"的个股—— 药捷安康-B，盘中突发闪崩，早盘一度暴涨约50%，午后跳水暴跌超50%。股价从最高 679.5港元跌落至不到200港元。 按照一手500股来算，若有投资者从最高点买入，耗资近34万港元，截至发稿，若没有及时止损，将巨亏超过24万港元，损失幅度 高达70%！ | HK$199.2 -215.8 -52.00% [飞ూ行情 | | | 4681 球友关注 交易中 09-16 15:36:34 北京时间 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 最高: 679.5 | 今开: 477.2 | 成交量: 957.80万股 | 换手:3.18% | | 最低: 194.3 | 昨收:415.0 | 成交额：40.21亿 | 振幅:116.92% | | 52周最高: 679.5 | 量比: 1.23 | 市盈率(动)：亏损 | 市盈率(TTM): 亏损 | | 52周最低: 20.2 | 委比:0.00% | 市盈率(静)：亏损 | 市净率:123.84 | | 每股收益: -0.64 | 股息(TTM): -- | 总股本:3.97亿 | 总市值:790.62 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. Core Views Palm Oil - Malaysian crude palm oil futures may gradually rebound and return to 4,500 ringgit, and then start an upward trend. Domestic palm oil futures will remain range - bound in the short term and may follow the upward trend of Malaysian palm oil later, maintaining a view of near - term weakness and long - term strength [1]. Soybean Oil - Analysts expect the NOPA members' soybean oil inventory in August 2025 to decrease by 5.8% compared to July. Domestic soybean oil has both long and short factors, with supply being sufficient and consumption increasing, and the basis quote fluctuating narrowly [1]. Corn - Short - term market supply and demand are loose, the futures market is oscillating weakly; in the medium term, it will remain weak, and short - selling should be cautious [2]. Sugar - The international raw sugar price is expected to maintain a bottom - oscillating pattern. The domestic sugar market has spot pressure, and the futures market may stabilize around 5,500 in the short term, but the rebound space is limited, and a high - selling strategy is recommended [6]. Cotton - In the short term, domestic cotton prices may oscillate within a range, and after the new cotton is listed, prices will face pressure [7]. Eggs - Egg prices are expected to rise to the annual high, but the high inventory and cold - storage eggs may suppress the increase. After the traders' replenishment next week, demand may weaken, and local egg prices may decline slightly [9]. Meal - The domestic meal market has a weak demand pattern, but cost support is strong. It is expected that the 01 contract will operate in the 3,050 - 3,150 range [11]. Pigs - The spot price of pigs is currently weak, but the decline space is limited. Demand is slowly recovering, but whether it can absorb the supply is uncertain. The futures and spot prices are expected to continue to bottom - out [13][14]. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats Industry Price Changes - **Soybean Oil**: The spot price in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 8,610 yuan/ton; the futures price (Y2601) rose by 28 yuan to 8,076 yuan/ton, with a 0.72% increase; the basis (Y2601) decreased by 28 yuan to 534 yuan/ton, a 9.80% decline [1]. - **Palm Oil**: The spot price in Guangdong remained at 9,320 yuan/ton; the futures price (P2601) rose by 112 yuan to 9,174 yuan/ton, a 1.24% increase; the basis (P2601) decreased by 112 yuan to 146 yuan/ton, a 43.41% decline [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The spot price in Jiangsu decreased by 100 yuan to 9,940 yuan/ton; the futures price (Ol601) rose by 15 yuan to 9,511 yuan/ton, a 0.16% increase; the basis (Ol601) decreased by 115 yuan to 429 yuan/ton, a 21.14% decline [1]. Spread Changes - The soybean oil inter - period spread (01 - 05) decreased by 4 yuan to 300 yuan/ton, a 1.32% decline; the palm oil inter - period spread (01 - 05) rose by 14 yuan to 248 yuan/ton, a 5.98% increase; the rapeseed oil inter - period spread (01 - 05) rose by 28 yuan to 380 yuan/ton, a 7.76% increase [1]. Corn Industry Price Changes - The futures price of corn 2511 decreased by 30 yuan to 2,167 yuan/ton, a 1.37% decline; the basis increased by 30 yuan to 143 yuan/ton, a 26.55% increase [2]. - The futures price of corn starch 2511 decreased by 31 yuan to 2,443 yuan/ton, a 1.25% decline; the basis increased by 31 yuan to 117 yuan/ton, a 36.05% increase [2]. Sugar Industry Price Changes - The futures price of sugar 2601 rose by 9 yuan to 5,520 yuan/ton, a 0.16% increase; the ICE raw sugar main contract rose by 0.15 cents to 15.96 cents/pound, a 0.95% increase [6]. Industry Data - The national sugar production and sales increased year - on - year, and the industrial inventory also increased. The sugar import volume increased by 160% [6]. Cotton Industry Price Changes - The futures price of cotton 2605 rose by 30 yuan to 13,850 yuan/ton, a 0.22% increase; the ICE U.S. cotton main contract rose by 0.06 cents to 66.82 cents/pound, a 0.09% increase [7]. Industry Data - Commercial and industrial inventories decreased month - on - month, while imports increased by 66.7%. The textile industry's inventory decreased year - on - year [7]. Egg Industry Price Changes - The futures price of the egg 11 - contract rose by 103 yuan to 3,143 yuan/500KG, a 3.39% increase; the egg producer price rose by 0.12 yuan to 3.66 yuan/jin, a 3.45% increase [9]. Industry Data - The egg - to - feed ratio rose by 0.07 to 2.50, a 2.88% increase; the breeding profit increased by 4.71 yuan to - 17.89 yuan/feather, a 20.84% increase [9]. Meal Industry Price Changes - The spot price of Jiangsu soybean meal decreased by 20 yuan to 3,030 yuan/ton, a 0.66% decline; the futures price (M2601) decreased by 37 yuan to 3,042 yuan/ton, a 1.20% decline [11]. - The spot price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal decreased by 50 yuan to 2,600 yuan/ton, a 1.89% decline; the futures price (RM2601) decreased by 27 yuan to 2,504 yuan/ton, a 1.07% decline [11]. Spread Changes - The oil - to - meal ratio of the main contract rose by 0.05 to 2.75, a 1.87% increase; the soybean - to - rapeseed meal spread in the spot market rose by 30 yuan to 430 yuan/ton, a 7.50% increase [11]. Pig Industry Price Changes - The futures price of the pig 2511 contract rose by 20 yuan to 13,275 yuan/ton, a 0.15% increase; the Henan spot price decreased by 150 yuan to 13,300 yuan/ton [13]. Industry Data - The sample slaughter volume decreased by 590 to 148,082; the self - breeding profit decreased by 35.8 yuan to 17 yuan/head, a 68.02% decline [13].

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen significant achievements in agricultural and rural development in China, with a focus on ensuring food security, modernizing agriculture, and improving rural living conditions [4][5][6]. Agricultural Production - National grain production is projected to exceed 1.4 trillion jin in 2024, an increase of 74 billion jin compared to 2020, with per capita grain availability reaching 500 kg [4][5]. - The total output of livestock products reached 175 million tons by the end of last year, an increase of 27.78 million tons or 18.8% from 2020 [26]. Rural Development and Poverty Alleviation - The government has invested 10.8 trillion yuan in agricultural and rural affairs since the start of the "14th Five-Year Plan," with fixed asset investment in the primary industry reaching 5.47 trillion yuan [2][29]. - Over 6 million individuals at risk of returning to poverty have been identified and assisted, with a stable employment scale of over 30 million for the formerly impoverished population [5][6]. Agricultural Modernization - More than 100 million acres of high-standard farmland have been established, with the contribution rate of agricultural technology progress reaching 63.2% [6][7]. - The mechanization rate for crop farming exceeds 75%, and the coverage rate of high-quality seeds is over 96% [6]. Environmental Sustainability - Agricultural water usage has decreased by an average of 3.6 billion cubic meters annually, with fertilizer and pesticide usage also declining [2][43]. - The recycling rate of agricultural film reached 85%, and the comprehensive utilization rate of straw exceeded 88% [43]. Income and Economic Growth - Rural residents' per capita disposable income reached 23,119 yuan, with the urban-rural income ratio decreasing from 2.56:1 in 2020 to 2.34:1 [7]. - The revenue of large-scale agricultural processing enterprises is projected to reach 1.8 trillion yuan in 2024 [29]. Policy Support and Reform - The government has implemented a comprehensive support policy for agriculture, including subsidies, price supports, and insurance, to stabilize farmers' income [29]. - The second round of land contracts has been extended for another 30 years, ensuring stability in land use rights for farmers [31].

二是大力提升现代渔业发展水平。合理利用渔业资源，积极发展大水面生态渔业，科学发展稻渔综合种 养，加快发展深远海养殖，打造"蓝色粮仓"。2024年，我国水产品总产量已经达到7358万吨，这比2020 年增长12.3%，水产品总产量持续36年居全球第一，当前鱼、虾、蟹、贝等各种水产品品种丰富、供应 充足。 三是大力提升设施农业发展水平。"十四五"时期，我国设施农业快速发展，种植业设施面积达到4000万 亩，设施蔬菜年产量达到2亿吨以上，基本实现周年均衡供应。比如，现在食用菌多来自设施农业，年 产量已经达到4200多万吨，这个产量占到全球的85%。像草莓、樱桃、西瓜等一些设施水果上市时间延 长，满足了城乡居民多样化、个性化需求。 四是大力拓展农业发展空间。推动从传统农作物和畜禽资源向更丰富的生物资源拓展，加快发展生物科 技和生物产业，成功突破关键核心技术，新型食品不断涌现。藻类养殖技术居世界前列，不少品种已经 摆上了百姓的餐桌。 麦尔丹·木盖提指出，在食物开发来源途径不断拓展的同时，我国居民食物营养健康水平更加均衡。据 专家测算，城乡居民摄入的蛋白质、脂肪、碳水化合物三大营养素接近发达国家水平。可以讲，现在老 百姓 ...

Core Viewpoint - The press conference highlighted the achievements of China's agricultural and rural development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing food security, poverty alleviation, agricultural modernization, and rural revitalization as key areas of progress [2][3][4]. Group 1: Food Security - China's grain production reached a new high, surpassing 1.4 trillion jin in 2024, an increase of 74 billion jin compared to 2020, with per capita grain availability reaching 500 kg [2][3]. - The country has maintained a stable supply of various agricultural products, ensuring a diverse and rich diet for the population [2]. Group 2: Poverty Alleviation - The successful completion of the poverty alleviation campaign in 2020 has been followed by efforts to consolidate and expand these achievements, with over 6 million individuals identified for assistance to prevent a return to poverty [3][4]. - The income growth rate of farmers in poverty-stricken areas has outpaced the national average, with over 30 million people employed in various sectors [3]. Group 3: Agricultural Modernization - Significant advancements in agricultural modernization have been made, with over 100 million acres of high-standard farmland established and a mechanization rate exceeding 75% [4][5]. - The contribution rate of agricultural science and technology reached 63.2%, indicating a strong focus on modernizing agricultural practices [4]. Group 4: Rural Revitalization - The construction of livable and workable rural areas has progressed, with improvements in rural infrastructure and public services, including a 76% sanitation toilet coverage rate [4][5]. - The income of rural residents has seen rapid growth, with per capita disposable income reaching 23,119 yuan, and the urban-rural income gap narrowing from 2.56:1 in 2020 to 2.34:1 [5]. Group 5: Agricultural Reform and Development - The government has deepened rural reforms, extending land contracts for an additional 30 years and promoting the establishment of over 2 million farmer cooperatives [5]. - The agricultural social service system has been strengthened, with over 1.1 million operational service entities covering more than 2.29 billion acres [5]. Group 6: Agricultural Technology Innovation - The agricultural technology innovation system has been enhanced, with over 800 research institutions and 120,000 researchers contributing to advancements in agricultural practices [31][32]. - Key breakthroughs in agricultural technology have been achieved, including the development of high-yield crop varieties and advanced agricultural machinery [32][33]. Group 7: Food Safety and Quality - The national agricultural product quality safety monitoring rate has remained stable at over 97.5%, ensuring food safety for consumers [36][37]. - New regulations and monitoring systems have been implemented to enhance the safety and quality of agricultural products [36]. Group 8: Green Development - Efforts to promote green agricultural practices have led to a reduction in fertilizer and pesticide usage, with a 5% decrease in fertilizer application compared to 2020 [41][42]. - The recycling and utilization of agricultural waste have improved, with a significant increase in the rates of straw and manure recycling [42].

Core Insights - The Chinese government is committed to achieving high-quality agricultural development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on rural revitalization and ensuring food security for its 1.4 billion population [1][3]. Agricultural Production - Grain production is set to exceed 1.4 trillion jin (approximately 700 million tons) in 2024, an increase of 74 billion jin (37 million tons) compared to 2020, with per capita grain availability reaching 500 kg [3]. - The production of cotton, oil, sugar, fruits, vegetables, meat, eggs, milk, and aquatic products has been consistently increasing, leading to a more diverse food supply for consumers [3]. Agricultural Modernization - Over 100 million acres of high-standard farmland have been established, with agricultural technology contributing 63.2% to productivity, and the mechanization rate for crop farming exceeding 75% [3]. - The coverage rate of quality seeds for crops has surpassed 96%, indicating significant advancements in agricultural practices [3]. Poverty Alleviation and Income Growth - More than 6.9 million individuals have been identified and assisted to eliminate the risk of returning to poverty, with stable employment for over 30 million people in recent years [5]. - Rural residents' per capita disposable income is projected to reach 23,119 yuan in 2024, with the urban-rural income ratio decreasing from 2.56:1 in 2020 to 2.34:1 [5]. Rural Development and Infrastructure - The rural environment has improved significantly, with a 76% penetration rate of sanitary toilets and over 90% of administrative villages maintaining effective waste management [7]. - The total length of rural roads has exceeded 4.64 million kilometers, and the access rate of tap water in rural areas has reached 94% [7]. Agricultural Diversification - The development of modern livestock and aquaculture has seen significant growth, with total meat, egg, and milk production reaching 17.5 million tons in 2023, an 18.8% increase since 2020 [10]. - The total aquatic product output has reached 7.358 million tons in 2024, marking a 12.3% increase since 2020, maintaining China's position as the world's largest producer of aquatic products for 36 consecutive years [11]. Nutritional Improvement - The nutritional intake of urban and rural residents is approaching that of developed countries, with balanced consumption of protein, fats, and carbohydrates [11].

除了市场萎缩，美国农业生产成本也在急剧上升。例如，受与加拿大贸易争端的影响，化肥成本急剧上 升。美国蒙大拿州前民主党参议员乔恩·特斯特此前接受采访时表示："（美国）总统实施的这些关税打 乱了我们的供应链，增加了新设备的成本，由于贸易和关税问题，很多客户都对美国敬而远之。" 据非 营利组织"农场援助"调查，美国种植户表示"今年每英亩损失100—200美元"。 此外，不确定性也让农民十分焦虑。美国康奈尔大学农业经济学教授沃尔夫表示，关税自实施以来剧烈 波动——这种不确定性对农民而言十分艰难。 种种困难正在考验农民对本届美国政府的忠诚。BBC报道提到，多位分析人士认为，虽然目前许多美国 农民仍对特朗普的政策表示支持，但这也是有条件的。报道援引艾奥瓦州奶农马克斯韦尔的话表 示，"我们给他机会落实关税，但最好能有结果，我们需要在18个月内看到成效。" 【环球时报报道 记者 李迅典】从订单减少到化肥涨价，从设备成本提升到供应链被扰乱，美国政府的 关税政策正让美国农民肩上的压力愈发沉重。英国广播公司（BBC）15日引述美国农业团体的话报道 称，美国农民"正处于贸易与财政悬崖"。美国《新闻周刊》网站也报道称，全美各地农民在美 ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 生猪日报 2025 年 9 月 15 日 【生猪日报】供应压力增加 猪价继续回落 今 日 昨 日 变 化 今 日 昨 日 变 化 河南（0） 13.36 13.50 -0.14 山西（-100） 12.81 13.00 -0.19 湖北（0） 13.09 13.25 -0.16 辽 宁 12.90 13.11 -0.21 安徽（200） 13.50 13.63 -0.13 吉林（-300） 12.89 13.04 -0.15 湖南（100） 13.12 13.22 -0.10 黑龙江 12.84 12.86 -0.02 四川（-100） 12.87 13.17 -0.30 福建（500） 14.49 14.49 0 江西（100） 13.18 13.32 -0.14 广东（500） 14.52 14.52 0 山东（200） 13.36 13.56 -0.20 广西(-200) 12.59 12.59 0 江苏（500） 13.59 13.77 -0.18 云南（-600） 13.07 13.17 -0.1 河北（100） 13.17 13.4 -0.23 贵州（-300） 1 ...