现如今国际金融圈里，最引人瞩目的非黄金莫属了吧！正当人们还在紧盯着股市的涨跌时，国际金价却悄然冲上了每盎司4400美元的高点，真是让人惊讶不 已！ 要是两年前有人严肃地跟你说，黄金的价格能一直涨到每盎司4400美元，你大概会觉得他要么脑袋有点问题，要么就是在说段子。但现在，事实却狠狠地打 了大家个措手不及，把这个"段子"变成了现实。 更让人心里发毛的，倒不是这轮疯狂上涨本身，而是背后那只操控的大手。如果你还在盯着K线图寻求技术支持，恐怕已经迷失了方向。 当全世界的散户和大妈们还在为高不可攀的金价犹豫要不要出手时，掌控国家财库的央行们，却像早已心照不宣般，全面开启了无所不用其极的买入操作。 这可不是什么普通的投资行为，而是一场能改变金融教材内容的重大战略转折。从今年开始，全球央行们在市场上的黄金净买入总额已经超过了1000吨。 你得留意，这里的"净买入"两个字特别关键，意味着黄金正以单向的方式，从市场极速流入各国政府的金库，简直就像在大搬家一样。 平日里参加国际金融会议穿着西装笔挺的那些决策者们，此刻正用行动向市场传递一个信号：在这个充满变数的年代，唯有那金灿灿的金属块才算得上最靠 谱的定心丸。 想好好看看这波 ...

展望下阶段，中信证券报告认为，2026年金价有望继续受益于美联储降息带来的流动性宽松氛围，全球 黄金ETF流入将作为黄金的重要买盘。潜在的地缘政治风险和贸易冲突引发的避险情绪将继续支撑金 价，去美元化、央行购金等长期趋势构成金价上涨的坚实基础，预计2026年金价将再创新高，但考虑到 2025年金价涨幅显著，且上述因素已部分在金价中兑现，预计2026年金价涨幅或收窄至10%-15%，全年 价格或冲击5000美元/盎司。 南开大学金融学教授田利辉28日对记者表示，当下普通投资者应"回归本质，保持敬畏"。首先，必须从 根本上区分自身是作为"配置者"还是"交易者"。对于配置者，黄金是家庭金融资产的"压舱石"之一，其 意义在于风险对冲而非博取收益，建议采用定投方式平滑成本，并严格控制整体仓位比例。对于交易 者，则必须清醒认识到，当前价格已极度超前反映预期，市场脆弱性上升，应恪守止损纪律，尤其白银 波动性是黄金的数倍，非专业投资者不宜深涉。其次，建议所有投资者审视自身的投资组合，金银的仓 位不应挤压对成长性资产的长期布局。 央广网北京12月28日消息（记者 宓迪）国际金银价格近期成为市场焦点。Wind数据显示，截至记者发 ...

在短短的72小时内，从2025年12月22日到25日，国际黄金市场经历了一场前所未有的风暴。伦敦现货黄金价格如脱缰野马般狂飙，一举冲破了4400美元/ 盎司的强大心理关口，最高触及令人瞠目结舌的4421.35美元，年内涨幅令人难以置信地达到了68%。 与此同时，COMEX黄金期货市场更是上演了一场疯狂的盛宴，价格扶摇直上，稳稳地站上了4450美元的高峰，在人类金融史上写下了浓墨重彩的一笔， 创下了前所未有的新高。 将视线转向国内，沪金期货主力合约同样表现活跃，毫不示弱地突破了1000元/克的重要关口。这意味着什么？意味着在期货市场上，你手中的每一克黄 金都价值千金，其意义非同寻常。 线下金店同样热闹非凡，一片"涨"声。周大福、周生生等知名品牌的足金饰品挂牌价一路攀升，直接飙升至每克1367元甚至1368元，高昂的价格堪比在销 售"传家宝"。 不仅如此，就连平日里紧随黄金脚步的白银和铂金也迎来了彻底的爆发。白银年内涨幅超过114%，铂金更是自2008年金融危机以来首次突破2000美元大 关，尽显贵金属的投资魅力。 面对如此近乎失控的暴涨，监管层显然无法袖手旁观。上海期货交易所迅速做出反应，连夜发布风险控制措施， ...

Core Insights - Gold reached a historic high of $4540 per ounce on December 26, 2025, closing at $4533.34, with a weekly increase of 4.49% and a daily rise of 1.19% [1] - In 2025, gold was one of the best-performing assets globally, with an annual increase exceeding 70%, while the S&P 500 index only rose about 17% [2] - The strong upward trend in gold prices is driven by safe-haven inflows and expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2] Monetary Policy and Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve restarted its easing cycle in September 2025, cutting rates by 25 basis points, followed by another similar cut in October [2] - Market expectations for a third consecutive rate cut in December increased due to signs of economic weakness and dovish signals from key policymakers [2] - There is an anticipated additional easing space of 60 basis points in 2026, equivalent to two potential 25 basis point cuts and a possible third cut [2] Geopolitical Factors - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle Eastern unrest, have significantly contributed to the rise in gold prices, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset [2] - Increased tensions between India and Pakistan, along with the ongoing civil war in Sudan, are also influencing gold's appeal [2] Central Bank Activities - Central banks are diversifying their reserves by accumulating gold, with China being a consistent buyer since Trump's election [3] - The Reserve Bank of India has increased its gold reserves due to rising import price pressures, along with several emerging market central banks like Kazakhstan, Turkey, and Uzbekistan joining this trend [3] - In the first three quarters of 2025, global central banks net purchased 634 tons of gold, significantly above the average levels prior to 2022, providing strong support for gold prices [3] Technical Analysis of Gold Prices - Gold prices have maintained a bullish trend, consistently reaching new highs and surpassing the $4500 per ounce mark [4] - There are signs of waning bullish momentum, indicating a potential technical correction in the near future [4] - The relative strength index remains above the neutral level of 50, but has breached the overbought threshold of 70, suggesting increased short-term correction risks [4] Price Levels and Support/Resistance - The key resistance level for gold is set at $4600 per ounce, which, if surpassed, could trigger a stronger upward trend by the end of 2025 [5] - A short-term support level is identified at $4300 per ounce, which is crucial if a technical correction occurs [5] - A strong support level is at $4200 per ounce, near the 50-period simple moving average, which is critical for maintaining the current bullish trend [5]

大家好，今天犀哥这篇财经评论，主要来聊聊疯涨的金价。社交平台上全是晒黄金收益的，线下金店更 是排起长队，跟不要钱似的。 但热闹归热闹，大部分人其实都是懵的：身边人都在买，不买怕错过风口，真要掏钱了，又犯嘀咕，不 知道金价为啥涨，也怕买了就跌，黄金到底能买吗？ 金价为啥能一直涨？半个世纪前就演过一遍 很多人觉得这轮黄金上涨是突然冒出来的行情，但只要回头看看黄金的历史就知道，现在的上涨逻辑， 半个世纪前早就上演过一遍了。 二战结束后，搞了个布雷顿森林体系，明确规定35美元能换1盎司黄金，那时候美元为啥叫"美金"？就 是因为背后有黄金兜底，信用靠得住。 上世纪70年代，黄金用10年时间涨了25倍，从35美元每盎司直接飙到800多美元每盎司，那轮行情的核 心驱动力，跟现在几乎一模一样，都是全球信用体系出了问题。 除了担心美元信用，利率低也给黄金上涨帮了忙，黄金这东西有个特点，它不生利息，你买了放那，不 会像存银行那样自动生钱。 所以它的吸引力，全看存银行划算不划算，现在美联储已经开始降息了，全球不少央行也跟着放宽政 策，银行存款利息越来越低，把钱存银行赚不到啥钱，甚至可能跑不赢通胀，这时候黄金的吸引力就显 出来了。 ...

SI00 2 501 7 0381 8277 CAVDIYO BUZ RO 200-IM : ' 11.308.3 · DM SAIII 2026年黄金价格或突破5000美元，美联储 球避险需求推动，投资者可关注黄金ETF及 局。 黄金价格——2026年走势将会出乎你的意料2026年，让无数人又爱又怕的黄金价格将会走出怎样的趋势？先说结论，给大家一颗定心丸：2026年，黄金不是 在创新高，就是在去创新高的路上。目标5000美元大关，甚至更高！肯定有人要跳出来说："你别忽悠了，现在金价都快4500美元了，还涨？还能涨多少？ 一进去就成了接盘侠！"这就是人性的弱点——贪婪与恐惧的博弈。看到涨了这么多，你不敢买，觉得是泡沫；等真的回调了，你又怕是崩盘，还是不敢 买。结果呢？眼睁睁看着机会从指缝里溜走，最后只能在评论区里喊一句"早知道"。别慌，听我给你拆解。一、 为什么我敢这么肯定黄金价格会上涨做股 票最讲究"顺势而为"。这股势，就是宏观经济的大潮。1. 美联储的"降息大礼包"还没发完。 2026年，美联储大概率还要继续降息。借钱成本低了，谁还愿 意把钱存在银行吃那点利息？钱总得找个地方去，黄金这种无息资产，就成了香 ...

由三亚市人民政府主办，《财经》杂志、财经网、《财经智库》、三亚中央商务区管理局、三亚经济研 究院承办的"三亚·财经国际论坛暨第五届三亚财富管理大会"12月27日在海南三亚举行，主题为"海南自 贸港未来定位及三亚新机遇"。 海南大谷国际园区董事长张焱在论坛上表示，金融业是 高强度、高资本、高税收、高人才 的行业，政 策哪里有"洼地"，企业就会流向哪里。 海南大谷国际园区董事长 张焱 张焱在论坛发言中围绕海南自贸港发展背景，重点分享了金融聚集区建设、实体产业机遇及财富管理三 大主题。他回顾了亚太金融小镇自2017年以来的发展历程，指出2020年6月《海南自贸港总体方案》发 布后，双15%税收等政策红利迅速吸引企业涌入，推动三亚中央商务区等园区形成金融聚集效应。 金融创新方面，海南在QDLP（合格境内有限合伙人）、QFLP（合格境外有限合伙人）及ODI（境外直 接投资）等领域已实现开放突破，未来或可探索与香港在稳定币等前沿领域的合作。此外，人才配套措 施如安居房、医疗与教育资源完善，为金融人才落地提供了支撑。 主持并发言：肖 耿，香港中文大学（深圳）公共政策学院副院长、香港国际金融学会主席 主持人：我们有三位重量级 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market experienced a significant surge in December 2025, with gold prices surpassing $4500 per ounce for the first time, driven by multiple factors including interest rate expectations, geopolitical risks, and supply-demand dynamics [1][3][4]. Group 1: Price Movements - On December 24, 2025, spot gold reached $4511.93 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over $1880, or nearly 70% [1]. - Spot silver also hit a historical high of $71.87 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase approaching 140% [1]. - In the domestic market, brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang saw their gold jewelry prices exceed 1400 yuan per gram, with specific prices reaching 1411 yuan per gram for Chow Sang Sang [1][2]. Group 2: Factors Supporting Gold Price Increase - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has increased, with predictions of at least two rate cuts in 2026 due to rising unemployment and declining inflation [3]. - Geopolitical risks, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and tensions in the Middle East, have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3]. - Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, are accelerating their gold purchases as part of a "de-dollarization" strategy, contributing to long-term support for gold prices [3]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Rising mining costs and stricter environmental regulations are slowing the growth of gold production [4]. - Increased demand for industrial gold, particularly in electronics and renewable energy sectors, is also contributing to the overall demand for gold [4]. - Investors are reallocating their assets from volatile stock and real estate markets to gold, further boosting short-term demand [4]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - For long-term holding or emergency liquidity, gold bars and coins are recommended over jewelry, as they are closer to raw gold prices and have lower premiums [6]. - Gold ETFs are suggested for those who prefer not to hold physical gold, as they offer convenience and liquidity similar to stocks [7]. - Caution is advised against high-leverage products like gold futures, which carry significant risks and are not suitable for average investors without expertise [8]. Group 5: Consumer Guidance - When purchasing wedding gold items, consumers are encouraged to consider smaller weights and designs that balance cost and aesthetic appeal, avoiding excessive spending on larger pieces [10]. - It is important for consumers to avoid blindly chasing high prices and to consider a diversified investment approach, allocating a reasonable portion of their assets to gold [12][13].

Group 1 - The Sanya Financial International Forum and the Fifth Sanya Wealth Management Conference will be held on December 27 in Sanya, Hainan [1][6] - Dai Min, head of investment advisory at Fidelity, highlighted significant achievements by leading Chinese technology companies in open-source models, model applications, and industrial robotics, benefiting both China and the global capital market [3][8] - The current economic upturn, supported by technology, presents opportunities for growth through diversified global equity asset allocation [3][8] Group 2 - The development of new energy has reached a stage where it not only applies to the energy sector but also drives demand for storage and computing power, which may create opportunities in traditional commodities, particularly copper, as a hedge against a weakening dollar [3][8] - Dai Min emphasized that gold assets will play an important role in capital preservation, similar to fixed income, amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [3][8] - There is a necessity for domestic wealth management to incorporate more diverse and composite investment tools into its framework [4][8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the precious metals market witnessed a spectacular bull market driven by multiple factors such as the evolution of the global monetary system, geopolitical risks, and supply - demand imbalances. In 2026, the precious metals market will be jointly driven by macro - financial attributes and industrial supply - demand fundamentals, with significant differentiation among varieties [4][97]. - The safe - haven attribute of precious metals is shifting from the traditional model to hedging against sovereign credit risks. The currency attribute is affected by factors like inflation, employment, and central bank monetary policies. The commodity attribute is characterized by structural changes in supply and demand for different precious metals [19][27][68]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - In 2025, all four major precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, and palladium) soared. Gold continued its bull market, silver and platinum doubled in value, and the precious metals sector became the most outstanding asset class. The market's rise was phased, with gold leading in Q1, silver emerging in Q2, and platinum and palladium surging in Q3 and Q4 [4]. - Gold reached a record high of over $4500 per ounce, with a nearly 70% annual increase. Silver was the star performer, rising over 140%. Platinum and palladium also had significant gains, with platinum up about 160% and palladium over 100% [8][10][14][17]. 3.2 Evolution Logic of the Safe - Haven Attribute - The safe - haven function of precious metals is shifting from traditional geopolitical and economic recession hedging to hedging against the sustainability of sovereign currency credit, especially the US dollar. This is due to the weakening of the US dollar credit and the multi - polarization reconstruction of the global monetary system [19]. - Different precious metals show different safe - haven attributes. Gold is most directly related to sovereign credit concerns, while silver reflects both safe - haven sentiment and industrial cycle changes, and platinum and palladium are more closely related to specific industry trends [21]. - The US debt situation, policy uncertainty, and the potential for a significant correction in the US stock market may increase the safe - haven value of precious metals. However, if geopolitical tensions ease or AI technology boosts productivity, the safe - haven attribute may weaken [23][25][26]. 3.3 Evolution Logic of the Currency Attribute - In 2026, global inflation is expected to continue its moderate decline, but there are significant regional differences. US inflation remains sticky, with a complex "U - shaped" or wave - like downward trend, while the eurozone's inflation problem is basically resolved [27][33][36]. - The US employment market is expected to remain weak in 2026, with low job growth and a rising unemployment rate. This will put pressure on the Fed's decision - making [41][42]. - The Fed is expected to cut interest rates in 2026, but the pace will be extremely slow, and the first cut may be later than market expectations. The difference in interest - rate cut expectations between the Fed and non - US central banks will affect the US dollar index and precious metals prices [52][59][60]. 3.4 Evolution Logic of the Commodity Attribute - In 2026, gold demand is expected to be driven by strategic allocation, with official and institutional investors playing a key role. Supply is facing long - term structural constraints, such as limited growth in mining and reduced elasticity in recycling [68][70]. - The silver market has been in a supply shortage for five consecutive years, and the gap is expected to widen in 2026. Supply growth is highly inelastic, while demand is driven by industrial needs and investment [73][74][75]. - The platinum market is expected to reach a tight balance in 2026, but the underlying support is fragile. Any unexpected supply disruption or demand surge may break the balance [79]. - The palladium market is expected to shift from a supply shortage to a surplus in 2026, driven by the decline in automotive demand due to electrification and a marginal increase in supply [80][81]. 3.5 Dynamic Combination Analysis of Fundamental and Technical Aspects - London gold has been in a long - term upward trend. It is expected to continue rising until the Fed hints at the end of interest - rate cuts in mid - 2026. Attention should be paid to the pressure at $4830 - 5000 and the support at $4000 [84][85]. - London silver is expected to have high volatility. It is recommended to focus on the pressure at $100 - 120 and the support at $58 [88][89]. - London platinum has entered a new cycle. Pay attention to the pressure at $3000 - 3300 and the support at $1760 [91]. - London palladium is in a long - term re - balancing phase. Focus on the pressure at $2080 - 2480 and the support at $1480 [95]. 3.6 Future Market Direction from the Perspective of Long - Short Game - In 2026, the precious metals market will continue to be strong, but there will be significant differentiation among varieties. Gold will be the most stable, silver will have high price elasticity, platinum has great potential, and palladium is expected to be the weakest [97]. 3.7 Overview of the Domestic Precious Metals Industry Chain - In the first three quarters of 2025, domestic gold production increased, with both domestic and imported raw materials contributing. Gold consumption decreased, but there were differences among different product categories. China has been increasing its gold reserves for strategic reasons [98][100][102]. - Major domestic gold enterprises have different production plans and characteristics. For example, Zijin Mining is the largest producer with a high proportion of overseas output, and Shandong Gold has rich resource reserves in the Jiaodong gold belt [103].