贵金属投资
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白银突破 37 美元创 13 年新高,金银走势分化加剧, 你的投资该押哪边?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 08:12
Group 1: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices have surged, breaking the $37 per ounce mark, reaching a 13-year high, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 30% [1][2] - The rise in silver is attributed to a delayed valuation correction, as the gold-silver ratio peaked at 106, significantly above the historical average of 40-80, indicating silver was undervalued [2] - Speculative capital has flowed into the silver market, with a notable increase in net long positions in COMEX silver futures, as institutions bet on the gold-silver ratio reverting to its mean [2] Group 2: Factors Supporting Silver Prices - Multiple factors are contributing to the rise in silver prices, including an improved international trade environment and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which have increased capital inflow into the silver market [2] - Weak employment and service sector PMI data have raised market expectations for a 70% chance of a rate cut in September, while the dollar index has fallen below 99, creating favorable conditions for silver pricing [2] - The industrial demand for silver, particularly from the photovoltaic and battery sectors, is also bolstering price increases [2] Group 3: Impact on the Silver Supply Chain - The surge in silver prices is impacting the supply chain, particularly for downstream photovoltaic companies, where silver constitutes over 10% of solar cell costs, leading to profit pressures and adjustments in procurement strategies [3] - Some small and medium enterprises are delaying expansion plans and exploring silver paste recycling and low-silver technologies due to rising costs [3] - Jewelry manufacturers are also affected, with retail prices lagging behind wholesale prices, resulting in a situation where small workshops are halting orders due to cost pressures [3] Group 4: Gold Market Dynamics - The gold market is experiencing volatility, driven by geopolitical factors and a shift in investment focus towards silver, which is perceived as undervalued [4] - Although gold retains its appeal as a safe-haven asset, its short-term performance is being constrained by the diversion of funds to silver, leading to reduced trading activity in traditional gold investment channels [4] - Gold ETFs have seen a slight reduction in holdings, but gold remains a stable asset in institutional portfolios, with a consistent allocation despite short-term trading fluctuations [4] Group 5: Future Outlook - In the short term, silver may face resistance at the 2011 high point, with potential for price corrections due to profit-taking [5] - However, the long-term outlook for silver remains positive, supported by global de-dollarization trends and increasing industrial demand, suggesting a sustained upward trajectory [5] - Gold's future performance will depend on Federal Reserve policies and geopolitical tensions, with potential for upward movement if interest rates are cut or if safe-haven demand increases [5] Group 6: Market Transformation - The current gold-silver divergence is reshaping market perceptions and strategies regarding precious metals, leading to a new balance and transformation within the precious metals market [6]
红狮金业2025年中黄金论坛召开,三四季度市场展望
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 03:15
地缘冲突升级与科技变革交织,全球顶尖分析师共绘贵金属投资新蓝图 2025年6月14日,红狮金业2025年中投资论坛在香港线下线上同步盛大开幕。本次论坛汇聚领域顶尖贵金属分析师和金融科技 专家,围绕三四季度黄金、白银及原油走势展开深度剖析,并系统性探讨人工智能在黄金交易领域的革命性应用。 贵金属走势:避险需求推动黄金白银持续走强 论坛开场,红狮金融研究院首席分析师展示了最新预期分析:黄金价格在第三季度有望再次突破3500美元/盎司,而白银在工 业与投资双重需求推动下,可能挑战42美元/盎司的历史新高。 论坛现场展示的资本流动监测数据显示,在近期中东冲突升级期间,全球资金呈现出"风险资产抛售+避险资产涌入"的典型模 式。军#工、石油石化板块逆势领涨,而传统消费板块则明显承压。"这不是短期扰动","地缘冲突风险溢价已嵌入贵金属长 期定价。当市场看到伊朗核设施成为打击目标,意味着游戏规则已经发生本质变化。" 科技变革:AI重塑黄金交易生态 本次论坛最具前瞻性的议题聚焦AI技术在黄金交易中的应用。红狮科技金融实验室负责人首次展示了 AI黄金交易辅助系统的 两大突破性进展: 1. 多模态市场情绪分析:整合新闻文本、社交媒 ...
中国央行连续18月增持黄金,释放2025年贵金属投资三大信号
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 09:23
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves to 73.7 million ounces as of March 2025, marking 18 consecutive months of accumulation, reflecting a strategic response to global economic uncertainties [1] - The gold reserves now account for 5.5% of the country's foreign exchange reserves, aligning with the global trend of central banks moving away from the US dollar, with a record net purchase of 1,044 tons of gold in 2024 [1] - The price of Shanghai gold futures reached a high of 782.42 yuan per gram on June 4, indicating sustained market recognition of the investment value of precious metals [1] Group 2 - China's gold reserve ratio is only one-third of the global average, prompting the central bank to adopt a "pulse-style increase" strategy, with a record monthly increase of 10.26 tons in December 2024 [3] - This strategic adjustment not only diversifies risks associated with dollar assets but also supports the internationalization of the renminbi, enhancing the credibility of the sovereign currency [3] - Gold is increasingly seen as a long-term asset allocation "ballast" for individual investors, with Jinsheng Precious Metals providing a robust safety net through its compliance and auditing measures [3] Group 3 - Geopolitical risks and policy uncertainties, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and fluctuating US tariff policies, have created a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold [4] - On June 3, international gold prices rose by 1% due to the breakdown of negotiations regarding the Russia-Ukraine prisoner exchange, surpassing 3,390 yuan per gram, highlighting gold's role as a crisis hedge [4] - Jinsheng Precious Metals has established a comprehensive service system to address this trend, achieving a customer satisfaction rate of 97.3% in Q1 2025 [4] Group 4 - The dual characteristics of enhanced safe-haven attributes and surging industrial demand in the precious metals market have prompted Jinsheng Precious Metals to leverage technology to build a competitive trading ecosystem [5] - The platform connects directly with Bloomberg data, ensuring market data latency of less than 0.3 seconds and supporting multi-currency settlements, catering to diverse global investor needs [5] - Jinsheng Precious Metals has also implemented blockchain technology for supply chain traceability, aligning with EU carbon tax standards, thus enabling investors to capitalize on opportunities in the hydrogen energy revolution [5] Group 5 - The continuous increase in gold reserves by the People's Bank of China signals a strategic response to changes in the global financial landscape, guiding individual investors towards precious metal investments in 2025 [6] - In an era where compliance, technological innovation, and user experience are core competitive advantages, Jinsheng Precious Metals is building a "safe, efficient, and transparent" trading ecosystem based on Hong Kong's financial regulatory framework [6] - The company aims to facilitate both short-term trading and long-term asset allocation, enabling wealth growth in a complex environment by aligning with market trends [6]
供不应求推动铂金现货价格逼近一年来高点
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-04 21:16
● 本报记者 葛瑶 在黄金高位震荡之际,铂金市场正在开启一段强劲上涨行情。Wind数据显示,6月4日,铂金现货价格 强势突破1080美元/盎司关口,逼近最近一年来高点。年初至今,铂金现货价格累计上涨近20%。 支撑此轮涨势的核心在于持续加剧的供应短缺,世界铂金投资协会发布的最新报告称,2025年铂金地上 近期,支撑铂金价格上涨的核心动力来自基本面变化。世界铂金投资协会数据显示,2025年铂金地上存 量将降至67吨,仅够满足三个月需求。该协会发布的最新报告称,今年第一季度全球铂金总供应量同比 下降10%,降至45吨。同期全球铂金需求同比增长10%至71吨,这一增长主要归因于强劲的投资需求。 世界铂金投资协会在报告中称:"受与关税相关的不确定性及区域溢价扩大驱动,大量铂金流入美国市 场,推动交易所库存显著增加。投资需求的增长有效抵消了汽车及工业领域需求的下滑。" 存量预计仅能满足三个月需求,一季度全球供应同比锐减10%至45吨。与此同时,投资需求激增推动纽 约商业交易所(NYMEX)铂金期货总持仓量与管理基金净多持仓飙升至近五年同期峰值,市场对铂金 市场投资情绪正悄然回暖。 今年以来涨幅接近黄金 从数据来看,铂金 ...
6月黄金投资趋势解析:通胀与避险需求下的机遇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 09:28
Core Viewpoint - The gold market in June 2025 is experiencing multiple forces at play, with international gold prices showing resilience amid U.S. tariff policy adjustments and a declining dollar index, while central bank gold purchases reach historic highs, highlighting gold's strategic value as a crisis hedge [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - International gold prices fluctuate between $3,200 and $3,400 per ounce, influenced by U.S. tariff policies and a falling dollar index [1] - Global central bank gold purchases in Q1 2025 hit a record high, with the People's Bank of China increasing its gold reserves for 18 consecutive months [1] - Market expectations for interest rate cuts are rising ahead of the Federal Reserve's June 15 meeting, potentially lowering the opportunity cost of holding gold if real interest rates turn negative [1] - Geopolitical tensions, including escalating conflicts in the Middle East and the Taiwan Strait, alongside the "global tariff war" policy of the Trump administration, are enhancing gold's safe-haven appeal [1] Group 2: Investment Platform Insights - Jinseng Precious Metals, as an AA-class member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, leverages compliance and technological innovation to create a comprehensive investment advantage [2] - The platform's proprietary trading system enables millisecond order execution and supports automated trading needs, ensuring smooth transactions even during market volatility [2] - Security measures include a bank-grade segregated account system and a rapid fund transfer mechanism to mitigate risks of fund misappropriation [2] Group 3: Demand and Supply Trends - Global gold demand increased by 12% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with Chinese investment in gold bars and coins surging by 48% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The correlation between gold and A-shares has dropped from 0.74 (2002-2022) to 0.05 (2022-2025), while the negative correlation with 10-year government bonds has risen to -0.94, indicating gold's effectiveness in hedging against asset portfolio risks during stock and bond market volatility [4] Group 4: Service Differentiation - Jinseng Precious Metals offers a streamlined "one-step account opening" process, allowing account activation within 10 minutes and providing competitive spreads and zero commission policies [5] - The platform employs AI and big data analytics for personalized risk management, with alerts triggered during significant market volatility to prevent unexpected liquidations [5] - A dedicated 24/7 customer service team provides timely responses and market analysis guidance, alongside regular online investment seminars to enhance investor skills [6] Group 5: Investment Strategy Recommendations - In the current economic climate, gold's value as a "hard currency" is being redefined, with Jinseng Precious Metals positioned to help investors navigate market cycles through technological and service innovations [7] - Short-term trading strategies suggest monitoring support at $3,200 per ounce and resistance at $3,400 per ounce for potential high-low trading opportunities [7] - Long-term investment strategies may include dollar-cost averaging through regular accumulation plans linked to Au9999 prices, suitable for financial planning needs [7] - For investors holding stocks or cryptocurrencies, utilizing gold ETFs or London gold contracts for hedging against volatility is recommended [7]
巨富金业:特朗普关税政策恢复引波动,黄金回调低吸交易逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 07:50
③关税政策加剧市场波动 美国联邦上诉法院恢复特朗普关税政策,关税政策的不确定性影响美与他国贸易关系,左右全球经济前景与市场避险情绪,导致黄金价格震荡。政策收紧或 刺激金价,缓和则可能抑制金价。 综上,地缘冲突、美国经济数据与关税政策共同作用于现货黄金市场。投资者需紧盯俄乌局势、美国经济数据及关税政策变化,把握投资机会。 二、现货黄金技术面: 一、现货黄金基本面: ①地缘政治推升避险需求 6月1日,乌克兰无人机袭击多个俄罗斯军用机场,远至西伯利亚的贝拉亚基地亦受损,俄罗斯多地防空系统启动。地缘冲突加剧,作为避险资产的黄金,其 需求显著提升,只要局势未缓解,黄金将持续获避险买盘支撑。 ②美国经济数据影响市场预期 美国4月PCE物价指数同比涨2.1%,低于预期的2.2%,市场押注美联储9月降息概率升至87%。同时,二手房成交量、领先经济指数等数据疲软,显示美国经 济增长承压,进一步增加黄金避险需求。美联储若进入降息周期,黄金还将因持有成本下降、货币供应量增加而获上涨动力。 三、现货白银技术面: 复盘昨日现货白银市场表现,价格走出了单边上涨走势,最终突破震荡区间上边界33.710,顺利抵达目标位34.110,成功斩获 ...
【2025 财富密码】年轻人必看!金盛贵金属如何在乱世中稳赢?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 01:41
地缘黑天鹅频现:俄乌冲突重启军事行动、中东停火谈判僵局,历史数据显示类似危机期间贵金属平均涨幅达 8- 12%。金盛贵金属 24 小时风险预警机制,让您在动荡中稳如磐石。 理财观念迭代:年轻人从 "攒金豆" 转向 "新三金" 组合(货基 + 债基 + 黄金),金盛贵金属 0.01 手灵活建仓、零 佣金政策,完美适配小额分散投资需求,交易成本节省超 35%。 二、金盛贵金属:科技赋能的新一代投资引擎 AI 驱动的智能投研:由华尔街分析师、区块链专家组成的投研天团,运用大数据预测模型,精准捕捉美联储议息 会议、非农数据等关键节点。2025 年 Q1 成功预判金价突破 2900 美元 / 盎司,为用户创造超额收益。 2025 年贵金属市场迎来史诗级变局!美联储降息预期推迟至年末,中东局势持续升温引发黄金避险需求激增,沪 金主力合约突破 780 元关键阻力位。世界黄金协会数据显示,年轻投资者对黄金 ETF 配置比例同比增长 35%,而 金盛贵金属凭借智能交易系统和全天候专业团队,成为 Z 世代对冲风险的首选平台。 一、乱世掘金:2025 年贵金属投资的三大底层逻辑 政策博弈加剧:美国债务规模占 GDP 比重超 80% ...
黄金投资有哪些新手容易踩的坑?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-02 08:16
Core Insights - The recent volatility in the gold market is attributed to fluctuating expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and the impact of inexperienced investors falling into multiple traps [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of June 2025, London spot gold fluctuated around $3,290 per ounce, down 6% from the historical high in April [1] - Global gold demand is projected to reach a record high in 2024, despite the rise in risks such as scams and high leverage liquidation events [1] Group 2: Common Traps for New Investors - **Herd Mentality**: Many new investors view gold as a guaranteed profit tool, leading to impulsive buying during price surges, resulting in significant losses during downturns [3] - **Overtrading**: New investors often overlook trading costs, with some platforms charging spreads as high as $0.8 per ounce, potentially leading to a 12% annual loss on capital due to frequent trading [4] - **Neglecting Risk Management**: High leverage in gold trading can lead to substantial losses; for instance, a 1% price fluctuation with 50x leverage can result in a 50% loss of capital [5] - **Platform Scams**: The rise of clone platform scams poses a significant risk, as seen in a case where an investor was misled into transferring 1.9 million yuan to a fraudulent account [6] - **Lack of Planning**: Long-term investors in gold (over 5 years) achieve an average annual return of 8.2%, while frequent traders see only 15% achieving positive returns [7] Group 3: Recommendations for New Investors - New investors are advised to accumulate experience through simulated trading and to utilize educational resources to understand market influences [3] - Implementing a "pyramid accumulation" strategy is recommended, where initial positions do not exceed 20% of capital, with incremental increases based on market movements [8] - The importance of verifying platform legitimacy and transaction speed is emphasized to avoid scams [6]
伦敦金or伦敦银?投资今天怎么选?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-02 07:14
Core Insights - The global financial market is experiencing multiple dynamics, including rising expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, a declining US dollar index, and fluctuating prices for gold and silver, with London gold stabilizing around $3,300 per ounce and London silver around $33 per ounce [1] - The investment landscape for gold and silver is influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain concerns due to tariff policies, leading to a dual logic of safe-haven demand and industrial attributes [1] - Year-to-date, London gold has increased over 12%, while silver has shown higher volatility, presenting differentiated investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Comparison of Gold and Silver Characteristics - London gold is viewed as a traditional safe-haven asset, with price fluctuations primarily driven by macroeconomic cycles and monetary policy, particularly the potential for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June [3] - The expected core PCE inflation rate for 2025 is 2.7%, providing long-term support for gold prices [3] - London silver, with over 50% of its demand coming from industrial applications, saw a 21.5% price increase in 2024, but is expected to face a 21% reduction in global supply gap in 2025, making it more susceptible to short-term market sentiment [3] Group 2: Role of Jinsheng Precious Metals in Investment Decisions - Jinsheng Precious Metals, a member of the Hong Kong Gold and Silver Exchange, offers a trading platform that connects deeply with international markets, providing 24-hour two-way trading services for gold and silver [4] - The platform features a transparent cost structure with a standard spread of $30 per lot for gold and $100 per lot for silver, along with a leverage ratio of 1:100 [4] - Jinsheng's customer service team is available 24/7 to assist investors, especially during critical market events such as Federal Reserve policy changes [4] Group 3: Investment Strategy Recommendations - A suggested strategy for ordinary investors is to adopt a "gold base + silver enhancement" approach, allocating 70% of the portfolio to gold and 30% to silver [5] - Key signals to monitor include the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in June and changes in US non-farm employment data, which could influence gold and silver prices [5] - Jinsheng's simulated trading feature serves as a testing ground for various strategies, helping investors avoid pitfalls in real trading scenarios [5] Conclusion - In the context of shifting Federal Reserve policies and geopolitical changes, the investment value of London gold and silver varies, with Jinsheng Precious Metals providing a compliant, transparent, and professional trading platform for investors [7] - Both long-term holders seeking stability and short-term traders looking to capitalize on volatility can find suitable solutions within Jinsheng's ecosystem [7]
黄金大涨“带火”铂金:有人百万资金囤购,年轻人直播间“扫货”
经济观察报· 2025-06-01 05:07
Core Viewpoint - The platinum market is experiencing a revival, with a significant price increase of 25% year-to-date, driven by strong investment demand and a shift in consumer preferences from gold to platinum [1][2][19]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Platinum prices surged, with the New York Mercantile Exchange's main futures contract reaching a high of $1,104.8 per ounce, marking a significant increase in investor interest [2][3]. - The global demand for platinum increased by 10% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching approximately 71 tons, with notable growth in China where demand for investment-grade platinum bars surged by 140% [3][19]. - The current market conditions have led to a shortage of platinum inventory, with many retailers reporting zero stock and requiring full payment for pre-orders [13][14]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly shifting their focus from gold to platinum due to high gold prices, with many finding platinum to be a more attractive investment option [6][7][10]. - The rise in platinum prices has led to increased activity in online sales channels, with consumers purchasing platinum jewelry through live-streaming platforms [7][11]. - Retail demand for platinum jewelry remains subdued, with many traditional jewelry stores reducing their platinum offerings in favor of gold [9][10]. Group 3: Industry Insights - The platinum market is characterized by a strong industrial demand, particularly in automotive catalytic converters, which accounted for 39% of total demand in 2019 [17]. - The recent surge in platinum prices is seen as a response to the high gold prices, positioning platinum as a value opportunity in the current market [15][19]. - Industry experts suggest that the current platinum market dynamics are driven by upstream supply adjustments, with a need for greater participation from downstream retail to sustain growth [19][20].