| 日期 | 回购股数（万股） | 回购最高价（港元） | 回购最低价（港元） | 回购金额（万港元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.11.03 | 425.00 | 4.230 | 4.150 | 1783.64 | | 2025.10.31 | 365.20 | 4.170 | 4.110 | 1512.48 | | 2025.10.30 | 477.60 | 4.220 | 4.100 | 1972.30 | | 2025.09.26 | 453.00 | 4.070 | 4.050 | 1840.45 | | 2025.09.25 | 810.00 | 4.090 | 4.050 | 3297.11 | | 2025.09.24 | 580.00 | 4.090 | 4.070 | 2366.98 | | 2025.09.23 | 550.60 | 4.090 | 4.070 | 2244.25 | | 2025.09.22 | 541.00 | 4.120 | 4.070 | 2211.61 | | 2025.08.22 | 6762.40 | 4 ...

2025 年 11 月 3 日 行业研究 OPEC+暂停增产改善供给过剩，"三桶油"长期投资价值凸显 ——石化化工行业动态跟踪 要点 事件： 11 月 2 日，OPEC+在线上会议后宣布将于 12 月增产 13.7 万桶/日，并将 于 2026 年 1-3 月暂停增产计划。 点评： 暂停增产反映 OPEC+平衡油价诉求，25 年 1-9 月 OPEC+增产约 240 万桶/日。 本次暂停增产决策表明 OPEC+在稳定与增产间寻求平衡，在 25 年四季度至 26 年一季度原油需求预期低迷、累库风险预期走高的背景下，OPEC+通过暂停增 产释放平衡油价的诉求。2025 年以来，OPEC+通过大幅增产以惩罚超产成员国 和争夺全球原油市场份额，沙特等自愿减产 8 国先后取消两大自愿减产限额， 2025 年 9 月 OPEC+原油产量为 4304 万桶/日，较 2024 年 12 月上升 239 万桶/ 日，其中 OPEC+自愿减产 8 国产量上升 241 万桶/日。OPEC+重申将根据原油 市场变化决定原油产量，本次暂停增产有望改善市场对原油供给端的担忧。 原油供给过剩有望改善，关注 2026 年需求预期变化。当前原 ...

Group 1: Report's Overall Core View - The current fundamental logic of crude oil is not smoothly realized, and short - term geopolitical risks may re - emerge. The energy and chemical sectors and the crude oil market have diverged again, with the fundamental logic being the main driver. Core products like synthetic rubber and styrene have been declining, and non - core products like methanol have also shown a downward trend. Due to the possible US military action against Venezuela, it is recommended to take active profit - taking actions on oil - chemical related products and wait for opportunities to re - enter short positions after the event [1]. Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. Group 3: Summary by Product Crude Oil - Logic: The impact of US sanctions on Russia has been digested. The medium - term logic is the downward pressure from the gradually realized supply - demand surplus. However, the supply - demand logic has not been smoothly realized recently. The probability of a US sea - air operation against Venezuela is high, which may affect the market similar to the bombing of Iran in July. It is recommended to take profit on short positions to avoid risks [2][3]. - Technical Analysis: The daily - level shows a medium - term downward structure, and the hourly - level shows a short - term downward structure. Today, there was a small increase in positions and a long - yang line testing the short - term pressure at 471, but it did not break through. Technically, it has not turned bullish in the short term. It is recommended to stop losses and wait and see due to geopolitical risks [3]. Styrene - Logic: It is the most bearish product in the energy and chemical sector, with weak reality and weak expectations. The core logic is the continuous inventory build - up due to new device production and slow demand growth, especially with the approaching seasonal inventory build - up in January. There is a risk of price collapse. The possible US action against Venezuela may bring short - term emotional disturbances [6]. - Technical Analysis: The hourly - level shows a short - term downward structure. Today, there was an increase in positions and a small decline. The short - term pressure is at 6630. It is recommended to take profit on short positions and wait for opportunities to re - enter after the geopolitical event [6]. Rubber - Logic: Tire demand is stable, but inventory pressure and high raw material prices lead to low stocking willingness. The supply is expected to increase significantly in the fourth quarter. The short - term contradiction is not obvious, and there is a certain bullish driving force due to continuous inventory reduction recently. The medium - term focus is on when the inventory build - up pressure in the peak season will appear [9]. - Technical Analysis: The daily - level shows a medium - term downward structure, and the hourly - level shows a short - term downward structure. Today, it fluctuated within the day without changing the downward structure. The short - term pressure is at 15450. It is recommended to wait and see on the hourly - level [9]. Synthetic Rubber - Logic: The high supply pressure of cis - butadiene rubber continues, but the supply - demand contradiction is gradually weakening. The main driving logic is the cost side of butadiene. The high supply and high inventory of butadiene have led to cost loosening and the price hitting a record low. The possible US action against Venezuela may bring short - term emotional disturbances [13]. - Technical Analysis: The daily - level shows a medium - term downward structure, and the hourly - level shows a short - term downward structure. Today, there was a large - volume increase in positions and a long - yin line hitting a record low. The short - term pressure has moved down to 10850. It is recommended to take profit on short positions and wait for opportunities to re - enter after the geopolitical event (cumulative decline of 13.5% since September entry) [13]. PX - Logic: High profits drive high - level operation, with sufficient supply and stable demand. The main logic is to follow the fluctuations of crude oil [16]. - Technical Analysis: The hourly - level shows a short - term upward structure. It fluctuated within the day today, and the short - term support is at 6560. It is recommended to wait and see on the hourly - level [19]. PTA - Logic: The supply - demand contradiction is not significant. The main logic is to follow the cost fluctuations of crude oil. It is recommended to take profit on short positions due to geopolitical risks [21]. - Technical Analysis: The hourly - level shows a short - term downward structure. It fluctuated within the day today, and the short - term pressure is at 4660. It is recommended to take profit on 15 - minute short positions [21]. PP - Logic: The commissioning of the Guangxi Petrochemical plant has increased the supply pressure, and the downstream demand recovery is limited. The supply - demand expectation is weak. It is necessary to pay attention to the downward pressure on the cost side brought by the decline of crude oil. It is recommended to take profit on short positions due to geopolitical risks [24]. - Technical Analysis: The hourly - level shows a short - term downward structure. It fluctuated within the day today, and the short - term pressure is at 6670. It is recommended to take profit on short positions on the hourly - cycle [24]. Methanol - Logic: High supply and high inventory continue to exert pressure, but as Iran enters the heating season, the short - term buying time is approaching. The possible US action against Venezuela may affect crude oil, and it is recommended to take profit on previous short positions to avoid risks [26]. - Technical Analysis: The daily - level and short - term show a downward structure. Today, there was an increase in positions and a new low. The short - term pressure is at 2210. It is recommended to take profit on unilateral hourly - cycle short positions (a decline of 14% since the end of July entry) [29]. PVC - Logic: The supply remains high, the domestic real - estate demand has collapsed, and the social inventory has reached a record high. There is no upward driving force. It is recommended to take profit on short positions due to geopolitical risks [30]. - Technical Analysis: The daily - level shows a medium - term downward structure, and the hourly - level shows a short - term downward structure. It fluctuated within the day today, and the short - term pressure is at 4760. It is recommended to take profit on unilateral hourly - cycle short positions [30]. Ethylene Glycol - Logic: The supply is at a high level, and the supply pressure increases with new capacity. Continuous inventory build - up has increased the downward pressure on the market. It is necessary to be vigilant against short - term geopolitical risks in crude oil. It is recommended to take profit on short positions due to geopolitical risks [32]. - Technical Analysis: The daily - level shows a medium - term downward structure, and the hourly - level shows a downward structure. Today, there was an increase in positions and a new low. The short - term pressure has moved down to 4050. It is recommended to take profit on unilateral hourly - cycle short positions (a decline of 8.8% since early September entry) [32]. Plastic - Logic: The commissioning of the Guangxi Petrochemical plant has increased the supply pressure, and the downstream demand in the peak season is weak. The supply - demand expectation is weak. It is necessary to be vigilant against short - term geopolitical risks in crude oil. It is recommended to take profit on short positions due to geopolitical risks [36]. - Technical Analysis: The daily - level shows a medium - term downward structure, and the hourly - level shows a downward structure. It fluctuated within the day today, and the short - term pressure is at 6990. It is recommended to take profit on hourly - cycle short positions [36]. Soda Ash - Logic: The high - supply and high - inventory pattern continues. The demand has further weakened due to the planned maintenance of 4 production lines in the glass industry on the weekend. The downward driving force of the fundamentals remains unchanged. The remaining hourly - cycle short positions should be held [40]. - Technical Analysis: The hourly - level shows a downward structure. Today, there was a large increase in positions and a long - yin line hitting a new low. The short - term pressure has moved down to 1245 [40]. Caustic Soda - Logic: The operating rate remains high, and the supply pressure increases with new capacity. The profit of downstream alumina is under pressure, and the demand growth is limited. The supply - demand driving force remains weak. It is recommended to wait and see on the hourly - level [41]. - Technical Analysis: The hourly - level shows a downward structure. Today, there was a decline in positions and a rebound that did not break through the pressure. The short - term pressure is at 2400 [41].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Maohua Shihua (000637) has shown fluctuations in trading volume and capital flow, with a notable net outflow from institutional and retail investors, while retail investors have shown a net inflow [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 3, 2025, Maohua Shihua closed at 4.75 yuan, up 0.64%, with a turnover rate of 6.1% and a trading volume of 222,300 hands, resulting in a transaction amount of 106 million yuan [1]. - The capital flow data indicates a net outflow of 2.88 million yuan from institutional investors, accounting for 2.72% of the total transaction amount, and a net outflow of 9.86 million yuan from retail investors, making up 9.32% of the total [1]. Group 2: Financial Indicators - Maohua Shihua's total market value is 2.469 billion yuan, significantly lower than the industry average of 207.364 billion yuan [2]. - The company reported a net profit of -93.73 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, which is an 18.15% increase year-on-year, while its main revenue decreased by 19.24% to 2.304 billion yuan [2]. - The gross profit margin stands at 2.51%, which is considerably lower than the industry average of 18.66% [2]. Group 3: Business Overview - Maohua Shihua's main business includes the production and sales of various petrochemical products such as polypropylene, liquefied gas, special white oil, MTBE, isobutane, ethanolamine, and industrial hydrogen peroxide [2].

2025/11/03 金 信 期 货 PT A乙 二 醇 日 刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 主力合约：11月3日主力合约eg2601基差为90元/吨，较前一日下跌2元/吨 华东地区市场价4090元/吨，较前一交易日下跌21元/吨 基本面：成本端原油连续下跌后企稳，煤炭价格上涨，今日MEG期货主力合约下跌1.32%；周内华东地区MEG港口库存合计49.9万吨， 环比增加1.6万吨。 主力动向：多空主力分歧 预期：乙二醇未来到港量预期增加，远月存在累库预期。近期部分乙二醇装置检修重启并行，且后续仍有新装置计划试车，供应端有 增量预期。双十一期间终端订单有所增加，但需求旺季已近尾声，短期预计乙二醇价格重心偏弱震荡。 GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：公开资料、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 PTA PTA ibaotu.com 日度市场情况 主力合约：11月3日主力合约TA2601基差为-66元/吨，较前一日上涨6元/吨 华东地区市场价4540元/吨，较前一交易日上涨30元/吨。 基本面：成本端原油连续下跌后企稳，受石油化工板块的带动， ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The propylene market is under pressure, and the pattern of high supply and weak demand is difficult to change. In the absence of strong cost pull and significant improvement in demand, the market drive will return more to fundamental logic. The follow - up needs to closely monitor OPEC+ production policies, the actual impact of winter energy demand on propane and coal prices, and changes in downstream demand [3][52]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - In October, the center of propylene prices moved down overall. The propylene futures 2601 contract fell below 6,000 yuan/ton on October 21. After the National Day, the supply increased due to the restart of PDH units, and the cost support of PDH - made propylene weakened. In late October, the sanctions on Russian oil companies by the US led to a rebound in international oil prices and drove up propylene prices. However, high supply and inventory suppressed the price, and it dropped at the end of the month [2]. - In October, the average load of domestic propylene units was 78.47%, an increase of 1.34% compared to September. Although some units were under maintenance, the overall load remained high. The production in September decreased by 110,000 tons to 5.52 million tons compared to August, and it was expected to rebound in October. The demand was weak due to the low operating rate of polypropylene, and the supply - demand pattern remained loose [8]. 2. Market Outlook - Supply side: OPEC+ is expected to maintain a small increase in production, which may lead to a long - term supply surplus of global crude oil. Domestic propylene load is expected to remain at a high level of about 78%, and the restart of large - scale units in November and December will further increase supply [3][27][52]. - Cost side: The cost support may show a differentiated trend. The long - term supply surplus of crude oil may make the support of oil - based cost unstable. The seasonal increase in propane's combustion demand in winter may support CP prices and slow down the decline of PDH process costs, but its impact on propylene prices depends on downstream acceptance [3][52]. - Demand side: The recovery of demand is not optimistic. The operating rate of polypropylene, the largest downstream product, remains low, and the poor profit situation of most downstream derivative industries is difficult to improve in the short term [3][52]. 3. Strategy Recommendation - Unilateral: Consolidation in a range [5][53]. - Arbitrage: 1 - 2 reverse spread [5][53]. - Options: Double - selling options [5][53].

智通财经APP讯，中国石油化工股份(00386)发布公告，于2025年11月3日该公司斥资1783.64万港元回购 425万股，回购价格为每股4.15-4.23港元。 ...

智通财经APP讯，中国石油化工股份(00386)发布公告，于2025年11月3日该公司斥资1783.64万港元回购 425万股，回购价格为每股4.15-4.23港元。 ...

格隆汇11月3日丨中国石油化工股份(00386.HK)发布公告，2025年11月3日耗资1783.64万港元回购425万 股，回购价格每股4.15-4.23港元。 ...

Core Insights - The ICEE2026 International Petroleum and Chemical Industry Exhibition will be held from June 25 to 27, 2026, in Dalian, focusing on high-quality development and green transformation in the industry [2][4] - The exhibition aims to gather industry elites and leading companies to promote deep cooperation within the industrial chain and showcase advanced technologies [2][4] Event Details - Event Date: June 25-27, 2026 [4] - Venue: Dalian World Expo Plaza [4] - Organizers: Liaoning Petroleum and Chemical Association, Dalian BaRui New Exhibition Co., Ltd. [4] Industry Impact and Value - The exhibition has become a significant platform for showcasing China's chemical industry strength and innovation, attracting over 300 exhibitors and more than 15,000 professional visitors in its first edition [4] - Major global companies, including China Petroleum Liaoyang Petrochemical and Northern Huajin Chemical Industry Group, will participate to discuss industry challenges and showcase their technological capabilities [4] Exhibition Scope - The exhibition covers a wide range of sectors, including: - **Petrochemical and Energy**: Equipment, refining technology, and advanced materials [6] - **Fine and New Chemical Materials**: Surfactants, catalysts, and specialty chemicals [7] - **Chemical Equipment and Engineering Technology**: Complete chemical sets, filtration equipment, and industrial pumps [9] - **Safety, Environmental Protection, and Smart Monitoring**: Fire safety equipment, wastewater treatment, and chemical monitoring devices [10] - **Packaging and Storage Solutions**: Chemical packaging and logistics services [11] Strategic Importance - The exhibition serves as a strategic hub for understanding industry trends and connecting global resources, promoting a sustainable future for the petroleum and chemical industry [13]