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华利集团:24Q4及25Q1受新工厂效率爬坡影响-20250313
HUAXI Securities· 2025-03-13 07:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company expects a revenue of 24 billion and a net profit of 3.84 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.35% and 20.0% respectively, primarily driven by the new factory's production and improving worker efficiency [2] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 20 yuan per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 61%, which is an increase of 17 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company has initiated cooperation with Adidas, with mass production expected to start in September 2024, and has opened three new factories in Vietnam and another in Indonesia [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a Q4 revenue of 6.495 billion and a net profit of 999 million, with year-on-year growth of 11.9% and 9.2% respectively [2] - The sales volume for 2024 is projected to be 223 million pairs, with an average selling price (ASP) of 107 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 18% in volume and 2% in price [3] - The capacity utilization rate for Q4 was approximately 100%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year [3] Investment Recommendations - Concerns in the market include high inventory levels, slowing growth from DECKERS, and the impact of new factory production on profit margins. However, there is still potential for market share growth with brands like Adidas, ON, NB, and REEBOK contributing additional revenue [4] - The company is expected to experience a capital expenditure peak in 2025 and 2026 due to new factory openings, which may temporarily affect profit margins but is anticipated to enhance long-term revenue and profit elasticity [4] Adjustments to Forecasts - The revenue forecast for 2024 has been adjusted from 23.5 billion to 24 billion, while the net profit forecast has been revised from 3.893 billion to 3.841 billion [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024 has been adjusted from 3.34 to 3.29 yuan, with 2025 and 2026 EPS forecasts maintained at 3.89 and 4.48 yuan respectively [5] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 20, 17, and 14 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation given the potential for market share growth and rapid expansion [5]
华利集团(300979):24Q4及25Q1受新工厂效率爬坡影响
HUAXI Securities· 2025-03-13 02:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 24 billion CNY and a net profit of 3.84 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.35% and 20.0% respectively, primarily driven by the new factory's production and improving worker efficiency [2][4] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 20 CNY per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 61%, which is an increase of 17 percentage points year-on-year, resulting in a dividend yield of 3% [2] - The company has initiated a partnership with Adidas, with mass production expected to start in September 2024, and has opened three new factories in Vietnam and one in Indonesia [3][4] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2024 is adjusted from 23.5 billion CNY to 24 billion CNY, while the net profit forecast is adjusted from 3.893 billion CNY to 3.841 billion CNY [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is adjusted from 3.34 CNY to 3.29 CNY, with forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remaining at 3.89 CNY and 4.48 CNY respectively [5] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 20, 17, and 14 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [5][8] Sales and Production Insights - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a sales volume of 22.3 million pairs and an average selling price (ASP) of 107 CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18% in volume and 2% in price [3] - The production capacity utilization rate in Q4 was approximately 100%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year [3] Market Position and Competitiveness - Despite concerns regarding inventory replenishment and profit margin impacts from new factory production, the company has opportunities for market share growth with major clients like Nike and Adidas, as well as additional contributions from brands like ON, NB, and REEBOK [4] - The company is expected to experience a capital expenditure peak in 2025 and 2026 due to new factory openings, which may temporarily affect profit margins but is anticipated to enhance long-term revenue potential [4]
潮汕为何掉队?
投资界· 2024-12-07 07:14
以下文章来源于秦朔朋友圈 ,作者巫珩 秦朔朋友圈 . 秦朔朋友圈是由中国著名媒体人、财经观察家秦朔牵头创立的一个新媒体与专业服务品牌,包括微信公众号、微博、视频节目、音频节目等。内容聚焦于 经济、金融和商业领域,关注重点为全球和中国财经商业热点、企业家精神、创新与发明创造、商业文明探索等。 一个遗憾。 作者 I 巫珩 来源 I 秦朔朋友圈 在香港,李嘉诚连续20年登顶亚洲首富。四大富豪之一的刘銮雄,以"股市狙击手"和"铜锣湾铺王"著称,成为香港商界的一大传奇人 物。 再远眺海外,立邦漆创始人吴清亮2 02 1年登上新加坡首富,被誉为"亚洲漆王"。正大集团创始人谢氏兄弟,连续多年霸占泰国首富, 业务小到作物种子和鱼肉供应,大到信息通讯、银行房产,几乎可以说涵盖了泰国人的一生。此外,加拿大、欧洲、澳洲等地的华人 首富桂冠也曾由潮汕人拿下。 正是这些风云人物,将潮汕帮推向了顶级商帮的地位。然而,当我们将目光转回到潮汕老家,却发现这片土地并没有想象中那么发 达,甚至最常听到一句评价,汕头是最落后的经济特区。 为什么反差会如此之大?我先来给你分享一个故事。 (ID:qspyq2015) 潮汕帮有多风光,可能潮汕就有多失 ...
宝胜国际(03813) - 二零二四年十月之每月收益公告
2024-11-11 08:42
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責, 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任 何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 寶勝國際( 控 股 )有 限公司 (於百慕達註冊成立之有限公司) (股份代號:3813) 二零二四年十月之每月收益公告 本公司為聯交所主板上市公司裕元的子公司。按照國際財務報告準則,裕元被 視為臺灣證交所上市公司寶成工業之子公司。寶成工業根據臺灣證券交易所的 規例規定刊發每月收益公告。 由於裕元於今日公佈其若干綜合財務資料,故本公司根據上市規則第13.09(2)條 及證券及期貨條例第XIVA部刊發本公告,確保及時向投資者提供最新資料。 寶勝國際(控股)有限公司(「本公司」)為香港聯合交易所有限公司(「聯交所」)主 板上市公司裕元工業(集團)有限公司(「裕元」)的子公司。按照國際財務報告準則, 裕元被視為臺灣證券交易所股份有限公司(「臺灣證交所」)上市公司寶成工業股份 有限公司(「寶成工業」)之子公司。根據臺灣證券交易所股份有限公司對上巿公司 之資訊申報作業辦法(經不時修訂)(「臺灣證券交易所的規例」)規 ...