证 券 研 究 报 告 行业周报 人形机器人+航空航天双轮驱动，旋转变压器迎广阔新兴市场 汽车行业周报 投资评级： （ ） 报告日期： 推荐 维持 2026年01月26日 ◼ 分析师：林子健 ◼ SAC编号：S1050523090001 投 资 要 点 ▌人形机器人+航空航天双轮驱动，旋转变压器迎来广阔新兴市场 依托极强的抗冲击抗振特性，旋转变压器有望适配人形机器人关节。旋变采用无接触式电磁感应原理，无 磨损部件仅轴承存在微量损耗，实现近乎无限的使用寿命，无需频繁维护更换，完美契合人形机器人对关 节部件高可靠性、长耐久性、抗复杂工况的严苛要求。人形机器人旋变市场规模有望远超传统旋变市场空 间。我们认为出于人形机器人的抗冲击性要求和寿命要求，人形机器人将会应用旋转变压器用来替代编码 器。我们预测到2030年人形机器人旋变市场规模有望达到61.5亿元，到2035年有望达到471.0亿元市场 规模，2026-2035年CAGR为85.9%。 卫星发射数量快速上升，带动航天领域旋变市场放量。从发射计划数据看，SpaceX将在2033年完成4.2万 颗发射，国网星座将在2035年前发射1.3万颗，千帆星座将在2030年 ...

转自：智通财经 【三维通信：共同投资设立合伙企业 投资于智能制造、航空航天、新能源等高新技术行业的非上市股 权】智通财经1月26日电，三维通信(002115.SZ)公告称，公司与杭州九智投资管理有限公司等共5位合 伙人签署合伙协议，共同投资杭州渠智股权投资合伙企业（有限合伙），公司作为有限合伙人认缴出资 2,500万元。合伙基金可投资于智能制造、航空航天、新能源等高新技术行业的非上市股权，并可以通 过投资或受让资产管理产品份额或合伙企业的有限合伙份额间接投资非上市股权标的。 ...

证券日报网讯1月26日，神剑股份（002361）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司高端装备制造领 域包括航空航天及轨道交通两方面业务。根据公司2024年年度报告，高端装备制造业务占公司营业收入 10.92%。 ...

IT之家 1 月 26 日消息，埃隆 · 马斯克阐述了他认为特斯拉和 SpaceX 终将远超竞争对手的原因，指出自动驾驶、机器人技术以及天基能源这三大力量将从根 本上重塑经济规模。 马斯克近期在社交平台 X 上发布了两条推文，称上述两家公司所处的领域，其发展并非呈线性增长，而是指数级增长。 有 X 平台用户指出，SpaceX 的估值已超过美国六大国防公司的总和。马斯克对此回应称，天基产业的经济价值最终将超越地球经济的总价值。他表示，太 空能为人类提供的能源总量约为地球的十万倍，而这些能源仍然不到太阳能量的百万分之一。 IT之家注意到，在后续发布的推文中，马斯克还称："凭借自动驾驶技术，特斯拉的市值已超过其他所有汽车厂商的总和。"他补充称，这一估值还未将特斯 拉的人形机器人"擎天柱"（Optimus）纳入考量。这位首席执行官表示，一旦擎天柱实现规模化量产，有望将全球 GDP 提升一个数量级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The commercial operation of China's C919 aircraft is steadily progressing, with production and delivery accelerating, aiming for a target of at least 28 deliveries in 2026, with a production rate of one aircraft every 10 to 15 days expected [1][4][5]. Production and Delivery - In 2025, COMAC delivered a total of approximately 15 C919 aircraft, including 6 to Air China, 4 to China Eastern Airlines, and 5 to China Southern Airlines, marking an increase from 12 deliveries in 2024 but falling short of the initial target of 75 [2][5]. - The supply chain issues that hindered production in the previous year are gradually improving, with 8 of the 15 aircraft delivered in November and December [2][5]. - The company anticipates that the supply chain situation will continue to improve in the new year, with two C919 aircraft already completed and entering the delivery process at the start of 2026 [4][5]. Engine Supply and Political Factors - The reliance on Western-made LEAP-1C engines poses a challenge for COMAC, as political factors can disrupt the procurement process, although the company is working closely with CFM International to ensure a steady supply [5][6][7]. - Analysts suggest that while the political interference in engine supply is unavoidable, strengthening cooperation with CFM International is the most feasible way for COMAC to increase production in the short term [7]. Market Position and Future Prospects - The C919 has already transported over 4 million passengers since its domestic operation began in May 2023, and the order backlog continues to grow, with major airlines planning to purchase at least 100 aircraft each by 2031 [10]. - The current share of domestically produced aircraft in China's civil aviation fleet has increased from 1.3% in 2019 to 4.7% [10]. - COMAC is actively pursuing international airworthiness certification for the C919, which is crucial for competing with Boeing and Airbus [10][11].

市场全天震荡调整，大小指数分化明显。从板块来看，有色金属板块涨幅居前，其中贵金属概念领涨，油气概念走强，太空光伏概念反复活跃，化工板块震 荡拉升；下跌方面，商业航天、半导体设备等板块跌幅居前。 ETF涨跌幅方面，多只黄金股相关ETF涨超8%。 | 563320.SH 通用航空ETF | | --- | | 563870.SH 通用航空ETF鹏华 0.993 -5.88% | | 159638.SZ 高端装备ETF嘉实 1.154 -5.87% | 有券商表示，"十五五"时期，商业航天将成为国内推动新质生产力和科技高质量发展的重要引擎。为了抢占宝贵的轨道和频谱资源，2026年我国星座卫星发 射数量有望进一步加速增长；民营商业火箭公司有望深入参与，成为国家队的有效补充，共同支撑起高频发射需求。看好2026年我国卫星互联网产业链投资 机会。 每日经济新闻 1月26日，国际现货和期货黄金价格突破5000美元/盎司整数关口，创下全球黄金市场有记录以来的最高水平，为史上首次站上这一关键心理价位。 有分析认为，受美联储降息预期、美元信用不稳、美国中期选举以及地缘政治不确定性的影响，金价有望进一步上涨。 下跌方面，卫星ETF ...

截至2026年1月26日 11:08，国证航天航空行业指数(CN5082)成分股方面，亚光科技领跌13.41%，中国 卫星下跌10.00%，航发科技下跌9.60%，航天发展下跌9.31%，上海瀚讯下跌9.13%。航空航天 ETF(159227)最新报价1.48元。 流动性方面，航空航天ETF盘中换手15.23%，成交4.85亿元，市场交投活跃。拉长时间看，截至1月23 日，航空航天ETF近1月日均成交7.06亿元。资金流入方面，航空航天ETF最新资金净流入1.92亿元。 消息面上，在2026北京国际商业航天论坛上，星河动力总工程师李君透露，星河动力液体回收火箭智神 星二号预计在2026年首飞。银河航天创始人、董事长兼CEO徐鸣表示，太空新基建将带来万亿级市场爆 发期，到2035年，全球太空经济预计将达到1.8万亿美元。 西部证券指出，2024至2025年，国内商业航天处于政策催化与回收技术验证阶段，2026年行业或将正式 进入商业化闭环元年。随着"国网"和"千帆"两大星座进入高频建设期，以及后续"朱雀三号"等 20吨级火 箭成功回收复飞验证，板块"奇点"将至，有望从"主题行情"转向"主线行情"。 航空航天ET ...

董伯骏 国海证券化工分析师: 各位投资者，大家晚上好，欢迎大家来到我们本次国海化工组组织的航亚科技的深度报告 的汇报会。我是国海化工董博俊。那么今天，我和我们同事王鹏，给大家做一个航亚科技 的这个深度报告的一个解读。咱这篇报告，实际上是我们在 2025 年 9 月份第一次发布的。 然后后续也根据我们的这个后续的一些点评、跟踪报告，做了一个简单的更新。那事实上 来说，是我们从去年 2025 年的 9 月份，那个发布报告重点推荐航亚科技。那么航亚科技， 其实让它主要的这个逻辑，我觉得整体是有三点，第一点，实际上随着全球航空发动机的 这个需求爆发，那么这个是包括这个飞机的这个直接的这个配套端。 以及飞机后市场的这个维修市场的需求爆发，那么这两个方面同时带动了整个航空的这个 零部件的需求增长。那么第二个逻辑，实际上是本身航亚科技在精锻叶片这个环节的技术 壁垒高，目前在国际客户上面。也受到了一个非常好的认可。那么第三个核心点，实际上 我觉得重点关注就是海外的供应链，在这个环节的供应链是非常紧张的。所以其实作为中 国企业，公司掌握了非常好的一个技术，那么它是目前在加速的切入到海外供应链里边。 那么整体来说我们的这个我再稍 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense industry [4] Core Insights - The domestic commercial aircraft market in China is projected to reach approximately 10 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand of over 400 aircraft per year by 2029 [15][18] - The C919 aircraft family has expanded with the introduction of the C919-600 highland variant, which is designed for high-altitude operations, marking a significant step in China's civil aviation equipment development [14] - The report highlights the trend towards self-sufficiency in domestic commercial aircraft engines, indicating a potential to break the existing monopoly in the market [41] Summary by Sections Section 1: C919 Aircraft Development - The C919-600 highland variant has been publicly unveiled, designed specifically for high-altitude routes, enhancing adaptability for challenging environments [14] - The C919 family now includes basic, extended, and highland variants, with a steady progression towards a comprehensive product matrix [14] Section 2: Market Demand and Projections - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to be 2.5 times larger than the current military aircraft market, with a forecasted demand of 9,856 aircraft and a market size of 103.53 billion yuan over the next 20 years [15][17] - By 2029, the demand for new commercial aircraft in China's civil aviation fleet is projected to exceed 400 units annually, with specific annual requirements outlined for the years 2025 to 2029 [18][19] Section 3: Engine Market Dynamics - The global commercial aircraft engine market is anticipated to exceed 13 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with China's market expected to surpass 2.9 trillion yuan [43][45] - The report indicates a significant mismatch in supply and demand for commercial aircraft engines globally, with a strong push for domestic development of aviation power systems [52][59] Section 4: Commercial Aerospace Developments - Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO status has changed to "under inquiry," indicating a rapid acceleration in the commercial space sector [71] - The report outlines plans for multiple rocket launches in 2026, with a focus on both near-Earth and deep-space exploration, highlighting the increasing activity in China's commercial space industry [77][86] Section 5: Satellite Manufacturing and Launch Capabilities - The report notes that domestic satellite manufacturing capacity is robust, with several companies capable of producing hundreds of satellites annually, which is expected to drive down costs [99][100] - The establishment of new liquid rocket launch facilities at the Hainan commercial launch site is set to enhance China's capabilities in commercial space launches [108]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense industry [4] Core Insights - The domestic commercial aircraft market is projected to reach approximately 10 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand of over 400 aircraft per year by 2029 [13][16] - The C919 aircraft family has expanded with the introduction of the C919-600 high-altitude variant, which is designed for high-altitude routes and has already secured orders from Xizang Airlines for 40 units [12][26] - The report highlights the trend towards self-sufficiency in domestic commercial aircraft engines, with a significant market opportunity as the industry aims to break the existing monopolies [35][41] Summary by Sections Section 1: C919 Aircraft Development - The C919-600 high-altitude variant has been unveiled, enhancing the C919 family and addressing the needs of high-altitude airports [12] - The C919 family now includes basic, extended, and high-altitude variants, with ongoing development of an extended version [26] Section 2: Market Demand for Commercial Aircraft - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to be 2.5 times larger than the current military aircraft market, with a forecasted demand of 9,856 aircraft over the next 20 years [13][15] - By 2029, the domestic civil aviation fleet is projected to require over 400 new commercial aircraft annually [16] Section 3: Domestic Engine Development - The domestic commercial aircraft engine market is anticipated to exceed 2.9 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with a demand for over 900 engines per year by 2029 [35][38] - The report emphasizes the ongoing efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in commercial aircraft engines, with a focus on breaking the existing supply chain monopolies [41][49] Section 4: Commercial Space Industry - The report notes that the commercial space industry is entering a rapid growth phase, with multiple companies, including Blue Arrow Aerospace, preparing for IPOs and expanding their operational capabilities [60][62] - By 2026, the number of rocket launches is expected to exceed 100, marking a significant increase in launch frequency [66] Section 5: Satellite Manufacturing and Launch Capabilities - The report highlights the robust satellite manufacturing capacity in China, with multiple factories capable of producing thousands of satellites annually [87] - The development of reusable rockets is expected to drive down costs and enhance launch capabilities for satellite constellations [92]