证券研究报告 | 2025年11月03日 ETF 周报 上周股票型 ETF 资金净流入近 200 亿元，其中沪深 300ETF 净申购达 70 亿元 核心观点 金融工程周报 ETF 业绩表现 上周（2025 年 10 月 27 日至 2025 年 10 月 31 日，下同）股票型 ETF 周度 收益率中位数为 0.01%。宽基 ETF 中，中证 1000ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 1.20%，收益最高。按板块划分，周期 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 1.76%，收益最 高。按主题进行分类，光伏 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 6.54%，收益最高。 在宽基 ETF 中，创业板类 ETF 的估值分位数相对较低；按板块来看，消费、 大金融 ETF 的估值分位数相对温和；按照细分主题来看，酒、光伏 ETF 的 估值分位数相对较低。与前周相比，上证 50、大金融、A500、沪深 300ETF 的估值分位数明显降低。 ETF 融资融券情况 上周一至周四股票型 ETF 融资余额由前周的 469.94 亿元上升至 480.51 亿 元，融券余量由前周的 25.68 亿份上升至 26.60 亿份。在日均融资买入额、 融券卖出量最高的前 10 ...

Core Viewpoint - The sudden passing of Wang Guobin, the founder of Quanguo Fund, has raised concerns within the investment community, with the company expected to release a related announcement soon [1] Company Summary - Quanguo Fund held a spring strategy meeting for 2025 on March 20, where Wang Guobin and fund manager Zhao Yi shared their latest insights [1]

Group 1 - The report discusses the release of the "Guidelines for Performance Benchmarking of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds" by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) on October 31, which aims to promote high-quality development in the public fund industry [1][7] - The guidelines emphasize the internal control responsibilities of fund managers and the external responsibilities of market institutions, highlighting the need for a robust internal control system covering benchmark selection, disclosure, monitoring, evaluation, and accountability [8][10] - The guidelines require that performance benchmarks be representative and objective, with a focus on selecting indices that accurately reflect the market and establishing a benchmark element library [10] Group 2 - As of October 31, 2025, 79 actively managed equity funds have changed their performance benchmarks this year, compared to only 54 in the entire year of 2024, indicating a significant acceleration in benchmark adjustments [2][11] - The changes in performance benchmarks are more aligned with actual investment characteristics, with over half of the changes involving the selection of more representative stock indices, such as transitioning from the CSI 300 to industry or thematic indices [11][13] - The report notes a shift in the distribution of active equity funds' performance relative to benchmarks, with a decreasing proportion of funds showing significant negative deviations, reflecting the reform direction of emphasizing excess returns relative to benchmarks [2][11]

Group 1 - The report highlights the continuous growth of the ETF market, with a total of 1346 ETFs and an asset scale of 57,038.30 billion yuan as of October 31, 2025, reflecting an increase of 103.75 billion yuan in the past week [5][7][11] - The report emphasizes the comprehensive layout of Guotai Fund in the ETF sector, with 72 non-monetary ETFs totaling 2,699.55 billion yuan as of October 31, 2025, since its first launch in 2011 [11][12][21] - The report outlines the construction of an ETF industry rotation strategy based on anchoring ratios and momentum acceleration, aiming to capture industry momentum trends effectively [16][20][21] Group 2 - The report presents the historical performance of the ETF index combination, which achieved a total return of 9.46% and an annualized return of 2.11% from July 1, 2021, to October 31, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.82% on an annualized basis [21][24][27] - The report lists the current ETF combination for November, which includes Guotai SSE Sci-Tech Board Chip ETF (589100), Guotai ChiNext New Energy ETF (159387), Guotai CSI New Energy Vehicle ETF (159806), Guotai CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme ETF (159516), and Guotai CES Semiconductor Chip ETF (512760) [25][26][27]

Core Viewpoint - The Huazhong Fengtai Bond Fund is set to launch on November 11, focusing on stable asset allocation for investors in a low-interest-rate environment, aiming for steady value growth [1] Group 1: Fund Characteristics - The fund is positioned as a "low volatility fixed income+" product, utilizing a unique macro research framework to make precise asset allocation decisions based on economic cycles, policies, and liquidity [1] - It will invest at least 80% of its assets in bonds, with 5%-20% allocated to equity and convertible bonds, and a minimum of 5% in domestic stocks [2] - The fund manager, Wu Wenming, has nearly 16 years of financial experience and emphasizes a meticulous approach to bond pricing and trading, aiming for stable long-term performance [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The fund will focus on high-rated bonds to build a solid base return while maintaining a balanced style in equity investments to control risks [1][2] - The investment strategy includes a dual-market approach, leveraging opportunities in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with a 10% allocation for additional investment flexibility [1] - The fund aims to capitalize on structural investment opportunities, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence's potential to enhance profit growth [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The market is expected to remain in a volatile state with limited chances for significant adjustments in bond yields, presenting ongoing investment opportunities [3] - The strategy includes wave operations in interest rate bonds and selective participation in credit bonds that have not fully adjusted to previous interest rate increases [3]

Core Viewpoint - The sudden passing of Wang Guobin, the founder of Quanguo Fund, has raised concerns in the investment community, as he was a prominent figure in the asset management industry [1]. Company Overview - Quanguo Fund was established in February 2022 and is a national public fund management company approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, with a registered capital of 100 million RMB [2]. - The company was co-founded by industry professionals including Wang Guobin, Ren Li, Jiang Heze, Li Yunliang, and Wei Haiqing, and is known as a "personal system" public fund [2]. Recent Insights - At the Spring Strategy Meeting held on March 20, Wang Guobin shared insights on the strong performance of Chinese assets, attributing it to innovations in fields like artificial intelligence, which have given China a global competitive edge in high-end manufacturing and frontier sectors [2]. - Despite facing long-term challenges such as an aging population, Wang believed that China would benefit from an engineer dividend and a complete industrial chain advantage over the next decade, with new technologies like AI creating new job opportunities rather than leading to employment crises [2].

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index ETF (510760) has achieved significant excess returns, allowing investors to effectively "stand on 5100 points" ahead of the market, with a reported excess return of 30.05% since its launch [1][2]. Performance Summary - The ETF has outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index since its inception, with a secondary market return of 49.3% compared to the index's 19.25%, resulting in an excess return of 30.05% [2][3]. - Over the past year, the ETF's market return was 24.42%, while the Shanghai Composite Index returned 20.58%, yielding an excess return of 3.84% [3]. - In the past three years, the ETF achieved a return of 52.58% against the index's 36.68%, leading to an excess return of 15.90% [3]. Dividend Yield and Strategy - The ETF benefits from a dividend yield exceeding 2%, which enhances its return base. The index's total market capitalization weighting, particularly with "state-owned enterprises," contributes to this yield [4]. - The ETF's performance is bolstered by the inclusion of dividend income, as the fund's benchmark is based on the net price index, which does not account for dividends [4]. Market Outlook - The outlook for the A-share market remains positive, supported by ongoing growth policies, active market sentiment, and easing monetary policy. The ETF is seen as a key channel for investing in quality Chinese assets [5]. - The ETF has shown a notable excess return of 50.45% compared to the CSI 300 Index since its inception, further highlighting its strong performance [5][6]. Cost Efficiency - The ETF is positioned as a cost-effective investment tool, with a management fee of 0.15% per year and a custody fee of 0.05% per year, making it one of the lowest-cost options in the market [6].

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index ETF (510760) has achieved significant excess returns, leading investors to a level above 5100 points, while the A-share market is around the 4000 points mark [1][5]. Performance Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index ETF has outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by over 30% since its inception, with a total return of 49.30% compared to the index's 19.25% [2][3]. - The ETF's performance over various time frames shows consistent excess returns: 24.42% in the past year, 52.58% in the past three years, and 53.54% in the past five years, with excess returns of 3.84%, 15.90%, and 30.89% respectively [3]. Dividend Yield and Strategy - The ETF benefits from a dividend yield exceeding 2%, which enhances its return base. The index's total market capitalization weighting, particularly with a high allocation to state-owned enterprises, contributes to this yield [4]. - The ETF's performance is further supported by its strategy of tracking the index while controlling tracking error, allowing for enhanced returns through sampling replication [2][4]. Market Outlook - The outlook for the A-share market remains positive, with expectations of a slow bull market driven by ongoing growth policies, active market sentiment, and easing monetary policy [5]. - The Shanghai Composite Index ETF is positioned as a key channel for investing in quality Chinese assets, with notable excess returns compared to the CSI 300 Index, reaching 50.45% since inception [5][6]. Cost Efficiency - The ETF is noted for its low management fees of 0.15% per year and custody fees of 0.05% per year, making it an attractive investment vehicle for those looking to track the market [6].

Core Viewpoint - Guolian Fund is committed to promoting financial literacy and rational investment concepts while ensuring wealth security, thereby contributing to a healthy financial market ecosystem [1] Group 1: Campus Engagement - The company focuses on educating college students and youth, recognizing them as the foundation for the future development of the public fund industry [2] - Guolian Fund customizes educational content based on the cognitive characteristics of different student stages, progressing from basic knowledge to rational investment concepts [2] - Innovative teaching methods are employed, such as integrating financial knowledge into everyday topics like "managing lucky money" and "dream planning" for younger students [2] - For college students, the company organizes regular activities that bridge theory and practice, providing professional guidance on public fund research and career development [2] Group 2: Community Outreach - Guolian Fund extends its educational efforts to communities and business circles, focusing on practical financial knowledge for residents, particularly the elderly [3] - The company collaborates with other institutions to create wealth management knowledge activities, emphasizing anti-fraud education and personal pension product selection [3] - In business circles, an immersive educational experience is created, allowing for interactive learning about public fund policies and investment strategies [3] Group 3: Cultural Leadership - The company's educational initiatives reflect its commitment to industry culture and the mission of "finance for the people" [4] - Guolian Fund integrates party building with investor education, forming a team to lead educational efforts and enhance community service [4] - The company has conducted thousands of educational events and published numerous articles and videos, receiving multiple awards for social responsibility [4] - Future plans include deepening educational integration in campuses, targeting specific community needs, and leveraging digital tools to enhance outreach [4]

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced fluctuations last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the 4000-point mark for the first time in ten years, closing at 4016 points on October 29, 2025, before retreating in the following days [1] - Investor interest in high-certainty sectors is increasing, particularly in quality core assets with solid fundamentals, driven by the positive sentiment from the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The Hu-Shen 300 ETF (510300) has shown significant trading activity, with a single-day trading volume of 6.852 billion yuan and a net inflow of 5.084 billion yuan on October 31, 2025, marking a new high since April 17, 2025 [1] Investment Opportunities - The CSI A500 Index has gained popularity among investors due to its dual investment opportunities in core assets and new productive forces, attracting a net inflow of 4.548 billion yuan in the past week, second only to the Hu-Shen 300 [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the Hu-Shen 300 ETF and A500 ETF Huatai-PineBridge have reached historical high scales of 430.081 billion yuan and 25.134 billion yuan, respectively [2] Market Sentiment - International capital confidence in the Chinese market is increasing, with more foreign investors entering the A-share market and some returning after a period of absence [3] - HSBC reported a significant increase in foreign investors' exposure to the Chinese mainland stock market in September, marking the third consecutive month of net growth in foreign investment [3] Product Features - The management and custody fees for the Hu-Shen 300 ETF and A500 ETF Huatai-PineBridge are among the lowest in the A-share market at 0.15% and 0.05% per year, respectively, providing a cost-effective way for investors to access core assets [3] - Huatai-PineBridge has over 18 years of experience in ETF management and has developed several flagship products, including the Hu-Shen 300 ETF and the A500 ETF [4]