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中国铁建(601186):Q4归母业绩降幅收窄,海外、新兴业务新签同比增长,分红比例持续提升
Guotou Securities· 2025-03-31 07:36
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 9.68 CNY over the next six months [4]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 1.07 trillion CNY for 2024, a year-over-year decrease of 6.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 22.215 billion CNY, down 14.87% year-over-year. The fourth quarter showed a revenue of 309.046 billion CNY, a decline of 6.78%, but a net profit of 6.520 billion CNY, which is an increase of 2.36% year-over-year [1][2]. - The company has seen a narrowing decline in net profit in Q4, primarily due to reduced losses from investment income and a significant decrease in minority interests [2]. - The company has a solid order backlog with a total of 7.68 trillion CNY in uncompleted contracts, which is approximately 7.2 times its revenue for 2024, providing a strong foundation for future revenue growth [8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company experienced a decline in overall revenue growth, attributed to industry investment slowdown and limited payment capacity of downstream clients. Revenue from various segments showed declines, with engineering contracting at 931.245 billion CNY (-5.68% YoY), design consulting at 18.024 billion CNY (-3.89% YoY), industrial manufacturing at 23.395 billion CNY (-2.52% YoY), and real estate development at 71.890 billion CNY (-13.67% YoY). However, overseas revenue grew to 65.899 billion CNY, an increase of 9.27% YoY [2][3]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 10.27%, a decrease of 0.12 percentage points YoY, with a net profit margin of 2.54%, down 0.30 percentage points YoY. The company faced increased financial expenses, which rose by 70.47% YoY [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 1.14 trillion CNY, 1.21 trillion CNY, and 1.27 trillion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-over-year growth rates of 7.0%, 6.0%, and 5.0%. Net profits are forecasted to be 23.8 billion CNY, 25.3 billion CNY, and 26.8 billion CNY for the same years [9][10].
中国交建(601800):海外业务表现亮眼,Q4经营性现金流大幅改善,分红率维持提升态势
Guotou Securities· 2025-03-31 07:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 12.24 CNY [5][10] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 771.94 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 1.74%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.384 billion CNY, down 1.81% year-over-year [2][3] - The company experienced a significant recovery in revenue growth in Q4 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.22%, attributed to improved project collections and the implementation of domestic debt reduction policies [2][3] - The overseas business showed strong performance, with overseas revenue reaching 135.261 billion CNY, up 16.39% year-over-year, contributing to 17.52% of total revenue [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 12.29%, a decrease of 0.31 percentage points year-over-year. The net profit margin was 3.93%, down 0.05 percentage points year-over-year [3][11] - The operating cash flow for the year was 12.506 billion CNY, an increase of 3.69% year-over-year, with Q4 showing a significant inflow of 89.535 billion CNY, up 43.41% year-over-year [3][11] Order Growth - The company signed new contracts totaling 1,881.185 billion CNY in 2024, a year-over-year increase of 7.30%. The overseas contract value was 359.726 billion CNY, up 12.5% [9][10] - The infrastructure construction segment saw new contracts worth 344.644 billion CNY, a year-over-year increase of 16.78% [9] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 810.54 billion CNY, 842.96 billion CNY, and 876.68 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 24.84 billion CNY, 26.52 billion CNY, and 28.30 billion CNY respectively [10][11]
中国交建:2024年报点评:积极拓展新兴业务,现金流持续改善-20250331
Huachuang Securities· 2025-03-31 02:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Communications Construction Company (CCCC) with a target price of 11.3 CNY per share [2][9]. Core Views - CCCC achieved a revenue of 771.9 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.74%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.81% to 23.4 billion CNY, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items fell by 8.44% to 19.81 billion CNY [2][9]. - The company is actively expanding its emerging business sectors, with a significant increase in new contracts signed, particularly in overseas projects, which grew by 12.5% [9]. - CCCC's cash flow continues to improve, with a net increase in cash and cash equivalents of 18 billion CNY, primarily due to operational cash inflows [9]. Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 771.9 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 1.7% expected for 2025 [5]. - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 23.38 billion CNY, with a projected growth of 5.1% in 2025 [5]. - The gross margin for 2024 is reported at 12.29%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - **Business Segments**: - Revenue from infrastructure construction, design, dredging, and other businesses is reported at 681.4 billion CNY, 36.3 billion CNY, 59.4 billion CNY, and 26 billion CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +2.3%, -23.3%, +11.1%, and +34.7% [9]. - **Order Backlog**: - The company has a substantial order backlog, with an uncompleted contract amounting to 3.49 trillion CNY, which is 452% of the projected revenue for 2024 [9]. - **Cost Management**: - The expense ratio for 2024 is reported at 6.01%, a decrease of 0.26 percentage points, indicating improved cost control [9]. - **Future Projections**: - EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 1.51 CNY, 1.63 CNY, and 1.75 CNY respectively, with a target PE ratio of 7.5x for 2025 [9].