11月26日，"聚链共赢 昌煤准行"新疆昌吉州煤炭交易大会在昌吉市成功举办。大会旨在促进煤炭产业 链上下游深度融合，现场共签约煤炭购销项目52个，合同量突破1.25亿吨，为推动煤炭产业链协同发 展、构建稳定高效的供应链体系注入新动能。 本次大会由昌吉回族自治州人民政府主办，来自全国的煤炭生产、运输、消费企业及科研院所等数百名 代表齐聚一堂，共谋能源合作新篇章。作为国家重要能源基地，昌吉州准东经济技术开发区在大会上充 分展示了其资源禀赋与产业潜力。作为我国最大的整装煤田，准东煤田预测煤炭资源储量达3900亿吨， 煤炭具有"低灰、低硫、低磷、高挥发分、高活性、高热值"等特点，是优质的工业动力煤和化工原料 煤。 记者从此次大会了解到，煤炭产业呈现向高端化、智能化、绿色化转型的积极态势。准东开发区已构建 起煤炭、煤电、现代煤化工、铝基新材料、硅基新材料、新能源六大优势产业体系。2024年，该开发区 完成规上工业总产值1359.8亿元，加快推进天池能源、国能、新业等煤制气项目和宝丰煤制烯烃等一批 重大项目。 科技创新为煤炭产业绿色转型提供有力支撑。中国科学院在新疆推动的多能融合技术示范项目已取得显 著进展，包括焦炉煤气 ...

本周观点：欧佩克降价增产，国际油价震荡运行，建议关注进口替代、纯内需、高股息等方向 华鑫证券近日发布化工行业研究：化工产品价格方面，本周部分产品有所反弹，其中本周上涨较多的 有：甲苯上涨25.22%，液氯上涨13.73%，甲基环硅氧烷上涨13.64%，硫酸上涨11.11%等，但仍有不少 产品价格下跌，其中丁二烯跌幅-7.89%，醋酸乙烯跌幅-4.35%，二氯甲烷跌幅-4.23%，燃料油跌 幅-3.80%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点 甲苯、液氯等涨幅居前，丁二烯、醋酸乙烯等跌幅较大本周涨幅较大的产品：甲苯（FOB韩国， 25.22%），液氯（华东地区，13.73%），甲基环硅氧烷（DMC华东，13.64%），硫酸（杭州颜料化工 厂105%，11.11%），硫磺（CFR中国合同价，10.00%），电池级碳酸锂（新疆99.5%min，8.78%）， 锂电池电解液（全国均价/磷酸铁锂电解液，8.70%），合成氨（河北金源，8.58%），硫酸（双狮 98%，8.00%），工业级碳酸锂（四川99.0%min，7.59%）。 本周跌幅较大的产品：双酚A（华东，-2.05%），PVC（华东乙烯法，-2.06%），丙烯（ ...

Core Insights - The coal chemical industry in China is experiencing unprecedented expansion due to the country's resource endowment and energy security strategy, with domestic polypropylene production capacity nearing 50 million tons by October 2025, and an additional 7.43 million tons expected in 2026, of which 58% will be coal-based [1][3] - The cost structure of coal chemical processes, particularly in coal-to-olefins, shows a significant cost advantage over oil-based processes, with coal-based olefins costing approximately 3,900 RMB per ton compared to 5,500 RMB per ton for oil-based, translating to a price advantage of 800-1,500 RMB per ton for coal-based polyethylene and polypropylene [1][2] Coal Chemical Technology and Cost Advantages - Coal chemical processes convert coal into gas, liquid, and solid fuels and chemicals, with gasification technology being a core component due to its ability to produce syngas and reduce emissions [1] - Recent technological innovations, such as the DMTO-III process by Baofeng Energy, have further reduced production costs, with methanol consumption decreasing from 3 tons to 2.66 tons per ton of product, and additional savings from using green electricity [2] Impact on Plastic Raw Material Market - The expansion of coal chemical capacity is leading to an imbalance in the plastic raw material market, with polypropylene demand growth at only 6% by 2025, while capacity is expected to grow by over 10%, potentially creating a supply-demand gap exceeding 7 million tons [3] - The price of recycled plastics is under pressure due to this supply-demand mismatch, with recycled HDPE prices expected to range between 6,200-8,500 RMB per ton, while coal-based polypropylene prices are positioned within this range, leading to direct competition [3] Strategies for the Recycled Plastic Industry - The recycled plastic industry can navigate the challenges posed by coal chemicals by focusing on technological upgrades, market segmentation, and compliance operations to build differentiated competitive advantages [4] - Companies like Wuhu Baolute Plastics are investing in advanced sorting and cleaning technologies to enhance product purity and performance, thereby reducing reliance on low-price competition [6] - Targeting high-value application scenarios, such as food packaging and automotive parts, allows recycled plastic companies to avoid direct competition with coal-based products and establish market barriers [8] Long-term Value of Circular Economy and Policy Support - The development of coal chemicals aligns with national energy security strategies, while the growth of recycled plastics is driven by circular economy principles and carbon reduction goals, indicating that both can coexist and meet different market needs [13][17] - Policies supporting the recycled plastic industry, such as tax incentives and mandates for recycled content, are expected to boost market demand significantly, with projections indicating a total demand for HDPE recycled pellets exceeding 3 million tons by 2025 [13] - The transition from traditional low-end applications to high-end uses for recycled HDPE is anticipated, driven by policy and market demand, with significant performance improvements expected from advanced recycling technologies [14]

Core Insights - Inner Mongolia is undergoing a significant energy transformation, leveraging its abundant coal, wind, and solar resources to drive a comprehensive energy revolution [2][10]. Traditional Energy Industry - Inner Mongolia is developing a modern coal chemical industry, transforming coal into high-value products like polyethylene and polypropylene, with a projected conversion scale exceeding 100 million tons by 2024 [3][5]. - The coal-to-olefins demonstration facility in Baotou processes 3 million tons of coal annually to produce 600,000 tons of methanol and generates approximately 6 billion yuan in annual revenue [5]. New Energy Industry - Inner Mongolia has become the first region in China to exceed 100 million kilowatts of installed renewable energy capacity, with current installations reaching 150 million kilowatts, surpassing thermal power capacity [11]. - The region is developing a complete photovoltaic industry chain, producing high-purity polysilicon and solar panels, with innovative processes reducing energy consumption and costs [13][16]. Future Energy Industry - The launch of the largest green ammonia project in China marks a significant step in the green hydrogen and ammonia industry, with an annual production capacity of 320,000 tons [19][21]. - Inner Mongolia is planning to establish a green hydrogen corridor and hydrogen pipeline network, aiming to become a national leader in green hydrogen production and applications [21]. New Energy Storage - A series of new energy storage projects are underway, with a target of reaching 10.32 million kilowatts of installed capacity by the end of 2024, and projections of over 16 million kilowatts by 2025 [23]. - The region is actively reforming its electricity market, leading the nation in green electricity trading volumes, with 76.2 billion kilowatt-hours settled in 2024 [24].

证券研究报 告 新疆周报（20251110-20251116） 推荐（维持） 新疆天业拟与天池能源设立合资公司 行业研究 基础化工 2025 年 11 月 17 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：杨晖 邮箱：yanghui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522050001 证券分析师：陈俊新 邮箱：chenjunxin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525040001 行业基本数据 相关研究报告 《新疆周报（20251027-20251102）：国家能源 集团哈密煤制油配套 1500 万吨煤矿项目获批》 2025-11-03 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）1210 号 ❑ 本周新疆指数 131.19，环比+1.29%；新疆煤化工投资指数 129.74，环比- 0.48%；新疆国企改革指数 133.26，环比+2.30%。本周涨幅前三：合金投资 （000633.SZ）上涨+20.85%，中基健康（000972.SZ）上涨+13.03%，ST 天山 （300313.SZ）上涨+11.87%。本周跌幅前三：东华科技（002140.SZ）下跌- 5.61%，特变电工（ ...

Core Viewpoint - Baofeng Energy's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.01% and a year-to-date increase of 17.59%, indicating volatility in market performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Baofeng Energy achieved a revenue of 35.545 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 46.43% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 8.950 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 97.27% [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 17.348 billion yuan, with 9.145 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 17, Baofeng Energy's stock was trading at 18.99 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 139.261 billion yuan [1]. - The stock experienced a net outflow of 27.9469 million yuan in principal funds, with large orders showing a buy of 49.8233 million yuan and a sell of 57.2083 million yuan [1]. - The number of shareholders increased to 65,400, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 3.57% to 112,206 shares [2]. Company Overview - Baofeng Energy, established on November 2, 2005, is located in the Ningdong Energy and Chemical Base in Yinchuan, Ningxia, and was listed on May 16, 2019 [1]. - The company's main business involves coal-to-olefins, with 85% of its revenue derived from primary products [1]. - Baofeng Energy is categorized under the basic chemicals industry, specifically in coal chemical products, and is associated with concepts such as asphalt, methanol, carbon neutrality, and hydrogen energy [1].

Core Viewpoint - Baofeng Energy's stock price has shown a year-to-date increase of 19.94%, with significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first nine months of 2025, indicating strong financial performance and investor interest [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 14, Baofeng Energy's stock price decreased by 2.02%, trading at 19.37 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 142.05 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has experienced a 19.94% increase year-to-date, with a 0.16% rise over the last five trading days, a 14.48% increase over the last 20 days, and a 28.19% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Baofeng Energy reported a revenue of 35.545 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 46.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.950 billion CNY, which is a 97.27% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 17.348 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 9.145 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Baofeng Energy had 65,400 shareholders, an increase of 3.70% from the previous period, with an average of 112,206 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 3.57% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 177 million shares, a decrease of 25.6241 million shares from the previous period [2].

Core Viewpoint - Baofeng Energy's stock has shown significant growth this year, with a notable increase in both revenue and net profit, indicating strong operational performance and investor interest [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 12, Baofeng Energy's stock price increased by 2.07% to 20.20 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 627 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.43%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 148.134 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, Baofeng Energy's stock price has risen by 25.08%, with a 10.44% increase over the last five trading days, 16.43% over the last 20 days, and 32.89% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Baofeng Energy reported a revenue of 35.545 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 46.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.950 billion CNY, which is a 97.27% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Baofeng Energy has distributed a total of 17.348 billion CNY in dividends, with 9.145 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Baofeng Energy had 65,400 shareholders, an increase of 3.70% from the previous period, with an average of 112,206 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 3.57% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 177 million shares, a decrease of 25.624 million shares from the previous period, while the Chemical ETF has entered the top ten as a new shareholder with 32.987 million shares [3].

Core Insights - The National Energy Administration reported a significant increase in energy investment in China, with key projects completing investments of 1.97 trillion yuan in the first eight months of the year, representing an 18.2% year-on-year growth [1] Group 1: Investment Growth Characteristics - Nuclear power, power grids, new energy storage, and coal power are major contributors to the growth in energy project investments [1] - New energy storage projects in Xinjiang, Guangdong, Yunnan, Shandong, and Inner Mongolia saw investment growth rates exceeding 100% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Rapid Growth in Specific Sectors - Wind power, modern coal chemical industry, oil and gas reserve facilities, charging and swapping infrastructure, and hydrogen energy investments are experiencing rapid growth [1] - Ongoing projects in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia for coal-to-oil and coal-to-olefins are progressing steadily, while the Daan green hydrogen ammonia integration demonstration project in Jilin has been completed [1] Group 3: Steady Growth in Other Energy Investments - Solar power generation, integrated source-grid-load-storage projects, oil and gas exploration and development, and pumped storage investments are also growing steadily [1] - Several integrated source-grid-load-storage projects are advancing in Shandong, Shanxi, Gansu, and Guangxi, while major oil fields are steadily increasing reserves and production [1]

Core Insights - The National Energy Administration reported a significant increase in energy investment in China, with a total investment of 1.97 trillion yuan in key energy projects in the first eight months of the year, representing an 18.2% year-on-year growth [1] Group 1: Investment Growth Characteristics - Nuclear power, power grids, new energy storage, and coal power are key drivers of investment growth in energy projects [1] - In the first eight months, key energy storage projects in Xinjiang, Guangdong, Yunnan, Shandong, and Inner Mongolia saw investment growth rates exceeding 100% [1] Group 2: Rapid Growth in Specific Sectors - Wind power, modern coal chemical industry, oil and gas reserve facilities, charging and swapping infrastructure, and hydrogen energy investments are experiencing rapid growth [1] - Ongoing projects in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia for coal-to-oil and coal-to-olefins are progressing steadily, while the Daan green hydrogen ammonia integration demonstration project in Jilin has been completed [1] Group 3: Steady Growth in Other Energy Investments - Investments in solar power generation, integrated source-grid-load-storage systems, oil and gas exploration and development, and pumped storage are steadily increasing [1] - Several integrated source-grid-load-storage projects are being advanced in Shandong, Shanxi, Gansu, and Guangxi, while major oil fields are steadily increasing reserves and production [1]