[晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20250630 重点推荐 财经要闻 [Table_Reportdate] 2025年06月30日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 李嘉豪 lijiah@longone.com.cn 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.商品周期与工业企业利润——资产配置周报（2025/06/23-2025/06/27） ➢ 2.寒武纪（688256）:云边端共铸国产算力脊梁，软硬件同迎寒武破晓时代——公司深度 报告 ➢ 3.关税影响显现，营收利润率拖累明显——国内观察：2025年5月工业企业利润数据 ➢ 4.1-5月外销表现优于内销，重视具身智能率先落地物流场景机遇——机械设备行业简评 ➢ 1.中国人民银行货币政策委员会召开2025年第二季度例会 ➢ 2.李强主 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of June 27, the total margin financing and securities lending balance on the Beijing Stock Exchange reached 5.774 billion yuan, marking an increase of 7.5182 million yuan from the previous trading day, with the financing balance increasing for five consecutive trading days [1]. Financing and Margin Trading - The financing balance was 5.773 billion yuan, up by 7.3308 million yuan, while the securities lending balance was 923,700 yuan, increasing by 187,500 yuan [1]. - The stocks with the highest financing balances included Jinbo Biological (293 million yuan), Airong Software (173 million yuan), and Better Energy (154 million yuan) [1]. - The average financing balance as a percentage of market capitalization for these stocks was 1.11%, with the highest ratios seen in Shengye Electric (3.67%), Tiangang Co. (3.66%), and Hechang Polymer (2.74%) [1]. Sector Performance - In terms of industry statistics, the computer, machinery equipment, and power equipment sectors had the most stocks with net financing purchases exceeding 1 million yuan, with 9, 6, and 5 stocks respectively [2]. - On June 27, stocks with net financing purchases over 1 million yuan had an average increase of 0.06%, with notable gainers including Tianma New Materials (up 11.84%), Yabo Xuan (up 10.21%), and Jinbo Biological (up 8.67%) [2]. Trading Activity - The weighted average turnover rate for stocks with net financing purchases over 1 million yuan was 6.70%, with the highest turnover rates seen in Youji Co. (37.19%), Patel (34.20%), and Weimao Electronics (31.10%) [2]. - The average daily turnover rate for stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange was 5.98% [2]. Notable Stocks - The stocks with the largest increases in financing balance on June 27 included Jinbo Biological (up 2,059.22 million yuan), Shuguang Digital Creation (up 948.79 million yuan), and Weimao Electronics (up 910.57 million yuan) [2][3]. - Stocks with significant net selling included Liandi Information (net sell of 11.5531 million yuan), Changhong Energy (net sell of 10.012 million yuan), and Shengye Electric (net sell of 7.5067 million yuan) [1]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the active trading environment on the Beijing Stock Exchange, with a focus on stocks that are attracting significant financing interest, indicating potential investment opportunities in these sectors [2][3].

Core Insights - The latest financing balance of the ChiNext market is 354.57 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 203 million yuan, indicating a positive trend in financing activities [1] - A total of 470 stocks in the ChiNext saw an increase in financing balance, with 24 stocks experiencing a growth rate exceeding 10% [1][2] - The average increase in stock prices for those with financing balance growth over 10% was 3.86%, with notable performers including Lian Te Technology and Xin Heng Hui [2] Financing Balance Growth - The stock with the highest increase in financing balance is Zhonglun New Materials, which saw a 49.88% increase, bringing its latest financing balance to 110.51 million yuan [3] - Other significant gainers include Weiteou and Kaige Precision Machinery, with increases of 38.60% and 32.72% respectively [3] - The total financing balance for ChiNext stocks reached 355.56 billion yuan, marking a continuous increase over five trading days [1][2] Stock Performance - Among the stocks with over 10% financing balance growth, 17 stocks rose on the day, with two hitting the daily limit up [2] - Stocks with the highest price increases included Lian Te Technology (17.37%), Xin Heng Hui (14.00%), and Kaige Precision Machinery (6.09%) [2] - Conversely, stocks with notable declines included Xin Hongye and Jun Ting Hotel, with decreases of 6.49% and 3.76% respectively [2] Financing Balance Decline - A total of 463 stocks experienced a decline in financing balance, with 12 stocks seeing a decrease of over 10% [4] - The stock with the largest decline was Hengyu Xintong, which saw a 23.06% drop in financing balance, bringing it to 14.38 million yuan [4] - Other significant decliners included Zhengqiang Co. and Huaren Health, with decreases of 21.48% and 18.85% respectively [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and market activity of Chengdu Zhonghuan Fluid Control Equipment Co., Ltd, indicating a positive growth trajectory in revenue and net profit [2][3] - As of June 27, the company had a financing balance of 4.82 million yuan, which accounts for 0.33% of its market capitalization, indicating a relatively high level of financing activity compared to the past year [1] - The company's main business segments include valve actuators (41.05%), skid-mounted equipment (24.49%), and wellhead safety control systems (21.28%), showcasing a diversified revenue stream [1] Group 2 - For the first quarter of 2025, Zhonghuan achieved operating revenue of 41.18 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.79 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 90.33% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 109 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 82.84 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - The number of shareholders decreased by 5.27% to 5,270, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 145.41% to 18,778 shares [2]

证 券 研 究 报 告 机械行业周报（20250623-20250629） 推荐（维持） 重视机器人场景落地，关注 AI 相关装备 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | | | 汇川技术 | 63.82 | 2.12 | 2.55 | 3.01 | 30.14 | 25.05 | 21.19 | 5.23 | 强推 | | 法兰泰克 | 9.32 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.94 | 15.55 | 12.18 | 9.88 | 2.12 | 强推 | | 信捷电气 | 54.27 | 1.83 | 2.30 | 2.78 | 29.61 | 23.62 | 19.51 | 3.42 | 强推 | | 欧科亿 | 18.24 | 0.71 | 1.02 | ...

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本周策略观点： 本周市场行情： 北交所新股： 2025 年 06 月 29 日 北证并购增资渐活跃，二级轮动格 局未变 ——北交所策略周报（20250623-20250629） 新三板动态： ⚫ 本周新挂牌 6 家，摘牌 6 家，周新增计划融资 0.49 亿元，完成融资 1.01 亿元。 风险提示： ⚫ 个股业绩季度波动过大风险，宏观经济波动的风险。 专 题 研 究 相关研究 - 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 汪秉涵 A0230123090006 wangbh@swsresearch.com 吕靖华 A0230124070002 lvjh@swsresearch.com 联系人 汪秉涵 (8621)23297818× wangbh@swsresearch.com f 新 三 板 研 究 证 券 研 究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提 ...

2025 年 06 月 29 日 继续高位震荡 本期要点：继续高位震荡 前期提到，市场或以以时间换空间的方式来完成调整，可以先防守再 择机寻找进攻机会。事后来看，本轮调整的时间比预期的要短，并且 在上周上半周放量向上突破近期高点。 从纯技术面的角度来看，连续放量上涨一举突破近期高点，无疑是有 效突破的明显证据，一旦阻力位被有效突破之后，将转变成比较重要 的支撑位。从过去一段时间的均线多头排列状态，以及每次调整之后 的调整幅度和修复节奏来看，二季度市场的多头承接力度还是非常强 的。因此，虽然当前市场在急涨之后或有一定的技术性调整压力，但 潜在的调整风险或较小。 虽然大盘上周放量突破了近期高点，但很难有足够的证据表明是否即 将再次迎来一波有效且持续的上涨。当下，即使以较保守的区间震荡 的思路来分析，那么正常而言应该将 3509 作为过去三个季度里的震 荡区间上轨，而 3674 则是极端情形下的极限上轨。从这个角度看， 未来一段时间市场或仍将至少维持震荡或震荡上行格局。 在行业板块上，我们的四轮驱动模型建议关注计算机、汽车、机械设 备、医药生物、非银、传媒、电子、通信等板块的机会。 风险提示：根据历史数据构建的模型 ...

主板ST股或将告别5%限制。 6月27日，沪深交易所均发布通知，拟调整主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例，由目前的5%调整为 10%。 值得注意的是，上述通知尚处于征求意见阶段，反馈截止时间为2025年7月4日。 记者梳理发现，目前沪深主板风险警示股票合计有132只。 主板风险警示股涨跌幅拟调整为10% 可能涉及哪些股票？ 6月27日，沪深交易所发布公告称，为进一步完善股票交易制度，提升定价效率，维护市场交易秩序，保 护投资者合法权益，在中国证监会统筹指导下，起草了关于《调整主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例 及有关事项的通知（征求意见稿）》（简称"征求意见稿"），拟将主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例 由5%调整为10%，调整后与主板其他股票保持一致，现就有关安排向市场公开征求意见。 若最终按照征求意见稿中的相关规则变动施行，沪深主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例，将统一变为 10%。 记者梳理发现，截至目前，沪深主板风险警示股票目前合计有132只。需要说明的是，因后续可能会有主 板风险警示股票"摘星脱帽"，或者有新的主板股票被实施风险警示，相关股票名单还会出现变动。 目前主板风险警示股票有何特点？ 上述主 ...

Group 1 - International investment banks are optimistic about Chinese assets, with Goldman Sachs raising its target for Chinese stock indices twice in May and UBS predicting net inflows into the Chinese stock market [1] - Southbound capital has seen significant inflows, with net purchases reaching 610.739 billion yuan in the first five months of the year, surpassing 80% of the total for 2024 [1] - Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for southbound capital flows in 2025 from 75 billion USD (approximately 587.3 billion HKD) to 110 billion USD (approximately 861.5 billion HKD) [1] Group 2 - The company reported revenue of 5.82 billion HKD, with a significant 24.5% increase in the second half compared to the previous period [2] - The gross profit reached 1.6 billion HKD, with the gross margin remaining stable compared to last year [2] Group 3 - Emerging markets in Southeast Asia have shown strong performance, with sales in Vietnam and Indonesia increasing by 54% and 39% year-on-year, respectively [3] - The demand for machinery in Southeast Asia is driven by rapid economic growth, infrastructure expansion, and manufacturing upgrades [3] Group 4 - The company's die-casting machine business achieved revenue of 3.87 billion HKD for the fiscal years 2024-2025, with a notable 38.3% increase in the second half [4] - Profitability in this segment improved by 80.9% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a significant recovery trend [4] Group 5 - The company has established strategic partnerships with leading manufacturers in the automotive industry, enhancing its market competitiveness [5] - Stimulus policies have led to a rapid recovery in consumer demand for 3C and home appliances, supporting sales of the company's small die-casting machines and injection molding machines [5] Group 6 - The die-casting process is increasingly applied in the electric vehicle sector, expanding the market potential for the company's products [7] - New applications in low-altitude aircraft and humanoid robots are emerging, with significant market opportunities projected for the future [8] Group 7 - The injection molding machine segment performed well, generating revenue of 1.76 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 23.3% [10] - The company has tailored solutions for various customer needs, resulting in revenue growth across multiple sectors, including consumer goods and packaging [13] Group 8 - The company is positioned at the forefront of the materials revolution, focusing on magnesium alloys and other new materials that are essential for various industries [15] - The company's proprietary TPI semi-solid magnesium alloy forming technology has received recognition for its efficiency and performance [16] Group 9 - The company has launched three product series based on its TPI technology, targeting different market segments and needs [17] - The company has established a comprehensive service network with over 60 localized sales and service centers to enhance customer support [18] Group 10 - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing global re-evaluation of Chinese assets, driven by its technological leadership and global expansion efforts [19] - The demand for die-casting processes in sectors like electric vehicles and humanoid robots is anticipated to drive future growth [19]