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碳酸锂期货价格飙涨,“亚洲锂都”大动作,实际影响有多大?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-17 13:45
消息面引发市场对供给收缩的担忧,碳酸锂期货价格飙涨。 12月17日,国内期货市场碳酸锂主力合约2605大幅领涨,截至下午收盘报涨7.61%,盘中最高到达109860元/吨,逼近11万元大关,为近一年多高位。 昨日盘后,宜春市自然资源局依据《中华人民共和国矿产资源法》《矿产资源开采登记管理办法》等相关法规,发布拟注销高安市伍桥瓷石矿等27宗采矿 许可证的公示。 "江西锂云母储量占全国锂矿总储量的40%左右。矿权属性与状态决定此次注销的实质影响较小,27宗矿权中17宗为陶瓷土矿,且所有采矿许可证均已过 期,多数早已停采,无实际产能贡献。此次注销是宜春市自然资源局的常规公示行为,是新矿产资源法将锂列为独立矿种后的边界厘清动作,并非突发供 给收缩。"卓创资讯富宝锂电分析师汪霏菲认为。 信达期货研报分析,从实际影响来看,此次涉及的采矿许可证中,大部分瓷土矿、高岭土矿的证件早在2024年之前就已到期,且相关矿山已停止开采,对 当前碳酸锂市场的供需格局影响相对有限。但此次公示,或许意味着宜春市将对云母矿、陶瓷土矿、高岭土矿的矿种界定进行根本性调整,而这一调整直 接关乎此前9月30日被要求提交储量核实报告的8家锂矿企业。矿种 ...
碳酸锂期货新高背后:27个采矿权全部过期 多地已有类似公示
借着宜春多个采矿权注销的消息,碳酸锂期货再次刷新年内高点。 截至12月17日收盘,碳酸锂期货多个合约涨幅超过7%,其中主力合约LC2605等全面突破10万元/吨,远月合约LC2612更是站上11万元/吨。 近期,宜春市自然资源局网站发布了《关于拟公告注销27个采矿权的公示》,对包含陶瓷土、石英岩和高岭土在内的27宗采矿许可证予以注销。 12月12日,当地再次发布《关于拟公告注销27个采矿权的公示》,对多个过期的陶瓷土、石英岩采矿许可证进行注销公示,公示时间30个工作日,公示期 满后予以公告注销。 值得注意的是,以上注销采矿权只是各地自然资源部门的常规操作,相关工作既不是今年才正式启动,也不是宜春当地所独有。 不过,需要指出的是,以上拟注销的部分采矿权有效期在2011年便已经停止,目前27个采矿权已经全部过期,这对短期市场供给、企业生产层面并不会构 成明显影响。 经过11月中旬的调控后,近期碳酸锂期货持仓量持续增长,价格也已经重返前期高点附近,上述采矿权注销的消息无非是对市场带来了情绪层面的拉动, 期货价格借势突破。 企业层面,江特电机所属的狮子岭矿区含锂瓷石矿虽然在上述注销范围内,但是也不是上市公司的主力矿山 ...
碳酸锂期货新高背后:27个采矿权全部过期,多地已有类似公示
今日期货价格的上涨却更像是一次多头资金的借机炒作。 借着宜春多个采矿权注销的消息,碳酸锂期货再次刷新年内高点。 截至12月17日收盘,碳酸锂期货多个合约涨幅超过7%,其中主力合约LC2605等全面突破10万元/吨,远月合约LC2612更是站上11万元/吨。 近期,宜春市自然资源局网站发布了《关于拟公告注销27个采矿权的公示》,对包含陶瓷土、石英岩和高岭土在内的27宗采矿许可证予以注销。 不过,需要指出的是,以上拟注销的部分采矿权有效期在2011年便已经停止,目前27个采矿权已经全部过期,这对短期市场供给、企业生产层面并不会构 成明显影响。 经过11月中旬的调控后,近期碳酸锂期货持仓量持续增长,价格也已经重返前期高点附近,上述采矿权注销的消息无非是对市场带来了情绪层面的拉动, 期货价格借势突破。 企业层面,江特电机(002176)所属的狮子岭矿区含锂瓷石矿虽然在上述注销范围内,但是也不是上市公司的主力矿山,并且该矿区原采矿证范围内的露 天可采储量已经开采完毕。 21世纪经济报道记者还注意到,12月以来,广东、辽宁、云南、贵州等多地也发布了类似公告,对过期的采矿权或者探矿权进行集中注销公示,这本身属 于各地自然资 ...
西藏矿业:扎布耶二期项目尚处于产能爬坡阶段,产量尚未稳定
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-17 10:31
西藏矿业(000762.SZ)12月17日在投资者互动平台表示,鉴于扎布耶二期项目属于大型工业装置,为 全球首套采用"膜分离+MVR"工艺的盐湖提锂工程,虽然扎布耶二期项目己正式投产,目前项目尚处于 产能爬坡阶段,产量尚未稳定,具体数据请以公司后续发布的定期报告及相关公告为准。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:同样是央企上市公司,盐湖股份清晰明了的告诉投资 者碳酸锂生产线爬坡期间每日每月生产的碳酸锂具体吨数,请问扎布耶二期试生产一年多加上正式投产 三个月以来生产的碳酸锂一共有多少吨? ...
碳酸锂涨超8%逼近11万关口,发生了啥?能涨到哪?
对冲研投· 2025-12-17 08:50
Market Trends - On December 17, the main contract for lithium carbonate futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged, rising over 8% and reaching a peak of 109,860 yuan/ton, approaching the 110,000 yuan/ton mark [2] - The SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate index price on December 17 was 97,171 yuan/ton, up 1,209 yuan/ton from the previous working day [8] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Weekly lithium carbonate production increased by 59 tons to 21,998 tons, with spodumene-derived lithium rising by 260 tons to 13,744 tons, while lithium mica production decreased by 200 tons to 2,876 tons [8] - The expected lithium carbonate production for December is projected to increase by 3% to 98,210 tons [8] - Weekly inventory decreased by 2,133 tons to 111,469 tons, with downstream inventory down by 957 tons to 42,738 tons [8] Regulatory Developments - Jiangte Electric announced that the Yichun Natural Resources Bureau plans to revoke 27 mining rights, including the lithium ceramic stone mine in the Shiziling area, which is part of a broader cleanup of expired mining licenses [4][7] - The proposed revocation of these mining rights is part of a regulatory effort to clarify the boundaries between ceramic and lithium mining rights, indicating a shift towards sustainable resource management in Yichun [11] Price Drivers - The recent price increase in lithium carbonate is driven by tightening supply expectations due to the proposed revocation of mining licenses and ongoing delays in the resumption of production at the Jiangxiawo lithium mine [10] - The demand for energy storage continues to grow, with domestic production of power batteries and energy storage batteries increasing month-on-month in November, indicating robust downstream demand [10] Market Outlook - The short-term outlook for lithium carbonate prices remains strong due to supply constraints and sustained demand, despite potential seasonal price declines [10][11] - The overall supply-demand mismatch in the lithium carbonate market is expected to persist, making it difficult to reverse the current price trends [11]
瑞达期货碳酸锂产业日报-20251217
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-12-17 08:40
Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The report suggests trading with a light position in a volatile market and controlling risks by paying attention to trading rhythms [2] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 108,620 yuan/ton, up 8,020 yuan; the net position of the top 20 is -177,850 lots, down 8,717 lots; the position of the main contract is 668,589 lots, up 2,562 lots; the spread between near and far contracts is -1,400 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipt is 15,636 lots/ton, up 350 lots [2] Spot Market - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 97,050 yuan/ton, up 1,200 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 94,450 yuan/ton, up 1,100 yuan; the basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract is -11,570 yuan/ton, down 6,820 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) is 1,230 US dollars/ton, up 20 US dollars; the average price of amblygonite is 11,600 yuan/ton, up 625 yuan; the price of lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) is 4,058 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Industry Situation - The monthly output of lithium carbonate is 53,980 tons, up 2,450 tons; the monthly import volume is 23,880.69 tons, up 4,283.79 tons; the monthly export volume is 245.91 tons, up 95.10 tons; the monthly operating rate of lithium carbonate enterprises is 47%, unchanged; the monthly output of power batteries is 176,300 MWh, up 5,700 MWh; the prices of manganese - acid lithium, hexafluorophosphate lithium, cobalt - acid lithium, and various ternary materials are unchanged [2] Downstream and Application Situation - The operating rates of ternary cathode materials and lithium iron phosphate cathode materials are 51% and 63% respectively, down 1 percentage point each; the monthly output of new energy vehicles is 1,880,000 vehicles, up 108,000 vehicles; the monthly sales volume is 1,823,000 vehicles, up 108,000 vehicles; the cumulative sales penetration rate of new energy vehicles is 47.48%, up 0.74 percentage points; the cumulative sales volume is 14,780,000 vehicles, up 3,518,000 vehicles; the monthly export volume is 300,000 vehicles, up 44,000 vehicles; the cumulative export volume is 2.315 million vehicles, up 1.174 million vehicles [2] Option Situation - The 20 - day average volatility of the underlying is 53.25%, up 2.75 percentage points; the 40 - day average volatility is 51.25%, up 3.05 percentage points; the total call position is 130,660 contracts, up 2,257 contracts; the total put position is 108,401 contracts, up 3,847 contracts; the put - call ratio of the total position is 82.96%, up 1.5377 percentage points; the implied volatility of at - the - money options is up 0.0005 percentage points [2] Industry News - In 2026, the top priority is to expand domestic demand, and efforts will be made to stabilize the real estate market from both supply and demand sides; Yichun plans to cancel 27 mining licenses, including Jiangte Motor's mining right, and the company has submitted an objection; it is estimated that in 2026, China's overseas production and sales of automobiles (including exports) will reach 8 million, with a 15% increase, and new energy vehicles will reach 3.5 million, with a two - year compound growth rate of 65%, and the export value of auto parts and lithium batteries will reach 180 billion US dollars [2] Market Analysis - The main contract of lithium carbonate fluctuates strongly, with an increase of 7.61% at the close. The position increases month - on - month, the spot price is at a discount to the futures price, and the basis weakens compared with the previous day. The raw material price is supported by the strong futures market and overseas mines' price - holding. The supply of lithium salt increases steadily due to good profits and new production lines. The demand remains strong due to high - level orders of downstream battery factories, and the industry chain continues to reduce inventory [2] Technical Analysis - On the 60 - minute MACD chart, the two lines are above the 0 - axis, and the red bars slightly converge [2]
宜春拟注销27个采矿权,事关江特电机核心锂矿资产,公司提出异议
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 08:39
宜春市拟注销27个采矿权,其中涉及江特电机(002176.SZ)的核心锂矿资产,公司发布公告称已提交 异议。 2024年年报显示,江特电机目前控制的采矿权分别为江西省宜丰县茜坑锂矿、江西省宜丰县狮子岭矿区 含锂瓷石矿、宜春市新坊钽铌有限公司钽铌矿和奉新县南方矿业有限公司白水瓷石矿。 宜春坐拥亚洲最大的锂云母矿储量,是国内碳酸锂冶炼重镇。2025年下半年以来,当地已接连对涉锂矿 山收紧监管:7月要求8家矿山完成矿种变更及储量核实;8月,宁德时代枧下窝矿区因采矿证到期暂停 开采,带动碳酸锂期货4天暴涨18.5%。市场普遍认为,此次集中注销若最终落地,将进一步收缩锂云 母供应,对国内碳酸锂价格形成支撑。 受消息刺激,12月17日碳酸锂期货主力合约盘中大涨近5%,收报105600元/吨;港股天齐锂业、赣锋锂 业早盘同步高开近4%,A股锂矿板块亦表现活跃。 截至当天收盘,江特电机报9.43元/股,股价下跌了3.63%。 近日,江西宜春市自然资源局发布《关于拟公告注销27个采矿权的公示》,计划一次性注销27宗采矿许 可证,公示期至2026年1月22日,为期30个工作日。一旦公示期满且无有效异议,相关矿权将正式公告 注销, ...
1217热点追踪:供给端消息扰动,碳酸锂再创年内新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 05:36
周三开盘后,碳酸锂价格持续上冲,并伴随大量增仓,截至发稿前,碳酸锂主力合约日内最大涨幅已超 9%,价格突破前高,直指11万,创年内新高。最新消息显示,根据《矿产资源法》,《矿产资源开采 登记管理办法》和《自然资源部关于进一步完善矿产资源勘查开采登记管理的通知》等相关要求,宜春 市自然资源局拟对高安市伍桥瓷石矿等27宗采矿许可证予以注销。在枧下窝锂矿复产预期不断落空的背 景下,新增采矿权注销进一步加深了市场对供给的担忧情绪,短期继续跟进供给端消息,警惕盘面波动 加大的风险。 基本面来看,碳酸锂周度产量环比增加59吨至21998吨,其中锂辉石提锂环比增加260吨至13744吨,锂 云母产量环比减少200吨至2876吨,盐湖提锂环比减少15吨至3075吨,回收料提锂环比增加14吨至2303 吨;12月碳酸锂产量预计环比增加3%至98210吨。需求端,周度三元材料产量环比减少384吨至18313 吨,库存环比减少318吨至18524吨;周度磷酸铁锂产量环比减少1336吨至94144吨,库存环比减少23吨 至103658吨;12月预计三元材料产量环比下降7%至78280吨,预计磷酸铁锂产量环比下滑1%至41万 吨。库存 ...
彻底刷屏!刚刚,A股最赚钱新股来了!
中国基金报· 2025-12-17 04:48
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant market movements in A-shares, particularly focusing on the impressive debut of Muxi Co., which has become the most profitable new stock since the full registration system was implemented in A-shares, with a potential profit of up to 395,000 yuan per share [5][6]. Market Overview - On December 17, A-shares saw a collective rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.17%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.21% [1]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.02 trillion yuan, a decrease of 98.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2]. Sector Performance - The technology sector experienced a strong rebound, with lithium mining and CPO concept stocks leading the market gains. The tourism and hotel sectors also saw significant increases [2][12]. - Lithium mining stocks surged, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy, Dazhong Mining, and Jinyuan Co. hitting the daily limit of 10% increase. Other notable performers included Salt Lake Co. and Ganfeng Lithium, which rose by over 7% and 4%, respectively [10][11]. Notable Stocks - Muxi Co. debuted with a staggering opening increase of 568%, reaching a peak profit of nearly 300,000 yuan per share on its first trading day. By midday, its stock price had risen to 824.5 yuan, marking a 687.79% increase [6][8]. - The total market capitalization of Muxi Co. reached 329.88 billion yuan, surpassing that of Moer Thread, making it the top hot stock in A-shares [8]. Tourism and Hospitality Sector - The tourism and hotel sector saw a notable rise, with stocks like Qujiang Cultural Tourism and Nanjing Commercial Travel hitting the daily limit of 10% increase. Other companies in this sector also experienced significant gains [12][14]. - Data from Qunar Travel indicated that hotel bookings for the New Year period have tripled compared to the previous year, with major cities like Guangzhou and Nanning leading in bookings [12]. CPO Sector - The CPO sector experienced substantial growth, with stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng rising significantly. Zhongji Xuchuang increased by 3.52%, while Xinyi Sheng saw a rise of 6.46% [18][20]. Retail Sector - The retail sector also showed active performance, with stocks such as Li Qun Co. and Baida Group reaching the daily limit of 10% increase. Other companies in this sector also followed suit with notable gains [15][16].
暴拉!“白色石油”,突传重磅!
券商中国· 2025-12-17 04:35
"白色石油"传来重磅利好! 今早,碳酸锂期货主力合约突然暴拉,涨幅一度超过8%,报108600元/吨上方。锂矿概念股天华新能、金圆股 份、盛新锂能、盐湖股份、中矿资源、国城矿业等表现强劲。 据宜春市自然资源局网站,拟对27宗采矿许可证予以注销,并向社会公示,公示时间30个工作日,公示期满后 予以公告注销,注销后生态修复等相关义务由原矿权人履行。此消息可能引发市场再度定价碳酸锂供需关系变 动,进而推动相关产品上升。 从供应看,2026年澳洲KathleenValley以及Holland两座新矿山产能继续爬坡,Greenbushes CGP 3期项目投产; 南美盐湖SQM转产氢氧化锂的产能继续爬坡,阿根廷的新增项目力拓的Rincon、紫金矿业的3Q以及赣锋锂业 的Mariana项目均已投产;南非赣锋锂业的Goulamina项目爬产,海南矿业的Bougouni项目以及紫金矿业的刚果 金Manono项目投产;国内新疆、湖南以及西藏盐湖均有增量,2026年预计全球范围内供应增量在33万吨上 下。 从需求看,新能源汽车渗透率近50%,叠加补贴退坡,加征一半购置税,预计新能源汽车产销增速会有所放 缓,动力电池增速给到20% ...