Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - In the short term, the lithium carbonate futures may continue to fluctuate in a moderately strong manner, but the upside space is limited. The high capacity utilization rate on the supply side and the expected launch of lithium mine projects suppress the long - term price, while the accelerated spot destocking and the resilient demand for new energy vehicles support the near - month contracts. However, it is necessary to be vigilant against the negative feedback risk caused by the poor cost - pressure transmission of downstream cell enterprises, and the price fluctuations may widen due to intensified year - end capital games [3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Daily Market Summary - **Carbonate Lithium Futures Market Data Changes**: On November 12, the main contract of lithium carbonate rose slightly by 40 yuan to 86,580 yuan/ton, and the basis strengthened from - 4,540 yuan/ton to - 4,380 yuan/ton. The open interest of the main contract increased slightly by 2,473 lots to 529,000 lots, and the trading volume rebounded significantly by 26.9% to 1,145,000 lots [1] - **Analysis of Industrial Chain Supply - Demand and Inventory Changes** - **Supply Side**: On November 12, the price of spodumene concentrate rose by 130 yuan to 7,995 yuan/ton, with continuous cost - side pressure. The capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate increased to 75.34%. Coupled with the progress of the 50,000 - ton lithium carbonate project of Dazhong Mining's Jiada Lithium Mine, the medium - term supply increase expectation suppressed market sentiment [2] - **Demand Side**: In October, 1.4 million new energy vehicles were retailed, a year - on - year increase of 17%, driving the demand for power batteries. The prices of cathode materials were stable with a slight increase. The price of power - type lithium iron phosphate rose by 245 yuan to 36,605 yuan/ton, but the cell prices remained stable. Downstream acceptance of high prices was limited, and purchases were mainly for rigid demand [2] - **Inventory and Warehouse Receipts**: Lithium carbonate inventory decreased for four consecutive weeks. On November 7, the inventory decreased by 3,405 tons compared with October 31 to 124,000 tons, and the destocking speed accelerated [2] - **Market Summary**: In the short term, the lithium carbonate futures may continue to fluctuate in a moderately strong manner, but the upside space is limited. Attention should be paid to the negative feedback risk and price fluctuations [3] 2. Industrial Chain Price Monitoring - The prices of the lithium carbonate main contract, basis, main - contract open interest, main - contract trading volume, battery - grade lithium carbonate market price, spodumene concentrate market price, lithium hexafluorophosphate, power - type ternary materials, and power - type lithium iron phosphate all showed varying degrees of increase on November 12 compared with the previous day. The lithium mica concentrate market price remained unchanged. The capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate increased, and the inventory decreased. The prices of various types of cells remained stable [5] 3. Industrial Dynamics and Interpretations - **Spot Market Quotations**: On November 12, the SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price and the average prices of battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate increased. The lithium carbonate futures price fluctuated within a range. The market sentiment was high, and downstream material factories were cautious. The supply side had a high overall operating rate, and it was expected that the domestic lithium carbonate production in November would be roughly the same as that in October. The demand in the power and energy - storage markets was strong, and significant destocking of lithium carbonate was expected in November [6] - **Downstream Consumption**: According to preliminary statistics from the Passenger Car Association, from October 1 to 31, the national new - energy passenger - vehicle market retail volume was 1.4 million, a year - on - year increase of 17% and a month - on - month increase of 8%. The cumulative retail volume since the beginning of this year was 10.27 million, a year - on - year increase of 23%. The wholesale volume was 1.614 million, a year - on - year increase of 16% and a month - on - month increase of 8%. The cumulative wholesale volume since the beginning of this year was 12.061 million, a year - on - year increase of 30% [7] - **Industry News** - On October 28, Dazhong Mining's "Jiada Lithium Mine Mineral Resources Mining Plan" passed the review of the Ministry of Natural Resources. After reaching full capacity, it can produce about 50,000 tons of lithium carbonate per year, marking a step closer to obtaining the mining license [9] - On October 23, the overall price of the echelon market remained stable. The cost - side pressure, supply - side capacity release, and demand - side cautious purchasing formed a hedging effect [9] - According to the National Market Regulatory Administration, China is about to enter the stage of large - scale retirement of power batteries. In 2024, the domestic power - battery recycling volume exceeded 300,000 tons, corresponding to a market scale of over 48 billion yuan. It is expected that the domestic market scale will exceed 100 billion yuan by 2030 [10] 4. Industrial Chain Data Charts - The report provides multiple data charts, including those on the lithium carbonate futures main contract and basis, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices, lithium concentrate prices, lithium hexafluorophosphate and electrolyte prices, ternary precursor prices, ternary material prices, lithium iron phosphate prices, lithium carbonate operating rate, lithium carbonate inventory, and cell selling prices [13][16][18]

截至11月13日收盘，盐湖提锂概念上涨4.14%，位居概念板块涨幅第6，板块内，40股上涨，盛新锂 能、*ST正平等涨停，富临精工、天齐锂业、新化股份等涨幅居前，分别上涨11.11%、9.98%、9.50%。 跌幅居前的有倍杰特、国机通用等，分别下跌1.63%、1.56%。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 氟化工概念 | 4.50 | 芬太尼 | -0.31 | | 有机硅概念 | 4.47 | 同花顺果指数 | -0.29 | | 钠离子电池 | 4.47 | 深圳国企改革 | -0.24 | | 金属铅 | 4.27 | 高压氧舱 | -0.21 | | 磷化工 | 4.25 | F5G概念 | 0.06 | | 盐湖提锂 | 4.14 | 培育钻石 | 0.10 | | 金属锌 | 4.05 | DRG/DIP | 0.14 | | 石墨电极 | 4.01 | 太赫兹 | 0.17 | | 金属镍 | 3.93 | 青蒿素 | 0.23 | | 固态电池 | 3.86 | 血氧仪 | 0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing legal dispute between Tianqi Lithium and SQM regarding the "public-private partnership" in the Atacama Salt Flat has raised concerns about shareholder rights and governance, particularly after a Chilean court dismissed Tianqi's lawsuit [1][2][6]. Group 1: Legal Proceedings and Court Rulings - Tianqi Lithium's subsidiary, Inversiones TLC SpA, had its lawsuit dismissed by the Santiago Appeals Court, which Tianqi plans to evaluate for potential further legal actions [1][2]. - The court's ruling is not final, allowing Tianqi to consider an appeal while emphasizing the need for shareholder approval for significant transactions [2][5]. - Tianqi expressed disappointment with the court's interpretation, arguing it undermines shareholder rights and sets a harmful precedent for minority shareholders [6][7]. Group 2: Partnership Agreement and Implications - SQM entered a partnership agreement with Codelco without shareholder approval, which Tianqi claims infringes on its voting rights and those of other minority shareholders [2][5]. - The partnership is seen as a strategic move by the Chilean government to strengthen control over lithium resources, with Codelco gaining majority ownership in the joint venture [4][8]. - The agreement allows SQM to extend its lithium extraction rights in the Atacama Salt Flat until 2060, increasing its production quota during this period [7][8]. Group 3: Market and Regulatory Context - The partnership has received conditional approval from China's market regulatory authority, which includes commitments to fair supply practices and timely reporting of significant supply changes [9]. - The agreement is critical for the lithium supply chain, particularly for industries like electric vehicles, highlighting the importance of stable and competitive market conditions [9].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing legal dispute between Tianqi Lithium and SQM regarding the public-private partnership agreement with Codelco has raised concerns about shareholder rights and governance in Chile's mining sector [2][3][5]. Group 1: Legal Developments - Tianqi Lithium's lawsuit against SQM was dismissed by a Chilean court, which has prompted Tianqi to consider further legal actions, including an appeal [2][3]. - The court's ruling is not final, allowing Tianqi to reassess its options within legal limits to protect shareholder interests [3]. Group 2: Shareholder Rights Concerns - Tianqi Lithium argues that SQM's partnership with Codelco was executed without proper shareholder approval, infringing on the voting rights of minority shareholders [3][5]. - The company claims that the court's decision sets a harmful precedent by allowing technicalities to undermine minority shareholder rights, which could deter international investment in Chile [6][8]. Group 3: SQM's Operations and Agreements - SQM operates the Atacama Salt Flat, which is the highest lithium-producing salt flat globally, holding approximately 10.8 million tons of lithium resources, accounting for 44% of global supply [3][4]. - The partnership agreement with Codelco is seen as a strategic move to enhance SQM's operational longevity, extending lithium extraction rights until 2060 [7][9]. Group 4: Regulatory Context - The partnership agreement is subject to conditions that include commitments to fair supply practices and timely reporting of significant supply changes, which are crucial for maintaining market stability [10].

Report Summary 1) Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an industry investment rating. 2) Core View On November 12, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures fluctuated widely, with an increase in trading volume and open interest. The spot market trading was sluggish, and the basis discount narrowed. The prices of cost - related lithium concentrate and lithium mica increased. Last week, lithium carbonate production rose, as did the production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials. In November, the estimated production of lithium carbonate increased while the scheduled production decreased. The production of power batteries increased last week. Terminal demand showed a slowdown in the year - on - year and month - on - month growth rates of new energy vehicle production and sales in October, general 3C shipments, and an increase in the estimated production of energy - storage batteries in November. In terms of inventory, registered warehouse receipts increased, and there was destocking in smelters, downstream, and other sectors. Currently, both supply and demand are strong, with repeated news of the resumption of lithium mines in Jiangxi. High prices have intensified downstream wait - and - see sentiment, and the power demand is expected to weaken. The game between bulls and bears has intensified, and it is expected that lithium prices will fluctuate widely [1]. 3) Summary by Related Content Futures Market - On November 12, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures fluctuated widely, with a trading volume of 1,145,329 lots (+242,839) and an open interest of 528,966 lots (+2,473) [1]. - The price differences between different contracts showed various changes, such as the spread between the near - month and the first - consecutive contract being - 1,720 yuan/ton, and the basis (SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price - lithium carbonate active contract closing price) being - 3,280 yuan/ton, with a change of +1,360 yuan/ton [1]. Spot Market - The spot market trading was sluggish, and the basis discount narrowed. The prices of lithium concentrate and lithium mica increased. The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate was 83,300 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,000 yuan/ton [1]. Supply and Demand - Supply side: Last week, lithium carbonate production increased, and the production of lithium carbonate from various raw materials all rose. In November, the estimated production of lithium carbonate increased while the scheduled production decreased [1]. - Demand side: Last week, the production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials increased. In October, the year - on - year and month - on - month growth rates of new energy vehicle production and sales slowed down, 3C shipments were general, and the estimated production of energy - storage batteries in November increased [1]. Inventory - Registered warehouse receipts were 28,287 tons (+188 tons), and there was destocking in smelters, downstream, and other sectors. The total SMM lithium carbonate inventory was 127,358 tons, a decrease of 3,405 tons compared to the previous week [1]. Industry News - Mineral Resources will sell 30% of its lithium business stake to POSCO for $765 million, aiming to reduce debt and repair the balance sheet. POSCO will enter the Australian lithium mining field for the first time [1]. - Ningde Times' Yichun Guanshixia lithium mine has new progress in resuming production. It may need to pay an additional 177 million yuan in mining rights transfer income [1]. - Core Lithium optimized the mining plan for the Grants deposit of the Finniss project, reducing pre - production capital expenditure by A$35 - 45 million, advancing the production time of the first batch of ore, increasing the ore reserve by 33% to 1.53 million tons, and increasing the lithium chloride content by 44% [1]. Investment Strategy - Production enterprises can conduct sell - hedging at high prices, and speculators can try short positions lightly after the upward trend encounters resistance [1].

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries (002466.SZ) announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Tianqi Chile, received a ruling from the Santiago Court of Appeals in Chile on November 12, 2025, rejecting its lawsuit request, which is not a final judgment [1] Group 1: Legal Proceedings - The court ruling was based on SQM signing a partnership agreement with Codelco without approval from its shareholders' meeting, which infringed upon Tianqi Chile's voting rights and related shareholder rights as a shareholder of SQM [1] - The company will conduct a comprehensive assessment within the legal framework and does not rule out the possibility of taking further actions, including but not limited to filing an appeal, to ensure the protection of relevant shareholder interests [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries (09696) has filed a lawsuit in Chile against a decision made by CMF on June 18, 2024, with the court hearing scheduled for May 14, 2025. The court ruling on November 12, 2025, dismissed Tianqi's claims, but this ruling is not final under Chilean law [1]. Group 1 - Tianqi Lithium's wholly-owned subsidiary, Tianqi Chile, initiated legal action in response to a decision made by CMF [1]. - The Chilean court is set to hear the case on May 14, 2025, following the lawsuit filed on July 26, 2024 [1]. - The court's ruling on November 12, 2025, rejected Tianqi's lawsuit, but it is important to note that this is not a final judgment according to Chilean legal standards [1]. Group 2 - SQM signed a partnership agreement with Codelco without approval from its shareholders, which undermined Tianqi Chile's voting rights and related shareholder rights as a shareholder of SQM [1]. - The company will conduct a comprehensive assessment within the legal framework and may consider further actions, including the possibility of an appeal, to protect shareholder interests [1].

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Tianqi Chile, received a ruling from a Chilean court on November 12, 2025, rejecting its lawsuit filed on July 26, 2024. The ruling is not final, and the company will conduct a comprehensive assessment, not ruling out further actions [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Legal Proceedings** - Tianqi Chile's lawsuit did not specify a monetary amount and is not expected to impact current profits [1] - The ruling is not a final judgment, indicating potential for further legal actions [1] - **Impact on Financials** - The current ruling is anticipated to have no immediate effect on the company's profits [1] - **Market Dynamics** - The collaboration between SQM and Codelco may alter SQM's future earnings, which could subsequently affect Tianqi Lithium's investment returns and equity [1] - The company will continue to evaluate the implications of this partnership on its financial performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries has confirmed that its lithium concentrate production capacity primarily comes from the Greenbushes lithium spodumene mine, which currently has a total production capacity of 1.62 million tons per year [1] Group 1: Production Capacity - The Greenbushes lithium spodumene mine has four lithium concentrate processing plants, with a total established capacity of 1.62 million tons per year [1] - The company is currently constructing the third chemical-grade lithium concentrate plant, which is expected to be completed by December 2025 [1] - Once the third chemical-grade lithium concentrate plant is operational, the total production capacity of the Greenbushes lithium concentrate project will reach approximately 2.14 million tons per year [1] Group 2: Lithium Chemical Products - The company has six operational lithium chemical product production bases located in Sichuan, Chongqing, Jiangsu, Australia, and Sichuan, with a combined lithium chemical product capacity of 121,600 tons per year [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Group 2: Core View of the Report - In the short term, lithium carbonate futures may maintain a relatively strong oscillation, but the upside space is limited. The current expansion of the supply - demand gap, continuous inventory reduction, and capital sentiment have pushed the price to break through the key resistance level, and the peak season of new energy vehicles and the incremental demand for energy storage provide support. However, the weak follow - up of spot prices, the increasing resistance of downstream to high prices, and the expected release of long - term mine production capacity will suppress the upward slope of prices [1][2][3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Daily Market Summary a. Lithium Carbonate Futures Market Data Change Analysis - On November 10, the price of the lithium carbonate main contract rose significantly to 87,240 yuan/ton, a 6% increase from November 7; the basis weakened to - 6,240 yuan/ton. The main contract's open interest increased by 8.87% to 534,483 lots, and the trading volume soared by 21.7% to 986,569 lots [1][5] b. Industry Chain Supply - Demand and Inventory Change Analysis - Supply side: The operating rate of lithium salt plants remained at a high level of 75.3%. The prices of spodumene and lepidolite raw materials were stable, and the lithium extraction processes from salt lakes and spodumene contributed the main increments. The expectation of mine resumption in Yichun, Jiangxi weakened. - Demand side: In October, the retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 17% year - on - year. The production schedules of power and energy - storage cells continued to improve. The prices of ternary materials and lithium iron phosphate increased slightly, but downstream acceptance of high prices was limited, and purchases were mainly for rigid needs. Policy promotion of energy - storage installation targets and new energy vehicle purchase tax adjustments stimulated the expectation of pre - demand. - Inventory and warehouse receipts: Lithium carbonate inventory decreased for four consecutive weeks to 123,953 tons, with a weekly inventory reduction of 3,405 tons. Warehouse receipts decreased simultaneously, and the supply - demand gap widened to - 1.68 million tons. The industry chain entered an active inventory - reduction cycle [2] c. Market Summary - In the short term, lithium carbonate futures may maintain a relatively strong oscillation, but the upside space is limited. The current expansion of the supply - demand gap, continuous inventory reduction, and capital sentiment have pushed the price to break through the key resistance level. The peak season of new energy vehicles and the incremental demand for energy storage provide support. However, the weak follow - up of spot prices, the increasing resistance of downstream to high prices, and the expected release of long - term mine production capacity will suppress the upward slope of prices. There is a need to be vigilant against the risk of technical corrections caused by capital profit - taking [3] 2. Industry Chain Price Monitoring - Data shows price changes of various products from November 7 to November 10 and from November 7 to October 31, including the main contract of lithium carbonate, basis, open interest, trading volume, and prices of battery - grade lithium carbonate, spodumene concentrate, lepidolite concentrate, etc. For example, the main contract of lithium carbonate rose from 82,300 to 87,240 yuan/ton, a 6% increase; the basis weakened from - 2,300 to - 6,240 yuan/ton [5] 3. Industry Dynamics and Interpretation a. Spot Market Quotation - On November 10, the SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 80,864 yuan/ton, a 493 - yuan/ton increase from the previous working day. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was in the range of 79,000 - 82,500 yuan/ton, with an average price of 80,750 yuan/ton, a 350 - yuan/ton increase. The price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was in the range of 78,150 - 78,950 yuan/ton, with an average price of 78,550 yuan/ton, a 350 - yuan/ton increase. The market sentiment was high due to positive demand. Upstream reluctance to sell was increasing, and downstream material factories were cautious and observant, with very few market transactions. Currently, upstream and downstream enterprises are negotiating long - term agreements for next year, mainly focusing on the coefficient. The overall operating rate of lithium salt plants remained high, with the operating rates of the spodumene and salt - lake ends both above 60%, becoming the main supply forces. It is expected that the domestic lithium carbonate production in November can maintain the production level of October, with a roughly flat month - on - month change. In terms of demand, both the commercial and passenger new energy vehicles in the power market are growing rapidly; the energy - storage market has strong supply and demand, and the supply is continuously tight. The production schedules of cells and cathode materials continued to improve in November, and it is expected that lithium carbonate will continue to see a large - scale inventory reduction in November [6] b. Downstream Consumption Situation - On November 5, according to the data of the Passenger Car Association, from October 1 - 31, the retail sales of the national new energy passenger vehicle market were 1.4 million, a 17% year - on - year increase and an 8% increase from the previous month. The cumulative retail sales this year were 10.27 million, a 23% year - on - year increase; from October 1 - 31, the wholesale of new energy vehicles by national passenger vehicle manufacturers was 1.614 million, a 16% year - on - year increase and an 8% increase from the previous month. The cumulative wholesale this year was 12.061 million, a 30% year - on - year increase [7] c. Industry News - On October 28, Dazhong Mining's "Mining Plan for Jada Lithium Mine" passed the review of the Ministry of Natural Resources, with an annual mining scale of 2.6 million tons/year. After reaching full production, it can produce about 50,000 tons of lithium carbonate per year. - On October 23, the overall price of the echelon market remained stable, which was the result of the combined effects of supply - demand and cost factors. - On October 22, according to the National Market Supervision and Administration总局, China is about to enter the stage of large - scale retirement of power batteries. In 2024, the domestic power battery recycling volume exceeded 300,000 tons, corresponding to a market scale of over 48 billion yuan. It is expected that by 2030, the domestic market scale will exceed 100 billion yuan [9][10] 4. Industry Chain Data Charts - The content mentions multiple data charts, including those related to the main contract and basis of lithium carbonate futures, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices, spodumene concentrate prices, etc., along with their data sources [13][16][22]