据Choice数据，广期所碳酸锂主力合约今日早盘继续上行，截至发稿报99060元/吨。在上周五大幅回调 后，已经连续两日上涨。 期货市场的表现，源于市场各参与方对后市的乐观预期。赣锋锂业董事长李良彬日前预测，若明年碳酸 锂需求增速超过30%甚至40%，供应短期内难以匹配，价格可能突破15万元/吨，甚至触及20万元/吨。 "下半年价格反弹是库存去化、需求增长与供给收紧共同作用的结果。"江西一家碳酸锂企业负责人认 为，当前碳酸锂市场正处于供需结构调整期，紧平衡或成为未来一段时间的主旋律，但仍需关注储能需 求波动、矿企复产及海外供应等对价格的影响。 价格V形反弹 多因素推动上涨 今年以来，碳酸锂价格呈现出较为明显的"V"形走势。从年初高点时的7.7万元/吨左右，一路下滑直至 年中跌破6万元/吨的低点，跌幅超20%。随后又经历了一波修复性的上涨，直到近期回到每吨10万元附 近。 业界普遍将8月份宁德时代宜春锂矿停产视为反弹开启的重要节点。 回溯来看，8月11日早间，宁德时代称公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已暂停开采作业。受此 影响，碳酸锂期货所有合约当天开盘全线涨停，其中主力合约涨幅为8%，收报81000元/ ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The market sentiment for lithium carbonate is positive, and the price is expected to fluctuate at a high level. The demand for basic lithium materials in the energy storage and power battery sectors continues to rise, and the global lithium demand in 2026 is expected to reach 2 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, basically achieving a supply - demand balance [1][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Market Data**: The closing prices of the 2601 and 2605 contracts of lithium carbonate are 95,400 yuan and 97,340 yuan respectively. The trading volume of the 2601 contract is 511,279, and the trading volume of the 2605 contract is 590,356. The positions of the 2601 and 2605 contracts are 343,199 and 430,223 respectively. The warehouse receipt volume is 26,615 [2]. - **Spot - Futures Basis Data**: The basis of spot - 2601 is - 3,350 yuan, and the basis of spot - 2605 is - 5,290 yuan. The basis of 2601 - 2605 is - 1,940 yuan [2]. - **Raw Material and Lithium Salt Data**: The price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) is 1,067 yuan, and the price of lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) is 2,410 yuan. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 92,050 yuan, and the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 89,650 yuan [2]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price is 92,462 yuan/ton, down 145 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 92,050 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 89,650 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton from the previous working day [3]. - Tianqi Lithium's Chairman Jiang Anqi stated at the 2025 International Lithium Industry Conference that due to the rapid growth of renewable energy grid - connected demand and the electrification of commercial heavy - duty trucks, the demand for basic lithium materials in the energy storage and power battery sectors continues to rise. The global lithium demand in 2026 is expected to reach 2 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, basically achieving a supply - demand balance [4]. 3.3 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of lithium carbonate is 0, indicating a neutral trend. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [4].

每经AI快讯，11月25日，美股锂矿概念股上行，LAR涨超4%，智利矿业化工涨超3%，美国雅保涨超 2%，SGML涨超1%。 ...

Group 1: Southbound Capital Inflows - Southbound capital net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 11.166 billion HKD on November 25, with notable purchases including Alibaba-W (5.616 billion HKD), Kuaishou-W (571 million HKD), and Ganfeng Lithium (246 million HKD) [1] - Southbound capital has continuously net bought Alibaba for 9 days, totaling 23.003 billion HKD, and Kuaishou for 3 days, totaling 1.98355 billion HKD [1] Group 2: Company Insights - Citic Securities believes that the profitability of electric vehicle companies is still limited, and the Chinese EV industry is entering a critical phase of consolidation, where profitability will be the core competitive indicator [3] - Kuaishou repurchased 2 million shares at a price range of 45.100 to 46.650 HKD, with a total repurchase amount of 91.8768 million HKD, and the stock closed at 46.350 HKD, up 4.51% [3] - Ganfeng Lithium expressed optimism about long-term lithium demand despite recent price volatility, expecting lithium carbonate prices to gradually return to reasonable levels, with potential improvements in supply-demand dynamics next year [3]

香港联交所最新资料显示，11月20日，小摩减持赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)159.3302万股，每股作价 59.1323港元，总金额约为9421.56万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为3087.79万股，最新持股比例为 6.91%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，11月20日，小摩减持赣锋锂业(01772)159.3302万股，每 股作价59.1323港元，总金额约为9421.56万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为3087.79万股，最新持股比例 为6.91%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium sector is experiencing a rebound after hitting a low, with notable increases in stock prices for several companies, indicating a potential recovery in the market [1] Company Summaries - Tibet Mining has seen its stock price rise by over 4%, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] - Tianqi Lithium, Yongshan Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, and Yongxing Materials have also experienced stock price increases, suggesting a broader trend of recovery within the lithium industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Lithium Americas (LAC) has experienced a significant decline in stock price despite securing a loan from the U.S. Department of Energy for the construction of the Thacker Pass lithium mine, which is crucial for U.S. national security in lithium supply [3][16] Group 1: Loan Agreement and Government Stake - In early October, LAC reached a revised loan agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy regarding the Thacker Pass lithium mine, which includes a debt repayment extension in exchange for equity concessions to the government [5] - The U.S. government will acquire a 10% stake in LAC, consisting of 5% through warrants at an exercise price of $0.01 per share and another 5% in the joint venture with no voting rights [6] - The total loan amount provided by the U.S. government is $2.23 billion, with $435 million already disbursed as of October 20 [6] Group 2: Market Trends and Demand - Despite LAC's stock price decline, lithium prices are on the rise, with industry leader Albemarle's stock reaching a multi-year high following predictions of a 30% increase in lithium demand by 2026 [9] - The global demand for electric vehicles remains strong, particularly driven by China, while U.S. investors are overly focused on domestic market weaknesses [11] - Energy storage systems (ESS) are becoming a significant driver of lithium demand, with a projected 22.7% year-on-year growth in global storage installations by 2025 [11] Group 3: Production Expansion Plans - LAC aims to expand its lithium production capacity to 160,000 tons per year, with the first phase targeting an initial capacity of 40,000 tons [14] - The project has an estimated adjusted EBITDA of $2.2 billion based on an average lithium price of $24,000 per ton, with a net present value of $8.7 billion for the Thacker Pass mine [14] - LAC currently holds 59% economic interest in the Thacker Pass joint venture, with General Motors owning 36% and the U.S. government holding 5% [14]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley's short position in Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares has decreased from 4.45% to 3.86% as of November 19 [1]

资金流向方面，今日该股主力资金净流入1.50亿元，其中，特大单净流入1.24亿元，大单资金净流入 2600.58万元。近5日主力资金净流出1.59亿元。 融资融券数据显示，该股最新（11月24日）两融余额为12.07亿元，其中，融资余额为12.03亿元，融券 余额为383.11万元。近5日融资余额合计减少229.52万元，降幅为0.19%，融券余额合计减少40.50万元， 降幅9.56%。（数据宝） 盛新锂能今日上涨3.06%，全天换手率18.94%，成交额53.17亿元，振幅16.78%。龙虎榜数据显示，机构 净卖出1.00亿元，深股通净买入4358.23万元，营业部席位合计净卖出4269.32万元。 深交所公开信息显示，当日该股因日振幅值达16.78%上榜，机构专用席位净卖出1.00亿元，深股通净买 入4358.23万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，上榜的前五大买卖营业部合计成交15.85亿元，其中，买入成交额为7.43亿 元，卖出成交额为8.42亿元，合计净卖出9937.01万元。 具体来看，今日上榜的营业部中，共有6家机构专用席位现身，即买二、买三、买四、买五、卖二、卖 三、卖五，合计买入金额3.03 ...