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A股早评:沪指突破去年10月8日高点!零售板块盘初活跃
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 01:41
A股开盘,三大指数集体高开,沪指涨0.07%。深证成指涨0.17%,创业板指涨0.33%。沪指盘初拉升, 涨0.24%至3674.5点,突破去年10月8日高点3674.4点,创下2021年12月以来新高。盘面上,零售、免税 店板块高开,合百集团2连板,国光连锁、武商集团涨停,两项贷款贴息政策出台,明确支持消费与服 务业;地产股普涨,衢州发展涨停,电子城涨超9%;锂矿股继续回调,盛新锂能跌超3%,天齐锂业跌 超2%;脑机接口概念低开,际华集团跌超5%,翔宇医疗跌超2%。贵州茅台跌约0.6%,上半年净利454 亿元,同比增9%。(格隆汇) ...
宁德时代宜春矿停采引发锂价异动 碳酸锂期货两日涨幅超10%
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-08-12 17:13
Group 1 - The main contract for lithium carbonate in domestic commodity futures continued to rise, with a 2% increase on August 12, accumulating over 10% in two days [2] - On August 11, CATL announced the suspension of mining operations at its project in Yichun, Jiangxi, after the mining license expired on August 9, leading to a surge in lithium mining stocks [2] - CITIC Futures indicated that the suspension of the mine could create a supply gap of several thousand tons in a single month, given the tight supply-demand balance for lithium carbonate in Q3 [2] Group 2 - The suspension of the Jiangxi lithium mine signifies a notable risk of supply contraction for lithium carbonate, which is expected to drive prices higher in the new energy metals sector [2] - On August 12, shares of several leading companies in the lithium mining sector experienced varying degrees of decline, with CATL's stock dropping by 0.16% by the end of the trading day [2]
个人单笔5万元以下消费可享贴息,宁德时代辟谣锂矿停产,上周末淘宝闪购峰值超美团,荣耀前CEO未加入智界,这就是今天的其他大新闻!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 16:10
今天是 8 月 12 日 农历闰六月十九 罗马仕重启招聘了 发布了礼品渠道销售岗位 的招聘信息 这是想把库存卖出去? 。。。 下面是今天的其他大新闻 # 个人单笔 5 万元以下消费可享贴息 8 月 11 日上午,宁德时代在深交所互动易平台回应称,公司在宜春项目采矿许可证 8 月 9 日到期后已暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定办理采矿证延续申 请,待获得批复后将尽早恢复生产,该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 受上述宁德时代最新消息影响,8 月 11 日上午,锂矿板块上市公司集体上涨。截至上午盘结束,碳酸锂期货全线涨停,主力合约涨幅 8% ,报 81000 元 / 吨。 ( 央视新闻 )财政部、中国人民银行、金融监管总局印发《 个人消费贷款财政贴息政策实施方案 》,明确: ② 贴息范围包括单笔 5 万元以下消费,以及单笔 5 万元及以上的家用汽车、养老生育、教育培训、文化旅游、家居家装、电子产品、健康医疗等重点领 域消费。对于单笔 5 万元以上的消费,以 5 万元消费额度为上限进行贴息。 ③ 年贴息比例为 1 个百分点( 按符合条件的实际用于消费的个人消费贷款本金计算 ),且最高不超过贷款合同利率的 50% 。 :这算 ...
赣锋锂业:第六届董事会第四次会议决议公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-08-12 15:18
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Ganfeng Lithium has announced the approval of a proposal to integrate a joint venture with LAR and provide financial support to LAR [2] Group 2 - The decision was made during the fourth meeting of the sixth board of directors of the company [2] - The announcement was made on the evening of August 12 [2]
碳酸锂供给端扰动频现,如何把握投资机会?
2025-08-12 15:05
Summary of Conference Call on Lithium Carbonate Market Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the lithium carbonate industry, particularly the supply disruptions and price fluctuations affecting the market [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Supply Disruptions**: - Ningde Times' Yichun mine has ceased operations due to the expiration of mining rights, requiring re-approval, with a recovery time expected to be at least three months, potentially extending to six months, impacting approximately 5% of annual lithium carbonate supply [1][3][5]. - The current policy environment is tightening, with local government requiring new resource reports, complicating the recovery process for the Yichun mine [1][5]. - Other mines are also facing similar re-approval processes, leading to ongoing supply disturbances until at least the end of September [1][6]. 2. **Price Trends**: - Lithium carbonate prices have rebounded quickly to over 80,000 yuan, with expectations of rising to between 90,000 and 100,000 yuan in the short term [2][14]. - If prices stabilize above 100,000 yuan, it may incentivize the resumption of high-cost Australian mines, although the scale of this potential increase remains uncertain [1][9]. 3. **Demand Outlook**: - Downstream demand is expected to remain neutral, with stable growth rates of approximately 35-40% for energy storage and 25% for electric vehicles by 2025 [12]. - Significant supply disruptions could shift the market from surplus to a tight balance, particularly if major mines in Yichun and Qinghai are fully halted [12][13]. 4. **Market Dynamics**: - Recent market strength in lithium carbonate is attributed to event-driven factors, particularly the shutdown of Ningde Times' Yichun mine, which has led to a surge in stock prices across the lithium sector [3][4]. - The overall supply-demand balance is shifting towards a tighter market due to both domestic and international supply constraints, including issues at the overseas Albemarle mine in Chile [11][10]. 5. **Investment Opportunities**: - Recommended investment targets include stable companies like Zhongkuang Resources, flexible companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium, and smaller high-potential firms like Shunxin Mining and Jiangte Electric [2][19][24]. - The current market environment presents opportunities for investors, particularly if lithium prices continue to rise [19][24]. 6. **Future Price Projections**: - Short to medium-term projections suggest lithium carbonate prices will remain between 90,000 and 100,000 yuan, with a long-term upward trend dependent on supply and demand dynamics [14][24]. - The industry is expected to see a recovery in performance if lithium prices stabilize and do not experience significant fluctuations [22]. Additional Important Insights - The tightening of policies and the need for new resource reports indicate a more stringent regulatory environment that could hinder rapid recovery in lithium production [5][6]. - The potential for supply disruptions from both domestic and international sources highlights the volatility in the lithium market, necessitating careful monitoring of developments [11][12]. - Historical trends suggest that the current price movements may not revert to previous lows, indicating a shift in market dynamics influenced by both supply constraints and demand growth [14][15].
中矿资源20250812
2025-08-12 15:05
Summary of Zhongmin Resources Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - **Company**: Zhongmin Resources - **Industry**: Lithium and minor metals mining, copper mining Key Points and Arguments Lithium Market Dynamics - A recent mine shutdown may shift the lithium carbonate market from surplus to shortage, potentially maintaining prices between 80,000 to 90,000 RMB, with further upside possible [2][3] - The shutdown of a lithium mica mine in Jiangxi has significantly impacted market supply, changing the monthly surplus from 3,000-4,000 tons to a potential shortage of 1,000-3,000 tons [3] Lithium Business Profitability - The Bikita mine in Zimbabwe has an annual capacity of 50,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, with a production cost of approximately 60,000 RMB per ton, yielding a net profit of at least 10,000 RMB per ton at current prices [2][4] - The market valuation target for the lithium business is estimated to reach between 10 billion to 15 billion RMB [5] Minor Metals Business Growth - The salt business contributed approximately 500 million RMB in net profit last year, with an expected growth of over 20% this year [2][6] - The Namibia germanium business is projected to generate an annual net profit of 200-300 million RMB next year, with a target of over 1 billion RMB in net profit by 2026 [6] Copper Mining Project Potential - The Kasumba copper mine in Zambia has reserves exceeding 900,000 tons, with a planned annual capacity of 60,000 tons of copper, expected to start production in 2026 [2][7] - The project is anticipated to generate an annual net profit of 800 million RMB based on current copper prices [7] Diversification and Risk Management - Zhongmin Resources' diversified operations in lithium, minor metals, and copper enhance its risk resilience and earnings flexibility, raising the overall market valuation target to 38 billion RMB [2][8] Management Background and Impact - The management team has extensive experience in geological exploration, which has facilitated the company's strategic acquisitions and diversification into various mining sectors [9][10] Production Cost Advantages - The production cost for lithium salts in Africa is approximately 60,000 RMB per ton, with ongoing cost reduction measures expected to lower this further [16][17] Future Plans and Market Expansion - The company plans to build a lithium sulfate plant in Zimbabwe, which could reduce production costs by at least 5,000 RMB per ton if successful [17] - The Tanco mine in Canada is undergoing upgrades to increase its lithium production capacity, although its current contribution is limited [18] Valuation Assessment - The valuation methodology includes segment-based assessments, estimating the lithium business at 15 billion RMB, minor metals at 15 billion RMB, and copper at 8 billion RMB, leading to a total market valuation target of 38 billion RMB, indicating over 25% upside potential from the current valuation [20]
反内卷政策下的行业新变:锂价或冲 8 万 / 吨,水泥盈利迎拐点?投资机会在哪里?
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 13:16
近期,"反内卷" 成为中国经济领域的高频词。从政策层表态到行业实践,这一导向正悄然影响着多个 产业的供需格局。美银证券最新发布的多篇研究报告,从宏观数据到具体行业,解析了反内卷政策的初 步影响 —— 尽管整体通缩压力仍在,但基础材料(尤其是锂)和水泥行业已出现积极信号,供需重塑 的机会正在显现。 宏观:反内卷初发力,通缩压力仍未消 美银指出,当前 CPI 仍在 0 附近徘徊,反映内需仍弱。尽管 7 月初以来反内卷政策推动煤炭、黑色金 属、水泥等少数品种价格小幅回升,但政策效果的持续性存疑。若缺乏明显的需求侧措施,未来数月商 品和服务价格全面复苏的可能性较低。 基础材料(锂):供应收缩撞上旺季,锂价或突破 8 万 / 吨 不过,反内卷政策在锂行业的影响已开始显现,核心逻辑是供应收缩 + 需求旺季的共振。 供应端,8 月 10 日,宁德时代(300750)旗下枧下窝锂矿因许可证到期停产,该矿年产能约 10-12 万 吨锂盐(占全球供应 6-7%)。尽管精炼产能可通过外购原料维持,但美银测算,此举仍将导致全球锂 供应减少 4-6%(年化)。更值得关注的是,江西宜春 7 月要求 8 家锂矿在 9 月 30 日前完成资 ...
美国CPI数据公布,美股三大期指齐涨,美元跳水;马斯克:xAI将对苹果采取法律行动;澳联邦法院裁定苹果和谷歌违法【美股盘前】
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-12 13:07
Group 1 - Major stock index futures are rising, with Dow futures up 0.53%, S&P 500 futures up 0.57%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.68% [1] - Lithium stocks are experiencing pre-market gains, with Lithium Americas up nearly 9%, SQM up 6%, and SIGMA LITHIUM up 14% [2] - Tesla has launched the Model 3 long-range rear-wheel drive version with a range of 830 kilometers (CLTC) and a 0-100 km/h acceleration time of 5.2 seconds [2] - Elon Musk announced that xAI will take legal action against Apple for alleged anti-competitive practices that hinder other AI companies from ranking high in the app store [2] - An Australian court ruled that Apple and Google have engaged in illegal conduct by abusing their market dominance in operating app stores, allowing consumers and developers to seek compensation [2] Group 2 - Circle, a stablecoin issuer, is set to release its first earnings report since its IPO in June, with its stock price rising over 400% from the IPO price of $31 to $161.17 [3] - The U.S. spot Ethereum ETF saw a record single-day net inflow of $10.1 billion, with BlackRock's ETF leading at $6.4 billion and Fidelity's ETF following with $277 million [3] - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July showed a year-over-year increase of 2.7%, consistent with the previous value, and a month-over-month increase of 0.2%, down from 0.3% [4]
深挖宁德时代锂矿资源,宜春矿区停产后还有哪些家底能“补位”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 12:55
1 / e i 1 - remove ww / II 7 111 .. J in 8 - . (0) - - . n I y -- . 1 0 - 0 - 8 . 77 - 11 r a 4 3 a e 58 y 11 e GRA -11 - - - 宁德时代宜春锂矿停产,经过一天发酵后,在资本市场开始降温。 8月12日,锂矿股开始回落,前一天涨停的"锂矿双雄"天齐锂业、赣锋锂业,股价出现不同程度回调;期货市场也相继跟进,碳酸锂主力合约回落、涨幅缩 窄。 此前市场传出消息,宁德时代枧下窝矿区将停产,甚至有投资者深夜蹲守矿区见证。 8月11日,宁德时代回应投资者,因采矿许可证8月9日到期,宜春项目确已暂停开采,正在办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢复生产。 受此消息提振,A股锂矿股当天集体冲高,隔天开始回落;但由此引发的行业反内卷讨论,确实愈演愈烈。 8月12日,中国有色金属工业协会锂业分会,面向锂产业链相关企业发出倡议,坚决抵制无序竞争、垄断市场、虚假宣传等行为;积极研判市场发展趋势, 合理布局新建产能,以实际行动抵制"内卷式"恶性竞争。 今年7月,"锂矿之都"宜春市下发通知,要求8家涉锂矿山企业9月底 ...
锂矿概念股再被引爆 新一轮超级周期已到?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 12:53
宁德时代 [300750] :公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定尽快 办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢复生产,该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 【投资者问】集团会否相应"反内卷"号召,避免碳酸锂杀低价,提价稳价销售锂价?新增4万吨何时投 入运营? 传闻纷飞,严谨求证, 掌握权威、真实的声音。 上周末,市场有传言称宁德时代枧下窝矿区采矿端于8月9日停产。自8月10日起,该矿山采矿端就不开 展工作,且短期内没有复产计划。据媒体报道,7月中旬,江西宜春市自然资源局要求8家涉锂矿山企业 在9月底前完成储量核实报告编制,其中宁德时代旗下宜春时代新能源矿业有限公司在8家涉锂矿山企业 之列,其采矿权开始于2022年8月9日,于今年8月9日到期。 8月11日一早,宁德时代在互动平台回复投资者提问表示,公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已 暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢复生产,该事项对公 司整体经营影响不大。 8月11日A股开市前,国内碳酸锂期货开盘已强势涨停,A股相关锂矿概念股也大幅上涨。锂矿价格的上 涨,会对其生产企业及上下游厂商带来哪些 ...