Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - In December, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 50.1%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, marking the first time it has entered the expansion zone since April [8] - The production index reached 51.7%, up 1.7 percentage points, and the new orders index increased to 50.8%, up 1.6 percentage points, indicating significant improvement in manufacturing demand [8] - The new export orders index also improved to 49.0%, up 1.4 percentage points, suggesting a recovery in external demand [8] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index rose to 50.2%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points, returning to the expansion zone [10] - The service sector's business activity index was at 49.7%, indicating it remains in the contraction zone despite a slight increase [11] - The construction sector showed improvement with a business activity index of 52.8%, up 3.2 percentage points, attributed to favorable weather and policy-driven infrastructure investments [12] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The overall economic activity in December showed signs of recovery, with both domestic and external demand improving due to effective growth stabilization policies [13] - The price indices showed mixed results, with the main raw material purchase price index decreasing by 0.5 percentage points to 53.1%, while the factory price index increased by 0.7 percentage points to 48.9%, indicating potential for improved corporate profits [9] - Looking ahead, the manufacturing PMI is expected to remain in the expansion zone into early 2026, supported by ongoing growth policies and a recovering market demand [13][14]

Group 1: PMI and Economic Activity - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December is 50.1%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a return to the expansion zone[1] - The production index for December is 51.7%, up 1.7 percentage points from last month, signaling accelerated manufacturing activity[2] - The composite PMI output index is 50.7%, reflecting overall economic activity improvement compared to the previous month[7] Group 2: Demand and Orders - The new orders index for December is 50.8%, rising 1.6 percentage points, indicating improved market demand in manufacturing[3] - The production expectation index for manufacturing is 55.5%, up 2.4 percentage points, showing increased confidence among manufacturers regarding market development[2] - The new export orders index is 49%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points, suggesting stable development in manufacturing exports[3] Group 3: Price Trends - The purchasing price index for raw materials is 53.1%, down 0.5 percentage points, indicating a slowdown in price increases for raw materials[4] - The factory price index is 48.9%, up 0.7 percentage points, marking a second consecutive month of increase in finished product prices[4] - Price trends are diverging, with high-energy-consuming industries experiencing a decline in purchasing prices, while equipment and high-tech manufacturing maintain a faster price increase[4] Group 4: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index is 50.2%, up 0.7 percentage points, indicating improvement in the non-manufacturing sector[7] - The construction industry business activity index is 52.8%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points, reflecting a return to expansion in the construction sector[7]

Core Viewpoint - In December 2025, China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing, non-manufacturing, and composite output all rose above the expansion threshold, indicating an overall recovery in the economic climate [2][6]. Manufacturing PMI - The manufacturing PMI reached 50.1%, marking its first rise above the expansion threshold since April, with 16 out of 21 surveyed industries showing improvement [3][7]. - The production index and new orders index were at 51.7% and 50.8%, respectively, both showing significant increases of 1.7 and 1.6 percentage points from the previous month [3][10]. - Large enterprises saw a PMI of 50.8%, up 1.5 percentage points, while medium and small enterprises reported PMIs of 49.8% and 48.6%, indicating varying levels of economic recovery [3][10]. Non-Manufacturing PMI - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.2%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points, indicating a return to expansion [5][19]. - The construction sector's business activity index rose to 52.8%, up 3.2 percentage points, reflecting significant improvement due to favorable weather and pre-holiday construction activity [5][16]. - The service sector's business activity index was at 49.7%, showing a slight increase but remaining below the expansion threshold [5][19]. Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index reached 50.7%, an increase of 1.0 percentage point, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [6][24]. - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were 51.7% and 50.2%, respectively, contributing to the composite index's rise [6][24]. Industry-Specific Insights - High-tech manufacturing PMI was at 52.5%, indicating a positive growth trend, while energy-intensive industries reported a PMI of 48.9%, still below the expansion threshold [4][10]. - The expectation index for production and business activities rose to 55.5%, reflecting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market development [4][21].

Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 50.1% in December, marking the first time it has entered the expansion zone since April, indicating an overall recovery in economic sentiment [2][4] - Among the 21 surveyed industries, 16 reported an increase in PMI compared to the previous month, suggesting improved production and operational conditions [2] - The production index and new orders index were 51.7% and 50.8%, respectively, both showing significant increases, particularly the new orders index, which rose above the critical point for the first time since the second half of the year [2][3] Group 2 - The PMI for large enterprises returned to the expansion zone at 50.8%, while medium-sized enterprises' PMI was at 49.8%, and small enterprises' PMI decreased to 48.6%, indicating varied recovery levels across different enterprise sizes [2][3] - High-tech manufacturing PMI reached 52.5%, showing a positive growth trend, while the high-energy-consuming industries remained below the critical point at 48.9% [3] - The production and business activity expectation index rose to 55.5%, reflecting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market development [3] Group 3 - The non-manufacturing business activity index increased to 50.2%, indicating an improvement in the non-manufacturing sector's economic conditions [5] - The service sector's business activity index was at 49.7%, with certain industries like telecommunications and financial services showing strong growth, while retail and catering remained in contraction [6] - The construction sector's business activity index rose significantly to 52.8%, driven by favorable weather conditions and year-end project acceleration [6] Group 4 - The comprehensive PMI output index reached 50.7%, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities across sectors [7] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were 51.7% and 50.2%, respectively, contributing to the comprehensive PMI's rise [7]

Core Insights - In December, China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose by 0.9 percentage points to 50.1%, marking a return to the expansion zone after eight months [1][21] - The non-manufacturing business activity index also increased to 50.2%, up by 0.7 percentage points, indicating a recovery in the non-manufacturing sector [1][21] - The comprehensive PMI output index reached 50.7%, reflecting overall expansion in production and business activities compared to the previous month [1][21] Manufacturing PMI Summary - The manufacturing PMI stood at 50.1%, with 16 out of 21 surveyed industries showing improvement [21][22] - The production index rose to 51.7%, up by 1.7 percentage points, indicating accelerated production activities [5][22] - The new orders index increased to 50.8%, up by 1.6 percentage points, suggesting improved market demand [5][22] - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.8%, up by 1.5 percentage points, while medium and small enterprises reported PMIs of 49.8% and 48.6%, respectively [5][22] Non-Manufacturing PMI Summary - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.2%, indicating a return to expansion [1][21] - The construction sector's business activity index rose to 52.8%, up by 3.2 percentage points, reflecting significant improvement [10][24] - The service sector's business activity index was 49.7%, showing a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points, but still below the expansion threshold [10][24] - The new orders index for non-manufacturing rose to 47.3%, indicating a recovery in market demand [14][24] Comprehensive PMI Output Summary - The comprehensive PMI output index reached 50.7%, up by 1.0 percentage points, indicating overall expansion in business activities [1][21][24] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contributed to this growth, standing at 51.7% and 50.2%, respectively [24]

Core Viewpoint - The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December 2025 indicates a recovery in China's economic activity, with both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors showing expansion, as all three key indices rose above the critical 50% mark [2][5]. Manufacturing PMI Summary - The manufacturing PMI reached 50.1%, marking its first rise above the expansion threshold since April, with 16 out of 21 surveyed industries reporting improved conditions [2][7]. - Production index and new orders index increased to 51.7% and 50.8%, respectively, indicating significant expansion in both production and demand, with new orders surpassing the critical point for the first time since the second half of the year [3][10]. - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.8%, while medium and small enterprises showed PMIs of 49.8% and 48.6%, respectively, indicating a mixed recovery across different enterprise sizes [4][9]. Non-Manufacturing PMI Summary - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.2%, reflecting an improvement in the non-manufacturing sector's economic conditions [5][12]. - The service sector's business activity index was at 49.7%, with certain industries like telecommunications and financial services showing strong growth, while retail and catering remained in contraction [6][14]. - The construction sector saw a notable increase in its business activity index to 52.8%, driven by favorable weather conditions and pre-holiday construction activities [6][14]. Comprehensive PMI Output Index Summary - The comprehensive PMI output index reached 50.7%, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities compared to the previous month [5][12]. - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were reported at 51.7% and 50.2%, respectively, contributing to the overall positive trend [5][12].

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 50.1% in December, marking the first time it has entered the expansion zone since April [2] - Production index and new orders index increased to 51.7% and 50.8% respectively, indicating significant recovery in both production and demand [2] - Large enterprises' PMI returned to the expansion zone at 50.8%, while medium-sized enterprises' PMI was at 49.8%, and small enterprises' PMI decreased to 48.6% [2] Group 2: Key Industries - High-tech manufacturing PMI reached 52.5%, showing positive growth trends, while equipment manufacturing and consumer goods industries both recorded PMIs of 50.4% [3] - The agricultural and food processing sectors showed strong performance with production and new orders indices above 53.0%, while non-metallic mineral products and black metal industries remained under pressure [2][3] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index increased to 50.2%, indicating an improvement in the non-manufacturing sector's economic climate [4] - The construction industry saw a significant rise in its business activity index to 52.8%, driven by favorable weather conditions and pre-holiday construction activities [4] Group 4: Overall Economic Outlook - The comprehensive PMI output index rose to 50.7%, reflecting overall expansion in production and business activities across sectors [5] - The production and business activity expectation index for manufacturing reached 55.5%, indicating increased confidence among manufacturers regarding market development [3]

12月份中国采购经理指数均升至扩张区间 ——国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读2025年12月中国采购经理指数 二、非制造业商务活动指数重回扩张区间 12月份，非制造业商务活动指数为50.2%，比上月上升0.7个百分点，非制造业景气水平改善。 （一）服务业景气度小幅回升。服务业商务活动指数为49.7%，比上月上升0.2个百分点。从行业 看，电信广播电视及卫星传输服务、货币金融服务、资本市场服务等行业商务活动指数均位于60.0%以 上高位景气区间，业务总量增长较快；零售、餐饮等行业商务活动指数均位于收缩区间，景气水平偏 低。从市场预期看，服务业业务活动预期指数为56.4%，比上月上升0.5个百分点，表明服务业企业对未 来市场发展信心增强。 一、制造业采购经理指数升至临界点以上 12月份，制造业PMI为50.1%，4月份以来首次升至扩张区间。在调查的21个行业中有16个行业PMI较上 月回升，相关企业生产经营情况有所改善。 （一）产需两端明显回升。生产指数和新订单指数分别为51.7%和50.8%，比上月上升1.7个和1.6个百分 点，特别是新订单指数下半年以来首次升至临界点以上，制造业产需两端均较上月明 ...

Core Viewpoint - In December 2025, China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing, non-manufacturing, and composite output all rose above the expansion threshold, indicating an overall improvement in the economic climate [2][3]. Group 1: Manufacturing PMI - The manufacturing PMI reached 50.1%, marking the first time it has entered the expansion zone since April [3]. - Production index and new orders index were at 51.7% and 50.8%, respectively, both showing significant increases of 1.7 and 1.6 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - Sixteen out of twenty-one surveyed industries reported a rise in PMI compared to the previous month, indicating improved production and operational conditions [3]. - Large enterprises' PMI returned to the expansion zone at 50.8%, while medium-sized enterprises were at 49.8%, and small enterprises fell to 48.6% [3][4]. Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.2%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting an improvement in the non-manufacturing sector [5]. - The service sector's business activity index was 49.7%, with certain industries like telecommunications and financial services showing strong growth [5]. - The construction sector saw a significant increase in its business activity index to 52.8%, driven by favorable weather conditions and pre-holiday construction activities [5]. Group 3: Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index reached 50.7%, an increase of 1.0 percentage point from the previous month, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [7]. - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contributed to this composite index, standing at 51.7% and 50.2%, respectively [7].

国家统计局数据显示，12月份，非制造业商务活动指数为50.2%，比上月上升0.7个百分点，重返扩张区间。分行业看，建筑业商务活动指数为52.8%，比上 月上升3.2个百分点；服务业商务活动指数为49.7%，比上月上升0.2个百分点。从服务业行业看，电信广播电视及卫星传输服务、货币金融服务、资本市场 服务等行业商务活动指数均位于60.0%以上高位景气区间；零售、餐饮等行业商务活动指数均低于临界点。 （文章来源：国家统计局） ...