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阿根廷捍卫比索
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-09-23 14:35
Core Viewpoint - Argentina's President Milei has implemented aggressive fiscal tightening and free-market reforms, but following a significant local election loss, the foreign exchange market has become volatile, leading to a sharp depreciation of the Argentine peso against the dollar and declines in bond and stock markets [1][5]. Group 1: Economic Measures - The Argentine government has temporarily eliminated export taxes on grains, beef, and poultry to encourage exporters to bring more dollar income back to the country, aiming to stabilize the peso [3][4]. - The export tax on soybeans has been reduced to 26%, while the tax on its by-products is now 24.5%. Beef and poultry export taxes have been cut from 5% to zero [3][4]. - The government requires exporters to settle at least 90% of their foreign exchange in the market within three working days of submitting their export sales declaration [3]. Group 2: Political Context - The recent election results showed a significant loss for Milei's party, with the opposition receiving 47% of the votes compared to Milei's 33%, raising uncertainties ahead of the upcoming midterm elections [6]. - The political landscape is increasingly challenging, with expectations of continued volatility in foreign exchange and asset prices leading up to the elections [8]. Group 3: Financial Stability - The Argentine government is rapidly depleting its foreign exchange reserves to support the peso, with a record sale of $678 million in a single day, the highest since October 2019 [6][7]. - Economists warn that maintaining the current exchange rate could lead to a return of hyperinflation, jeopardizing Milei's reforms [7]. - The government has submitted a budget proposal for 2026, projecting an inflation rate of 10.1% and a dollar value of 1423 pesos [8]. Group 4: International Support - The U.S. Treasury has expressed support for Argentina, which has positively impacted local dollar rates and boosted stock and bond markets by 20% [9]. - The nature and scale of U.S. financial support will be crucial for the sustainability of Argentina's asset price recovery and Milei's political prospects [9].
香港投资推广署访问南美 推广香港作为企业拓展亚洲市场的首选平台
智通财经网· 2025-09-22 05:52
Core Insights - The Hong Kong Investment Promotion Agency is promoting Hong Kong as a key link between mainland China and the Asian market during a visit to South America, highlighting its role as a "super connector" and "super value creator" [1][2] - The South American market shows strong growth potential, with local businesses actively seeking opportunities in Asia, particularly in mainland China and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1] Group 1 - The Assistant Director of the Hong Kong Investment Promotion Agency, Liu Zhiyuan, is visiting Buenos Aires, Argentina, and Lima, Peru, from September 22 to September 26 to enhance trade relations [1] - During the visit to Argentina, Liu will meet with the Argentine Investment and International Trade Promotion Bureau to discuss the local business environment and cooperation opportunities, promoting Hong Kong's advantages in finance, regulations, innovation, and establishing international or regional headquarters [1] - In Peru, Liu will engage with the Peruvian Export and Tourism Promotion Board and participate in the 2025 International Food Exhibition, meeting local food export companies to introduce Hong Kong's unique business advantages and opportunities [1] Group 2 - Liu will meet with representatives from South American companies interested in establishing a business presence in Hong Kong, covering sectors such as food trade, agricultural exports, technology, e-commerce, brand development, and retail [2] - The economic cooperation between Hong Kong and Argentina and Peru is frequent, with bilateral trade amounts projected to reach 3 billion HKD and 6 billion HKD respectively in 2024 [2] - Peru is a participant in the Belt and Road Initiative, with bilateral trade with Hong Kong growing nearly 10% annually since 2020, and a Free Trade Agreement signed in 2024 to further promote investment flows and economic development [2]
【环球财经】巴西雷亚尔兑美元走强带动食品价格回落
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-21 02:49
Group 1 - The Brazilian stock index Ibovespa has reached a historical high while the US dollar has weakened against the Brazilian real, impacting consumer spending, particularly in food prices [1] - The exchange rate of the dollar to the real has decreased from 6.30 to approximately 5.30, benefiting Brazilian consumers as food inflation is sensitive to currency fluctuations [1] - Approximately 40% of the Consumer Price Index (IPCA) is directly or indirectly related to exchange rate movements, affecting not only food but also clothing, footwear, and toys [1] Group 2 - Brazilian food prices have declined for three consecutive months, reflecting the positive effects of the real's appreciation [1] - Despite the benefits of a stronger real, uncertainties in domestic fiscal policy and external economic conditions may limit further appreciation [1] - The strong real poses challenges for export companies, as exports account for about 15% of Brazil's GDP, leading to reduced actual earnings when dollar revenues are converted to reais [1] - Strong domestic demand provides a buffer for certain industries, with agricultural exporters like soybeans and coffee adjusting their market strategies to target emerging markets, including China, to mitigate adverse effects from tariffs and exchange rates [2]
巴西9月份大豆出口量预计为753万吨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 00:06
巴西全国谷物出口商协会(Anec)数据显示,巴西9月份大豆出口量预计为753万吨,前一周预计为743 万吨;豆粕出口预计为219万吨,前一周预计为211万吨;玉米出口预计为712万吨,前一周预计为696万 吨。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...
巴西对外贸易秘书处:巴西今年8月共出口玉米6,848,668.29吨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 02:01
Group 1 - Brazil's corn exports in August reached 6,848,668.29 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 13% [1] - The average daily export volume for August was 326,127.06 tons, which is an 18% increase compared to the previous year, where the daily average was 275,597.97 tons [1]
巴西对外贸易秘书处:巴西今年8月出口大豆9,338,292.80吨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 02:01
Group 1 - Brazil's exports of soybeans in August reached 9,338,292.80 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The average daily export volume for August was 444,680.61 tons, which is a 22% increase compared to the previous year's daily average of 365,523.72 tons [1]
前7个月云南进出口1532亿元 同比增长7%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-28 12:33
Core Insights - Yunnan's total import and export value reached 153.2 billion yuan in the first seven months of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 7% [1] - Exports amounted to 53.3 billion yuan, increasing by 2.1%, while imports totaled 99.9 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 9.8% [1] Trade Relations - Yunnan established trade relations with 185 countries and regions, with trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reaching 131.6 billion yuan, a growth of 11.4%, accounting for 85.9% of Yunnan's total trade [1] - Trade with ASEAN, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa saw significant growth, with respective import and export values of 73.9 billion, 25.8 billion, 18.8 billion, and 6.7 billion yuan, growing by 11.8%, 12.7%, 32.2%, and 93.2% [1] Agricultural Exports - Yunnan's agricultural product exports reached 10.98 billion yuan, growing by 12%, ranking first among the central and western regions of China [1] - Coffee and its products, along with fresh-cut flowers, led the exports with values of 720 million and 630 million yuan, respectively, both ranking first in the nation [1] Industrial Production and Imports - Yunnan's industrial production showed steady growth, contributing to an increase in import scale [2] - In the first seven months, imports of metal ores reached 21.81 billion yuan, growing by 47.2%, and imports of natural and synthetic rubber totaled 2.37 billion yuan, increasing by 42% [2]
巴西8月大豆出口量料为890万吨 前一周预估为894万吨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 03:18
Group 1 - The Brazilian National Grain Exporters Association (Anec) forecasts that soybean exports from Brazil in August are expected to be 8.9 million tons, slightly down from the previous week's estimate of 8.94 million tons [1] - The forecast for soybean meal exports is 2.13 million tons, a decrease from the previous week's estimate of 2.33 million tons [1] - Corn exports are projected to be 7.8 million tons, down from the previous week's estimate of 8.05 million tons [1]
总台记者观察丨美关税重压下 南非农业转身开辟亚洲新航道
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-23 03:30
Core Viewpoint - The imposition of high tariffs by the United States is significantly impacting South African farmers, leading to potential job losses and increased unemployment, which could exacerbate existing social instability [1][3][5]. Economic Impact - South African agriculture contributes 3% to the national GDP and 5.8% to employment, with citrus exports to the U.S. alone reaching nearly 7 million boxes [6]. - The agricultural sector is facing a direct loss in profit margins due to a 30% tariff on exports, which threatens the livelihoods of farmers and could lead to the loss of up to 80,000 jobs [6][9]. Government Response - The South African government is actively seeking to negotiate better tariff conditions with the U.S. and has established a dedicated agricultural department in the U.S. to facilitate communication [6][8]. - An economic response plan is being developed to mitigate the impact on farmers and workers [6]. Market Diversification Strategy - The South African government is focusing on market diversification, particularly towards Asia, to reduce reliance on the U.S. market [9][10]. - Efforts are being made to enhance trade relations with China, Japan, and South Korea, which are seen as key markets for South African agricultural products [11][12]. Future Outlook - The shift in focus from Atlantic to Pacific markets is viewed as essential for the sustainability of South African agriculture in light of the current international trade challenges [13].
中美握手不足24小时,巴西总统打来电话,中方给了卢拉迫切想要的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 07:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, with both countries extending tariff suspension measures for 90 days, indicating a complex negotiation dynamic despite public rhetoric [1] - China's firm stance against US tariffs has led to discontent among other nations, prompting them to challenge Trump's trade policies, as seen in Japan's criticism and Brazil's resistance [3][5] - Brazil's economy, heavily reliant on agricultural exports, faces significant pressure from increased US tariffs, yet President Lula adopts a hardline approach, seeking international support rather than compromise [5][7] Group 2 - Lula's communication with Chinese leaders emphasizes Brazil's desire for support in free trade and collaboration against US trade pressures, showcasing the importance of Brazil-China relations [9] - The significant proportion of Brazilian exports to China, particularly soybeans, highlights the critical role of this partnership in mitigating the negative impacts of US tariffs [11] - Brazil's decision to reduce US Treasury holdings and increase reserves in Renminbi, along with a currency swap agreement with China, reflects a strategic move towards de-dollarization and diversification in international trade [12][14] Group 3 - The cooperation between China and Brazil not only provides tangible benefits for Brazil but also illustrates the potential isolation of the US due to its trade policies, which may backfire [16]