Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - The report highlights that brokerage firms are expected to see significant growth in mid-year performance, driven by market conditions. The insurance sector is also anticipated to experience high growth in new business value due to an increase in value rates. The equity market is on an upward trend, leading to favorable investment returns and profit growth. Current valuations imply a pessimistic long-term investment outlook, but the report suggests that valuations remain safe considering medium to long-term interest rate spreads [4][5] - The report recommends several companies based on their stable profit growth and dividend rates, including Jiangsu Jinzhong, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance. Additionally, it suggests companies like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on their performance elasticity and valuation levels [4][5] Summary by Sections Brokerage Performance - This week, some brokerage firms disclosed performance forecasts, indicating a significant increase in mid-year results, which enhances their future allocation value. The report emphasizes the stability of profit growth and dividend rates as key factors for investment recommendations [4][5] Market Overview - The non-bank financial index increased by 3.5% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.8%. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has risen by 6.6%, with a relative underperformance of 1.7% against the CSI 300. The overall performance of the non-bank sector has been strong this week [5][18] Insurance Sector - In June 2025, the cumulative premium income for the insurance industry reached 373.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.31%. The report notes that both property and life insurance segments showed positive growth, with property insurance income at 96.45 billion yuan and life insurance income at 277.05 billion yuan [22][23] Investment Business - The report indicates that the equity market is recovering, with the CSI 300 index rising by 1.69% and the ChiNext index by 2.76%. The brokerage firms' investment assets are primarily composed of bonds, with equity investments accounting for approximately 10%-30% of their portfolios [42][44] Financing Activities - In June 2025, the equity financing scale reached 544.19 billion yuan, a significant increase of 3140.2% month-on-month, while bond financing totaled 8.83 trillion yuan, up by 21.3%. This indicates a recovery in both equity and bond financing activities [46][49] Asset Management - The report notes a rebound in the issuance of collective asset management products, with June 2025 seeing an issuance of 9.732 billion units, a 125.8% increase from the previous month. However, the new fund issuance decreased by 10.3% in June [51][53]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the brokerage sector [10] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes three main reasons for the positive outlook on brokerages: 1) The financial sector is currently lagging, with a high safety margin in valuations; 2) Upcoming mid-year reports are expected to show continued high growth in performance; 3) The absolute value of AH premium remains high, with ongoing valuation recovery in H-shares [2][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Reason 1: Financial Sector Lagging with High Valuation Safety Margin - Since the beginning of 2025, brokerages have underperformed the market, with a cumulative increase of only 0.1% compared to a 3.0 percentage point underperformance against the CSI 300 index. Within the financial sector, brokerages lag behind insurance, diversified finance, and banks by 10.1, 11.3, and 20.0 percentage points respectively. However, since June, the sector has shown positive excess returns against the CSI 300 [6][17] - As of July 18, 2025, the price-to-book (PB) ratio for the industry is approximately 1.50, which is around the 40th percentile of the relative valuation range since 2016, indicating a high safety margin [22][23] Reason 2: Upcoming Mid-Year Reports Expected to Show Continued High Growth - The market has maintained high trading activity, with an average daily trading volume of 1,390.2 billion yuan from January to June 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 61.1%. The A-share IPO, refinancing, and bond underwriting scales for the same period are 37.4 billion yuan, 697.7 billion yuan, and 45 trillion yuan, showing year-on-year increases of 15.0%, 613.5%, and 16.6% respectively [7][30] - Among 31 brokerages that have disclosed performance forecasts, all expect a net profit growth rate of over 40%, with two companies projecting over 1000% growth [38] Reason 3: High Absolute Value of AH Premium and H-share Valuation Recovery - As of July 18, 2025, the AH premium for the brokerage sector stands at 68.1%, with the average AH premium for the entire industry at 62.0%. Notably, Citic Securities, Guolian Minsheng, and CICC maintain AH premiums above 100% [8][45] - The report highlights that the current AH premium levels for brokerages are historically high, with specific companies like Citic Securities at 133.8%, Guolian Minsheng at 118.0%, and CICC at 104.5% [48]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - The report indicates that several brokerage firms have disclosed performance increases, with mid-year results expected to continue high growth, enhancing their investment value. Additionally, the insurance sector is anticipated to see an increase in value ratios, driving significant growth in new business value. The equity market is expected to continue its upward trend, with positive investment returns and profit growth. Current valuations reflect a pessimistic assumption about long-term investments, but considering the medium to long-term interest rate spreads, current valuations remain safe. The report is optimistic about improvements in concentration and liability costs [2][4] - From the perspective of profitability and dividend stability, the report recommends Jiangsu Jinzhong, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance for their stable profit growth and high dividend yields. Furthermore, it recommends Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Fortune, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on their performance elasticity and valuation levels [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The non-bank financial index decreased by 1.2% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 by 2.3%, ranking 28th out of 31 sectors. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has increased by 3.0%, also underperforming the CSI 300 by 0.2%, ranking 22nd out of 31 sectors. Overall, the non-bank sector has shown weak performance this week [5] Market Performance - Market activity has seen a rebound, with an average daily trading volume of 15,462.47 billion yuan, up 3.35% week-on-week. The average turnover rate is 1.83%, an increase of 4.07 basis points. The leverage capital scale has also risen, with a margin balance of 1.90 trillion yuan, up 1.64% [5][34] Brokerage Data Tracking - The report highlights a recovery in trading activity, with the CSI 300 index rising by 1.09% and the ChiNext index increasing by 3.17%. The average daily trading volume has surpassed the 2024 average, indicating a gradual recovery in brokerage business profitability [33][39] Investment Business - The equity market is showing signs of recovery, with the CSI 300 index up by 1.09% and the ChiNext index up by 3.17%. The report notes that brokerage firms have a significant portion of their investment assets in equities (10%-30%) and bonds (70%-90%), necessitating close monitoring of market changes [39] Credit Business - The margin trading balance has increased to 1.90 trillion yuan, reflecting a 1.64% week-on-week rise. The report notes that while the stock pledge business is expected to remain cautious due to past credit risks, income from this business is anticipated to perform better than its scale [42] Investment Banking Business - In June, the equity financing scale rose significantly to 544.19 billion yuan, a 3140.2% increase, while bond financing reached 88.3 trillion yuan, up 21.3%. The report suggests that the stock underwriting scale is expected to increase due to new refinancing regulations [44][46] Asset Management Business - The report indicates a rebound in the issuance of collective asset management products, with June seeing a total issuance of 9.301 billion units, up 116.8% from the previous month. However, the new fund issuance decreased by 22.0% in June compared to the previous month [48]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the securities industry [7]. Core Insights - Since 2025, the Hong Kong stock market has performed strongly, leading to a decline in the AH premium index, which has dropped by 11.6% year-to-date as of July 11, 2025 [5][10]. - The average AH premium across all A+H listed companies is currently 65.1%, with the non-bank financial sector at 79.0% [10][15]. - The top five industries with the highest AH premiums are: 1. Paper and Packaging: 191.9% 2. Chemicals: 146.0% 3. Automotive and Parts: 120.9% 4. Business Services: 92.5% 5. Oil and Petrochemicals: 90.5% [10][15]. Summary by Sections Current AH Premium Situation - As of July 11, 2025, there are 160 A+H listed companies, with the financial sector comprising 22.5% of the total number and 48.0% of the total market capitalization [10]. - The securities sector has an average AH premium of 74.7%, with notable companies like CITIC Securities at 18.3% and Huatai Securities at 23.9% [10][17]. Price Elasticity and Drawdown - The report analyzes the maximum price increase and current drawdown for A+H listed securities since the "924" period, highlighting that: - China Merchants Securities (H) has a maximum increase of 329.5% with a drawdown of -39.4% - CITIC Securities (H) has a maximum increase of 154.5% with a drawdown of -11.4% [10][18]. Company-Specific Performance - The report details the AH premium and related performance for specific companies, such as: - CITIC Jiantou: AH premium of 137.5% - Guolian Minsheng: AH premium of 128.1% - CICC: AH premium of 109.1% [10][17]. Market Comparison - The report includes a market performance comparison over the past 12 months, indicating that the securities industry has outperformed the CSI 300 index [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - The brokerage sector is expected to continue high growth in mid-year performance, with ongoing strong market trading activity. The report highlights the potential for investment opportunities in this sector [2][4] - The insurance sector is guided by a recent notice from the Ministry of Finance, emphasizing long-term investment strategies and management capabilities, which is expected to drive stable long-term capital inflows into the market. The report recommends companies like Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance based on their stable profitability and dividend rates [2][4] - The report also suggests a focus on companies with strong performance elasticity and valuation levels, recommending Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings [2][4] Summary by Sections Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector is experiencing a recovery with high trading volumes, and mid-year performance is expected to show significant growth. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality stocks within this sector [2][4] - The average daily trading volume in the market has increased to 14,961.49 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.80% increase week-on-week, indicating a strong recovery in trading activity [5][36] Insurance Sector - The insurance industry has seen a year-on-year increase in premium income, with total premiums reaching 30,602 billion yuan in May 2025, up 3.77% from the previous year. This includes a 5.22% increase in property insurance and a 3.28% increase in life insurance [19][20] - The report highlights the stable asset allocation of insurance funds, with a significant portion invested in bonds and stock funds, indicating a robust investment strategy [25][24] Market Performance - The non-bank financial index has shown a 4.0% increase this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.1%, indicating strong sector performance [5][16] - The report notes that the overall performance of the non-bank sector is strong, with the securities sector rising by 4.5% and the insurance sector by 1.7% [16][21] Financing Activities - In June 2025, equity financing reached 544.19 billion yuan, a significant increase of 3140.2% month-on-month, while bond financing also saw a rise to 88.3 billion yuan, up 21.3% [45][47] - The report indicates a recovery in the issuance of collective asset management products, with a notable increase in new issuances in June 2025 [49]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - The industry experienced a pullback this week, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) holding a meeting to discuss specific measures for implementing capital market policies. Broker valuations and institutional holdings are at low levels, while trading volumes remain high. Investment banking and overseas business have shown month-on-month improvements, and the mid-year reports are expected to continue the high prosperity trend, indicating ongoing opportunities in the sector [2][4] - In the insurance sector, current valuations reflect a pessimistic market outlook on long-term investments. However, considering the medium to long-term interest rate spreads, current valuations are still deemed safe. The report favors companies with stable earnings and dividends, recommending Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance. Additionally, it suggests companies like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on performance elasticity and valuation levels [2][4] Industry Performance - The non-bank financial index decreased by 0.7% this week, with an excess return of -2.3% relative to the CSI 300, ranking 30th out of 31 industries. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has increased by 0.3%, with an excess return of -0.9% compared to the CSI 300, also ranking 22nd out of 31 [5] - Market activity has cooled, with an average daily trading volume of 1,441.396 billion yuan, down 3.05% week-on-week, and an average turnover rate of 1.75%, down 8.10 basis points. However, the leverage capital scale has rebounded, with a margin balance of 1.86 trillion yuan, up 1.12% [5] Key Industry News & Company Announcements - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange released guidelines for the recognition standards of "light assets and high R&D investment" for companies listed on the Growth Enterprise Market [6] - The CSRC held a meeting to discuss specific measures for implementing capital market policies, emphasizing the need for a stable market environment and risk prevention [6][62] - Dongxing Securities has received approval from the CSRC for a change in its controlling shareholder to Huijin Company [6]

Group 1: Macro Trends and Innovations - The report discusses the potential transformation of the global monetary and financial systems due to the development of stablecoins and RWA (Real World Assets), suggesting that these innovations may create a parallel decentralized financial system alongside the existing centralized one [2][3] - It is anticipated that the changes brought by stablecoins and RWA could be as significant as the impact of AI on the global economy, indicating a major shift in how currencies and financial systems operate [2][3] Group 2: Steel Industry Insights - Recent data shows a slight decrease in steel demand, with total inventory shifting from a reduction to an increase, indicating a potential weakening in demand as the industry enters a traditional off-season [5][6] - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.7985 million tons, down by 4.33 million tons week-on-week, while total inventory rose to 13.4003 million tons, marking a 1.14% increase [5][6] - The report forecasts that steel demand may stabilize gradually, with construction and manufacturing sectors expected to support demand, despite ongoing challenges in the real estate sector [6] Group 3: Cement and Building Materials - The cement industry is showing signs of stabilization after price adjustments, with competition and profitability continuing to improve [4] - The report notes that the national average cement price has seen a slight decline of 1.2%, with certain regions experiencing price increases due to demand fluctuations [8] - The building materials sector is expected to enter a low base period starting June 2024, which may improve demand metrics as previous high demand levels are compared against lower future figures [9] Group 4: Glass and Fiberglass Market - The domestic float glass market is experiencing a downturn, with average prices dropping to 1250.27 yuan per ton, reflecting a weak demand environment [8] - The fiberglass market is also facing challenges, with limited order growth and competitive pressures affecting pricing and profitability [8] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several steel companies that are expected to benefit from industry consolidation and high-quality development, including Baosteel and Hualing Steel [7] - In the cement sector, leading companies such as Anhui Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement are highlighted as strong investment opportunities due to their market positions [10] - For the glass industry, companies like Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Glass are recommended based on their competitive advantages and market resilience [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector, highlighting the attractiveness of quality stocks in this area [7]. Core Insights - The second quarter shows a stable improvement in policy and market trading trends, suggesting that high-quality non-bank stocks remain a good investment choice based on profitability and dividend stability [2][4]. - Recommended stocks include Jiangsu Jinzheng, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance for their stable earnings and high dividend yields. Additionally, stocks like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings are recommended based on their earnings elasticity and valuation levels [2][4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 1.2%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.4% this week, ranking 6th out of 31 sectors. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is down 4.2%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 2.4%, ranking 25th out of 31 [5]. Policy and Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Finance issued a notice to further implement the new insurance contract accounting standards, which is expected to increase the demand for equity assets among some insurance companies during the transition [4][61]. Company Announcements - Guosen Securities announced a cash dividend of 3.50 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 3.364 billion yuan [6]. Insurance Sector Insights - In April 2025, the cumulative insurance premium income reached 259.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.25%. Property insurance income was 64.86 billion yuan, up 5.19%, while life insurance income was 194.69 billion yuan, up 1.31% [22][23]. Investment Business Trends - The report notes a recovery in market activity, with average daily trading volume reaching 1.3717 trillion yuan, up 13.47% week-on-week. The margin financing balance also increased to 1.82 trillion yuan, up 0.53% [40][47]. Financing Activities - In May 2025, equity financing decreased to 16.795 billion yuan, down 32.2% month-on-month, while bond financing was 72.7 billion yuan, down 7.3% [49][51].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Beijing Xiantong International Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - The joint sponsors for the listing are CITIC Securities and China International Capital Corporation [1]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 政策与业绩向好，持续增配绩优权重和优质 红马 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期非银上市公司业绩披露完毕，趋势上仍延续较高增长，叠加资本市场政策的陆续出台，本周板块涨幅 亮眼。展望后续，业绩基数有所上移，政策端维持平稳，建议重点关注板块绩优权重个股，以及优质的高 股息个股。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SFC：BUV596 吴一凡 谢宇尘 程泽宇 SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521020001 SAC：S0490524090001 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 政策与业绩2] 向好，持续增配绩优权重和优质红 马 [Table_Summary2] 核心观点： 近期非银上市公司业绩披露完毕，趋势上仍延续较高增长，叠加资本市场政策的陆续出台，本 周板块涨幅亮眼。展望后续，业绩基数有所上移，政策端维持平稳，建议重点关注板块绩优权 重个股，以及 ...