2024年7月，中共中央政治局会议首次提出"防止内卷式恶性竞争"，2024年12月，中央经济工作会议进 一步强调"综合整治内卷式竞争"。随着上市公司2024年年报披露完毕，各行业"反内卷"的情况也得以呈 现。 资本支出与折旧摊销的比值，一定程度上可以反应行业"反内卷"、去产能的进展情况。资本支出是指企 业为获得长期资产所发生的支出，包括购建固定资产、无形资产等。这些支出将分摊或折旧，逐渐转化 为费用。 当该比值上升，代表企业战略开始激进，反之趋向保守。当整个行业的资本支出比折旧摊销下降，代表 行业竞争可能趋缓，这样的情况在经历一段时间后，行业整体盈利水平有可能复苏。反之，当整个行业 的资本支出比折旧摊销急剧上升，一方面意味着短期内行业景气度处于上升阶段，另一方面预示着行业 未来竞争加剧，投资者应当重视和警惕。 在申万四级子行业中，2024年资本支出与折旧摊销之比，有239个子行业同比下降，有97个子行业同比 上升，表明多数行业资本开支力度下降。 其中有以下行业出现资本支出与折旧摊销之比相比上年明显下降的情况： 2、硅料硅片产能踩刹车，但复苏仍遥远 硅料硅片行业在巨亏下开始控制产能。硅料硅片行业在2024年资本 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in net profit in Q1 2025, with a net profit of 1.04 billion yuan, down 15.41% year-on-year and 53.19% quarter-on-quarter. However, the overall sales and production volumes are expected to grow in 2025 [1][2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity and transitioning towards deeper processing, with several projects underway, including new production lines for stainless steel and titanium materials [3]. - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth in the coming years, with expected revenues of 450 to 500 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 9.10% to 20.40% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues of 93.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.89%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.04 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.41% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s cold-rolled stainless steel production in Q1 2025 was 763,000 tons, a decline of 1.5% year-on-year, while sales volume was 726,000 tons, an increase of 3.7% year-on-year [2]. Production and Capacity Expansion - The company has several projects in progress, including a 400,000-ton stainless steel plate production line and a titanium alloy production line, which are expected to enhance production capacity significantly [3]. - The company plans to produce 3.8 million tons of cold-rolled stainless steel in 2025, with a projected revenue of 450 to 500 billion yuan [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 8.6 billion yuan, 9.6 billion yuan, and 10.9 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 7.7, 6.9, and 6.0 [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 2.883 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 20.67% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 23.64%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 389 million RMB, up 18.59% year-over-year but down 12.64% quarter-over-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 394 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.72% [1] - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 28.08%, showing a year-over-year increase of 1.08 percentage points but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.88 percentage points. The company demonstrated strong cost control, with total expenses of 286 million RMB and an expense ratio of 9.91% [2] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with a total capacity of 200,000 tons of finished pipes and ongoing projects expected to enhance future performance. The proportion of high-end products is anticipated to continue increasing [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025-2027, the forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company is 1.726 billion RMB, 1.863 billion RMB, and 2.022 billion RMB, respectively. The corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 1.77 RMB, 1.91 RMB, and 2.07 RMB. The target price is set at 27.44 RMB, based on a PE ratio of 15.5 times for 2025 [4] Market Position - The company is positioned favorably within its industry, with a competitive PE average of 9.3 times among comparable companies. The report highlights the potential for growth through overseas acquisitions and increased production capacity for composite pipes [4][12]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【石油化工】石化24年报总结：不确定环境下的确定性，"三桶油"及油服再创佳绩—— 石油化工行业周 报第 399 期（ 20250414 — 20250420 ） 根据 S&P Global 统计， 2024 年全球海上勘探开发投资同比增长 8.6% ，陆上勘探开发投资同比下降 7.9% ，预计 25 年全球上游资本开支恢复增长，有望达到 5824 亿美元以上，同比增长 5% ，上游资本开支的持 续扩增为油服景气奠定基础 。国内"三桶油"坚持增储上产，资本开支和产量持续增长，旗下油服企业有望 持续受益，我们持续看好油服企业工作量的增长和盈利能力的改善。 （赵乃迪/蔡嘉豪/王礼沫） 2025-04-20 您可点击今日推送内容 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【石油化工】石化24年报总结：不确定环境下的确定性，"三桶油"及油服再创佳绩—— 石油化工行业周 报第 399 期（ 20250414 — 20250420 ） 根据 S&P Global 统计， 2024 年全球海上勘探开发投资同比增长 8.6% ，陆上勘探开发投资同比下降 7.9% ，预计 25 年全球上游资本开支恢复增长，有望达到 5824 亿美元以上，同比增长 5% ，上游资本开支的持 续扩增为油服景气奠定基础 。国内"三桶油"坚持增储上产，资本开支和产量持续增长，旗下油服企业有望 持续受益，我们持续看好油服企业工作量的增长和盈利能力的改善。 （赵乃迪/蔡嘉豪/王礼沫） 2025-04-20 您可点击今日推送内容 ...

智通财经记者 蒋立冬 AI创意 科创板上市公司2025年首份一季报出炉。 4月10日晚间，电力检验检测公司西高院（688334）发布2024年年度报告和2025年第一季度报告，这也 是科创板首家披露2025年一季报的上市公司。 数据显示，公司2025年第一季度实现营业收入2.07亿元，同比增长12.1%；归母净利润6297.4万元，同 比增长12.1%；扣非归母净利润5832.56万元，同比增长34.6%。 此外，特钢材料公司广大特材（688186）一季度实现营业收入11.2亿元，净利润则同比增加1504.79%。 主要得益于公司下游所属行业需求整体向好，公司产销两旺；同时公司募投项目效益显现，风电齿轮箱 零部件项目产能逐步释放，销售收入大幅度增加，有效降低单位固定成本，实现盈利。海上风电铸件项 目通过一系列技术改造、产线优化、工艺降本、产品多样化等方式促使产能利用率大幅度提升，实现盈 利。 还有诺泰生物（688076）、圣诺生物（688117）等生物医药企业，也均在多肽行业发展趋势下实现了多 肽原料药业务销售收入大幅增长，并实现净利润同比翻番。 经营、研发、投资者回报利好频出 在科技创新与产业升级的双轮驱动 ...

Group 1: Business Performance and Market Position - The company maintains a leading position in the lithium carbonate industry through long-term stable partnerships with major lithium-ion battery and vehicle manufacturers, while its stainless steel business holds a market share among the top three in China [2][3] - The company’s lithium carbonate production capacity is 30,000 tons per year, with a current project aiming for an annual output of 10,000 tons of battery-grade lithium carbonate undergoing technical upgrades [9][10] Group 2: Cost Control and Competitive Strategy - The company has established an integrated supply chain from mining to deep processing of lithium carbonate, ensuring stable raw material costs and controllable production costs [3][4] - In response to the oversupply in the lithium market, the company plans to adjust sales strategies, enhance technological development, and strengthen cost management to improve product competitiveness [4][5] Group 3: Research and Development - In 2024, the company invested 334.19 million yuan in R&D, accounting for 4.14% of its revenue, focusing on developing new products to meet market demands and reduce production costs [6][10] - The company is actively researching environmentally friendly disposal methods for lithium slag, becoming the first in Jiangxi Province to classify its smelting slag as general industrial waste [6] Group 4: Future Plans and Market Expansion - The company aims to optimize its sales model in the lithium battery sector, focusing on a multi-win ecosystem and enhancing its supply chain to meet market needs [5][10] - Future capital expenditures will focus on increasing lithium salt production capacity and upgrading products in the special steel materials sector [9][10] Group 5: Shareholder Engagement and Market Management - The company has implemented a share repurchase plan, buying back 11.38 million shares for a total of 500 million yuan, and has established a market value management system [8][9] - The company plans to continue annual dividends to reward investors and share development results [9]