Market Performance - The small metals sector increased by 0.49% on August 6, with Jintian Titanium leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3633.99, up 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11177.78, up 0.64% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Jintian Titanium (688750) closed at 23.01, up 4.64% with a trading volume of 119,700 shares and a transaction value of 273 million yuan [1] - Baotai Co. (600456) closed at 32.62, up 3.56% with a trading volume of 257,500 shares and a transaction value of 843 million yuan [1] - Caoyuan Tungsten (002378) closed at 9.33, up 2.64% with a trading volume of 439,600 shares and a transaction value of 409 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Baowu Magnesium (002182) up 2.30% and Zhongtung High-tech (000657) up 2.09% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The small metals sector experienced a net outflow of 452 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 355 million yuan [2][3] - The main funds showed a significant outflow from Jintian Titanium, with a net outflow of 37.02 million yuan [3] - Retail investors contributed positively to Jintian Titanium with a net inflow of 7.50 million yuan [3] Summary of Key Stocks - Jintian Titanium had a notable trading day with a significant increase in share price despite main fund outflows [1][3] - Baotai Co. and Caoyuan Tungsten also showed positive price movements, indicating investor interest in these stocks [1] - The overall small metals sector reflects mixed capital flows, with retail investors actively participating [2][3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the non-ferrous metal industry index increased by 1.78% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 11th among 31 first-level industries in the Shenwan classification [1][2] - In terms of sub-sectors, energy metals (6.32%), minor metals (6.17%), and new metal materials (1.26%) showed the highest growth, while industrial metals rose by 0.73%, and precious metals experienced a significant decline of 4.31% [1][2] Group 2 - As of August 1, gold prices closed at $3,416.00 per ounce, reflecting a 1.80% increase over the past two weeks, while silver prices fell by 3.44% to $37.11 per ounce [3] - The price of black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) rose by 7.78% to 194,000 yuan per ton, while LME tin prices decreased by 0.42% to $33,215 per ton [3] - The China rare earth price index increased by 6.69% to 205.11, with light rare earths like praseodymium-neodymium oxide rising by 10.97% to 531,000 yuan per ton [3] Group 3 - On July 30, the U.S. announced a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products effective August 1, which includes items like copper pipes and wires, while excluding raw copper materials [4] - Following the announcement, copper prices in New York dropped by over 18%, indicating a significant market reaction to the tariff news [4] Group 4 - The market sentiment is increasingly fragile due to global geopolitical conflicts, tariff policies, and various national policies, suggesting a continuation of weak fluctuations in the short term [5] - Investors are advised to focus on investment opportunities in energy metals, minor metals, and rare earths, as well as potential policy turning points [5]

Group 1 - The core stock price of Fenghua Co., Ltd. closed at 12.54 yuan on August 5, with a slight decrease of 0.04 yuan, representing a decline of 0.32% [1] - The trading volume on that day was 36,595 hands, with a total transaction amount of 46 million yuan [1] - Fenghua Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in small metals and automotive parts, and is based in Chongqing, categorizing it as a regional manufacturing enterprise [1] Group 2 - The company expects a net profit of 8 million to 11 million yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 214.25% to 332.09% [1] - On August 5, the net outflow of main funds was 5.2272 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 29.9922 million yuan over the past five trading days [1] - The current total market value of the company is 2.829 billion yuan, with a dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of 135 times [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The report expresses a long-term positive outlook on precious metals, driven by fluctuations in U.S. employment data and the weakening global position of the U.S. dollar, which is expected to support gold prices [5] - Industrial metal prices are currently declining, but significant infrastructure projects in China are anticipated to boost overall demand and metal prices in the medium term [5] - The report highlights the mixed performance of minor metals, with tungsten prices increasing due to rising demand in manufacturing [5] - Energy metals, particularly lithium, are seeing price increases, indicating potential growth in demand for these materials [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Data Review 1.1 Precious Metals - The report notes a 0.85% decline in Shanghai gold prices, with U.S. non-farm payrolls adding only 73,000 jobs in July, which is significantly below market expectations [5][42] 1.2 Industrial Metals - Prices for copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, tin, and nickel have decreased by 1.9%, 1.2%, 0.9%, 3.0%, 3.3%, and 3.7% respectively [5][28] 1.3 Minor Metals - Prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxides showed mixed results, while tungsten prices have increased due to a recovery in manufacturing demand [5][32] 1.4 Energy Metals - Lithium concentrate prices have risen, with cobalt products also showing upward trends, indicating a growing demand for energy metals [5][35] 2. Market Data - The report indicates a 0.94% decline in the Shanghai Composite Index, with the non-ferrous metals sector down 4.62% [36] 3. Key Events Review - The report highlights the significant downward revision of U.S. employment data for May and June, which has contributed to market volatility [42]

从资金流向上来看，当日小金属板块主力资金净流入5000.67万元，游资资金净流入537.53万元，散户资 金净流出5538.2万元。小金属板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002167 | 东方错业 | 12.72 | 1.19% | 66.93万 | 8.56亿 | | 600301 | 华锡有色 | 22.43 | 0.95% | 7.47万 | · 1.68亿 | | 600281 | 华阳新材 | 6.82 | 0.59% | 16.88万 | 1.15亿 | | 002378 | 章源钨业 | 9.09 | 0.55% | 1 30.32万 | 2.76亿 | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 36.45 | 0.41% | 133.59万 | 48.48 乙 | | 301026 | 浩通科技 | 27.19 | 0.33% | 2.68万 | 7285.68万 | | 002182 | 宝武镁业 | 12.19 | 0.33% | 11.1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, focusing on energy metals, minor metals, and rare earth investment opportunities [5][7]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry index increased by 1.78% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 11th among 31 sectors [2][13]. - Energy metals and minor metals showed significant gains, with increases of 6.32% and 6.17% respectively, while precious metals experienced a notable decline of 4.31% [2][19]. - The report highlights the impact of geopolitical tensions and tariff policies on market sentiment, suggesting a continuation of weak fluctuations in the short term [5]. Summary by Sections Market Review (2025.7.21-2025.8.01) - The non-ferrous metals industry index rose by 1.78%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2][13]. - Energy metals and minor metals led the gains, while precious metals saw a decline [2][19]. Metal Prices - COMEX gold closed at $3,416.00 per ounce, up 1.80% over two weeks; COMEX silver fell to $37.11 per ounce, down 3.44% [3][20]. - Black tungsten concentrate prices rose by 7.78% to 194,000 CNY per ton, while LME tin prices decreased by 0.42% to $33,215 per ton [3][20]. Important Events - The U.S. imposed a 50% tariff on imported copper semi-finished products, leading to a significant drop in copper prices [4][29]. Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on energy metals, minor metals, and rare earths due to potential opportunities and policy shifts [5][7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4][7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as the core listed platform of China Rare Earth Group, with expected growth driven by resource and smelting synergies [6][9]. - The supply side is dominated by China, with a gradual improvement in domestic quota growth, while the demand side is benefiting from the expanding market for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets [6][30]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is controlled by China Rare Earth Group, which holds 28.56% of its shares as of April 24, 2025 [6][13]. - The company’s rare earth production in 2024 is projected to be 2,384 tons of REO, accounting for only 2.93% of the group’s total indicators [6][16]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 49.08 billion, 60.68 billion, and 67.76 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 3.5 billion, 4.5 billion, and 5.5 billion RMB [5][45]. - The company’s price-to-earnings ratios for the same period are expected to be 124, 96, and 80 times [7][45]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - In 2024, global rare earth production is expected to reach approximately 390,000 tons, with China accounting for about 70% of this output [6][26]. - The demand for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets is projected to grow significantly, driven by sectors such as electric vehicles and robotics [30][33]. Growth Drivers - The company benefits from a complete resource and smelting capacity layout, with core mining resources and smelting subsidiaries contributing to its growth potential [23][24]. - The anticipated recovery in rare earth prices, alongside the expected stabilization of supply and demand, is likely to enhance profitability [39][41].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The steel industry is experiencing a phase of "anti-involution," which shows improvement but relies on demand support and self-driven supply-demand turning points [1][3][5] - The copper market is facing supply disruptions, with a global supply decrease of over 100,000 tons in the first half of the year, leading to a weak supply-demand balance [10][17] Key Points and Arguments Steel Industry - The steel sector performed well in the first half of 2025 due to self-driven profit points, coking coal concessions, and policy expectations [1][5] - The second half of 2025 is expected to enter a phase of anti-involution execution and production cuts, leading to a new round of profit improvement [5][6] - Current macro conditions are similar to 2021, with a demand downturn and policy speculation, but the market has found a bottom, reducing reliance on policy support [1][6] - The average daily pig iron output has not significantly decreased, indicating that production cuts have not yet been effectively implemented [6] Copper Market - The 232 tariff policy has led to high copper inventories in the U.S., resulting in a proactive destocking cycle and weakening global demand [9] - Short-term copper prices are expected to fluctuate between $9,000 and $9,500, with a potential for a new upward cycle in 2026 if major economies experience liquidity easing [11][17] Aluminum Market - Significant increases in aluminum rod and electrolytic aluminum inventories, with weekly production nearing peak levels, may lead to price corrections, but prices are unlikely to fall below 20,000 RMB/ton [12] - High-dividend companies in the aluminum sector remain attractive for investment [12][18] Small Metals Market - Cobalt is entering a supply contraction and price increase phase, while rare earth materials are in short supply, leading to expected price increases [15][19] - Lithium carbonate and nickel are at cost support bottoms, requiring attention to supply-side changes for potential recovery [20] Other Important Insights - The current market environment is characterized as a "mid-game pause," with expectations for a turnaround in fundamentals in the second half of the year [5][7] - Investors are advised to focus on asset allocation opportunities, particularly during the economic bottoming process and under significant PPI pressure [7] - The overall sentiment in the gold market is cautious, with prices expected to remain in a range due to macroeconomic conditions [13][14] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the dynamics within the steel, copper, aluminum, and small metals markets, along with investment strategies and macroeconomic considerations.

Company Overview - Xianglu Tungsten Industry's stock price reached 9.09 yuan as of August 4, 2025, with a 1.45% increase from the previous trading day [1] - The stock hit a high of 9.31 yuan and a low of 8.90 yuan during the day, with a trading range of 4.58% [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of tungsten products, including tungsten powder and hard alloys, which are widely used in mechanical processing and mining [1] Market Activity - On August 4, the stock experienced a rapid rebound, with a more than 2% increase within 5 minutes, resulting in a transaction volume of 31.17 million yuan [1] - The total trading volume for the day was 184,400 hands, with a total transaction value of 168 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - On August 4, the net inflow of main funds was 16.74 million yuan, accounting for 0.69% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five days, the cumulative net outflow of main funds was 63.45 million yuan, representing 2.6% of the circulating market value [1]

8月4日，洛阳钼业今日收盘9.26元，上涨3.12%，滚动市盈率PE（当前股价与前四季度每股收益总和的 比值）达到12.86倍，总市值1981.11亿元。 从行业市盈率排名来看，公司所处的小金属行业市盈率平均65.27倍，行业中值61.48倍，洛阳钼业排名 第5位。 截至2025年一季报，共有212家机构持仓洛阳钼业，其中基金212家，合计持股数42257.90万股，持股市 值35.58亿元。 序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市值(元)1洛阳钼业12.8614.642.691981.11亿行业平均 65.2774.134.43230.83亿行业中值61.4863.133.87128.70亿2金钼股份14.4413.832.33412.36亿3锡业股份 18.2520.441.56295.26亿4贵研铂业19.9520.261.61117.39亿5华锡有色20.8521.373.39140.56亿6厦门钨业 21.5120.952.22361.97亿7宝钛股份30.2026.122.14150.55亿8云路股份32.6432.944.60118.91亿9浩通科技 36.0636.782.8142.8 ...