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《特殊商品》日报-20250820
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 02:44
Report 1: Natural Rubber 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View The current natural rubber market lacks clear directional guidance, with long and short positions intertwined. The price is expected to fluctuate in a range, with the 01 contract's reference range at 15,000 - 16,500 yuan/ton. Follow-up attention should be paid to the raw material supply situation during the peak production period in the main producing areas. If the raw material supply increases smoothly, consider shorting at high prices [1]. 3. Summary by Directory Spot Price and Basis - The price of Yunnan state - owned whole latex in Shanghai on August 19 was 14,850 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan or 0.34% from the previous day. The whole milk basis (switched to the 2509 contract) was - 920 yuan/ton, down 105 yuan or 11.41% [1]. - The price of Thai standard mixed rubber on August 19 was 14,650 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan or 0.34% from the previous day [1]. Monthly Spread - The 9 - 1 spread on August 19 was - 995 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan or 3.86% from the previous day [1]. - The 1 - 5 spread was - 82 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan or 10.53% from the previous day [1]. - The 5 - 9 spread was 1080 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan or - 4.42% from the previous day [1]. Fundamental Data - In June, Thailand's natural rubber production was 392.6 thousand tons, up 120.4 thousand tons or 44.23% from the previous month. Indonesia's production was 176.2 thousand tons, down 24.1 thousand tons or - 12.03% [1]. - The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires was 72.07%, down 2.28 percentage points from the previous week. The weekly operating rate of all - steel tires was 61.00%, down 2.09 percentage points from the previous week [1]. - In July, domestic tire production was 9436.4 million pieces, down 838.5 million pieces or - 8.16% from the previous month. Tire export volume was 6665.0 million pieces, up 634.0 million pieces or 10.51% [1]. Inventory Change - As of August 19, the bonded area inventory (bonded + general trade inventory) was 619,852 tons, down 11,918 tons or 1.89% from the previous day [1]. - The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE (weekly) was 46,469 tons, up 4234 tons or 10.02% from the previous week [1]. Report 2: Polysilicon 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View Last week, the polysilicon price fluctuated strongly. It is expected to mainly fluctuate at a high level, with the lower limit of the price fluctuation range rising to 47,000 yuan/ton and the upper limit between 58,000 - 60,000 yuan/ton. Consider buying on dips, and buy put options to short at high prices when the volatility is low. Also, consider buying straddle options when the volatility is low [2]. 3. Summary by Directory Spot Price and Basis - The average price of N - type reclaimed materials on August 19 was 47,000 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [2]. - The N - type material basis (average price) was - 5260 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan or 0.38% from the previous day [2]. Futures Price and Monthly Spread - The price of the main contract on August 19 was 52,260 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan or 0.04% from the previous day [2]. - The spread between the current month and the first - continuous contract was - 215 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan or 59.26% from the previous day [2]. Fundamental Data - Weekly polysilicon production was 2.93 million tons, down 0.01 million tons or 0.34% from the previous week. Weekly silicon wafer production was 12.10 GM, up 0.08 GM or 0.67% [2]. - Monthly polysilicon production was 10.10 million tons, up 0.49 million tons or 5.10% from the previous month. Monthly polysilicon imports were 0.08 million tons, down 0.02 million tons or 16.90% [2]. Inventory Change - The polysilicon inventory was 24.20 million tons, up 0.90 million tons or 3.86% from the previous day. The silicon wafer inventory was 19.80 GM, up 0.69 GM or 3.61% [2]. Report 3: Industrial Silicon 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View Last week, the industrial silicon price fluctuated strongly. It is recommended to buy on dips. The main price fluctuation range is expected to be 8000 - 9500 yuan/ton. If the price falls to the low level of 8000 - 8500 yuan/ton, consider buying on dips [3]. 3. Summary by Directory Spot Price and Main Contract Basis - The price of East China oxygen - passed SI5530 industrial silicon on August 19 was 9400 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [3]. - The basis of East China SI4210 industrial silicon (based on SI4210) was 325 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan or 5.80% from the previous day [3]. Monthly Spread - The spread between the 2509 and 2510 contracts on August 19 was - 30 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan or 50.00% from the previous day [3]. - The spread between the 2510 and 2511 contracts was 10 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan or 300.00% from the previous day [3]. Fundamental Data - Monthly national industrial silicon production was 33.83 million tons, up 1.06 million tons or 3.23% from the previous month. Xinjiang's production was 15.03 million tons, down 2.70 million tons or 15.21% [3]. - The national industrial silicon operating rate was 52.61%, up 1.27 percentage points or 2.47% from the previous month [3]. Inventory Change - The Xinjiang factory - warehouse inventory (weekly) on August 19 was 11.70 million tons, up 0.01 million tons or 0.09% from the previous day [3]. - The social inventory (weekly) was 54.50 million tons, down 0.20 million tons or 0.37% from the previous day [3]. Report 4: Glass and Soda Ash 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View Soda Ash The soda ash futures market is weak. The fundamental situation is in obvious surplus, and the demand has no growth expectation. Short positions can continue to be held [4]. Glass The glass market is in a continuous weak operation. The market negative feedback continues, and the overall spot price is difficult to increase further. The long - term industry needs capacity clearance to solve the over - supply problem [4]. 3. Summary by Directory Glass - Related Price and Spread - The North China glass quotation on August 19 was 1150 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The glass 2505 contract price was 1291 yuan/ton, down 17 yuan or 1.30% from the previous day [4]. - The 05 basis was - 141 yuan/ton, up 17 yuan or 10.76% from the previous day [4]. Soda Ash - Related Price and Spread - The North China soda ash quotation on August 19 was 1350 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The soda ash 2505 contract price was 1413 yuan/ton, down 29 yuan or 2.01% from the previous day [4]. - The 05 basis was - 63 yuan/ton, up 29 yuan or 31.52% from the previous day [4]. Supply - The soda ash operating rate on August 15 was 87.32%, up 2.24 percentage points from August 8. The weekly soda ash production was 76.13 million tons, up 1.7 million tons or 2.23% [4]. - The float glass daily melting volume was 15.96 million tons, unchanged from August 8 [4]. Inventory - The glass factory - warehouse inventory on August 15 was 6342.60 million heavy boxes, up 157.9 million heavy boxes or 2.55% from August 8 [4]. - The soda ash factory - warehouse inventory on August 15 was 189.38 million tons, up 2.9 million tons or 1.54% from August 8 [4]. Report 5: Log Futures 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View The log futures price is currently oscillating in a range. The fundamentals are expected to improve marginally, and the spot market is strong in the short - term. It is recommended to participate in buying on dips, focusing on the support level around 800 yuan/ton [5]. 3. Summary by Directory Futures and Spot Price - The log 2509 contract price on August 19 was 810.5 yuan/cubic meter, down 0.5 yuan/cubic meter from the previous day. The 9 - 11 spread was - 14.5 yuan/cubic meter, down 1.5 yuan from the previous day [5]. - The price of 3.9A small radiata pine at Rizhao Port on August 19 was 720 yuan/cubic meter, unchanged from the previous day [5]. Cost - The RMB - US dollar exchange rate on August 19 was 7.183, up 0.001 from the previous day. The import theoretical cost was 818.77 yuan, up 0.15 yuan from the previous day [5]. Supply - The port shipping volume in July was 173.3 million cubic meters, down 2.7 million cubic meters or 1.51% from June [5]. - The number of departing ships from New Zealand to China, Japan and South Korea was 47.0, down 6.0 or 11.32% from the previous period [5]. Inventory - The main port inventory in China on August 15 was 306.00 million cubic meters, down 2.0 million cubic meters or 0.65% from August 8 [5]. - Shandong's inventory was 185.40 million cubic meters, down 7.2 million cubic meters or 3.74% from August 8 [5]. Demand - The average daily log outbound volume in China on August 15 was 6.33 million cubic meters, down 0.09 million cubic meters or 1% from August 8 [5]. - Shandong's average daily outbound volume was 3.59 million cubic meters, down 0.05 million cubic meters or 1% from August 8 [5].
黑色建材日报-20250820
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 00:57
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall atmosphere in the commodity market was weak yesterday, and the prices of finished steel products showed a weak and fluctuating trend. If the subsequent demand cannot be effectively restored, steel prices may not maintain their current levels, and the futures prices may gradually return to the supply - demand logic [3]. - For iron ore, although the current supply pressure is not significant, the short - term upward increase in hot metal may be limited, and the futures price may adjust slightly [6]. - For ferrosilicon and manganese silicon, due to the "anti - involution" sentiment, the prices have dropped significantly. It is recommended that investment positions remain on the sidelines, while hedging positions can participate opportunistically. In the long - term, the demand for both may weaken marginally [7][8][9]. - For industrial silicon and polysilicon, industrial silicon is expected to fluctuate weakly, and polysilicon is expected to fluctuate widely [13][14]. - For glass and soda ash, both are expected to fluctuate in the short - term. In the long - term, glass prices may follow macro - sentiment, and soda ash prices are expected to have a gradually rising price center, but their upward space may be limited [16][17]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel Products a. Price and Inventory Data - The closing price of the rebar main contract was 3126 yuan/ton, down 29 yuan/ton (- 0.91%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts increased by 15,137 tons, and the main contract positions decreased by 1,199 lots. In the spot market, the aggregated prices in Tianjin and Shanghai decreased by 20 yuan/ton [2]. - The closing price of the hot - rolled coil main contract was 3416 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan/ton (- 0.08%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts increased by 880 tons, and the main contract positions decreased by 17,753 lots. In the spot market, the aggregated price in Lecong increased by 10 yuan/ton, while that in Shanghai remained unchanged [2]. b. Fundamental Analysis - Rebar demand decreased significantly this week, with production basically flat compared to last week, and the inventory accumulation rate increased. Hot - rolled coil demand recovered significantly, with production basically flat compared to last week, and the inventory accumulation rate slowed down. Currently, both rebar and hot - rolled coil inventories are on the rise marginally, and although the profit of steel mills is good and production remains high, the demand - side support is insufficient [3]. Iron Ore a. Price and Inventory Data - The main contract (I2601) of iron ore closed at 771.00 yuan/ton, with a change of - 0.13% (- 1.00), and the positions increased by 674 lots to 449,600 lots. The weighted positions were 863,700 lots. The spot price of PB powder at Qingdao Port was 768 yuan/wet ton, with a basis of 44.81 yuan/ton and a basis rate of 5.49% [5]. b. Fundamental Analysis - In terms of supply, the latest overseas iron ore shipments and arrivals both increased. In terms of demand, the average daily hot metal output increased. In the inventory, port inventories increased slightly, and steel mill imported ore inventories increased significantly. The apparent demand for the five major steel products continued to weaken [6]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon a. Price and Inventory Data - On August 19, the main contract of manganese silicon (SM509) closed down 3.05% at 5842 yuan/ton. The spot price in Tianjin decreased by 100 yuan/ton. The main contract of ferrosilicon (SF511) closed down 3.44% at 5678 yuan/ton. The spot price in Tianjin decreased by 100 yuan/ton [7]. b. Fundamental Analysis - Affected by the "anti - involution" sentiment, the prices of ferrosilicon and manganese silicon have dropped significantly. The over - supply situation of manganese silicon has not changed, and its production has increased recently. The demand for both may weaken marginally in the future [8][9]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon a. Price and Inventory Data - The main contract of industrial silicon (SI2511) closed at 8625 yuan/ton, up 0.23% (+ 20). The weighted contract positions decreased by 15,419 lots to 537,492 lots. The main contract of polysilicon (PS2511) closed at 52,260 yuan/ton, down 0.04% (- 20). The weighted contract positions increased by 1889 lots to 323,092 lots [11][13]. b. Fundamental Analysis - For industrial silicon, the problems of over - capacity, high inventory, and insufficient demand have not changed. The demand in August can provide some support, but it is expected to fluctuate weakly. For polysilicon, the supply - demand situation is weak, and it is expected to fluctuate widely [12][13][14]. Glass and Soda Ash a. Price and Inventory Data - The spot price of glass in Shahe was 1160 yuan, unchanged from the previous day, and that in Central China was 1090 yuan, also unchanged. As of August 14, 2025, the total inventory of national float glass sample enterprises was 63.426 million heavy boxes, up 2.55% month - on - month. The spot price of soda ash was 1230 yuan, down 30 yuan from the previous day. As of August 18, 2025, the total inventory of domestic soda ash manufacturers was 1.8973 million tons, up 0.18% from last Thursday [16][17]. b. Fundamental Analysis - For glass, although the fundamentals are under pressure, the price adjustment space is limited. In the long - term, it follows macro - sentiment. For soda ash, it is expected to fluctuate in the short - term, and the price center may gradually rise in the long - term, but the upward space is limited [16][17].
玻璃纯碱早报-20250820
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 00:44
Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: Glass Soda Ash Morning Report [2] - Date Range: August 12 - 19, 2025 [3] Group 2: Glass Market Prices and Changes - For 5mm large - plate glass in different regions, prices had various changes from August 12 to 19, 2025. For example, in Wuhan Changli, it dropped from 1160.0 to 1100.0, a decrease of 60.0 [3]. - FG09 contract price decreased from 1073.0 to 1020.0, a drop of 53.0, and FG01 contract price decreased from 1240.0 to 1196.0, a decrease of 44.0 [3]. Production and Sales - On August 20, 2025, glass production - sales ratios were: 110 in Shahe, 100 in Hubei, 112 in East China, and 94 in South China [3]. Profit and Cost - North China coal - fired glass profit decreased from 238.6 to 228.8, a reduction of 9.8, and cost increased from 908.4 to 909.2, an increase of 0.8 [3]. Group 3: Soda Ash Market Prices and Changes - Soda ash prices also had different trends. For example, Shahe heavy - alkali price decreased from 1280.0 to 1240.0, a decrease of 40.0, while Huazhong heavy - alkali price remained at 1240.0 from August 12 to 19, 2025 [3]. - SA05 contract price decreased from 1462.0 to 1413.0, a drop of 49.0, SA01 contract price decreased from 1409.0 to 1358.0, a decrease of 51.0, and SA09 contract price decreased from 1292.0 to 1245.0, a decrease of 47.0 [3]. Industry Situation - On August 20, 2025, heavy - alkali spot price in Hebei delivery warehouses was around 1220, and the price delivered to Shahe was around 1240. Hubei downstream replenished stocks with a large quantity [3]. - Soda ash factory inventories continued to accumulate slightly [3]. Profit and Cost - North China ammonia - alkali profit decreased from - 96.6 to - 125.5, a reduction of 28.9, and North China combined - alkali profit decreased from - 154.7 to - 134.5, an increase of 20.2 [3].
南玻A2025年中报简析:净利润同比下降89.83%,公司应收账款体量较大
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-19 22:59
据证券之星公开数据整理,近期南玻A(000012)发布2025年中报。截至本报告期末,公司营业总收入 64.84亿元,同比下降19.75%,归母净利润7453.15万元,同比下降89.83%。按单季度数据看,第二季度 营业总收入34.15亿元,同比下降17.35%,第二季度归母净利润5866.15万元,同比下降85.61%。本报告 期南玻A公司应收账款体量较大,当期应收账款占最新年报归母净利润比达759.8%。 本次财报公布的各项数据指标表现不尽如人意。其中,毛利率14.52%,同比减32.49%,净利率0.99%, 同比减88.86%,销售费用、管理费用、财务费用总计5.79亿元,三费占营收比8.94%,同比增16.92%, 每股净资产4.3元,同比减5.73%,每股经营性现金流0.13元,同比减61.27%,每股收益0.02元,同比减 91.67% 财务报表中对有大幅变动的财务项目的原因说明如下: 预付款项变动幅度为-45.39%,原因:预付货款到货。 其他非流动资产变动幅度为84.38%,原因:预付厂房购置款等增加。 应付职工薪酬变动幅度为-30.08%,原因:上年计提的薪酬减少且上年计提的薪酬于本报告 ...
福耀玻璃工业集团股份有限公司
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-19 19:29
Group 1 - The company has proposed amendments to several internal regulations, including the Independent Director System and the External Guarantee Management System, which will be submitted for approval at the 2025 first extraordinary shareholders' meeting [3][4][19] - The term "shareholders' meeting" has been changed to "shareholders' assembly" in various regulations, reflecting compliance with updated legal requirements [1][2][3] - The company plans to hold a half-year performance briefing on August 29, 2025, to discuss its financial results and address investor inquiries [5][6][8] Group 2 - The company has announced a mid-term profit distribution plan, proposing a cash dividend of RMB 0.90 per share, totaling approximately RMB 2.35 billion, which represents 48.88% of the net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders for the first half of 2025 [12][14][17] - The profit distribution plan is subject to approval at the upcoming extraordinary shareholders' meeting [16][18] - The company reported a net profit of approximately RMB 4.80 billion for the first half of 2025, according to both Chinese and international accounting standards [13][14] Group 3 - The company has experienced a change in its independent director, with Liu Jing resigning after nearly six years of service, necessitating the nomination of a new independent director [19][20][21] - Liu Xiaozhi has been proposed as the candidate to replace Liu Jing, pending approval from the shareholders' meeting [21][22] - The company will announce the details of the extraordinary shareholders' meeting in due course [23]
南玻A:光学镀膜材料板块包括ITO导电玻璃和ITO导电薄膜两大业务,产品定位国内外中高端客户
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-19 15:53
Core Viewpoint - Company has a complete industrial chain in the touch display field, covering various processes from vacuum magnetron sputtering coating to full lamination of touch display modules [1] Group 1: Business Segments - The main business is divided into optical coating materials and automotive cover plates [1] - The optical coating materials segment includes ITO conductive glass and ITO conductive films, targeting mid-to-high-end domestic and international customers with differentiated high value-added products [1] - The automotive cover plate segment includes various types such as automotive AG glass, automotive rearview mirror coating cover plates, automotive 2A (AR, AF) cover plates, automotive 3A cover plates, and customized special function cover plates, supplied indirectly to well-known automotive brands [1]
南玻A:公司在工程建筑玻璃上的质量管理体系分别经英国AOQC和澳大利亚QAS机构认证通过
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-08-19 14:16
(编辑 袁冠琳) 证券日报网讯 南玻A8月19日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司工程玻璃业务坚持技术服务、营 销与研发制造三位一体的定制化经营策略,依托自身制造与研发实力及国内与海外办事处所形成的营销 与服务网络,满足国内外客户与建筑项目的个性化需求。同时,公司在工程建筑玻璃上的质量管理体系 分别经英国AOQC和澳大利亚QAS机构认证通过,产品质量同时满足美国、英国及澳大利亚等国的国家 标准,这使得公司在国际性招投标中占据优势。 ...
南玻A:截至2025年8月8日公司股东总数为129762户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-19 12:16
证券日报网讯南玻A8月19日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至2025年8月8日,公司股东总数为 129762户,其中A股股东总数为96351户,B股股东总数为33411户。 ...
南玻A:截至2025年6月公司浮法玻璃在产产线共8条
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-19 12:16
证券日报网讯 南玻A8月19日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至2025年6月,公司浮法玻璃在产产 线共8条。 ...
福耀玻璃:刘京辞任独立董事
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 10:11
福耀玻璃(600660)(03606)发布公告,该公司董事局于近日收到公司独立董事刘京先生的书面离职报 告。刘京先生自2019年10月30日起担任公司独立董事,连续任职时间即将满6年。根据《上市公司独立 董事管理办法(2025年修正)》关于上市公司独立董事连续任职年限的有关规定,刘京先生提出辞去其所 担任的独立董事和董事局各专门委员会委员及/或主任等职务。刘京先生辞去上述职务后,将不在公司 及其控股子公司担任任何职务。截至本公告披露日,刘京先生未持有公司股份,不存在应当履行而未履 行的承诺事项。 ...