Report Overview - The report is a macro financial data daily report released by the Guomao Futures Research Institute's Macro Financial Research Center on May 7, 2025 [2][3] Central Bank Operations and Monetary Policy - The central bank conducted 405 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 1087 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 682 billion yuan [3] - This week, 1617.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases in the central bank's open market will mature, with 1087 billion yuan and 530.8 billion yuan maturing on Tuesday and Wednesday respectively [4] - The Politburo meeting stated the need to "timely cut reserve - requirement ratios and interest rates", "create new structural monetary policy tools, and establish new policy - based financial tools to support technological innovation, expand consumption, and stabilize foreign trade" [4] Interest Rate Market | Variety | Closing Price | Change from Previous Day (bp) | | --- | --- | --- | | DRO01 | 1.71 | -7.58 | | DR007 | 1.73 | -7.14 | | GC001 | 1.71 | 17.00 | | GC007 | 1.74 | 1.50 | | SHBOR 3M | 1.75 | -0.20 | | LPR 5 - year | 3.60 | 0.00 | | 1 - year Treasury Bond | 1.46 | 0.25 | | 5 - year Treasury Bond | 1.51 | 0.75 | | 10 - year Treasury Bond | 1.63 | 0.50 | | 10 - year US Treasury Bond | 4.36 | 3.00 | [3] Stock Index and Futures Market Index Performance - The CSI 300 rose 1.01% to 3808.5, the SSE 50 rose 0.55% to 2647.7, the CSI 500 rose 1.93% to 5740.3, and the CSI 1000 rose 2.57% to 6102.9 [6] - The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 1336.2 billion yuan, an increase of 166.8 billion yuan from the previous trading day [6] - Most industry sectors rose, with small metals, power equipment, consumer electronics, precious metals, general equipment, communication equipment, computer equipment, diversified finance, and motor sectors leading the gains, while only the banking sector declined [6] Futures Market | Variety | Closing Price | Change from Previous Day (%) | Volume Change (%) | Open Interest Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IF Current Month | 3798 | 1.2 | 22.8 | 0.9 | | IH Current Month | 2646 | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.0 | | IC Current Month | 5706 | 2.1 | 19.0 | 3.3 | | IM Current Month | 6060 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.9 | [5] Market Outlook and Strategy - On the first trading day after the holiday, the A - share market showed a gap - up and high - going trend driven by the collective recovery of overseas markets, with IM leading the gains in index futures [7] - Two repair drivers are worthy of attention: the expectation of Sino - US tariff relaxation and the verification of overseas AI industry prosperity are beneficial to improving market liquidity and boosting the technology sector; after the earnings disclosure window in late April, the performance uncertainty of small - and medium - cap companies has significantly decreased [7] - The CSI 1000's repair strength has significantly lagged behind large - cap indexes such as the CSI 300. If the market continues to recover, its technical catch - up potential is worthy of attention. Historically, the average excess return of CSI 1000 index constituents during the earnings vacuum period (May - July) is 2.3% [7] - It is expected that the significant differentiation between large - and small - cap styles may converge. The strategy is to focus on the elasticity release opportunities of small - and medium - cap stocks after the market stabilizes, with IM as the main long - position variety [7] Index Futures Premium and Discount | Variety | Current Month Contract | Next Month Contract | Current Quarter Contract | Next Quarter Contract | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IF Premium/Discount | 10.49% | 9.02% | 7.04% | 5.35% | | IH Premium/Discount | 2.64% | 5.55% | 5.00% | 3.24% | | IC Premium/Discount | 22.09% | 16.72% | 11.98% | 9.90% | | IM Premium/Discount | 25.91% | 19.90% | 14.46% | 12.20% | [8]

智通财经记者 | 孙艺真 一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期，A股、港股主要指数今日全线高开，早盘维持涨势。 5月7日上午9时，国务院新闻办公室于2025年举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行行长潘功胜、金融监管总 局局长李云泽、中国证监会主席吴清介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况，并答记者问。 受利好消息提振，A股市场交投活跃，半日成交额达9890亿元。截至午间收盘，沪指涨0.64%，深证成 指涨0.19%，创业板指涨0.4%、场内超3400只股票飘红。港股方面，截至发稿，恒生指数涨超0.4%，早 盘一度突破23000点。 分板块看，航天军工、大金融板块集体爆发，券商、多元金融领涨，弘业期货（001236.SZ）直线涨 停，九鼎投资（600053.SH）实现两连板，锦龙股份（000712.SZ）、湘财股份（600095.SH）涨超3%， 中国银河（601881.SH）、东方财富（300059.SZ）)、华创云信（600155.SH）、招商证券 （600999.SH）等个股跟涨。地产股集体走强，消费电子设备等概念板块表现强势。天保基建 （000965.SZ）、三湘印象（000863.SZ）涨停，华丽家族（60 ...

早间迎多重重磅消息，中国央行宣布降息降准、优化两项支持资本市场的货币政策工具，商务部称中方决定同意与美方进行接触。 今日开盘，港A股主要指数集体高开，不过随后有所回落。 A股方面，截止发稿，沪指涨0.67%，深证成指涨0.32%，创业板指涨0.61%。全市场超3000只个股上涨，多元金融、证券、房地产、航天军工等行业板块表 现亮眼。 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3338.20 | +22.09 | +0.67% | | 000001 | W | | | | | 深证成指 | | 10114.99 | +32.66 | +0.32% | | 399001 | W | | | | | 创业板指 | | 1998.47 | +12.06 | +0.61% | | 399006 | W | | | cinel | 港股方面，截止发稿，恒生指数、国企指数、恒生科技指数均涨逾1%。， | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 | 2298 ...

Group 1 - The A-share multi-financial stocks opened collectively high, indicating a positive market sentiment [1] - Jiuding Investment achieved a two-day consecutive limit-up, reflecting strong investor interest [1] - Hongye Futures hit the daily limit, showcasing robust trading activity [1] Group 2 - Jiangsu Jinzu, New Power Finance, Jinlong Co., and Xiangcai Shares all rose over 5%, indicating a broad-based rally in the financial sector [1] - Other financial stocks such as Dongfang Fortune, Tianfeng Securities, Xinda Securities, China Galaxy, and Hualin Securities also experienced gains, contributing to the overall positive trend [1]

大金融股集体高开 九鼎投资2连板 智通财经5月7日电，大金融股集体高开，券商、多元金融方向领涨，九鼎投资2连板，弘业期货涨停， 江苏金租、新力金融、锦龙股份、湘财股份涨超5%，东方财富、天风证券、信达证券、中国银河、华 林证券等跟涨。消息面上，中国人民银行行长潘功胜5月7日在参加国新办新闻发布会时表示，降低存款 准备金率0.5个百分点，预计向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and valuation of Guo Wang Ying Da, which has a current stock price of 4.94 yuan, a PE ratio of 16.03, and a total market capitalization of 28.249 billion yuan [1][2] - The company operates in the diversified financial sector, which has an average PE ratio of 72.22 and a median of 28.18, placing Guo Wang Ying Da in 8th position within its industry [1][2] - As of the first quarter of 2025, 19 institutions hold shares in Guo Wang Ying Da, with a total of 473.86008 million shares valued at 23.93 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - For the first quarter of 2025, Guo Wang Ying Da reported revenue of 2.218 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.65%, and a net profit of 604 million yuan, which is a 45.22% increase year-on-year [1] - The company's gross profit margin stands at 13.45% [1] - The company primarily engages in a dual business model of "finance + manufacturing," covering areas such as trust, securities, futures, factoring, carbon assets, and power equipment [1]

最新一期业绩显示，2025年一季报，公司实现营业收入6795.44万元，同比55.74%；净利润2634.17万 元，同比27.56%。 序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市值(元)22建元信托471.69522.192.00277.61亿行业平均 72.2236.431.38199.46亿行业中值28.1822.851.36175.55亿1九鼎投资-20.26-23.172.4062.17亿2*ST仁 东-17.93-6.876.5257.19亿3爱建集团-13.50-14.070.6374.72亿4翠微股份-10.44-10.013.3468.77亿5江苏金租 10.4010.611.25312.21亿6陕国投A12.6312.810.95174.39亿7越秀资本13.0714.151.06324.61亿8国网英大 16.0317.941.28282.49亿9南华期货16.6516.651.8476.26亿10瑞达期货16.7517.132.2965.55亿11渤海租赁 17.4422.850.65206.56亿 5月6日，建元信托今日收盘2.82元，上涨3.30%，滚动市盈率PE（当前股价与前 ...

分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SFC：BUV596 丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 券商季报业绩强劲，配置价值持续提升 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期因全球资产风险偏好下降板块估值整体有所回调，从业绩估值匹配度来看配置性价比正显著提升。一 季报券商业绩表现强劲，配置价值持续提升，另外历史上看业绩披露期以保险为主的非银子板块通常相对 收益表现亮眼，建议 5 月积极增配，看好业绩估值双升。 吴一凡 谢宇尘 程泽宇 SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521020001 SAC：S0490524090001 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 丨证券研究报告丨 2025-05-06 行业研究丨行业周报 [Table_Title 券商季报业绩强劲，配置价值持续提升 2] [Table_Summary2] 核心观点： 近期因全球资产风险偏好下降板块估值整体有所回调，从业绩估值匹配度来看配置性价比正显 著提升。一季 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and market position of COFCO Capital, noting its current stock price, market capitalization, and earnings metrics [1][2] - As of May 6, COFCO Capital's stock closed at 12.13 yuan, with a 2.02% increase, resulting in a rolling PE ratio of 42.22 times and a total market value of 27.949 billion yuan [1] - The average PE ratio for the diversified financial industry is 72.22 times, with a median of 28.18 times, placing COFCO Capital at the 15th position within the industry [1][2] Group 2 - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows COFCO Capital achieved an operating revenue of 2.350 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.74%, and a net profit of 392 million yuan, down 58.32% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 52.97% [1] - As of April 10, 2025, COFCO Capital had 144,000 shareholders, an increase of 6,440 from the previous count, with an average holding value of 352,800 yuan and an average shareholding of 27,600 shares per shareholder [1]

Report Title - "The Divergence of Long - Short Term Spreads - Credit Spread Weekly Report (5/4)" [1][6] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - From April 27th to April 30th, most bond yields declined. For 0.5 - 1Y industrial bonds, commercial bank second - tier capital bonds, securities company subordinated bonds, and securities company perpetual bonds, most yields dropped by over 2bp; for 0.5 - 1Y urban investment bonds and commercial financial bonds, most yields decreased by over 1bp; for 2Y industrial bonds and commercial financial bonds, most yields declined by over 1bp; the 2Y securities company subordinated bond yield rose by over 2bp; and the 3 - 5Y commercial financial bond yield dropped by over 2bp. Regarding credit spreads, the 0.5Y industrial bonds and commercial bank second - tier capital bond credit spreads mostly narrowed by over 5bp; the 1Y commercial bank second - tier capital bond credit spread narrowed by over 3bp; the 2Y securities company subordinated bonds and securities company perpetual bond credit spreads widened by over 3bp; and the 5Y urban investment bonds and industrial bond credit spreads mostly widened by over 2bp [2][6] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Yield and Spread Overview Yield and Spread of Each Maturity - Treasury bond yields at 0.5Y, 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, and 5Y were 1.47%, 1.46%, 1.45%, 1.48%, and 1.52% respectively, with weekly changes of - 3.5bp, 0.9bp, - 2.2bp, - 2.5bp, and - 2.2bp. Their historical quantiles were 11.9%, 13.2%, 8.7%, 6.2%, and 3.9% respectively. Similar data for other bond types such as national development bonds, local government bonds, etc., are also presented in detail [14] Credit Spread and Its Changes for Each Maturity - The 0.5Y, 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, and 5Y credit spreads of local government bonds were -, 12.01bp, 13.93bp, 14.34bp, and 14.37bp respectively, with weekly changes of -, 0.1bp, 0.2bp, - 1.5bp, and - 2.8bp. Their historical quantiles were -, 44.9%, 43.7%, 45.1%, and 38.6% respectively. Similar data for other bond types are also provided [16] Credit Bond Yields and Spreads by Category (Hermite Algorithm) Urban Investment Bonds by Region - In terms of yields, from April 27th to April 30th, most provincial urban investment bond yields declined. For example, the 5Y Guizhou urban investment bond yield dropped by about 35bp. In terms of credit spreads, the 0.5 - 1Y urban investment bond credit spreads mostly narrowed; the 2Y urban investment bond credit spreads mostly widened; the 3 - 5Y urban investment bond credit spreads showed differentiation, with the 3 - 5Y Guizhou urban investment bond credit spreads narrowing significantly [7] Industrial Bonds by Industry - From April 27th to April 30th, industrial bond yields generally declined. The 0.5 - 1Y industrial bond credit spreads generally narrowed, the 2 - 3Y industrial bond credit spreads showed differentiation, and the 5Y industrial bond credit spreads generally widened [7] Financial Bonds by Subject - From April 27th to April 30th, financial bond yields generally declined, with the 5Y city commercial bank second - tier capital bond yield dropping by about 55bp. The 0.5 - 1Y financial bond credit spreads generally narrowed, and the 2 - 5Y financial bond credit spreads showed differentiation [7] Credit Bond Yields and Spreads by Category (Balance Average Algorithm) Urban Investment Bonds by Region - Based on the balance average algorithm, from April 27th to April 30th, the 5Y Yunnan urban investment bond could target a return of over 3.2%, and the 5Y Qinghai urban investment bond could target a return of 3.0% or more. The 5Y Yunnan urban investment bond credit spread was significantly higher than that of medium - and short - term bonds, with high riding returns [8] Real Estate Private Enterprise Bonds - From April 27th to April 30th, the yields of real estate private enterprise bonds at all maturities were higher than those of other bond types, and the 0.5 - 1Y real estate private enterprise bond yields dropped by over 17bp [8] Financial Bonds - From April 27th to April 30th, the financial bond credit spreads generally narrowed, and the 3 - 5Y private securities company subordinated bonds could target a return of 4.7% or more [8]