广晟有色（600259）公告，公司预计2025年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为7000万元至8500 万元，与上年同期相比，将增加3.72亿元到3.87亿元。预计2025年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的扣 除非经常性损益的净利润为8818.16万元至1.03亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加3.92亿元到4.07亿元。 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 17,121.33 billion yuan on July 11, marking an increase of 2,179.63 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Trading Volume Details - The Shanghai Stock Exchange recorded a trading volume of 7,535.49 billion yuan, up from 6,131.61 billion yuan on the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 664 million shares compared to 564 million shares [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange had a trading volume of 9,585.84 billion yuan, an increase from 8,810.09 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 743 million shares compared to 702 million shares [1] Leading Companies by Trading Volume - Dongfang Caifu topped the trading volume with 263.14 billion yuan [1] - Other notable companies included: - Northern Rare Earth with 100.49 billion yuan - Zhina Compass with 87.94 billion yuan - Kweichow Moutai with 82.39 billion yuan - PetroChina Capital with 74.23 billion yuan [1]

Group 1: Liquidity and Scale of Rare Metal ETFs - The rare metal ETF had an intraday turnover of 3.5%, with a transaction volume of 30.73 million yuan [3] - Over the past week, the average daily transaction volume of the rare metal ETF reached 37.71 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - In the past year, the rare metal ETF's scale increased by 16.82 million yuan, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest margin buying amount for the rare metal ETF reached 2.08 million yuan, with a margin balance of 21.28 million yuan [3] Group 2: Performance and Returns - As of July 10, the net value of the rare metal ETF increased by 30.36% over the past year [3] - The highest monthly return since inception was 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being 3 months and the longest gain percentage being 14.06% [3] - The average return during the rising months was 7.76% [3] Group 3: Industry Insights and Recommendations - The lithium sector is currently in a bottom oscillation phase, with solid-state battery industrialization accelerating and energy storage demand expected to surge [3] - The new energy storage installations are projected to grow by 140% year-on-year in 2024, which may serve as a core catalyst [3] - Companies with strong cost control in lithium extraction from salt lakes and those with overseas resource layouts are recommended for attention [3] Group 4: Rare Earth Market Dynamics - The implementation of the Rare Earth Management Regulations is expected to enhance compliance capacity concentration, with a growth rate of 5.9% in 2024 [4] - The supply-demand gap for praseodymium and neodymium oxide is anticipated to widen starting in 2025, with a focus on light rare earth leading enterprises [4] - The strategic position of rare earths is significant due to U.S. tariff policies, which may positively impact company performance [4] Group 5: Key Stocks in Rare Metal Sector - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metal Theme Index include Salt Lake Co., Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and others, accounting for 54.07% of the total weight [4] - Notable stock performances include Northern Rare Earth with a 9.85% increase and Salt Lake Co. with a 0.86% increase [6] Group 6: Investment Opportunities - Investors can also participate in the rare metal sector through the Rare Metal ETF linked fund (014111) [7]

Group 1 - A-shares main indices experienced a rapid rise, with the A500 ETF (512050) increasing by 0.82% as of 10:14 AM, driven by strong performances from stocks like Baogang Co. and Northern Rare Earth, which hit the daily limit up [1] - Baogang Co. and Northern Rare Earth announced a price increase for rare earth concentrate for Q3, adjusting the price to 19,109 yuan/ton, a 1.5% increase from Q2's 18,825 yuan/ton [1] - The core assets in A-shares are expected to continue their recovery, supported by China's implementation of counter-cyclical adjustments and moderately loose monetary policy, achieving multiple goals of stabilizing growth, controlling prices, preventing risks, and promoting stability [1] Group 2 - The new generation core broad-based A500 ETF (512050) helps investors easily allocate to core A-share assets, tracking the CSI A500 Index with a strategy that combines industry-balanced allocation and leading stock selection [2] - The ETF covers all sectors and integrates both value and growth attributes, with a natural "dumbbell" investment characteristic, overweighting sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and power equipment compared to the CSI 300 [2]

Core Insights - A covert war over strategic mineral control is unfolding, with U.S. companies employing deceptive tactics to acquire Chinese strategic minerals [1] - A significant amount of Chinese antimony oxide, totaling 3,834 tons, has been funneled through Thailand and Mexico to the U.S. after China's export ban on gallium, germanium, and antimony [1][3] - The U.S. military's demand for these minerals remains robust, with imports expected to return to pre-ban levels despite soaring prices [3][12] Group 1: Smuggling Tactics - U.S. companies are disguising shipments of Chinese gallium as "iron zinc materials" or "art supplies" to bypass restrictions [3] - Mexican offshore trading companies are mislabeling Chinese antimony as "Mexican-made" products, with a 300% increase in imports from China to Thailand and Mexico [3][4] - The logistics of smuggling involve splitting large shipments into smaller packages, increasing costs by 38% but still yielding substantial profits [3] Group 2: Legal and Regulatory Environment - U.S. laws allow companies to procure Chinese minerals as long as they are not directly imported from China, creating loopholes for smuggling [6] - China's new Mineral Resources Law imposes severe penalties for smuggling strategic minerals, with potential imprisonment for violations exceeding 20 tons [8] - China is implementing a comprehensive monitoring system for strategic minerals, tracking the entire supply chain from mining to export [8] Group 3: Strategic Importance of Minerals - China controls 94% of global gallium supply, 32% of antimony reserves, and 8.5% of germanium reserves, making it a critical player in the global mineral market [12][14] - The U.S. military's reliance on these minerals for advanced weaponry underscores their strategic importance, with gallium used in F-35 radar systems and germanium in missile guidance systems [3][12] Group 4: Response and Countermeasures - China plans to impose additional taxes on countries aiding in the smuggling of minerals, aiming to close loopholes in the supply chain [10] - Recent operations have led to the arrest of individuals involved in smuggling activities, highlighting China's commitment to enforcing its export controls [14] - The ongoing resource conflict reflects a broader struggle for national interests, with both the U.S. and China employing various strategies to secure their positions in the global mineral market [14]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.95% increase, ranking sixth among concept sectors, driven by significant gains in stocks like Northern Rare Earth and Jingyuntong, which hit the daily limit [1][2]. Market Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet sector saw 46 stocks rise, with notable increases from Jingyuntong (10.03%), Northern Rare Earth (10.02%), and China Rare Earth (5.92%) [1][3]. - Conversely, stocks such as Fangbang Co., Huarui Co., and Xiangming Intelligent experienced declines of 2.58%, 2.09%, and 1.95% respectively [1][5]. Capital Flow - The sector attracted a net inflow of 2.676 billion yuan, with 32 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflows [2][3]. - Northern Rare Earth led the inflow with 1.18 billion yuan, followed by Baogang Co. (367 million yuan) and China Rare Earth (200 million yuan) [2][3]. Stock Performance Metrics - Key stocks in the rare earth permanent magnet sector include: - Jingyuntong: 10.03% increase, 54.51% net inflow ratio - Northern Rare Earth: 10.02% increase, 15.04% net inflow ratio - Baogang Co.: 4.40% increase, 15.41% net inflow ratio [3][4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Hong Kong 300 Resource Index, which has shown a 2.39% increase over the past month, a 22.23% increase over the past three months, and a 9.29% increase year-to-date [1] - The index is composed of securities from various industry themes such as banking, transportation, resources, infrastructure, logistics, and leisure, reflecting the overall performance of different thematic listed companies in the Hong Kong market [1] - The index's top ten holdings include China National Offshore Oil (29.27%), PetroChina (13.19%), Zijin Mining (10.84%), China Shenhua Energy (9.38%), Sinopec (9.08%), China Hongqiao Group (4.51%), China Coal Energy (3.47%), Zhaojin Mining (3.08%), Luoyang Molybdenum (2.86%), and Yanzhou Coal Mining (2.39%) [1] Group 2 - The industry composition of the index shows that oil and gas account for 51.92%, precious metals for 15.97%, coal for 15.72%, industrial metals for 14.86%, rare metals for 0.91%, and other non-ferrous metals and alloys for 0.62% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as when a sample company is delisted or undergoes mergers, acquisitions, or splits [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by strong performance in the rare metals ETF and key stocks, alongside favorable market conditions influenced by geopolitical factors [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 10, 2025, the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) rose by 1.89%, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Northern Rare Earth (600111) hitting the daily limit, and Zhongke Magnetic (301141) increasing by 7.01% [1] - The Rare Metals ETF (159608) saw a half-day increase of 1.92%, with intraday gains exceeding 2% [1] - Over the past week, the Rare Metals ETF recorded an average daily trading volume of 15.06 million yuan [1] Group 2: Fund Flows and Growth - The Rare Metals ETF experienced a net inflow of 4.51 million yuan over four days, with a peak single-day inflow of 2.01 million yuan [1][2] - In the past week, the ETF's scale increased by 1.57 million yuan, leading the comparable funds, and its shares grew by 7.2 million, also ranking first among peers [1][2] Group 3: Performance Metrics - The Rare Metals ETF's net value increased by 30.85% over the past year, ranking first among comparable funds [2] - Since its inception, the ETF achieved a maximum monthly return of 24.11%, with an average monthly return of 7.53% [2] Group 4: Key Stocks and Earnings - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index accounted for 54.07% of the index, including Salt Lake Potash (000792) and Northern Rare Earth (600111) [2] - Northern Rare Earth projected a net profit of 900 million to 960 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 855 million to 915 million yuan, equating to a growth of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [2] Group 5: Strategic Insights - Western Securities noted that the rare earth sector's strategic importance has increased due to U.S. tariff policies, which may benefit Northern Rare Earth's performance [3] - GF Securities suggested that uncertainties in tariff policies could lead to stricter management of rare earth mining indicators, enhancing the strategic value of rare earth permanent magnets [3]

Group 1: Liquidity and Performance of Rare Earth ETF - The liquidity of the Rare Earth ETF managed by Jiashi has a turnover rate of 6.85%, with a half-day trading volume of 172 million yuan [3] - Over the past week, the average daily trading volume of the Rare Earth ETF reached 182 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The fund's scale increased by 43.99 million yuan in the past two weeks, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The fund's shares increased by 21.7 million units in the past month, achieving significant growth and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest net inflow of funds into the Rare Earth ETF is 35.42 million yuan, with a total of 64.51 million yuan net inflow over the last five trading days [3] - As of July 9, the net value of the Rare Earth ETF has risen by 39.87% over the past year, ranking 503 out of 2907 index equity funds, placing it in the top 17.30% [3] - The fund has recorded a maximum monthly return of 41.25% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being four months and the longest increase percentage being 83.89% [3] Group 2: Industry Outlook and Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth announced a semi-annual performance forecast, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 900 million to 960 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [4] - The Ministry of Commerce of China emphasized the importance of maintaining global supply chain stability and has approved a certain number of compliant applications for rare earth exports, indicating a recovery in export demand [4] - Emerging fields such as humanoid robots are expected to open up growth opportunities for the rare earth industry, with a positive outlook for the industry's recovery in the short to medium term [4] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Earth Industry Index include Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, and China Aluminum, collectively accounting for 55.58% of the index [4]

Group 1 - The A-share rare earth permanent magnet sector opened strong, with Northern Rare Earth rising over 7%, and stocks like Longmag Technology, Jiuling Technology, Dadi Bear, and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals also experiencing gains [1] - Northern Rare Earth recently announced its semi-annual report, projecting a net profit growth of 1883% year-on-year to 2.015 billion [1] - The rare earth industry’s semi-annual performance is expected to be boosted by "export rush" [1]