Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully begun mass shipments of its 800G optical module products, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth in the first half of 2025 [1] Production Capacity - The company is continuously expanding its production capacity in response to changing customer demands [1] - The planned annual production capacity for the 800G series is expected to reach 2 million units by the end of 2025, with production distributed across factories in Shanghai, Jiaxing, and Malaysia [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhili Fang (301312.SZ), has launched multiple devices in the optical communication CPO field, indicating a positive growth trajectory in sales and delivery [1]. Group 1: Product Offerings - The company has introduced various devices including optical chip sorting machines, wafer sorting machines, optical chip AOI equipment, chip testing and sorting equipment, and high-speed high-precision solid crystal machines [1]. - The delivery of these products is proceeding in an orderly manner, suggesting effective operational management [1]. Group 2: Sales Performance - Sales are steadily increasing, reflecting a growing demand for the company's products in the optical communication sector [1].

Group 1 - The company, Hengtong Optical Communication Technology (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., has officially started the IPO process on the Beijing Stock Exchange, with the review meeting scheduled for September 25, 2025 [1] - Hengtong focuses on the research, manufacturing, and sales of passive optical devices, with major business segments including passive optical fiber cabling, passive internal connection devices, and related supporting businesses [3] - From 2021 to June 2025, the company's operating revenue showed a consistent upward trend, with revenues of 396.98 million, 475.35 million, 613.36 million, 1.315 billion, and 1.021 billion yuan respectively [3] Group 2 - The main source of revenue for Hengtong comes from passive optical fiber cabling products, which accounted for approximately 66.13% to 73.36% of the main business income from 2021 to June 2025 [4] - The passive optical fiber cabling products include optical fiber connectors, which are widely used in fiber transmission lines, fiber distribution frames, testing instruments, and data center cabling [6] - The MPO optical fiber connector market is expected to exceed 6 billion USD by 2029, driven by the rapid development of data centers and the increasing demand for high-speed optical modules [6] Group 3 - Currently, there is a shortage of overall MPO optical fiber production capacity in China, with a 35% year-on-year increase in fiber imports as of May 2025 [7] - Companies like Hengtong are involved in various types of optical fiber connectors, including LC, SC, and MPO/MTP, although specific category proportions have not been disclosed [7]

Core Insights - OpenAI and NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership to deploy at least 10GW of NVIDIA systems for AI data centers, which will be used to train and run the next generation of OpenAI models [1][2] - NVIDIA's CEO stated that 10GW is equivalent to 4-5 million GPUs, which is about double NVIDIA's total shipments for 2024 and equal to its expected shipments for 2025 [1][2] - NVIDIA plans to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, with the first 1GW data center expected to be deployed in the second half of 2026 [2] Industry Trends - The demand for AI computing power is driving growth in the optical communication industry, with silicon photonics technology becoming the mainstream solution for 1.6T high-speed optical modules [3] - The competitive advantages of leading optical module companies are expected to strengthen, with increasing demand for CW lasers and passive components [3] - New technologies such as OCS, hollow-core fibers, thin-film lithium niobate, and CPO are gaining attention and maturity, presenting new market investment opportunities [3] Product Developments - NVIDIA's new Rubin CPX GPU is designed for large-scale context processing, enhancing efficiency for software coding and generative video [4] - The Rubin CPX offers up to 30 Pflops NVFP4 precision computing power and integrates with the Vera CPU and Rubin GPU, significantly increasing performance compared to previous models [4] - Each $100 million investment in the Vera NVL144CPX platform is projected to generate $5 billion in token revenue, indicating strong commercial potential [4] Cooling Solutions - The introduction of the Rubin CPX is expected to drive demand for chip-level liquid cooling solutions, as total power consumption in cabinets increases [5] - The liquid cooling sector is anticipated to benefit from the growing need for efficient thermal management in high-performance computing environments [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading companies in the optical module and liquid cooling sectors, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Yingweike, Tianfu Communication, and Yuanjie Technology [6]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the optical communication industry, specifically focusing on Optical Circuit Switch (OCS) technology and its market potential. The industry is expected to maintain high growth, particularly for leading optical module manufacturers in 2027-2028, making them a recommended investment direction [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Investment Opportunities**: - Leading optical module manufacturers are highlighted for their high earnings certainty and reasonable valuations, with no signs of bubble formation for 2026 [2]. - Secondary overseas computing chain optical module manufacturers are also noted for having upward performance revision potential for 2026, presenting investment opportunities [3]. - **Emerging Technologies**: - New technologies are creating investment opportunities in three networking directions: Skill out (CPO/CPC), Skill up (OCS/OIO), and Skill across (hollow fiber). OCS is particularly noted for its low latency, low power consumption, and cross-generational hardware reuse advantages [1][5]. - **OCS Technology**: - OCS technology allows for direct switching of optical signals, achieving low latency (tens of nanoseconds) and low power consumption, while being transparent to data formats. However, it has longer switching delays (tens of milliseconds) and higher insertion losses [6][12]. - Major OCS technology solutions include MEMS (Google, Lumentum, Huawei) and liquid crystal (Coherent). MEMS is economically favorable but has longer switching times, while liquid crystal offers high reliability and scalability but requires optimization for switching times [7][8]. - **Market Growth Predictions**: - The OCS market is projected to exceed $1.6 billion by 2029, with potential market space estimated at $2 billion by Coherent [4][12]. Additional Important Content - **Challenges with Traditional Circuits**: - Traditional circuits face issues like packet loss during data transmission. OCS networking aims to reduce data loss and enhance performance in large-scale training clusters by providing more reliable data transmission paths [13]. - **Impact of Supernode Networking**: - The increasing demand for supernode networking highlights OCS's advantages in high predictability and high certainty traffic transmission scenarios, particularly in interconnections between racks or pods [14]. - **OCS Industry Chain**: - The OCS industry chain includes core components such as MEMS chips, optical circulators, lenses, and wavelength division multiplexers. It also involves the entire OCS system manufacturing process [15]. - **Domestic Participation**: - Domestic companies are primarily involved in various optical components or crystal materials and system manufacturing, playing a significant role in advancing OCS technology [16].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Dekoli (688205) has experienced unusual stock trading fluctuations driven by the demand for AI computing power, with a particular focus on OCS (Optical Circuit Switching) products [1] - The company is actively following advancements in cutting-edge technology, having received overseas sample orders for silicon-based OCS, although it has not yet secured bulk orders from major overseas manufacturers [1] - The OCS market is characterized by high interest and significant technical challenges, indicating that large-scale application will take time, and the market outlook remains uncertain [1]

Core Insights - The demand for AI computing power is rapidly increasing, driving the evolution of core components and packaging technologies in the optical communication industry [1] - The integration of AI and optical communication technologies is a focal point at the 26th China International Optoelectronic Expo, with companies actively responding to advancements in optical modules and Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology [1][2] Industry Trends - Major companies in the optical communication sector showcased their innovations at the expo, including products from Guangxun Technology and Luxshare Technology, focusing on CPO and 1.6T optical modules [2] - The global optical module market is expected to experience a structural explosion, reaching a market size of $12.1 billion by 2025, driven by AI computing clusters and supercomputing centers [3] Company Performance - NewEase achieved a revenue of 10.437 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 282.64%, with net profit rising by 355.68% [4] - Zhongji Xuchuang reported a revenue of 14.789 billion yuan, up 36.95% year-on-year, with a net profit increase of 69.40%, driven by the demand for 800G and 1.6T products [4] - Tianfu Communication's revenue reached 2.456 billion yuan, a 57.84% increase year-on-year, with net profit growing by 37.46% [4] Technological Developments - Nazhen Technology reported a 124% year-on-year revenue growth, reaching 4.216 billion yuan, with optical module revenue accounting for 77.9% of total revenue [5] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards higher integration and miniaturization in optical interconnects, with CPO technology expected to penetrate over 20% of AI data centers by 2026 [3] Capacity Challenges - The industry is transitioning from a demand-focused phase to addressing challenges related to timely delivery and production capacity [6] - Companies are facing tight supply of key raw materials, which is impacting inventory management [7] - Guangxun Technology plans to raise up to 3.5 billion yuan for the production of optical connection and high-speed optical transmission products, indicating ongoing investment in capacity expansion [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Innolight and Eoptolink, with target prices updated to Rmb569 and Rmb472 respectively [15][26]. Core Insights - The networking sector is viewed positively due to optimistic growth forecasts for ASICs from Broadcom, strong long-term capital expenditure outlooks from Meta/OpenAI, and Oracle's significant datacenter expansion plans, indicating better demand visibility beyond 2026 [2][11]. - Despite a strong year-to-date rally, profit-taking is expected; however, the overall narrative remains compelling with a potential re-rating of transceiver companies to a PE of 20x+ [2][3]. - The report highlights a revision in industry demand estimates for 800G and 1.6T transceivers, projecting shipments of 56.3 million and 19.2 million respectively for FY27, reflecting a 42% year-over-year growth [11][29]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook - The report emphasizes the longevity of demand in the transceiver market, driven by significant AI investments from major US cloud service providers [11]. - The expected rollout of 3.2T SiPh transceivers in late 2027 is noted as a key development, with 800G and 1.6T remaining dominant solutions in the interim [11][29]. Company Performance - Innolight is expected to secure a higher market share due to its strong R&D capabilities and its role as a key supplier for Oracle, alongside benefiting from the anticipated EML shortage [26][27]. - Eoptolink is projected to gain market share as it capitalizes on its LPO capabilities and the rapid build-out of Oracle's datacenter [15][26]. Financial Estimates - Revenue estimates for FY26 have been revised upwards, with a projected revenue of Rmb46.287 billion, reflecting a 20% increase from previous estimates [19][30]. - Net profit estimates for FY26 have also been increased to Rmb19.535 billion, a 22% rise compared to earlier projections [19][30]. Market Dynamics - The report discusses the competitive landscape, noting that while some tier-2 companies are planning to enter overseas markets, significant progress has yet to be observed [3]. - The potential for a 20-30% penetration of CPO in the market by 2029-2030 is highlighted, although major CSPs have not yet shown signs of mass adoption [3][11].

Core Insights - The global fiber optic connector market is projected to reach approximately $5.56 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% driven by increasing demand for high-capacity data transmission and next-generation communication networks [3]. Market Overview - The fiber optic connector is defined as a passive optical device that enables detachable connections between optical fibers, ensuring minimal impact on system performance and reliability [1]. - The small square fiber optic connectors hold a significant market share, accounting for nearly 35% of the global fiber optic connector market [6]. Regional Analysis - North America is identified as the largest demand region for fiber optic connectors, capturing about 31% of the global market share, followed by Europe with a 27% share [8]. Industry Trends - The industry is witnessing a trend towards high-speed and high-density solutions, particularly in the context of 5G and future communication networks, where the demand for fiber optic connectors is expected to surge due to the increasing number of base stations [13]. - The integration of intelligent technology into fiber optic connectors is enhancing their capabilities, allowing for self-monitoring and diagnostics, which is crucial for maintaining communication stability and reliability in complex networks [13].

29 August 2025 | 8:01PM HKT China Weekly Kickstart A-shares rallied 3% while MSCI China lost 1%; We raised CSI300 index target; CPPCC National Committee is drafting the 15th Five-Year Plan CSI300 gained 2.7% on record volumes and outperformed MSCI China (-0.8%). We expect the liquidity-driven rally in A shares to extend and raise our CSI300 12-month index target to 4900. CPPCC National Committee held the 13th session to draft the country's 15th Five-Year Plan. The State Council issued opinions to deepen the ...