证券研究报告 | 半年报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 08 02 年 月 日 海康威视（002415.SZ） 半年报业绩扎实稳健，精细化管理带来高质量发展 事件：海康威视发布 2025 年半年报，2025H1 公司实现营业总收入 418.18 亿元，比上年同期增长 1.48%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 56.57 亿元，比上年同期增长 11.71%。 抵御外部不确定性，收入端与利润端仍然实现稳健成长，凸显公司经营实 力。2025 年上半年，全球经济复苏动力不均，外部不确定性依然突出；国 内稳经济政策多措并举，经济展现出一定韧性但能见度较低，企业与社会 数字化转型升级进程在波动起伏中前进。面对复杂多变的国内外环境，海 康威视坚持稳扎稳打，以积极、审慎的态度应对各种不确定性，2025H1 仍 旧实现营业总收入 1.48%的增长和归母净利润 11.71%的增长，凸显公司 经营的稳健性。 境外业务平稳增长，创新业务提供最重要增长动能。2025H1，境外主业同 比增长 6.9%，成长平稳；创新业务同比增长 13.9%，是公司当前主要分 业务中增长最快的部分，为公司提供最重要的成长动力源泉。 优化运营体 ...

Core Points - The company is advancing the construction of low-carbon and efficient computing infrastructure in alignment with the national strategy "East Data West Computing" [1] - A framework agreement is to be signed between the company's subsidiary and the government of Qingyang to jointly develop the green intelligent digital infrastructure project [1] - The total planned construction area for the project is approximately 500 acres, with an estimated total investment of 12.8 billion [1] - The project aims to build a high-performance intelligent computing center capable of accommodating over 2,500 high-power 20kW cabinets, with a computing capacity of no less than 40,000 PFlops [1] Industry Developments - The company has successfully established the first domestic large-scale computing cluster and computing adaptation center in Qingyang [2] - By the end of 2024, the computing cluster in Qingyang is expected to exceed 50,000 PFlops, positioning it as a core hub in the national computing network [2] - The Qingyang government has set ambitious targets for intelligent computing capacity, aiming for 100,000 PFlops by the end of 2025 and 300,000 PFlops by the end of 2026 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Hongxin Electronics plans to invest 12.8 billion yuan in a green computing project in Qingyang City, which is expected to significantly enhance its computing power business and meet the growing demand for artificial intelligence computing power across various industries [1][2][3] Group 1: Investment Details - The investment project involves a total planned investment of approximately 12.8 billion yuan, with a construction area of about 500 acres [2] - The project will be developed independently by the company or through a joint venture with ecological partners in the Eastern Data and Western Computing Industrial Park in Qingyang, Gansu [2] - The project includes the establishment of a high-performance computing center, server upgrades, a research institute for domestic computing power adaptation, a national computing scheduling platform, and a trusted data space for the integrated computing network [2] Group 2: Financial Aspects - As of the end of Q1 this year, the company had approximately 380 million yuan in cash and total assets of about 6.76 billion yuan [2] - The funding sources for the project will include the company's own funds (including equity financing), self-raised funds (including national policy funds, syndicate loans, and financing from other financial institutions), and contributions from partners [3] - The local government of Qingyang is providing various favorable policies, including land and energy guarantees, financing interest subsidies, and support for national long-term bonds, which will alleviate the company's funding needs for the computing power business [3] Group 3: Strategic Importance - The project is expected to effectively meet the rapidly growing demand for artificial intelligence computing power across various sectors, serving as a significant growth point for the company's future operations [3] - The development of this project is considered a milestone for the company's growth and operational development [3]

Group 1 - The company announced the repurchase of 2,450,000 shares, which represents 0.56% of its current total share capital [2]

证券之星消息，8月1日计算机设备板块较上一交易日上涨0.97%，淳中科技领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3559.95，下跌0.37%。深证成指报收于10991.32，下跌0.17%。计算机设备板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日计算机设备板块主力资金净流出9.1亿元，游资资金净流出8942.85万元，散户 资金净流入10.0亿元。计算机设备板块个股资金流向见下表： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Securities firms have provided "buy" ratings for over 20 A-share listed companies on August 1, focusing on sectors such as food and beverage, batteries, agriculture, computer equipment, power grid equipment, consumer electronics, electricity, software development, and transportation equipment [1] Group 1: Company Ratings and Performance - Dongpeng Beverage received significant attention from securities firms, with 25 reports in the past month, ranking first among stocks promoted by brokers on August 1. The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 42.28 billion, 52.14 billion, and 57.45 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 8.13, 10.03, and 11.05 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [4] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (宁德时代) was the second most promoted stock, receiving 7 reports in the past month. The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 662.02 billion, 814.66 billion, and 968.20 billion yuan, with EPS of 14.52, 17.87, and 21.24 yuan, maintaining a dynamic PE of 19.1, 15.5, and 13.0 times [4] - Haida Group (海大集团) ranked third, with 6 reports in the past month. The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 50.73 billion, 57.86 billion, and 65.81 billion yuan, with EPS of 3.05, 3.48, and 3.96 yuan, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [5] Group 2: Industry Focus - The sectors that received the most attention from securities firms include food and beverage, batteries, agriculture, computer equipment, power grid equipment, consumer electronics, electricity, software development, and transportation equipment, indicating a diverse interest across various industries [1] - Other companies such as Daotong Technology, Hongfa Co., Ltd., Anker Innovation, Huaneng International, Yonyou Network, Aima Technology, and Tongwei Co., Ltd. also received attention from multiple securities firms in the past month, reflecting a broad interest in the market [5]

Core Viewpoint - The current fluctuations in the A-share market are seen as a natural adjustment within a bull market, rather than a sign of a market downturn [3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Historical data indicates that bull markets often experience significant pullbacks; for instance, the 2007 bull market saw four instances of over 5% declines, with the largest being over 20% [3]. - Recent trading volume has decreased by nearly 150 billion, indicating a temporary pause in the market after a sustained period of high trading activity [3]. - The financing balance has reached 1.97 trillion, a ten-year high, suggesting increased leverage in the market which can amplify volatility [3]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - There are three key areas where funds are being redirected: 1. Low valuation sectors, with 66.7% of industries still at historical midpoints, while high valuation sectors like military and real estate are in the minority [4]. 2. Companies with strong overseas performance, such as those in computer equipment and agricultural chemicals, which have over 40% of their revenue from international markets [4]. 3. Hong Kong stocks, particularly in technology, are undervalued compared to their A-share counterparts, with catalysts like AI applications and new energy driving potential growth [4]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Strategies - A shift towards long-term holding strategies is recommended, moving away from short-term trading which has been prevalent in recent years [5]. - Key investment themes include: 1. Hard technology breakthroughs, particularly in AI and related applications, with the ChiNext index showing a low valuation percentile of 12.79% [5]. 2. Companies in home goods and general equipment that are managing to increase profits despite trade tensions [5]. 3. Policy-driven opportunities in sectors like family planning and the aging economy, with recent successes in the film industry indicating potential for growth [5]. Group 4: Monitoring Market Indicators - Key indicators to watch include trading volume, valuation levels, and market sentiment: - A trading volume consistently above 1 trillion is seen as a positive sign for market health [6]. - Valuation levels should be assessed by sector, with banking showing a PE ratio at the 95th percentile, indicating caution, while agriculture is at 1.91%, suggesting potential for investment [6]. - Monitoring margin financing levels is crucial; as they approach 2 trillion, it may be wise to reduce exposure to speculative stocks and increase positions in undervalued leaders [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing an increase in accounts receivable due to the growth of its information data business and is implementing measures to manage this effectively [1] Group 1: Accounts Receivable Management - The company reported accounts receivable of 700 million, indicating a significant amount that requires careful management [1] - Measures taken include strengthening pre-assessment of major projects, cautious project selection, and actively abandoning projects with high uncontrollable risks [1] - The company has established reasonable assessment and incentive systems for accounts receivable, enhancing management and encouraging marketing personnel to recover receivables [1] Group 2: Bad Debt Provisions - The company is implementing reasonable provisions for bad debts to mitigate potential risks associated with accounts receivable [1] - Specific actions for long-aged accounts receivable include litigation and debt sales to maximize recovery [1]

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Zhimi Intelligent (智微智能) for the first half of 2025 shows significant growth in revenue and net profit, indicating improved profitability and operational efficiency [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.947 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.29% compared to 1.689 billion yuan in 2024 [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 102 million yuan, up 80.08% from 56.48 million yuan in the previous year [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 24.4%, reflecting a 28% increase year-on-year, while the net profit margin rose to 9.31%, a 52.82% increase [1]. - Operating cash flow per share decreased by 45.49% to 1.05 yuan, while earnings per share increased by 78.26% to 0.41 yuan [1]. Key Financial Metrics - The company reported a total of 1.27 billion yuan in combined selling, administrative, and financial expenses, accounting for 6.51% of revenue, which is a 17.19% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company's cash and cash equivalents increased by 31.59% to 1.701 billion yuan, attributed to increased customer payments [3]. - Accounts receivable decreased by 34.56% to 496 million yuan, indicating improved cash collection [3]. Business Segment Performance - The industry terminal business generated 2.597 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 64.38% of total revenue in 2024 [6]. - The ICT infrastructure business contributed 631 million yuan, representing 15.65% of total revenue [6]. - The industrial IoT segment, which includes products like robot controllers and industrial computers, generated 151 million yuan, accounting for 3.75% of total revenue [8]. Investment and Market Position - The company has seen new investments from several funds, indicating growing interest in its stock [5]. - Analysts project the company's performance for 2025 to reach 300 million yuan in net profit, with an average earnings per share estimate of 1.2 yuan [4].

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The Federal Reserve maintained the interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% during the July FOMC meeting, indicating high economic uncertainty and internal divisions within the Fed regarding potential rate cuts [4][5][6] - The U.S. GDP for Q2 recorded a growth of 3.0% quarter-on-quarter, showing resilience despite signs of economic softening, which reduces the urgency for rate cuts [5][6] - The political bureau meeting in China emphasized the need to enhance awareness of potential risks while focusing on expanding domestic demand and maintaining strategic determination during the 14th Five-Year Plan [9][10][11] Group 2: Industry Insights - Communication - Meta's Q2 revenue reached $47.52 billion, exceeding expectations, and the company raised its full-year capital expenditure guidance to between $66 billion and $72 billion, reflecting significant investments in AI and smart glasses [27] - Microsoft reported a strong performance in its cloud business, with Q4 revenue of $76.44 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18%, driven by a 26% growth in its intelligent cloud segment [28] - The AI computing industry is expected to enter a valuation uplift phase, with significant investment opportunities identified in various segments such as optical modules and liquid cooling technologies [29] Group 3: Industry Insights - Banking - Insurance capital is increasingly allocated to bank stocks, driven by high dividend yields and favorable tax conditions in the Hong Kong market, indicating a shift towards long-term equity investments [36][37] - The current environment of declining asset yields and regulatory changes is prompting insurance companies to seek higher dividend investments, particularly in the banking sector [37] - The evolving PB-ROE curve suggests a shift in valuation logic from fundamental factors to dividend-based assessments, highlighting the importance of maintaining reasonable PB differentials among banks [39][40] Group 4: Industry Insights - Pharmaceuticals - Guobang Pharmaceutical reported a 4.63% year-on-year increase in revenue for H1 2025, with a significant 70.37% growth in its animal health segment, indicating strong market demand [42][43] - WuXi AppTec's H1 revenue grew by 20.64% year-on-year, driven by robust performance in its TIDES business, with a significant increase in orders and revenue projections for the upcoming years [46][48] - Enhua Pharmaceutical's revenue for H1 2025 reached 3.01 billion yuan, with a notable 107.33% growth in its neurology segment, reflecting successful product differentiation and innovation [52][54]