格隆汇2月16日丨据英国金融时报，英国会计监管机构正在考虑修改严格的审计规则，以鼓励更多中国 公司在伦敦上市。英国财务报告委员会周一表示，将就暂时修订其"第三方审计师"政策进行磋商。此举 将允许希望在伦敦上市全球存托凭证（GDR）的中国注册实体使用中国审计准则。目前，人们日益担 心英国股市对企业和投资者的吸引力与华尔街相比正在下降。去年，伦敦首次公开募股（IPO）的筹资 额跌至至少30年来的最低水平。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy has demonstrated strong resilience amidst a complex international environment, achieving high-quality development with GDP surpassing 140 trillion yuan for the first time [4][5]. Economic Outlook - The outlook for the new year is optimistic, with China's economy characterized by strong resilience, a complete industrial system, a vast market, and continuously improving technological innovation capabilities [5][14]. - The capital market is expected to play a more significant role in supporting technological innovation, promoting industrial upgrades, and enhancing consumption upgrades [5][14]. Market Trends - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets will focus on the "New Four Bulls" logic, advancing along three main lines: technological self-reliance, industrial upgrades, and strategic resource security [6][15]. - The stock market is anticipated to continue a slow upward trend, with capital and liquidity concentrating on endogenous economic growth [6][15]. Investment Opportunities - Key sectors expected to shine in the new year include AI, semiconductors, computers, primary products, minor metals, new energy, high-end manufacturing, humanoid robots, low-altitude economy, military industry, and pharmaceuticals [6][15]. - The bond market is entering a low-interest-rate era, with a long-term downward trend in yields expected, particularly in the short to medium term [6][15]. Commodity Insights - Gold and silver are viewed as long-term investment opportunities, with recent price fluctuations driven by geopolitical factors rather than traditional economic indicators [7][16]. - Central banks and investors are increasing their holdings of gold and silver due to concerns over geopolitical tensions, rising debt levels, and the weaponization of the dollar [7][16].

Market Closure Schedule - In 2026, the US stock market will be closed for 10 days and will have 2 early closures [2][10] - The regular trading hours for the US stock market are from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time, Monday to Friday [2][10] - Major holidays when the NYSE and Nasdaq will be closed in 2026 include New Year's Day, Martin Luther King Jr. Day, Presidents' Day, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth, Independence Day, Labor Day, Thanksgiving, and Christmas [3][11] Early Closure Dates - In 2026, the stock market will close early at 1 PM on two occasions [2][12] - In 2027, the stock market will also close early at 1 PM on November 26, the day after Thanksgiving [4][12] Bond Market Schedule - The bond market's regular trading hours are from 8 AM to 5 PM Eastern Time, Monday to Friday [5][13] - The bond market will also close on the same 10 stock market holidays and will have additional closures on Indigenous Peoples' Day and Veterans Day [5][13] Special Considerations - If a holiday falls on a weekend, the stock market will close on the preceding Friday or the following Monday, depending on the day of the week [4][12] - The stock market will not close for New Year's Day if it falls on a Saturday, and the previous Friday will remain open [4][12]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the optimistic outlook for the capital market in 2026, highlighting the importance of deepening reforms and the commitment of Shanghai Securities to support national strategies and the real economy [5][8]. Group 1: Company Achievements and Strategies - Shanghai Securities celebrated the milestone of surpassing 600 million followers on the券商中国 WeChat platform, expressing gratitude to its readers and partners [2][6]. - In 2025, Shanghai Securities focused on its strategic goal of becoming a wealth management-oriented brokerage, leveraging AI and technology to enhance service models and customer experiences [6][7]. - The company launched the "尚臻" brand and a series of asset management products, aiming to meet diverse customer needs through intelligent platforms [7]. Group 2: Cultural and Social Responsibility Initiatives - Shanghai Securities is committed to integrating Chinese financial culture into its corporate culture, emphasizing the importance of moral and ethical values derived from traditional Chinese culture [7]. - The company has implemented nearly 70 assistance projects under the "上证益心" public welfare brand, benefiting over 200,000 people, and has conducted around 2,000 investor education activities [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Goals - Looking ahead to 2026, Shanghai Securities aims to enhance its core business areas, including wealth management and investment banking, while also focusing on technological innovation and digital transformation [8]. - The company plans to build a comprehensive service system to support technological innovation and industrial upgrades, ensuring it remains aligned with national strategies [8]. - Shanghai Securities is set to deepen its reform efforts and strengthen its AI capabilities, aiming for a significant transformation in various operational areas [8].

鉴于近年虚拟资产相关业务在香港政府支持下迅速发展，董事会认为，胜利数码科技经获取有关监管批 核后营运虚拟资产交易平台乃符合本集团策略，为客户提供更为多元的服务，创造机会使本集团各业务 线之间产生协同效应，并会为本集团增值。此外，继胜利数码科技获发牌照后，本集团目前已成为少数 取得证监会引入的全面监管制度下虚拟资产生态系统关键环节的市场参与者。董事会预期，虚拟资产业 务分部将会迎来更多业务机遇，能继续扩张，并为本集团开创新的收入来源。 胜利证券(08540)发布公告，本集团旗下一间联营公司胜利数码科技有限公司(胜利数码科技)已接获证券 及期货事务监察委员会(证监会)有关申请证券及期货条例第116条项下进行第一类(证券交易)及第七类 (提供自动化交易服务)受规管活动的牌照(证券及期货条例牌照);及《打击洗钱及恐怖分子资金筹集条 例》(打击洗钱条例)第53ZRK条项下提供有关营运一个虚拟资产(虚拟资产)交易所的虚拟资产服务的牌 照(打击洗钱条例牌照)的正式通知。证券及期货条例牌照及打击洗钱条例牌照已获证监会批准，惟须遵 守证监会施加的若干条件。 ...

鉴于近年虚拟资产相关业务在香港政府支持下迅速发展，董事会认为，胜利数码科技经获取有关监管批 核后营运虚拟资产交易平台乃符合本集团策略，为客户提供更为多元的服务，创造机会使本集团各业务 线之间产生协同效应，并会为本集团增值。此外，继胜利数码科技获发牌照后，本集团目前已成为少数 取得证监会引入的全面监管制度下虚拟资产生态系统关键环节的市场参与者。董事会预期，虚拟资产业 务分部将会迎来更多业务机遇，能继续扩张，并为本集团开创新的收入来源。 智通财经APP讯，胜利证券(08540)发布公告，本集团旗下一间联营公司胜利数码科技有限公司(胜利数 码科技)已接获证券及期货事务监察委员会(证监会)有关申请证券及期货条例第116条项下进行第一类(证 券交易)及第七类(提供自动化交易服务)受规管活动的牌照(证券及期货条例牌照);及《打击洗钱及恐怖分 子资金筹集条例》(打击洗钱条例)第53ZRK条项下提供有关营运一个虚拟资产(虚拟资产)交易所的虚拟 资产服务的牌照(打击洗钱条例牌照)的正式通知。证券及期货条例牌照及打击洗钱条例牌照已获证监会 批准，惟须遵守证监会施加的若干条件。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 Victory Securities (Holdings) Company Limited 勝利證券（控股）有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：8540） 本 公 告 是 由 勝 利 證 券（控 股）有 限 公 司（「本公司」，連 同 其 附 屬 公 司 統 稱「本集團」） 根據香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證 券 上 市 規 則（「GEM上市規則」）第17.10(2) (a)條及香港法例第571章《證 券 及 期 貨 條 例》（「證券及期貨條例」）第XIVA部項下 內 幕 消 息 條 文（定 義 見GEM上 市 規 則）作 出。 主 席 高 鵑 本 公 司 董 事（「董 事」）會（「董事會」）謹 此 知 會 本 公 司 股 東 及 潛 在 投 資 者，本 集 團 旗 下 一 間 聯 營 公 司 勝 利 數 碼 科 技 有 限 公 ...

凯投宏观的Jonas Goltermann和Thomas Mathews在一份报告中称，强劲的美国经济数据与恐慌的美国金 融市场之间的脱节不太可能持续。这些经济学家称："我们预计美国股市、美国国债收益率和美元将反 弹。"他们称，最近美国国债收益率的下降很难与1月份的劳动力市场数据和通胀数据相符。前者出人意 料地强劲，而后者并不像市场反应所暗示的那么疲软。更广泛地说，美国经济似乎在2026年开局良好， 大多数数据好于普遍预期，"我们预计这种情况在未来几个月将持续下去"。他们称，通常情况下，这会 导致收益率上升，而不是下降。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant trend of residents shifting their savings from traditional bank deposits to asset management products, driven by recent financial data and changing market conditions [2][6]. Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In January, household deposits increased by 2.13 trillion yuan, non-financial enterprise deposits rose by 2.61 trillion yuan, and non-bank financial institution deposits grew by 1.45 trillion yuan [2][3]. - The broad money supply (M2) reached 347.19 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9%, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 117.97 trillion yuan, growing by 4.9% [3][4]. - Compared to the same period in 2025, non-bank deposits increased significantly by 2.56 trillion yuan, while household deposits saw a decrease of 3.39 trillion yuan [4][5]. Group 2: Analysis of Deposit Trends - Analysts note that the acceleration of household deposit migration is evident, with the growth rate of household deposits turning negative for the first time in 7.5 years [5]. - The difference between household deposit growth and M2 growth is -1.82 percentage points, indicating a significant shift in savings behavior [5]. - The trend of residents moving their savings to non-bank financial institutions reflects a broader movement towards asset management products [6][7]. Group 3: Future Implications - The upcoming maturity of a large volume of household fixed-term deposits, estimated between 30 trillion to 70 trillion yuan, is expected to influence where these funds will be allocated, particularly towards equity markets [6][7]. - Analysts suggest that while there may be a flow of funds into low-risk assets, the actual movement into riskier assets like equities will depend on market conditions [7][8]. - The potential for continued adjustment in asset allocation between stocks and bonds is anticipated, especially in light of fixed asset investment trends and economic growth expectations [8].

Core Insights - The capital market in 2025 is characterized by resilience amidst complex changes, with China's economy demonstrating strong growth stability and a shift towards high-quality development [2] - The public fund industry is transitioning from a "scale competition" to a "investor-centric" high-quality development phase, emphasizing the importance of professional capabilities and social responsibility [3] - In 2026, the focus will be on enhancing active management and long-term value investment, with a strong emphasis on integrating party leadership into corporate governance [4] Group 1: Market Trends - The total market value of A-shares has surpassed one trillion yuan, reflecting the maturation of the capital market and the increasing share of the technology sector [2] - The public fund industry is moving towards high-quality development guided by the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" [3] Group 2: Company Strategy - The company aims to deepen the integration of party leadership with business operations, enhancing governance and driving product innovation and customer service [4] - The company will focus on solid fixed-income investment strategies, optimizing cash and bond product layouts to provide stable returns amidst interest rate fluctuations [5] Group 3: Research and Development - The company is committed to reforming its research and investment system, emphasizing absolute return principles and aligning with national strategic priorities [5] - The investment research team is enhancing macro, meso, and micro-level analysis to identify valuable targets in emerging sectors [3][5] Group 4: Risk Management - The company is upgrading its risk control and compliance systems to ensure transparent and standardized business operations, in line with national financial security strategies [6] - A comprehensive risk prevention mechanism will be established to monitor risks across markets and industries [6] Group 5: Customer Engagement - The company is enhancing customer service experiences by offering customized support and improving communication effectiveness [5] - Investment education initiatives are being expanded to help investors develop long-term investment philosophies [3]