Group 1 - The average price of pork in the national agricultural wholesale market is 18.72 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 0.3% compared to the previous day, indicating a potential recovery in profitability for pig farming as the supply of live pigs decreases towards the end of the second quarter [1] - Under the guidance of the "anti-involution" policy in the pig industry, capacity reduction is progressing alongside policy adjustments, leading to an accelerated decline in the number of breeding sows after a slow decrease in previous months [1] - The domestic pig price is expected to maintain a trend of capacity reduction during the off-season in the first half of the year, which may lead to a recovery in the fundamentals and valuations of the pig farming industry, currently at a low market expectation and valuation level [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index (930707) include Muyuan Foods, Haida Group, Wen's Foodstuffs, Zhengbang Technology, New Hope, Meihua Biological, Bio-Stock, Dabeinong, Shennong Development, and Lihua Co., accounting for a total of 67.66% of the index [2]

Performance Highlights - State Grid Yingda (600517.SH) expects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.75 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 46.10% to 74.69%[3] - Zhongjin Gold (600489.SH) anticipates a net profit of 4.8 billion to 5.4 billion CNY, reflecting a growth of 41.76% to 59.48%[4] - Shenzhen South Circuit (002916.SZ) projects a net profit of 3.154 billion to 3.342 billion CNY, with an increase of 68% to 78%[5] - Electric Investment and Financing (000958.SZ) forecasts a net profit of 3 billion to 3.5 billion CNY, a significant rise of 187.37% to 235.26%[6] - Oriental Securities (600958.SH) expects a net profit of 5.62 billion CNY, up 67.8% year-on-year[9] Industry Trends - AI and high-end manufacturing are driving growth, with companies like Shenzhen South Circuit and Huadian Electric benefiting from AI computing upgrades[47] - Resource prices are showing differentiation, with gold, tungsten, and lithium companies like Zhongjin Gold and Xiamen Tungsten experiencing performance recovery due to strategic resource demand[48] - The financial sector is witnessing a dual trend of stability and transformation, as seen in Oriental Securities and Guotai Junan's performance amid market activity[49] - The recovery in consumer and service industries is highlighted by Wanda Film's return to profitability, indicating a rebound in content and experiential consumption[50] - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing significant differentiation, with companies like Chengdu Xian Dao achieving high growth through innovation, while others like Bichang Pharmaceutical face competitive pressures[51]

依托成熟的技能人才队伍，我市以高质量就业为目标，充分释放品牌与产业的协同效能。通过延伸产业 链条，就业辐射带动效应得以充分释放。目前，154户企业（养殖场）、65个专业合作社与1.74万户养 殖户深度联动，直接带动10万余人就业，饲草加工环节同步发力，吸纳5.3万人实现就业。成功吸引伊 利集团、大北农集团等中国民营企业"500强"等优质企业落户，培育出昊康、旭康等30户本地龙头企 业，并打造"凯沣""丁小龙"牛肉食品、"景兴"牛骨髓油茶等21个特色品牌，带动3.5万余人投身红牛精深 加工领域。在市场端，"平凉红牛火锅""平凉红牛宴"等餐饮品牌遍布北京、上海等国内大中城市，60多 个实体专卖店、直营店和餐饮企业带动5万余人从事直播带货、批发零售、餐饮服务及冷链物流行业。 目前，平凉红牛全产业链从业23.8万人，有效实现了产业链高质量发展与就业创业倍增的良性循环。 责任编辑：樊醒民 我市以高起点培育为抓手，市委、市政府精准布局，出台专项扶持政策。在政策红利与产业活力的双重 赋能下，越来越多的劳动者成为"平凉红牛工匠"。在此基础上，"平凉红牛工匠"劳务品牌的打造，精准 对接产业链各环节用工需求，以"育工匠、稳就业、 ...

（天润乳业） 【天风农业】"牛市抱牛"，重视超级牛周期！1、牛板块：肉牛超级周期趋势明确，奶牛去化接近尾声，重视超级 牛周期！1）本周价格：犊牛&淘牛价格持续上涨，育肥牛价格稳定。 截至1月23日，育肥公牛出栏价格25.66元/kg，环比持平，同比+9.47%；犊牛价格33.09元/kg，环比+0.19%，同比 +37.08%；淘牛价格19.93元/kg，环比+0.26%，同比+22.80%（数据来源：钢联）。 （天润乳业） 【天风农业】"牛市抱牛"，重视超级牛周期！1、牛板块：肉牛超级周期趋势明确，奶牛去化接近尾声，重视超级 牛周期！1）本周价格：犊牛&淘牛价格持续上涨，育肥牛价格稳定。 截至1月23日，育肥公牛出栏价格25.66元/kg，环比持平，同比+9.47%；犊牛价格33.09元/kg，环比+0.19%，同比 +37.08%；淘牛价格19.93元/kg，环比+0.26%，同比+22.80%（数据来源：钢联）。 奶价仍处低位调整阶段，截至1月15日，生鲜乳价格3.03元/kg，环比+0.33%、同比-2.57%（数据来源：wind）。 2）肉牛方面，国内长亏损周期叠加深度亏损，驱动能繁母牛深度去化。 ...

消息面上，1月26日，优然牧业发布公告，配售事项已根据配售及认购协议的条款及条件于2026年1月20 日完成，配售代理按尽力基准成功向不少于六名承配人配售合共2.9925亿股配售股份，配售价为每股配 售股份3.92港元。 优然牧业(09858)涨超5%，截至发稿，涨5.05%，报4.58港元，成交额4549.89万港元。 于配售事项及先旧后新认购事项以及特别授权认购事项完成后，估计所得款项净额预期约为23.3亿港 元。约35%用于先进技术赋能及数字化转型，以提升营运效能；约55%用于偿还计息债务并优化资本结 构，为潜在收购或投资机会提供灵活性；及约10%用于补充营运资金并用作一般公司用途。 由于完成先旧后新认购事项的所有条件已达成，公司于2026年1月26日根据配售及认购协议的条款及条 件按每股先旧后新认购股份3.92港元向卖方配发及发行2.9925亿股先旧后新认购股份。净筹约11.58亿港 元。 ...

Report Investment Ratings Macroeconomics and Finance - Index: Long - term bullish, buy on dips [5] - Treasury bonds: Range - bound [5] Black Building Materials - Coking coal: Short - term trading [6] - Rebar: Range trading [7] - Glass: Hold off [7] Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: Hold off or hold long positions lightly and roll [9] - Aluminum: Strengthen observation [11] - Nickel: Hold off [12] - Tin: Range trading or take profit on previous long positions [13] - Gold: Range trading [15] - Silver: Bullish [15] - Lithium carbonate: Range - bound [17] Energy and Chemicals - PVC: Range trading [17] - Caustic soda: Hold off [19] - Soda ash: Hold off [26] - Styrene: Range trading [19] - Rubber: Range trading [21] - Urea: Range trading [23] - Methanol: Range trading [25] - Polyolefins: Weakly range - bound [25] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - Cotton and cotton yarn: Range adjustment [26] - Apples: Weakly range - bound [28] - Jujubes: Weakly range - bound [28] Agricultural and Livestock - Pigs: Short on rebounds [30] - Eggs: Avoid shorting in the short term [32] - Corn: Be cautious about chasing highs, hedge on rebounds [34] - Soybean meal: Bearish on rallies [35] - Fats and oils: Bullishly range - bound [41] Core Views The report provides trading suggestions for various futures products based on their respective market fundamentals, including supply - demand relationships, cost factors, policy impacts, and international situations. It also analyzes short - term and long - term trends and risks of each product to help investors make decisions. Summary by Category Macroeconomics and Finance - Index: Affected by international trade policies, central bank policies, and market sentiment, it may range - bound in the short term but is long - term bullish [5] - Treasury bonds: Without significant negative factors, they may range - bound in a narrow range as there is limited impetus for further interest rate declines [5] Black Building Materials - Coking coal: Due to weak fundamentals, demand is sluggish, and supply disturbances may limit the downside. Short - term trading is recommended [6] - Rebar: With a slight over - valuation in price, weak short - term supply - demand contradictions, and a policy vacuum period, range trading is the main strategy [7] - Glass: With stable supply, weakening speculative demand, and limited downstream inventory digestion, it may range - bound around 1050 - 1070. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of going long on glass and short on soda ash [7] Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: Supported by macro factors but with weak fundamentals, it may range - bound at high levels. Be cautious of pre - holiday profit - taking [9] - Aluminum: With stable supply, weakening demand, and cooling of market sentiment, it may adjust at high levels [11] - Nickel: Although stimulated by policy, fundamentals are weak. It is recommended to hold off [12] - Tin: With tight supply and stable demand, it may range - bound. Attention should be paid to supply resumption and demand recovery [13] - Gold and silver: Driven by geopolitical tensions and changes in the Fed's policy expectations, they are bullish. Silver is recommended to hold long positions, and gold is recommended for range trading [15] - Lithium carbonate: With supply disturbances and strong demand, it may range - bound [17] Energy and Chemicals - PVC: With low valuation, weak domestic demand, and high inventory, it may have a bottom. Range trading is recommended, and attention should be paid to policies and cost factors [17] - Caustic soda: With high supply pressure and weak demand, it may range - bound at low levels. Attention should be paid to supply - side adjustments [19] - Styrene: With high valuation after a rebound, it is recommended to be cautious about chasing highs. Attention should be paid to cost and supply - demand changes [19] - Rubber: With supply contraction but high inventory pressure, it may range - bound. Attention should be paid to inventory and downstream demand [21] - Urea: With sufficient supply and increasing demand, it may range - bound. Attention should be paid to supply - side changes and demand trends [23] - Methanol: With weak domestic demand and strong local prices, it may range - bound. Attention should be paid to geopolitical situations and port arrivals [25] - Polyolefins: With increasing supply and weakening demand, they may range - bound weakly. Attention should be paid to cost and demand [25] - Soda ash: With supply over - capacity and cost support, it is recommended to hold off [26] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - Cotton and cotton yarn: With a decrease in global cotton output and an increase in consumption, long - term expectations are optimistic, but short - term caution is needed [26] - Apples: With slow sales in the main production areas and slightly improved sales in some secondary areas, they may range - bound weakly [28] - Jujubes: With the end of raw material acquisition in Xinjiang and stable market transactions, they may range - bound weakly [28] Agricultural and Livestock - Pigs: In the short term, prices may range - bound due to supply - demand games. In the long term, be cautious about the upside. Range - bound trading and hedging are recommended [30] - Eggs: With high valuation and supply pressure in the medium - long term, hedging of post - holiday contracts is recommended [32] - Corn: With short - term supply - demand balance and long - term loose supply - demand, be cautious about chasing highs and hedge on rebounds [34] - Soybean meal: With short - term support and long - term pressure, short - term range trading and long - term bearishness are recommended [35] - Fats and oils: Bullishly range - bound. Hold previous long positions and exit previous spread - narrowing strategies [41]

Market Overview - The stock market experienced adjustments, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.09% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.85%, amid geopolitical tensions and concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown [1] - High trading volume was maintained, exceeding 3.28 billion yuan, indicating active market participation despite the downturn [1] Livestock Farming Sector - The livestock farming sector has gained renewed attention, with the Livestock ETF (159865) rising over 2% as the average price of live pigs increased to approximately 13.02 yuan/kg, with some regions exceeding 14 yuan/kg [3] - The improvement in supply-demand dynamics is a key driver, with the breeding sow inventory expected to decrease to about 39.61 million heads by the end of 2025, a 2.9% year-on-year decline, supporting future price increases [3] - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to boost demand, providing strong support for pig prices, while the sector remains undervalued historically, offering a favorable risk-reward profile [3] Investment Opportunities in Livestock ETF - The Livestock ETF (159865) is highlighted as an efficient investment tool, tracking the Livestock Index and including leading companies in the pig farming sector as well as upstream and downstream players [4] - Despite potential short-term price fluctuations post-holiday, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the delayed effects of capacity reduction expected to manifest by 2026 [4] Coal Sector Performance - The coal sector has shown strong performance, with the Coal ETF (515220) rising approximately 2% due to high winter electricity demand and cold weather [5] - The investment logic for coal is shifting from purely cyclical to a dual driver of "dividend + growth," with supply constraints and a balanced supply-demand situation expected to persist [5] - The coal industry is currently undervalued, with a TTM P/E ratio of about 15.0 and a P/B ratio of 1.44, alongside a dividend yield exceeding 6%, making it attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [5] Future Outlook for Coal Sector - The valuation of leading coal companies may continue to be restructured, making the Coal ETF (515220) appealing for investors seeking stable returns [6] - Investors are advised to monitor macroeconomic recovery and seasonal price fluctuations in coal [6] Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices have surged, with COMEX gold surpassing $5000/oz and gold ETFs (518800) and (517400) experiencing significant gains [7] - Central banks are increasing gold purchases, with Poland's central bank planning to buy 150 tons, reflecting a growing trend of de-dollarization and heightened demand for precious metals [7] - The short-term outlook remains supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, while the long-term perspective is bolstered by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and increasing global uncertainties [7] Dividend-Focused Investment Strategies - The Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720) has risen by 1.04%, reflecting a favorable environment for dividend-focused investments amid market volatility [8] - Long-term policies are enhancing the demand for dividend assets, with a notable increase in insurance capital entering the market [8] - The new "National Nine Articles" policy is expected to strengthen the valuation logic for dividend-paying assets, making them attractive for investors [8]

"要不是齐商银行这笔贷款，我这扩场的事儿就得卡壳，还得连累下游的供货。"看着养殖场里扩建好的 驴棚和新添的三十多头驴，周村宇然养殖场的负责人石垒终于松了一口气。日前，在齐商银行周村支行 的信贷支持下，他不仅顺利补上了30万元的资金缺口，更凭借财政贴息政策有效降低了融资成本。 石垒的养殖场位于周村，主要向周边餐馆及加工厂供应驴肉。往年养殖场年收入稳定在30万元左右，经 营状况良好。今年以来，受市场行情影响，驴肉价格持续走高，原驴供应趋紧。石垒敏锐地察觉到发展 机遇，决定扩建养殖区、扩大养殖规模，以承接更多订单。尽管前期已投入大量积蓄，但在关键时刻仍 面临30万元的资金缺口。 "正在为钱发愁的时候，齐商银行周村支行的客户经理主动找上门了。"银行工作人员实地考察了养殖场 的存栏情况与订单实绩后，结合石垒的实际需求，现场为他匹配了"个人创业担保贷款"产品。该贷款享 受财政贴息，综合融资成本显著低于普通贷款。借助支行开辟的"绿色审批通道"，这笔贷款迅速完成审 批并发放到位。 资金注入后，养殖场很快新建两座驴棚，又买了30多头驴，预计收入能增长三成多。 如今，石垒的养殖场内存栏肉驴已达86头，饲料储备充足。在这片热热闹闹 ...

Core Insights - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) has significantly increased its loan offerings to farmers, with the scale of loans rising from 550 million yuan to 6.09 billion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, averaging an annual growth of over 1.1 billion yuan, thus providing strong support for rural revitalization in Zibo [1] Group 1: Product Innovation - ABC Zibo Branch has developed a comprehensive product system to address the pain points of agricultural loans, such as lack of collateral and small loan amounts, introducing products like "Grain Farmer e-loan" with credit support up to 3 million yuan for grain producers [2] - Specialized products like "Huinong Merchant Loan" and "Smart Animal Husbandry Loan" have been created to match loan amounts and terms with local industry characteristics, such as offering up to 3-year loans for apple growers in Yiyuan [2] Group 2: Service Upgrades - The bank has implemented a digital transformation strategy, allowing farmers to complete the entire loan process online, reducing the loan processing time from several days to as fast as one day [3] - ABC Zibo Branch has established "Three Rural Financial Lectures" in 217 villages to provide financial education and services, ensuring that financial services reach every village [3] Group 3: Customer Expansion - The bank has adopted a "one project, one plan" approach to tailor financial services to specific agricultural projects, resulting in the approval of 27 projects with a total credit of 2 billion yuan and loan disbursement of 974 million yuan [4] - A special initiative called "Visit Thousands of Villages, Meet Ten Thousand Households" has been launched to identify financing needs among agricultural producers, creating a database of 82,000 agricultural entities [5] Group 4: Financial Empowerment - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, ABC Zibo Branch has effectively utilized product innovation, service upgrades, and customer expansion to provide 6 billion yuan in financial support to rural areas, contributing to the overall agricultural development in Zibo [6]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) showing a price increase of 1.53%, recovering key moving averages [1][9][10] Group 1: Market Performance - The agricultural ETF (159275) opened with fluctuations but quickly surged, recovering the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages [1][9] - Key stocks in the sector, such as Huisheng Biological and Lain Biological, reached their daily limit, while others like Haili Biological and Jinhai Biological saw significant gains [10][12] Group 2: Industry Insights - The pig farming sector faces supply pressures, and policy guidance may accelerate capacity reduction [12][13] - The poultry farming sector is influenced by frequent outbreaks of avian influenza, creating uncertainty in breeding stock imports, which could benefit the white feather chicken industry in the medium to long term [12][13] - The animal health industry continues to show potential for growth, with new products being launched to drive revenue [12][13] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The current valuation of the agricultural sector is relatively low, with the agricultural ETF's underlying index showing a price-to-book ratio of 2.5, placing it at the 23.53 percentile over the past five years, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3][12] - Investors are encouraged to consider the agricultural ETF (159275) for exposure to leading companies in the pig farming sector and other segments of the agricultural value chain [13][12]