Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights a significant decline in the market price of live pigs (External Three Yuan) in China, with a year-on-year decrease of 32.29% and a month-on-month decrease of 5.11% as of mid-September 2025 [1] Price Trends - The market price for live pigs reached 13 yuan per kilogram in mid-September 2025, marking a notable drop compared to previous years [1] - The highest recorded price in the last five years was 35.5 yuan per ton in mid-September 2020 [1] - A statistical chart detailing the price fluctuations of live pigs from 2019 to mid-September 2025 is referenced, indicating a trend of decreasing prices [1]

相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国生猪养殖行业市场调查研究及投资策略研究报告》 2019-2025年8月下旬生猪（外三元）市场价格变动统计图 数据来源：国家统计局 根据国家统计局公布的数据，农产品（主要用于加工）类别下的生猪（外三元）2025年8月下旬市场价 格为13.7元/千克，同比下滑30.46%，环比下滑0.72%，纵观近5年同时期其价格，2020年8月下旬达到最 大值，有37.5元/吨。 ...

【#9月上旬猪价同比降逾三成# 产能调控成为生猪养殖行业关键词】9月17日，有上市猪企人士告诉智 通财经记者，生猪产能调控企业座谈会9月16日在北京召开。据悉，牧原股份、温氏股份等多家企业参 会，会议涉及猪企控制能繁母猪产能的任务。今年以来，猪价持续低迷，近期部分低价区已接近成本 线。国家统计局9月14日发布的数据显示，9月上旬，生猪（外三元）价格为13.7元/公斤，与2024年9月 上旬的19.8元/公斤相比，下降30.8%。 4月29日，农业农村部办公厅发布的《养殖业节粮行动实施方案》中提到，持续调整优化生猪产能。实 施生猪产能调控实施方案，把住能繁母猪存栏量"总开关"，引导养殖场户优化母猪存栏结构、合理控制 产能。持续完善生猪产能监测和预警体系，及时发布市场信息，指导养殖场户适时出栏和优化养殖规 模，促进供需适配。（澎湃） 7月23日，农业农村部曾召开推动生猪产业高质量发展座谈会，部党组书记、部长韩俊在会上指出，要 严格落实产能调控举措，合理淘汰能繁母猪，适当调减能繁母猪存栏，减少二次育肥，控制肥猪出栏体 重，严控新增产能。 5月底，相关部门开会，引导生猪行业发展，提出不增母猪、育肥猪降体重到120KG ...

Core Insights - The monitoring of prices for 50 important production materials across 9 categories in the national circulation market indicates a mixed trend in prices for September 2025 compared to late August 2025 [1] Price Trends - Out of the 50 monitored products, 8 experienced price increases, while 40 saw price declines, and 2 remained stable [1] - The average national price for live pigs (external three yuan) is reported at 13.7 yuan per kilogram, showing no change compared to the previous period [1]

Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the market price trends of live pigs in China, indicating a significant decline in prices as of mid-August 2025 compared to previous years [1] Price Trends - The market price for live pigs (External Three Yuan) in mid-August 2025 is reported at 13.8 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 33.97% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.72% [1] - The highest recorded price in the last five years was in mid-August 2020, reaching 37.4 yuan per ton [1]

| 浮法平板玻璃(4.8/5mm) | 直 | 1190.8 | -25.4 | -2.1 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 七、农产品(主要用于加工) | | | | | | 稻米(粳稻米) | 直 | 4037.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 小麦(国标三等) | 를 | 2420.7 | -4.9 | -0.2 | | 玉米(黄玉米二等) | 直 | 2300.9 | -16.8 | -0.7 | | 棉花(皮棉,白棉三级) | 度 | 14756.3 | 141.9 | 1.0 | | 生猪(外三元) | 千克 | 13.7 | -0.1 | -0.7 | | 大豆(黄豆) | 度 | 4422.7 | -20.4 | -0.5 | | (%3% (粗蛋白含量 = 43%) | 世 | 3051.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 | | 花生(油料花生米) | 世 | 7564.3 | -2.4 | 0.0 | | 八、农业生产资料 | | | | | | 尿素(中小颗粒) | 臣 | 1759.9 | -6.3 | -0.4 | | 复合肥(硫酸钾复合肥,氮磷钾含 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Bureau of Statistics reported price changes in 50 important production materials across nine categories in the national circulation market, indicating a mixed trend in prices for August 2025 [1] Price Changes Summary - 17 products experienced price increases, while 28 products saw price declines, and 5 products remained stable [1] - Specifically, the price of live pigs (external three yuan) decreased by 0.7% month-on-month, while the price of coke (qualified first-grade metallurgical coke) increased by 4.5% month-on-month [1]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the A-share market is 20.5 times, positioned at the historical 86th percentile [2][3] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.5 times, at the historical 60th percentile [2][3] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 36.2 times, at the historical 23rd percentile [2][3] - The PE of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index is 147.1 times, at the historical 100th percentile [2][3] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Building Materials, Power Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense and Military Industry, and Light Industry Manufacturing [2][3] - The Electronic industry has a PB valuation above the historical 85th percentile [2][3] - The Shipping and Port industry has both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile [2][3] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - In the photovoltaic sector, the upstream polysilicon futures price increased by 4.1%, while downstream battery and silicon photovoltaic module prices showed weak price increases [2][3] - In the battery sector, lithium prices saw significant increases, with lithium carbonate rising by 15.9% and lithium hydroxide by 13.1% [2][3] Financial Sector - The non-performing loan ratio of commercial banks was 1.49% in Q2 2025, down by 2.2 basis points from Q1 [2][3] - The net interest margin was 1.42%, down by 1.3 basis points from Q1 [2][3] Real Estate Chain - The national commodity housing sales area decreased by 4.0% year-on-year from January to July 2025, indicating a gradual end to the previous backlog of demand [2][3] - Real estate development investment completed from January to July 2025 decreased by 12.0% year-on-year [2][3] Consumer Sector - The average price of live pigs increased by 0.4%, while the wholesale price of pork decreased by 1.8% [2][3] - Retail sales from January to July 2025 grew by 4.8% year-on-year, with July's growth rate of 3.7% falling short of expectations [2][3] Midstream Manufacturing - Manufacturing investment and narrow infrastructure investment grew by 6.2% and 3.2% year-on-year, respectively, from January to July 2025 [2][3] - The output of industrial robots increased by 32.9% year-on-year from January to July 2025 [2][3] Technology TMT - The domestic integrated circuit output grew by 10.4% year-on-year from January to July 2025 [2][3] Cyclical Industries - The price of Brent crude oil futures decreased by 0.3%, closing at $66.13 per barrel [2][3] - The price of thermal coal increased by 2.3%, closing at 698 yuan per ton [2][3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the market price of live pigs (external three yuan) for processing purposes in late July 2025 is 14.1 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 27.32% and a month-on-month decline of 2.08% [1] - The price of live pigs in late July 2025 is significantly lower compared to the peak price of 37.7 yuan per ton recorded in late July 2020, marking a substantial decrease over the past five years [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights the potential for the port sector to become a high-dividend segment due to its stable cash flow and mature infrastructure, especially as the market shifts towards lower interest rates [8][9][10] - It emphasizes that the current high capital expenditure in the port industry is a significant constraint on dividend increases, but a peak in capital spending is anticipated, which could enhance dividend capabilities in the future [10][11][12] Economic News Summary - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 2.1% decrease in pig prices in late July, with the current price at 14.1 yuan per kilogram [2] - The People's Bank of China plans to maintain a moderately loose monetary policy to support the real economy [2] - The Ministry of Finance exposed six cases of illegal new hidden debt to curb such practices [2] - The State Taxation Administration noted that manufacturing sales revenue growth outpaced the overall national growth by 1.5 percentage points in the first half of the year [2] - The Supreme Court issued guidelines to standardize the execution of property-related criminal judgments [2] Company Insights - InnoScience has partnered with NVIDIA to promote the large-scale implementation of an 800V DC power architecture for AI data centers, which significantly enhances efficiency compared to traditional systems [7] - China Shenhua received a notification from its controlling shareholder regarding a potential acquisition of coal-related assets, leading to a stock suspension [7] - Hikvision reported a total revenue of 41.818 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a 1.48% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan, up 11.71% [7] Port Sector Analysis - The port sector is characterized by weak cycles and strong cash flows, making it a candidate for high dividend yields [9] - The overall dividend payout ratio for the A-share port sector has remained stable above 30%, with a noticeable upward trend since 2022 [9] - The report suggests that if capital expenditures decrease, many port companies could significantly increase their dividend payouts, similar to trends observed in the highway sector post-2018 [11][12]