证券研究报告 2025 年 11 月 17 日 湘财证券研究所 金融工程研究 跟踪周报 超预期股票精选策略跟踪周报 超预期股票精选策略根据净利润同比超预期、分析师超预期这两个指标构 建超预期股票池；我们选择 Wind 全 A 作为底层股票池，将分析师超预期 TOP50 组合、净利润同比超预期 TOP50-100 组合合并，作为最终的超预期 股票池；为了增强策略收益，我们从量价行情角度挖掘增强因子，最终在 超预期股票池内根据增强因子的排序，选出头部股票构建组合。 相关研究： 1. 《湘财证券-金融工程-超预期股 票精选策略》 2024.08.19 2. 《湘财证券-金融工程-超预期股 票 精 选 策 略 改 进 》 2024.11.19 分析师：别璐莎 证书编号：S0500524010001 Tel：(021) 50293663 Email：bls06644 @xcsc.com 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼 核心要点： ❑ 主动型量化基金市场表现 上周（2025.11.10-2025.11.14），根据 Wind，主动型量化基金中位数收益为 0.17%，沪深 300 指数收益为-1. ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes seizing growth opportunities arising from industrial upgrades in the machinery sector [4][6] - Investment recommendations focus on capturing growth lines and identifying quality leading companies with core competitiveness [5][7] Group 1: Industry Overview - The machinery industry is entering a second phase of industrial upgrading, with high-end manufacturing poised for significant growth opportunities [11][13] - The industry is characterized by a broad distribution across various downstream sectors, with a focus on high-end equipment and autonomous manufacturing [39][43] Group 2: Emerging Growth Directions - Key emerging growth areas include humanoid robots, AI infrastructure, and unmanned forklifts, driven by AI advancements and energy transformation [6][10] - The report highlights the potential of humanoid robots, which are currently in a transformative phase, with significant commercial prospects anticipated in the near future [1][49] Group 3: Engineering Machinery - Domestic engineering machinery has stabilized, with expectations of continued recovery driven by equipment updates and major infrastructure projects [7][10] - The global layout of engineering machinery is expected to smooth domestic cyclical fluctuations and enhance profitability [7] Group 4: Self-Control and Localization - The report identifies significant opportunities in domestic substitution and self-control, particularly in scientific instruments and semiconductor components [7][10] - The focus is on increasing localization rates in core segments, which presents substantial growth potential [7][10] Group 5: Nuclear Power and Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The nuclear power sector is experiencing favorable conditions, with ongoing improvements in the nuclear fission power industry and future growth potential in controlled nuclear fusion [7][10] Group 6: Value Directions - The report emphasizes the importance of detection services, general equipment, and tire molds as key value directions within the machinery industry [7][10] - It recommends focusing on companies with strong cash flow and resilience in the current economic environment [7][10] Group 7: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a combination of growth and forward-looking investment opportunities, highlighting specific companies across various segments [7][10] - Long-term investment recommendations include companies in detection services, engineering machinery, and renewable energy equipment [7][10]

Core Viewpoint - The company's stock experienced an abnormal fluctuation with a cumulative closing price deviation exceeding 20% over three consecutive trading days in November 2025, prompting an internal review and confirmation that no undisclosed significant events exist [1] Financial Performance - For the period of January to September 2025, the company reported a net loss of 6.2852 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 183.68% [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit for the same period was a loss of 47.6713 million yuan [1] Corporate Governance - The company confirmed that there were no stock trading activities by the controlling shareholder and senior executives during the period of abnormal price fluctuation [1] - The company stated that its production operations and external environment remain unchanged as of the date of the announcement [1]

美联储规定，高级官员或其配偶不得交易个股，且议息会议前10天为"噤声期"，禁止任何证券买卖。 库格勒由美国前总统拜登任命，她的任期原定于明年1月结束。今年8月她突然辞职时，美联储在一份声明中表示，库格勒将重返乔治城大学担任教授。 极目新闻综合央视财经、第一财经广播、央视新闻等 （图片来源：央视新闻、视频截图） （来源：极目新闻） 据央视财经报道，美联储前理事库格勒突然辞去职务，且未做任何解释。日前最新公布的一份报告显示，库格勒在其年度财务披露表中申报了多笔股票买 卖，这些交易均违反了美联储的相关规定。 这些交易涉及苹果、西南航空、卡特彼勒等公司的股票，其中两笔发生在议息会议前的数天。 值得注意的是，此次披露是库格勒在一年前自曝四笔违规交易后的再次违规。当时她将违规原因归咎为"意外"，称交易由其丈夫在她不知情的情况下操作。 ...

Market Overview - The engineering machinery sector experienced a decline of 0.36% on November 17, with Hengli Drilling leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03, down 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13202.0, down 0.11% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the engineering machinery sector included: - XG Group (600815) with a closing price of 4.58, up 10.10% on a trading volume of 1.6375 million shares and a turnover of 742 million yuan [1] - Tuoshan Heavy Industry (001226) closed at 40.06, up 5.17% with a trading volume of 26,800 shares and a turnover of 10.6 million yuan [1] - Huadong Heavy Machinery (002685) closed at 8.07, up 3.33% with a trading volume of 717,500 shares and a turnover of 576 million yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - Hengli Drilling Star (920942) closed at 34.92, down 3.54% with a trading volume of 22,400 shares and a turnover of 79.2463 million yuan [2] - Wantong Hydraulic (920839) closed at 45.95, down 3.32% with a trading volume of 20,200 shares and a turnover of 94.4563 million yuan [2] - Fushite (301446) closed at 30.02, down 3.29% with a trading volume of 21,200 shares and a turnover of 64.3924 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The engineering machinery sector saw a net outflow of 95.5065 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 145 million yuan [2][3] - The capital flow for specific stocks showed: - XG Group (600815) had a net inflow of 122 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 63.7044 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Yichuan Heavy Industry (600031) had a net inflow of 35.3733 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 56.6568 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Aidi Precision (603638) recorded a net inflow of 16.1362 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 17.0849 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes seizing growth opportunities arising from industrial upgrades in the machinery sector [4][6] - Investment recommendations focus on capturing growth lines and identifying quality leading companies with core competitiveness [5][7] Group 1: Industry Overview - The machinery industry is entering a second phase of industrial upgrading, with high-end manufacturing poised for significant growth opportunities [11][13] - The industry is characterized by a broad distribution of downstream applications, with numerous sub-sectors categorized into five primary and nineteen secondary industries [39][43] Group 2: Emerging Growth Directions - Key emerging growth areas include humanoid robots, AI infrastructure, and unmanned forklifts, driven by AI advancements and energy transformation [6][10] - The report highlights the potential for humanoid robots to revolutionize productivity and improve human life, with significant market potential supported by national policies [49][53] Group 3: Engineering Machinery - The domestic engineering machinery sector has stabilized, with expectations of continued recovery driven by equipment updates and major infrastructure projects [7][10] - Globalization strategies are expected to enhance profitability and smooth domestic cyclical fluctuations, transitioning the industry towards a "globalization + electrification" growth model [7][10] Group 4: Self-Control and Localization - The report identifies significant opportunities in domestic substitution and self-control, particularly in scientific instruments and semiconductor components [7][10] - The focus is on increasing localization rates in core segments, with recommendations for companies in scientific instruments and X-ray detection equipment [7][10] Group 5: Nuclear Power and Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The nuclear power sector is experiencing favorable conditions, with ongoing improvements in the nuclear fission power industry and potential growth in controlled nuclear fusion [7][10] - The report suggests monitoring companies involved in nuclear power and fusion technologies for long-term investment opportunities [7][10] Group 6: Value Directions - The report emphasizes the importance of detection services, general equipment, and tire molds as value-driven segments within the machinery industry [7][10] - Recommendations include focusing on companies with strong cash flow and resilience in the current economic environment [7][10] Group 7: Investment Recommendations - A combination of growth and forward-looking companies is recommended, including those in humanoid robots, AI infrastructure, and detection services [7][10] - Long-term investment strategies should prioritize companies with robust fundamentals and competitive positioning in their respective markets [7][10]

Group 1 - Zhongfu Tong has achieved two consecutive trading limits, focusing on communication network maintenance and optimization services [2] - Jiumuwang has seen four consecutive trading limits, recognized as a leading men's pants brand in China [2] - Xiamen Port Authority, controlled by Xiamen State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, benefits from the development of the Haixi Free Trade Zone [2] Group 2 - Huasheng Tiancheng collaborates deeply with Huawei on multiple smart computing center projects, primarily using Kunpeng and Ascend servers [3] - Hubei Broadcasting Network plans a 2.5 billion yuan investment in the Guanggu Smart Computing Center, with a deployment scale of at least 25,000 P [3] - Zhizhi Technology is a leading ICT operation management system provider, participating in the construction of large-scale data centers [3] Group 3 - Yongtai Technology has formed an integrated industry chain in lithium battery materials, with a significant profit turnaround in the first three quarters [5] - Zhongmin Resources plans a 1 billion yuan investment in a high-purity lithium salt project, with exploration rights in Zambia [5] - Fengyuan Co., in collaboration with the Chinese Academy of Sciences, is focusing on solid-state battery cathode material research [5] Group 4 - Hainan Haiyao has conducted an investor communication event to introduce innovative drug products [10] - Longxing Development plans to acquire a majority stake in Guangdong Changxing Semiconductor Technology Co., aiming for control post-transaction [9] - The company has a significant focus on the lithium battery supply chain, with various projects in lithium resource extraction and recycling [5]

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing fluctuations with the ChiNext index down by 0.8%, while sectors such as Fujian and AI application concepts are showing strong performance [1] Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.27 trillion, an increase of 32.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 2900 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad market pullback [1] Sector Highlights - The Fujian sector saw a resurgence, with stocks like Xiamen Construction and Pingtan Development hitting the daily limit [1] - AI application concepts gained momentum, with multiple stocks including 360 Technology reaching the daily limit [1] - The military industry sector continued its strong performance, with Aerospace Development achieving two consecutive limit-ups [1] - Lithium mining concepts were active, with Dazhong Mining achieving three consecutive limit-ups [1] Declining Sectors - The pharmaceutical sector showed divergence, with stocks like Jimin Health and Yaoyigou experiencing declines [1] - Energy metals, military equipment, and AI application sectors were among the top gainers, while precious metals and pharmaceuticals were among the top losers [1] Index Performance - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.43%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.35%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.8% [1]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced fluctuations with the Shenzhen Component Index turning positive before retreating again, with a half-day trading volume of 1.27 trillion, an increase of 32.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 2900 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad market downturn despite some sector performances [1] Group 2 - The Fujian sector saw a resurgence, with stocks like Xiamen Construction and Pingtan Development hitting the daily limit, alongside a strong performance in AI application concepts with multiple stocks such as 360 also reaching the limit [5] - The military industry sector continued its strong performance, with Aerospace Development achieving two consecutive limit-ups, while the lithium mining concept remained active with Dazhong Mining hitting three consecutive limit-ups [5] - In contrast, the pharmaceutical sector showed divergence, with stocks like Jimin Health and Yaoyigou experiencing declines, while sectors such as energy metals, military equipment, and AI applications led in gains, and precious metals and pharmaceuticals faced the largest declines [5] - At market close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.43%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.35%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.8% [5]

厦工股份再度涨停，10个交易日内录得5个涨停，累计涨幅为49.67%，累计换手率为142.92%。截至 9:44，该股今日成交量1.53亿股，成交金额6.91亿元，换手率8.61%。最新A股总市值达81.25亿元。 龙虎榜数据显示，该股因连续三个交易日内，涨幅偏离值累计达20%、日涨幅偏离值达7%、日振幅值 达15%上榜龙虎榜2次，买卖居前营业部中，营业部席位合计净卖出7047.52万元。 公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季公司共实现营业收入4.31亿元，同比下降23.30%，实现净利 润-628.52万元，同比下降183.68%，基本每股收益为-0.0035元。 据天眼查APP显示，厦门厦工机械股份有限公司成立于1997年02月26日，注册资本177409.448万人民 币。（数据宝） 近日该股表现 | 日期 | 当日涨跌幅（%） | 换手率（%） | 主力资金净流入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.11.14 | 1.96 | 20.23 | -3761.86 | | 2025.11.13 | 9.97 | 7.88 | 25735.03 | | 2025.11 ...