证券研究报告 | 2026年02月02日 2026年02月03日 制造成长周报（第 45 期） 优于大市 Meta 预计 26 年资本支出超 1150 亿美元，Figure 发布 Helix02 重点事件点评&重点关注：商业航天、人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-Meta 预计 2026 年资本支出最高达 1,350 亿美元：2026 年 1 月 29 日，Meta 公布财报显示，预计 2026 全年资本支出将在 1,150 亿美元至 1,350 亿美元之间，接近去年的两倍。 事件 2-Figure 发布 Helix02：2026 年 1 月 28 日，据 Figure 官网，公 司发布的 Helix 02 人形机器人模型，在技术上实现了三大突破。其核心 创新在于通过 System 0、System 1 和 System 2 三层架构，首次用单一 神经网络实现了全身端到端的自主控制，将移动与精细操作深度融合。 事件 1-SpaceX 申请部署百万颗卫星：2026 年 1 月 30 日，据财联社消息， SpaceX 正在申请发射并运营一个由至多 100 万颗卫星组成的星座，这些 卫星具备前所未有的计算能力，以支 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [5][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in commercial aerospace, humanoid robots, and AI infrastructure, with a focus on the potential for cost reductions and market growth in these sectors [2][3][4]. - SpaceX aims to achieve full reusability of its Starship rockets this year, which could reduce the cost of space access by 99%, bringing it down to below $100 per pound [2][18]. - Tesla plans to launch its humanoid robot, Optimus, to the public by the end of 2027, with expectations for enhanced capabilities in performing complex tasks and household chores [3][18]. - The report emphasizes the long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace, humanoid robots, and AI infrastructure, suggesting a focus on key players in these sectors [2][3][4]. Summary by Sections Commercial Aerospace - The report expresses optimism about the commercial aerospace sector, particularly due to breakthroughs in rocket transportation technology that could lead to a surge in demand for launches and payloads [2]. - Key players in the SpaceX supply chain and domestic commercial rocket companies like Landspace and CASIC are highlighted for their potential growth [2]. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is expected to see significant demand growth as Tesla's Optimus robot is set to be released, with capabilities to perform complex industrial tasks by the end of 2026 [3]. - The report suggests focusing on core suppliers and companies with strong market positions within the Tesla supply chain [3][9]. AI Infrastructure - The report maintains a positive outlook on AI infrastructure, particularly in gas turbine and liquid cooling sectors, emphasizing the importance of energy supply for AI data centers [4]. - Key components in the gas turbine supply chain and liquid cooling systems are identified as critical areas for investment [4][9].

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月28日 2026年01月29日 AI 基建点评：我们持续看好 AI 基建相关产业链，重点关注燃气轮机及液冷 方向。建议重点关注 AI 数据中心能源供应核心卡位的燃机产业链：1） 燃机热端叶片：【应流股份】【万泽股份】；2）燃机发电机组：【杰 瑞股份】；3）燃机其他铸件：【豪迈科技】【联德股份】；4）燃机配 套余热锅炉（HRSG）：【博盈特焊】。建议重点关注重点关注液冷中价 值量高、核心卡位的环节：1）一次侧重点关注冷水机组及压缩机环节： 【冰轮环境】【汉钟精机】【联德股份】；2）二次侧重点关注集成商： 【高澜股份】【同飞股份】；3）二次侧零部件端重点关注 CDU、Manifold、 冷板、UQD 环节：【飞荣达】【奕东电子】【南风股份】【强瑞技术】。 行业动态&政府新闻&公司动态 行业动态：商业航天-1 月 20 日，我国 2025 年度商业航天发射达 50 次，可 核心观点 行业研究·行业周报 制造成长周报（第 44 期） 优于大市 SpaceX 星舰今年目标完全复用，特斯拉将在 2027 年底前向公 众销售人形机器人 重点事件点评&重点关注：商业航天、人形机器人、AI 基 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月28日 2026年01月29日 制造成长周报（第 44 期） 优于大市 SpaceX 星舰今年目标完全复用，特斯拉将在 2027 年底前向公 众销售人形机器人 重点事件点评&重点关注：商业航天、人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-马斯克表明星舰今年目标是完全复用，且未来三年建设 200GW 光伏供 能地面数据中心和太空光伏：2026 年 1 月 22 日，马斯克表示 SpaceX 团队 希望今年实现"星舰"火箭的完全复用技术，将使太空进入成本骤降 99%，降 至每磅 100 美元以下。SpaceX 与特斯拉计划未来三年内在美国建设总计 200GW 光伏产能（各 100GW），主要用于地面数据中心与太空 AI 卫星供能。 事件 2-马斯克表明 Optimus 机器人 27 年底将面向公众开售：2026 年 1 月 22 日，马斯克于达沃斯世界经济论坛表示，特斯拉计划 2027 年底前 向普通大众开售 Optimus 人形机器人。 商业航天点评：马斯克表明星舰今年目标实现完全复用且达成后将降本 99%， 火箭运输技术突破带来成本极大下降，也将带动整个商业航天火箭发射和运 载需求的爆 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [5][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant growth potential in the commercial aerospace sector, driven by SpaceX's ambitious goal of producing 10,000 Starships annually and achieving a launch frequency exceeding once per hour within three years [2][19]. - OpenAI is actively seeking domestic hardware suppliers in the U.S. for its expansion into consumer devices, robotics, and cloud data centers, emphasizing the critical role of hardware in software development [3][19]. Summary by Relevant Sections Commercial Aerospace - The report emphasizes the long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace, particularly focusing on key suppliers and the Blue Arrow Aerospace supply chain. Recommended companies include: 1. Rocket components: Huazhu High-Tech, Yingliu Co., Longxi Co. 2. Satellite assembly and testing: Guangdian Measurement, Sutest, Shanghai Huguang. 3. Other relevant companies: Zhongtai Co., Ice Wheel Environment [2][9]. AI Infrastructure - The report expresses optimism regarding the AI infrastructure sector, particularly in gas turbines and liquid cooling technologies. Key recommendations include: 1. Gas turbine components: Yingliu Co., Wanze Co. 2. Gas turbine generator sets: Jerry Co. 3. Other components: Haomai Technology, Liande Co. 4. Liquid cooling systems: Ice Wheel Environment, Hanzhong Precision Machinery, Liande Co. [3][9]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, all rated "Outperform": 1. Green's Harmony (688017.SH): Target price of 220.50, market cap of 40.4 billion, EPS of 0.33 for 2024A. 2. Mingzhi Electric (603728.SH): Target price of 73.65, market cap of 30.9 billion, EPS of 0.19 for 2024A. 3. Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ): Target price of 80.85, market cap of 218.9 billion, EPS of 1.60 for 2024A [12][25].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [4] Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in commercial aerospace led by China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, with a focus on reusable rocket technology and the development of new industries such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy [5][6] - The 2026 Nuclear Fusion Technology and Industry Conference successfully took place, resulting in major procurement projects and the establishment of a fusion financial institution alliance to enhance the integration of industry and capital [5][6] - The report indicates a strong performance in the engineering machinery sector, with December 2025 excavator sales reaching 23,095 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, and loader sales increasing by 30.0% [5][6] Summary by Sections Market Overview - From January 12 to January 16, 2026, the mechanical equipment index increased by 2.10%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which decreased by 0.86% [7] - The mechanical equipment sector ranked 6th among 31 industries in terms of performance during this period [7] Sub-Industry Data - Engineering Machinery: December 2025 excavator sales were 23,095 units (+19.2% YoY), with exports of 10,331 units (+10.9% YoY). Loader sales were 12,236 units (+30.0% YoY), with exports of 6,945 units (+41.5% YoY) [5][6] - Industrial Robots: The report recommends companies such as Hengli Hydraulic and Changying Precision for investment [5] - AI Infrastructure: Companies like Ice Wheel Environment and Hanzhong Precision are highlighted for their potential in the liquid cooling sector [5] Company Profit Forecasts - The report provides a detailed valuation summary for key mechanical companies, indicating a positive outlook for companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Sany Heavy Industry, with recommendations to "Overweight" these stocks based on their projected earnings growth [5][6][81]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [5][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the commercial aerospace and AI infrastructure sectors, indicating strong long-term investment opportunities [2][3]. - The Chinese government has prioritized satellite frequency resource applications, with over 200,000 satellite applications submitted to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) [2][19]. - Meta has signed multiple nuclear power supply agreements to meet the energy demands of AI data centers, totaling 6 GW [3][20]. Summary by Relevant Sections Commercial Aerospace - China applied for over 200,000 satellite frequency resources, with more than 190,000 from the newly established Radio Innovation Institute, emphasizing the strategic importance of satellite frequency resources [2][19]. - The report suggests focusing on core suppliers in the commercial aerospace sector, including companies like Guangdian Measurement, Yingliu Co., Shanghai Huguang, and others [2]. AI Infrastructure - Meta's collaboration with companies like Vistra, Oklo, and TerraPower for nuclear power supply indicates a robust demand for AI infrastructure, which will continue to drive energy needs [3][20]. - The report recommends focusing on the gas turbine and liquid cooling sectors, highlighting the importance of gas turbines as primary and backup power sources for data centers [3]. - Key companies in the gas turbine supply chain include Yingliu Co., Wanzhe Co., and others, while liquid cooling solutions are gaining traction as a trend in data centers [3]. Key Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, all rated as "Outperform," including: - Yingliu Co. (44.76 CNY, market cap 30.4 billion CNY, EPS 0.42 for 2024A) [12][28]. - Hengli Hydraulic (115.20 CNY, market cap 154.5 billion CNY, EPS 1.87 for 2024A) [12][28]. - Longxi Co. (26.98 CNY, market cap 10.8 billion CNY, EPS 0.31 for 2024A) [12][28].

国信证券近日发布机械设备行业制造成长周报：2025年12月26日，工业和信息化部人形机器人与具身智 能标准化技术委员会成立，将主要承担人形机器人与具身智能基础共性、关键技术、部组件、整机与系 统、应用、安全等领域行业标准制修订工作。 以下为研究报告摘要： 核心观点 重点事件点评&重点关注：人形机器人、AI基建 事件1-工信部人形机器人与具身智能标准化技术委员会成立：2025年12月26日，工业和信息化部人形机 器人与具身智能标准化技术委员会成立，将主要承担人形机器人与具身智能基础共性、关键技术、部组 件、整机与系统、应用、安全等领域行业标准制修订工作。 政府新闻：新兴产业-12月26日，工信部：打造集成电路、新型显示、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等 新兴支柱产业。人形机器人-12月26日，工信部人形机器人与具身智能标准化技术委员会成立。 公司动态：人形机器人-12月23日，宁波东力（002164）携手尼得科传动技术，共筑全球精密传动新生 态；12月24日，震裕科技（300953）：子公司拟分别投资10亿元建设人形机器人精密模组及零部件产业 化项目和具身人形机器人驱动总成核心部件等项目；12月24日，宁波华翔（0 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery equipment sector [5][11]. Core Views - The establishment of the humanoid robot and embodied intelligence standardization technical committee by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is expected to promote standardized development in the humanoid robot industry [2][19]. - ByteDance plans to invest $23 billion in artificial intelligence in 2026, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure investment [3][20]. Summary by Relevant Sections Humanoid Robots - The MIIT's new committee will focus on developing industry standards across various areas, which is anticipated to enhance the industry's structured growth [2][19]. - Long-term investment opportunities in humanoid robots are viewed positively, with recommendations to focus on companies with strong positions in the supply chain, such as Feirongda, Longxi Co., Weiman Sealing, Hengli Hydraulic, and others [2][8]. AI Infrastructure - ByteDance's significant capital expenditure plan for AI infrastructure highlights ongoing investment trends among major companies, with a focus on expanding related supply chains [3][20]. - Key areas of interest include gas turbines and liquid cooling solutions, with specific companies recommended for investment, such as Yingliu Co., Wanze Co., and others involved in energy supply for AI data centers [3][8]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Several companies are rated as "Outperform," including: - Green's Harmonics (688017.SH) with a target price of 169.48 CNY and a market cap of 31.1 billion CNY [11][27]. - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ) with a target price of 73.30 CNY and a market cap of 198.4 billion CNY [11][27]. - Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) with a target price of 108.61 CNY and a market cap of 145.6 billion CNY [11][27]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying companies with strong market positions and growth potential in both humanoid robotics and AI infrastructure sectors [8][11].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the Shanghai Composite Index, which has achieved an "eight consecutive days" rise, driven by strong domestic capital amid the absence of northbound funds due to the Christmas holiday. The market has shown good profitability, with trading volumes exceeding 1.9 trillion yuan on December 25 and 26. The backdrop of AI narratives, domestic demand stimulation, and the depreciation of the US dollar are highlighted as key factors influencing the market dynamics [1][7]. Group 1: Market Performance and Dynamics - The Shanghai Composite Index has achieved an "eight consecutive days" rise, supported by strong domestic capital [1][7]. - Trading volumes exceeded 1.9 trillion yuan on December 25 and 26, indicating a favorable market profitability effect [1][7]. - The offshore RMB has strengthened past the 7.0 mark against the US dollar, which is seen as a critical variable for future market trends [1][7]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Beneficiary sectors are categorized into three tiers: 1. Cost and debt improvement types, which directly benefit from RMB appreciation and have high elasticity [1][7]. 2. Fund flow-driven types, which are core assets benefiting from increased attractiveness of RMB assets [1][7]. 3. Asset revaluation types, which present valuation recovery opportunities due to the intrinsic value enhancement of RMB-denominated assets [1][7]. Group 3: Historical Context and Comparisons - Since 2017, the RMB has experienced three phases of rapid appreciation, each with different underlying logic: 1. The 2017 appreciation was linked to the opening of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, leading to core asset revaluation due to foreign capital inflow [2][8]. 2. The 2020-2021 phase was driven by a significant recovery in export data and strong performance in the new energy sector, showcasing the resilience of Chinese manufacturing [2][8]. 3. The late 2022 to early 2023 phase was characterized by a rebound in manufacturing PMI amid economic pressure, with market speculation on economic recovery [2][8]. Group 4: Current Differences and Strategic Opportunities - The current appreciation is primarily driven by domestic capital rather than foreign investment, favoring high-elasticity sectors rather than stable consumer and financial sectors [3][9]. - The core driving force is the technological revolution and liquidity abundance, with a higher market risk appetite focusing on sectors like commercial aerospace, AI infrastructure, and humanoid robotics [3][9]. Group 5: Recommended Strategies - The recommended trading strategy for the current RMB appreciation phase includes a mid-term focus on "pan-technology" and a short-term defensive approach, emphasizing sectors like commercial aerospace, robotics, and AI applications [4][10]. - It is suggested to maintain a lower position in defensive stocks that directly benefit from RMB appreciation, such as paper manufacturing and airport operations, especially during the annual report forecast period [4][10].