▶今日天气 今天白天多云转晴，偏北风三级左右，阵风五级左右，最高气温4℃；夜间晴转多云，北转东风二三 级，最低气温-7℃。今天白天北风加大，气温下降，出行注意防风保暖。 ▶尾号限行 2和7 ▶ "十四五"期间北京保障房中心建设筹集公租房约16.6万套 1月15日，记者从北京保障房中心获悉，"十四五"期间，该中心承担的保障性住房建设筹集工作取得积 极进展。截至2025年底，已累计建设筹集公租房约16.6万套，其中14.5万套已投入运营，占全市公租房 总量的60%以上。通过与住房保障部门协作推动房源分配，该中心帮助解决了大量轮候家庭的住房困 难，提升了保障效率。北京保障房中心表示，将继续推进各类保障性住房建设与运营，助力居民住房条 件改善。 ▶ 北京将实施六大行动力促"开门红"，关键点来了—— 1月15日，北京市发改委举行一季度"开门红"政策举措新闻发布会。会上，市发改委综合处处长王育玲 介绍，一季度，北京将全力跑好开年"第一棒"，为完成全年目标任务奠定良好基础，为全国发展大局作 出更多贡献，重点开展六大专项行动。这六大行动分别为：优供给、促消费行动，促开工、扩投资行 动，强服务、促产业行动，优机制、拓增量行动， ...

Group 1: Government Policies - The State Council has announced the establishment of a special guarantee plan for private investment, aiming to lower financing thresholds and costs for enterprises [1][9] - Measures include interest subsidies for loans to small and micro enterprises and a risk-sharing mechanism for corporate bonds, which are intended to enhance consumer capacity and expand quality service supply [1][9] Group 2: Corporate Developments - Liu Peng, the chairman of paper giant Zhongshun Jierou, has resigned, raising concerns about potential changes in corporate governance strategies [1][10] - The company, which saw revenue approach 10 billion, has faced pressure in recent years, and the effectiveness of its diversification strategy remains uncertain [1][10] Group 3: Energy Pricing - New energy pricing results have been released across over 20 provinces, showing significant regional disparities, with Shanghai's photovoltaic electricity price at 0.4155 yuan per kWh, approximately 85% higher than Shandong [1][11] - The differences in electricity prices are attributed to resource endowments, consumption capacity, and policy objectives, leading companies to adjust investment strategies towards refined management and load center project development [1][11] Group 4: Market Performance - The "Everyday Brand 100 Index" rose by 1.26% in the first trading week of 2026, with significant market capitalization growth observed in companies like China Life, Zijin Mining, and Kweichow Moutai, each increasing by over 50 billion yuan [2][12] - Zijin Mining's stock price reached a new high, with its market value briefly surpassing 1 trillion yuan, driven by performance expectations and resource expansion [2][12] Group 5: Economic Trends - Vietnam's GDP growth is projected to reach 8.02% in 2025, potentially surpassing Thailand to become the third-largest economy in Southeast Asia by 2026 [4][14] - The commercial aerospace industry in China is expected to exceed 7.8 trillion yuan, with over 20 provinces implementing supportive policies, indicating a significant shift towards large-scale deployment [4][14] Group 6: Financial Sector Changes - By 2025, the brokerage settlement model is expected to become the mainstream for newly issued funds, surpassing 50% market share, driven by regulatory changes [5][15] - Small and medium-sized fund companies are adopting multi-brokerage strategies to expand sales, while smaller brokerages focus on niche markets to enhance their business scale and industry influence [5][15] Group 7: Inflation and Price Movements - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.8% year-on-year in December 2025, marking the highest level since March 2023, with core CPI remaining above 1% for four consecutive months [6][16] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed, indicating some recovery in certain sectors [6][16] Group 8: Precious Metals Market - Gold and silver prices have experienced significant volatility due to geopolitical risks and debt issues in developed economies, driving demand for safe-haven assets [7][17] - Analysts suggest that while gold prices may have room to rise, silver is expected to exhibit greater volatility due to a lack of central bank reserves [7][17]

Macro Situation - The macro situation has become increasingly uncertain following the U.S. arrest of Venezuela's president, leading to fluctuations in oil, commodities, gold, and silver prices [2] - Trump's potential military budget increase to $1.5 trillion for 2027 suggests a new arms race may be on the horizon [3][5] - The military-industrial sector in the U.S. has already seen a surge in stock prices [6] Military Industry - The military industry in China is expected to enter a new growth cycle during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on high-quality defense modernization and national unification [6][7] - The geopolitical landscape indicates that the military sector will be a key area of investment and development [8] Energy Competition - The U.S. aims to control Venezuela's oil resources, which could impact global oil pricing and the use of alternative currencies for oil transactions [9][10] - Greenland's resources, including significant rare earth and oil reserves, are also a target for U.S. interests, which could lead to energy supply disruptions for China [12][13] AI and Power Demand - Elon Musk predicts an unprecedented demand for electricity due to the rise of artificial general intelligence (AGI), which will require exponentially more computational power [17][22] - The current electrical grid is not equipped to handle this surge, leading to a potential shortage of transformers, which are becoming a strategic resource [28][30] Infrastructure and Manufacturing - The demand for power infrastructure, particularly transformers, is expected to skyrocket, benefiting manufacturers and suppliers of raw materials like copper and silicon steel [31] - China's ability to rapidly build data centers and enhance its computing infrastructure positions it favorably in the global race for computational power [34][35] Space Energy Revolution - Musk advocates for space-based solar energy as a solution to Earth's energy limitations, with advancements in launch costs making such projects economically viable [42] - The commercial space industry and related technologies are poised for significant growth as nations compete for orbital resources [43][44] Workforce Transformation - AI is set to replace many white-collar jobs, leading to permanent job losses in sectors like customer service and content creation [49][50] - However, the demand for skilled individuals who can manage and utilize AI technologies will remain, emphasizing the need for adaptation [52][53]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - Commercial space is experiencing intensive catalysts, and investment opportunities in the industry are worth attention [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Commercial Space Faces Intensive Catalysts, Focus on Industry Investment Opportunities - **Three - year Action Plan for Commercial Space**: On November 25, 2025, the National Space Administration issued the "Action Plan for Promoting the High - quality and Safe Development of Commercial Space (2025 - 2027)", aiming to achieve high - quality development of commercial space by 2027, with significant growth in industry scale and innovation [3]. - **Establishment of the Commercial Space Department**: The National Space Administration has recently established the Commercial Space Department, which will promote the high - quality development of China's commercial space industry and benefit the entire industrial chain [4]. - **Satellite Internet of Things Business Commercial Test**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has launched a two - year commercial test of satellite Internet of Things business, marking the transition of China's satellite Internet industry to the commercial application exploration stage and bringing investment opportunities for the entire industrial chain [4]. - **Recommended Stocks**: In the rocket direction, recommended stocks include Chaojie Co., Ltd., Gaohua Technology, Zhongheng Design, etc.; in the satellite direction, recommended stocks include Shaanxi Huada, Shanghai Harbor, Shanghai Hanxun, etc. [4]. 3.2 Main Covered Company Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report provides earnings forecasts, valuations, and ratings for 28 companies from 2024 to 2027, including China National Building Material Group Corporation, Conch Cement, and China State Construction Engineering Corporation. Most of the investment ratings are maintained [13]. 3.3 Weekly Market Review - **Industry Index Performance**: The building and building materials industries showed certain increases this week. The building index increased by 2.43%, and the building materials index increased by 2.21%. Among them, the garden engineering index had the highest increase of 8.40% in the building sub - sectors, and the ceramic index had the highest increase of 5.60% in the building materials sub - sectors [17][19][22]. - **Stock Performance**: In the building materials industry, Hainan Ruizhe had the highest weekly increase of 22.16%, and *ST Lifang had the highest weekly decrease of 30.00%. In the building industry, Guosheng Technology had the highest weekly increase of 57.69%, and *ST Dongyi had the highest weekly decrease of 22.36% [25]. - **Infrastructure Public REITs Performance**: The average weekly increase of infrastructure public REITs was - 0.13%, the average monthly increase was - 1.23%, the average increase since the beginning of the year was 9.67%, the average 250 - day increase was 14.38%, and the average increase since IPO was 13.06% [28]. 3.4 Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real Estate Data**: It includes new construction, construction, completion, and sales area cumulative year - on - year data, land transaction data, real estate transaction data, social financing data, and infrastructure investment growth data. For example, the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of national real estate new construction area continued to decline [31]. - **Eight Major Construction Central Enterprises' New Contract Signing**: The report shows the quarterly new contract signing amounts and year - on - year growth rates of eight major construction central enterprises from 2022Q1 to 2025Q3 [73]. - **Special Bond Issuance**: It includes monthly and cumulative new special bond issuance amounts and replacement special bond issuance amounts from 2022 to 2025 [75][77][79][81]. 3.5 High - frequency Data Tracking - **Cement Data**: It includes national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price trend, cement - coal price difference index, cement inventory ratio, and cement production monthly year - on - year growth rate [84][85][87][91]. - **Float Glass Data**: It includes glass spot price, glass futures price, and glass inventory [91][92][96]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Data**: It includes glass daily melting volume, soda ash price, 2mm photovoltaic glass price, and photovoltaic glass inventory [98][102][99][104]. - **Glass Fiber Data**: It includes the prices of various types of glass fiber yarns and glass fiber inventory [106][109][110][116]. - **Carbon Fiber Data**: It includes carbon fiber average price, carbon fiber raw silk price, carbon fiber production, carbon fiber inventory, carbon fiber operating rate, carbon fiber gross profit margin, carbon fiber cost, and carbon fiber gross profit [113][117][120][122][124][126][129]. - **Magnesia and Alumina Prices**: It includes the ex - factory tax - included price of large - crystal electro - fused magnesia and alumina price [126][130]. - **Upstream Raw Material Prices**: It includes asphalt price, waste paper price, PVC price, HDPE price, etc. [134][137][135][139]. - **Physical Workload Data**: It includes acrylic acid price, titanium dioxide price, high - machine rental rate, and asphalt average operating rate [141][143][144][146].