丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨建材 [Table_Title] 稳定房地产预期再起，两大玻纤龙头激励落地 ——建材周专题 2026W1 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 稳定房地产预期再起 中国巨石、中材科技股权激励落地 基本面：水泥出货季节性回落，玻璃库存环比下降 展望 2026 年：把握存量链、非洲链、AI 链三条主线 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 范超 张佩 李金宝 李浩 董超 SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490518080002 SAC：S0490516040002 SAC：S0490520080026 SAC：S0490523030002 SFC：BQK473 SFC：BVZ972 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 稳定房地产预期再起，两大玻纤龙头激励落地 2] ——建材周专题 2026W1 [Table_Summary2] 稳定房地产预期再起 2026 年 1 月 1 日，《求是》杂志刊发特约评论员文章《改善和稳定房地产市场预期》。该文强 调房地产的金融属性 ...

北京市优化调整住房限购政策，《求是》强调地产政策不能采取添油战术 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 周期品方向：反内卷仍是主线。对于水泥及玻璃行业而言，在需求下行的背景下，供给能否有效去化是下 一阶段观察的重点。目前水泥和浮法玻璃的行业平均盈利均已跌落至盈亏平衡线之下，供给端博弈是淡季 的主线。其中，Q1通常是玻璃产能冷修的高峰，冷修减产的幅度将直接决定3-4月份浮法玻璃价格修复的 空间。玻纤板块盈利相对较好，需求端依旧稳步增长，26H1下游如风电等场景对粗纱需求有支撑，而新供 给投放主要在26H2，判断有阶段性提价的可能性。新领域方向：1）电子布。AI供应链的高景气仍是26H1 最有确定性的方向。特种电子布（LowDK一代二代、石英布）需求弹性较大，且短期 ...

证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 行业相对指数表现 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 2025-08 2025-10 2025-12 建筑材料 沪深300 发布时间：2025-12-29 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5449.43 | | 52 周最高 | 5449.43 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《关注内需低位品种，有望迎来估值与 业绩双重修复》 - 2025.12.22 建材行业报告 （2025.12.22-2025.12.26） 地产政策托底需求，关注反内卷落地情况 投资要点 12 月 24 日，北京市住房城乡建设委、市发展改革委、人民银行 北京市分行、北京住房公积金管理中心等 4 部门联合印发《关于进一 步优化调整本市房地产相关政策的通知》，放宽非 ...

Investment Rating - The report highlights a positive outlook for the Q fabric market, suggesting it has the potential to become a mainstream material with increased supply capacity and market confidence [2][12]. Core Insights - The Q fabric market is gaining attention, with companies like Lite-On Optoelectronics investing in the sector to create an integrated advantage in sand mining, rod production, weaving, and more. The M9+Q fabric is identified as the most proactive material solution, while M9+ second-generation and 2.5 generation fabrics represent a more conservative approach. The Q fabric's low expansion and dielectric properties are emphasized as key advantages [2][12]. - The report suggests that the bottleneck for Q fabric lies in downstream processing difficulties, particularly in PCB upgrades, while upstream issues in silk and fabric production are being addressed by companies like Fihua and China National Materials [2][12]. - The report encourages a rational view of new entrants in the Q fabric market, emphasizing the need for upstream and downstream participants to enhance industry connectivity and penetration rates [2][12]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The Q fabric market is highlighted as a focal point, with significant investments and technological advancements expected to drive its adoption [2][12]. - The report discusses the importance of evaluating companies based on raw material advantages, technological capabilities, customer resources, and equipment strengths [2][12]. Market Performance - The report notes that the cement market is experiencing a decline in average prices, with a national average of 354 RMB/t, down 67 RMB/t year-on-year and 1 RMB/t month-on-month. The average shipment rate is 41.4%, reflecting a slight decrease [4][14]. - The glass market shows a slight decline in prices, with the average price for float glass at 1140.08 RMB/ton, down 11.32 RMB/ton, and an increase in inventory days [4][14]. - The concrete mixing station's capacity utilization is reported at 7.33%, indicating a decrease [4][14]. Price Changes - The report details that the national cement price remains stable, with fluctuations observed in specific regions. The average shipment rate has decreased by approximately 1 percentage point [24][25]. - The float glass market is experiencing a slight downward trend in prices, with increased inventory levels noted [34][35]. - The report indicates that the electronic fabric market is stable, with prices for 2400tex non-alkali yarn remaining steady [56][58].

房地产及建材行业 房地产-标配（维持） 建材材料-标配（维持） 2025 年 12 月 26 日 双 周 分析师：何敏仪 S0340513040001 电话：0769-22177163 邮箱：hmy@dgzq.com.cn 资料来源：iFind，东莞证券研究所 证 券 研 究 报 告 资料来源：iFind，东莞证券研究所 房地产及建材行业双周报（2025/12/12-2025/12/25） 行 业 北京楼市新政发布 新一轮稳地产政策落地预期提升 投资要点： 消费建材：绿色建材被纳入《关于增强消费品供需适配性进一步促进消 费的实施方案》重点支持领域，2027年目标培育3个万亿级消费领域， 智能家居、旧房翻新等场景获政策倾斜。与此同时，二手房成交有所回 暖，存量房翻新需求增长，均利好消费建材需求提升。2025年以来，随 着"反内卷"政策的逐步落地，防水、涂料、管材等品类陆续启动价格 上调，虽落地节奏待观察，但行业价格战明显缓和。Q3行业盈利整体修 复，龙头公司收入利润率先改善。预计龙头企业将继续通过优化渠道、 产品结构升级、拓展C端及零售业务，积极出海等，提升经营质量与市 场份额，实现业绩进一步修复。建议关注：北 ...

Core Insights - The report from Guosen Securities indicates that by 2026, A-share companies will transition from merely exporting goods to a phase of collaborative output involving capacity, branding, and management systems, marking a qualitative shift in overseas operations [1] - Among 2,723 A-share companies engaged in overseas business, 60.96% hold a positive attitude towards international expansion, with 45.38% of 12,393 related announcements reflecting positive statements, indicating that going global has shifted from an optional strategy to a necessary action [1] Industry Analysis - "High-tech" industries are becoming the main force in overseas expansion, with technological barriers and industry concentration determining long-term value. The core logic of industry selection focuses on high-tech moats and strong industry clusters, which provide irreplaceability along with cost and efficiency advantages [2] - Three key sectors identified for overseas expansion include: - Chemical new materials (polyurethane, fiberglass) leveraging global pricing power and overseas base layouts to avoid trade barriers - High-end equipment (buses, construction machinery, semiconductor equipment) capitalizing on technology spillover to capture markets in "connector countries" - Electronic components (servers, MLCC) benefiting from global AI computing infrastructure and automotive electronics demand [2] - Data shows that over 70% of companies in machinery, power equipment, pharmaceuticals, computers, and automobiles are positively inclined towards overseas operations, making them core vehicles for international expansion [2] Regional Opportunities - Distinct opportunities are emerging across global markets, with a strategic focus on three core regions: - Europe emphasizes high-end manufacturing and green transformation, with localized production in new energy buses and chemical new materials to overcome technical and tariff barriers - Southeast Asia serves as a "backyard" for industry chain overflow, with semiconductor equipment and consumer electronics benefiting from mature process expansion and consumption upgrades - The Middle East and Latin America are emerging as new frontiers for photovoltaic energy storage and construction machinery, driven by energy transition and infrastructure demands [2] Investment Strategy - An "hourglass" portfolio is recommended to balance stable returns with growth flexibility, focusing on both "globalization dividend assets" and "technology breakthrough growth stocks": - The left side targets high-dividend, low-valuation stable assets, such as commercial buses and leading chemical new materials companies with stable overseas revenue and strong cash flow - The right side invests in high-growth, technology-driven assets, corresponding to "very positive" companies like semiconductor equipment and AI server firms, which are expected to experience nonlinear growth due to global supply chain restructuring and technological iteration [3]

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of domestic demand and proposed actions to boost consumption, indicating a potential recovery in the construction materials sector in 2026 due to improved fundamentals and valuations [4] - Cement demand is currently under pressure, with a national decline in demand observed, particularly in the housing market, while infrastructure demand shows regional differentiation. The cement industry is expected to see a reduction in overproduction, leading to improved capacity utilization and profit elasticity [4][8] - The glass industry continues to face demand challenges, with high inventory levels among intermediaries and limited improvement in downstream demand. Price fluctuations are expected to remain low due to ongoing supply-demand pressures [5][13] - The fiberglass sector is experiencing stable demand in certain areas, such as wind power and electronics, with expectations for explosive growth driven by AI-related demand [5] - The consumer building materials sector has reached a profitability bottom, with strong pricing improvement requests from companies, indicating potential for profit recovery in the latter half of the year [5] Summary by Sections Cement - December marks the onset of the off-peak season in the northern regions, with national demand continuing to decline. The housing market remains weak, while infrastructure demand is driven by policy, showing significant regional differences. The civil market exhibits relatively rigid demand [4][8] - In November 2025, cement production was 154 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline [8] Glass - The glass industry is under pressure, with traditional peak season orders showing limited improvement and high inventory levels among intermediaries. Supply-side adjustments are expected with the cold repair of five production lines, but overall supply-demand pressures persist [5][13] Fiberglass - Demand in sectors like wind power and electronics remains stable, while traditional demand for coarse sand is slowing. The industry is expected to see growth driven by AI-related demand, with a clear upgrade in product structure [5] Consumer Building Materials - The sector's profitability has reached a low point, with no further downward price pressure expected. Companies are actively seeking price increases, indicating a strong desire for profit improvement [5]

建筑材料行业周报 11 月投资数据仍处筑底过程，关注政策 加码空间及重点工程需求释放 2025 年 12 月 22 日 【投资要点】 【配置建议】 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：王翩翩 证书编号：S1160524060001 证券分析师：郁晾 证书编号：S1160524100004 相对指数表现 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 2024/12 2025/6 2025/12 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《中央经济会议定调积极，继续关注地产 链底部反弹机会》 2025.12.15 《万科债务有望逐渐出清，继续看好消费 建材白马价值回归》 2025.12.01 《地产链有望筑底企稳，关注板块弹性及 出海机会》 2025.11.24 《前十月基建投资同比-0.1%，稳增长背景 下看好战略重点工程推进》 2025.11.20 《克而瑞十月百强销售数据环比持稳，继 续看好消费建材白马价值回归》 2025.11.10 行 业 研 究 / 建 筑 材 料 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 市场行情回顾：上周建材板块上涨 0.92%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.2pct。 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 地产数据环比不悲观 2025 年 12 月 22 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 周观点：（1）11 月地产数据同比来看，如期降幅扩大，但环比来看，除 了拿地金额大幅弱化，地产销售和建安投资仍保持了正常季节性规律。 地产数据分叉值得重视，若能持续则说明地产有企稳迹象。经济工作会 议之后，经济刺激预期有所弱化。美联储议息决议反映出后续降息路径 比较纠结。短期市场或进入震荡期，首先关注红利高息方向，例如兔宝 宝、上峰水泥、塔牌集团、欧普照明、欧派家居等。其次是欧美出口产 业链，例如中国巨石、中材科技、圣晖集成、亚翔集成、爱丽家居、石 头科技、海尔智家等。再次是装修消费方向，例如三棵树、悍高集团、 箭牌家居、兔宝宝、欧派家居等。中长期而言，中国国力的相对上升和 再通胀进程或推动汇率持续升值，消费和科技白马公司值得战略性关 注。（2）科技方面，十五五期间科技自立自强是重中之重。国产半导体 有望加快发展，尤其是先进制程，继续推荐洁净室工程板块，订单均有 高增，例如圣晖集成，建议关注亚翔集成和柏诚股份，受益 ...

证券日报网12月19日讯 国际复材在12月16日-18日回答调研者提问时表示，2025年，玻纤市场环境较 2024年有所回暖，热塑与风电领域需求恢复明显加快。然而，受相关行业持续调整、行业内竞争态势尚 未根本扭转等因素影响，市场需求结构仍呈现分化态势，终端降价压力逐步向产业链上游传导。叠加海 外政治经济环境不确定性加剧，公司对行业整体发展保持谨慎乐观态度。未来，公司将以"产品创新、 卓越运营、纤材协同"的发展思路，继续深化全球运营，让中国智造的优秀材料服务全球市场。同时， 公司会进一步推进高模、高强、超细、低介电等创新产品在"双碳""数智化""航空航天""新基建"等领域 的持续落地，拓宽玻纤应用场景、塑造行业"成长性"。 （编辑 任世碧） ...