Group 1 - The global financial market is set to release several important economic data and events, with a particular focus on U.S. labor market indicators and Federal Reserve officials' speeches [1] - Key U.S. employment data will be released at 21:30 Beijing time, including the unemployment rate for September, seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, initial jobless claims, and average hourly earnings month-on-month and year-on-year [1] - The release of these delayed data due to the previous government shutdown will provide crucial insights into the state of the U.S. labor market [1] Group 2 - Additional U.S. economic indicators to be released include the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for November, annualized existing home sales for October, and the Conference Board Leading Economic Index month-on-month for October, which will help gauge the latest trends in the U.S. economy [3] - In Europe, key data such as Germany's PPI for October, Switzerland's trade balance for October, the CBI Industrial Orders Balance for the UK in November, and the preliminary consumer confidence index for the Eurozone in November are noteworthy for investors [3] - Federal Reserve Governor Cook will speak on financial stability at 00:00 the following day, followed by Goolsbee at 01:40, which may provide clues about the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve [3]

在线交易平台罗宾汉（Robinhood Markets）的相关研究，为"上周五抄底潮需谨慎"提供了进一步证据——该平台吸引了大量散户投资者。 这项名为《注意力驱动交易与回报：来自罗宾汉用户的证据》的研究的作者发现，平均而言，某一天被罗宾汉投资者大量买入的股票，在接下 来一个月的表现会比市场整体落后5%。 MarketWatch专栏作家Mark Hulbert指出，尽管上周五道指暴跌近900点，但散户投资者热切抄底，这是一个危险信号。 这一投资者行为实则利空市场，因其逢跌买入意愿是反向指标：当投资者将下跌视为买入机会时，股市往往接近顶部；而在底部时情况恰好相 反——投资者不相信任何反弹能持续，会把每次市场上涨都当作进一步抛售的时机。 耶鲁大学金融学教授罗伯特·希勒（Robert Shiller）收集的数据印证了这一观点。自2001年起，他开始计算"逢跌买入信心指数"，该指数用于衡 量"认为股市大幅下跌次日会反弹"的散户投资者比例。从附带图表可见，标普500指数在该指数处于高位后的表现，平均远差于指数低位后的表 现。 需注意的是，希勒的"逢跌买入信心指数"更新存在数月滞后，因此尚不清楚上周散户的行为会如何影响10 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：吴说） 在线交易平台 IG Group 宣布以约 7240 万美元（1.096 亿澳元）收购澳大利亚老牌加密交易所 Independent Reserve 70% 股权，并可视未来表现收购剩余 30%。此举旨在强化 IG 在亚太地区的加密市 场布局。该交易尚待监管批准，预计 2026 年初完成。（CoinDesk） ...

Group 1 - eBay is scheduled to report its earnings on July 30, 2025, with analysts projecting earnings of $1.30 per share on revenues of $2.64 billion, an increase from the previous year's earnings of $1.18 per share on sales of $2.57 billion [2][3] - Over the past five years, eBay's stock has shown a tendency toward negative one-day returns following earnings releases, with 65% of instances resulting in a median decline of -7.5% and a maximum drop of -11.7% [3][5] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $38 billion, generating $10 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, with operating profits of $2.3 billion and net income of $2.0 billion [4] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that eBay has recorded 17 earnings data points over the last five years, with 6 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 35% of the time [5][9] - Pre-earnings positioning strategies involve analyzing historical odds to establish a position before the earnings report, while post-earnings strategies involve observing immediate stock performance to inform subsequent trading decisions [6] - Correlation data between 1-day, 5-day, and 21-day returns post-earnings can help traders execute appropriate trades based on the highest correlation observed [7][8]