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申万宏源建筑周报:PPP新规推行,存量项目回款有望改善-20250824
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-08-24 12:12
建筑装饰 2025 年 08 月 24 日 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 唐猛 (8621)23297818× tangmeng@swsresearch.com PPP 新规推行,存量项目回款有望改善 看好 ——申万宏源建筑周报(20250818-20250822) 本期投资提示: 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 及 产 业 行 - 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 一周板块回顾:板块表现方面,SW 建筑装饰指数+1.61%,沪深 300 指数+3.49%,相对收益为-1.88pct。周涨幅最大的三个子行业分别为 生态园林( +7.53% )、基建民企( +3.85% ) 、 基 建 国 企 (+3.13%),对应行业内三个公司:园林股份(+61.09%) ...
申万宏源建筑周报:25年“两重”建设项目清单下达完毕,投资有望改善-20250727
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-07-27 10:26
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector relative to the overall market performance [21]. Core Insights - The construction industry has shown a weekly increase of 5.62%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index [4][6]. - The infrastructure investment in the first half of the year has grown by 4.6% year-on-year, which is 1.8 percentage points higher than the overall investment growth rate, indicating a positive trend in the sector [10][12]. - Key companies such as China Electric Power Construction and Chengbang Co. have secured significant contracts, enhancing their revenue outlook for 2024 [12]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The construction sector's weekly performance was +5.62%, with the best-performing sub-industry being state-owned infrastructure enterprises, which rose by 9.66% [3][4]. - The top three sub-industries for weekly gains were state-owned infrastructure enterprises (+9.66%), design consulting (+6.50%), and private infrastructure enterprises (+6.13%) [6][9]. Key Changes in the Industry - The State Council has introduced the "Housing Rental Regulations" to encourage the use of private housing for rental purposes, aiming to increase the supply of rental housing [10][11]. - The Ministry of Transport has completed the issuance of the 800 billion yuan "two重" construction project list, which is expected to stimulate further growth in infrastructure investment [10][12]. Company Updates - China Electric Power Construction has won a contract for the Sun Gou Pumped Storage Power Station with a total value of approximately 5.752 billion yuan, representing 0.91% of its projected revenue for 2024 [12][13]. - Chengbang Co. has secured a new construction project worth 77.3152 million yuan, which accounts for 22.22% of its expected revenue for 2024 [12][13]. - The company 亚翔集成 reported a significant decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, down 40.95% year-on-year [12][13].
申万宏源建筑周报:反内卷改善企业盈利能力,建筑PMI提升-20250706
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-07-06 10:13
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2][3] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the construction PMI has improved, indicating a potential recovery in the industry, driven by government policies aimed at enhancing product quality and regulating competition [3][11] - The report suggests that while the overall industry remains weak, regional investments may gain traction as national strategic layouts deepen, presenting opportunities for growth [3][11] Industry Performance - The construction sector saw a weekly increase of +0.63%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index (+1.40%) and the Shenzhen Component Index (+1.25%) [4][5] - The best-performing sub-industries for the week were infrastructure private enterprises (+3.19%), steel structures (+2.85%), and ecological landscaping (+2.46%) [5][9] - Year-to-date, the top three performing sub-industries are ecological landscaping (+21.25%), infrastructure private enterprises (+16.54%), and decorative curtain walls (+13.15%) [5][9] Key Company Developments - China Railway won a contract for the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway project, with a total contract value of approximately RMB 5.343 billion, accounting for 0.462% of its 2024 revenue [13][14] - China Railway Construction also secured a contract for the same railway project, valued at approximately RMB 3.781 billion, representing 0.354% of its 2024 revenue [13][14] - Other notable companies include Sichuan Road and Bridge, which signed a contract worth approximately RMB 11.596 billion, accounting for 16.25% of its 2024 revenue [14][15] Stock Performance - The top five stocks by weekly increase were Chengbang Co. (+42.23%), Hangzhou Landscaping (+31.16%), Hopson Development (+21.35%), Hui Green Ecology (+15.65%), and New City (+10.98%) [9][10] - Conversely, the five stocks with the largest declines were Zhengping Co. (-18.28%), ST Yuancheng (-9.82%), ST Nongshang (-6.22%), Northern International (-5.71%), and Hanjia Design (-5.46%) [9][10] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.7%, a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [11][12] - The non-manufacturing PMI was at 50.5%, also up by 0.2 percentage points, while the construction business activity index rose to 52.8%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points [11][12]
申万宏源建筑周报:固定资产投资持续走弱,刺激政策亟待发力-20250622
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-22 08:13
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2][22]. Core Insights - The report highlights a continued weakness in fixed asset investment, with a need for stimulus policies to take effect [2]. - The overall industry performance shows a weekly decline of 2.24%, underperforming against major indices [3][4]. - Key statistics from January to May 2025 indicate a year-on-year increase in total fixed asset investment of 3.7%, with manufacturing investment up by 8.5% and infrastructure investment (including all sectors) up by 10.4% [10][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The construction industry experienced a weekly decline of 2.24%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index which fell by 0.51% [3]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week were state-owned enterprises in infrastructure, with declines of 1.54% [4]. Key Company Developments - 中工国际 signed a business contract for a 500,000-ton soda ash plant project in Kazakhstan, valued at $337 million, representing 19.8% of its 2024 revenue [12]. - 中国化学 reported a total of 150.8 billion yuan in new contracts signed from January to May 2025, a decrease of 9.92% year-on-year [13]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that the overall industry remains weak, but regional investments may gain momentum as national strategic layouts deepen. Recommended low-valuation state-owned enterprises include 中国化学, 中国中铁, and 中国铁建, while private enterprises like 志特新材 and 鸿路钢构 are also highlighted [2][10].