建筑装饰 2025 年 08 月 24 日 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 唐猛 (8621)23297818× tangmeng@swsresearch.com PPP 新规推行，存量项目回款有望改善 看好 ——申万宏源建筑周报（20250818-20250822） 本期投资提示： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 及 产 业 行 - 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 一周板块回顾：板块表现方面，SW 建筑装饰指数+1.61%，沪深 300 指数+3.49%，相对收益为-1.88pct。周涨幅最大的三个子行业分别为 生态园林（ +7.53% ）、基建民企（ +3.85% ） 、 基 建 国 企 （+3.13%），对应行业内三个公司：园林股份（+61.09%） ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][24]. Core Viewpoints - The construction and decoration sector has shown a weekly increase of 1.75%, outperforming the Shenzhen Component Index and the Small and Medium Enterprises Board [3][4]. - The establishment of the Xinjiang Tibet Railway Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 95 billion RMB is expected to accelerate investment in the central and western regions [11][12]. - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has indicated a shift in the real estate sector towards a new development model focused on high-quality urban renewal [11][12]. Industry Performance - The construction sector's weekly performance was +1.75%, with the international engineering sub-sector leading at +3.77% [4][5]. - The top three sub-sectors for weekly growth were international engineering (+3.77%), professional engineering (+3.40%), and decorative curtain walls (+3.35%) [5][9]. - Year-to-date, the ecological landscaping sub-sector has seen the highest growth at +28.69% [5][9]. Key Company Developments - Tengda Construction won a bid for a new primary school project in Taizhou, Zhejiang, valued at 118 million RMB, representing 3.17% of its 2024 revenue [13][15]. - Chengdi Xiangjiang signed a contract for the "Hutai Smart Cloud Valley Digital Technology Industry Park Data Center" project, totaling 4.527 billion RMB, which is 279.27% of its 2024 revenue [13][15]. - The company Shenghui Integrated reported a 39.04% increase in H1 revenue to 1.295 billion RMB [15].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the construction and decoration sector [4][26]. Core Insights - The report highlights a weak overall industry performance with a weekly decline of 2.41% in the SW Construction Decoration Index, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [4][5]. - Key sectors such as design consulting and ecological landscaping showed positive growth, with annual increases of 23.58% and 24.20% respectively [4][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at stimulating private investment and effective investment expansion [4][12]. Industry Market Performance - The construction industry experienced a weekly decline of 2.41%, lagging behind major indices like the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component [5][6]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week were design consulting (+1.75%) and ecological landscaping (+0.46%) [4][7]. - Year-to-date, the top-performing sub-sectors were ecological landscaping (+24.20%) and design consulting (+23.58%) [4][7]. Key Company Developments - Major companies such as Weiye Co. won contracts worth 5.22 billion yuan, representing 4.44% of their projected 2024 revenue [14][15]. - Jianghe Group reported a 6.29% year-on-year increase in new contracts for the first half of 2025, totaling 136.94 billion yuan [14][15]. - The report notes significant contract wins across various companies, indicating ongoing activity in the sector despite overall market challenges [14][15]. Government and Policy Changes - The Ministry of Transport reported a total fixed asset investment of 1.6 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, with significant allocations to railways and highways [12][14]. - The Central Political Bureau emphasized the need for more proactive fiscal policies and moderate monetary policies to stimulate effective investment [12][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends low-valuation state-owned enterprises such as China Chemical, China Railway, and China Railway Construction for investment [4][14]. - It also suggests monitoring private companies like Zhite New Materials and Honglu Steel Structure for potential growth opportunities [4][14].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector relative to the overall market performance [21]. Core Insights - The construction industry has shown a weekly increase of 5.62%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index [4][6]. - The infrastructure investment in the first half of the year has grown by 4.6% year-on-year, which is 1.8 percentage points higher than the overall investment growth rate, indicating a positive trend in the sector [10][12]. - Key companies such as China Electric Power Construction and Chengbang Co. have secured significant contracts, enhancing their revenue outlook for 2024 [12]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The construction sector's weekly performance was +5.62%, with the best-performing sub-industry being state-owned infrastructure enterprises, which rose by 9.66% [3][4]. - The top three sub-industries for weekly gains were state-owned infrastructure enterprises (+9.66%), design consulting (+6.50%), and private infrastructure enterprises (+6.13%) [6][9]. Key Changes in the Industry - The State Council has introduced the "Housing Rental Regulations" to encourage the use of private housing for rental purposes, aiming to increase the supply of rental housing [10][11]. - The Ministry of Transport has completed the issuance of the 800 billion yuan "two重" construction project list, which is expected to stimulate further growth in infrastructure investment [10][12]. Company Updates - China Electric Power Construction has won a contract for the Sun Gou Pumped Storage Power Station with a total value of approximately 5.752 billion yuan, representing 0.91% of its projected revenue for 2024 [12][13]. - Chengbang Co. has secured a new construction project worth 77.3152 million yuan, which accounts for 22.22% of its expected revenue for 2024 [12][13]. - The company 亚翔集成 reported a significant decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, down 40.95% year-on-year [12][13].

Group 1 - The company, Shenzhen Beautiful Ecology Co., Ltd., has announced the approval for the release of restricted shares following a non-public issuance of 238,837,579 shares at a price of 3.14 RMB per share, increasing the total share capital from 819,854,713 shares to 1,058,692,292 shares [1][2] - The shareholders applying for the release of restricted shares include Shenzhen Baolisheng Industrial Development Partnership (Limited Partnership), Guo Qing, and Zheng Zuoping, who acquired 190,000,000 restricted shares through a judicial auction, representing 16.53% of the company's total share capital [2][4] - The total share capital has increased to 1,149,652,292 shares after the transfer of the restricted shares [2][4] Group 2 - The original holder of the restricted shares, Jiayuan Chuangsheng, made a commitment to lock the shares for 36 months following the non-public issuance, which is now being transferred to the new shareholders without any additional commitments from them [2][3] - The company has confirmed that there are no violations of the commitments related to the locked shares by the shareholders applying for the release [5] Group 3 - The structure of the share capital before and after the release of restricted shares shows that the number of restricted shares decreased from 608,098,181 (52.89%) to 418,098,181 (36.37%), while the number of unrestricted shares increased from 541,554,111 (47.11%) to 731,554,111 (63.63%) [4]

Core Viewpoint - Dongzhu Ecological (603359) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company to be between -10 million and -5 million yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a challenging financial outlook due to various external factors [1] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, to be between -9.7256 million and -4.7256 million yuan [1] - The projected losses reflect a significant decline in revenue, influenced by prolonged project settlement cycles and slow payment progress [1] Industry Context - The company operates in a competitive industry environment, exacerbated by macroeconomic conditions, industrial policies, and local fiscal factors [1] - The focus on high-quality projects with financial backing has led to a reduction in new orders signed by the company [1]

Group 1 - The construction and decoration sector showed a weekly increase of 0.63%, while the CSI 300 index rose by 1.54%, resulting in a relative return of -0.91 percentage points [1] - The top three sub-industries with the highest weekly gains were infrastructure private enterprises (+3.19%), steel structure (+2.85%), and ecological landscaping (+2.46%), with corresponding companies: Chengbang Co. (+42.23%), Honglu Steel Structure (+7.53%), and Hangzhou Landscaping (+31.16%) [1] - The sub-industries with the largest annual gains were ecological landscaping (+21.25%), infrastructure private enterprises (+16.54%), and decorative curtain walls (+13.15%), with corresponding companies: Hangzhou Landscaping (+95.79%), Chengbang Co. (+147.23%), and ST Keli Da (+79.66%) [1] Group 2 - The manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.7%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, while the non-manufacturing PMI was at 50.5%, also up by 0.2 percentage points [2] - The construction business activity index stood at 52.8%, reflecting a rise of 1.8 percentage points from the previous month [2] - China Railway and China Railway Construction both won contracts for the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway project, with contract amounts of approximately RMB 53.43 billion and RMB 37.81 billion, respectively, representing 0.462% and 0.354% of their 2024 revenue [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2][3] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the construction PMI has improved, indicating a potential recovery in the industry, driven by government policies aimed at enhancing product quality and regulating competition [3][11] - The report suggests that while the overall industry remains weak, regional investments may gain traction as national strategic layouts deepen, presenting opportunities for growth [3][11] Industry Performance - The construction sector saw a weekly increase of +0.63%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index (+1.40%) and the Shenzhen Component Index (+1.25%) [4][5] - The best-performing sub-industries for the week were infrastructure private enterprises (+3.19%), steel structures (+2.85%), and ecological landscaping (+2.46%) [5][9] - Year-to-date, the top three performing sub-industries are ecological landscaping (+21.25%), infrastructure private enterprises (+16.54%), and decorative curtain walls (+13.15%) [5][9] Key Company Developments - China Railway won a contract for the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway project, with a total contract value of approximately RMB 5.343 billion, accounting for 0.462% of its 2024 revenue [13][14] - China Railway Construction also secured a contract for the same railway project, valued at approximately RMB 3.781 billion, representing 0.354% of its 2024 revenue [13][14] - Other notable companies include Sichuan Road and Bridge, which signed a contract worth approximately RMB 11.596 billion, accounting for 16.25% of its 2024 revenue [14][15] Stock Performance - The top five stocks by weekly increase were Chengbang Co. (+42.23%), Hangzhou Landscaping (+31.16%), Hopson Development (+21.35%), Hui Green Ecology (+15.65%), and New City (+10.98%) [9][10] - Conversely, the five stocks with the largest declines were Zhengping Co. (-18.28%), ST Yuancheng (-9.82%), ST Nongshang (-6.22%), Northern International (-5.71%), and Hanjia Design (-5.46%) [9][10] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.7%, a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [11][12] - The non-manufacturing PMI was at 50.5%, also up by 0.2 percentage points, while the construction business activity index rose to 52.8%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points [11][12]

Fundraising Overview - The company has successfully raised a total of RMB 332,317,440.31 through a non-public issuance of 75,446,428 shares at a price of RMB 4.48 per share, approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [1] - The funds have been verified and confirmed by an accounting firm as of September 8, 2022 [1] Fund Management and Usage - The company has established a special account for the management and use of the raised funds, signing a tripartite supervision agreement with China Merchants Bank [1] - A four-party supervision agreement was also signed with various banks to ensure proper management of the funds [2] Fund Allocation Changes - On June 12, 2023, the company held a shareholder meeting to approve the reallocation of unused funds from the "Headquarters Office Project" to new projects, including the "Liangzi Lake Ecological Environment Governance Project Phase I" and "S203 Ezhou Section Green Special Project" [2] - The company has also established new special accounts for the management of these funds [2] Fund Account Closure - On April 22, 2025, the company decided to permanently supplement its working capital with surplus funds from completed projects, leading to the closure of related special accounts [4] - The closure of these accounts was completed after all funds were transferred out, and the relevant supervision agreements were terminated [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2][22]. Core Insights - The report highlights a continued weakness in fixed asset investment, with a need for stimulus policies to take effect [2]. - The overall industry performance shows a weekly decline of 2.24%, underperforming against major indices [3][4]. - Key statistics from January to May 2025 indicate a year-on-year increase in total fixed asset investment of 3.7%, with manufacturing investment up by 8.5% and infrastructure investment (including all sectors) up by 10.4% [10][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The construction industry experienced a weekly decline of 2.24%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index which fell by 0.51% [3]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week were state-owned enterprises in infrastructure, with declines of 1.54% [4]. Key Company Developments - 中工国际 signed a business contract for a 500,000-ton soda ash plant project in Kazakhstan, valued at $337 million, representing 19.8% of its 2024 revenue [12]. - 中国化学 reported a total of 150.8 billion yuan in new contracts signed from January to May 2025, a decrease of 9.92% year-on-year [13]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that the overall industry remains weak, but regional investments may gain momentum as national strategic layouts deepen. Recommended low-valuation state-owned enterprises include 中国化学, 中国中铁, and 中国铁建, while private enterprises like 志特新材 and 鸿路钢构 are also highlighted [2][10].