天眼查App显示，近日，阳江市阳东区潮泰工贸有限公司成立，注册资本10万人民币，经营范围为一般 项目：五金产品制造；五金产品批发；五金产品零售；金属制品销售；金属工具制造；塑料制品销售； 厨具卫具及日用杂品批发；塑料制品制造；厨具卫具及日用杂品零售；日用陶瓷制品销售；建筑陶瓷制 品销售；日用木制品制造；日用木制品销售；户外用品销售；汽车装饰用品销售；电子产品销售；国内 贸易代理；汽车零配件批发；汽车零配件零售；针纺织品及原料销售；体育用品及器材零售；服装服饰 零售；鞋帽零售；化妆品零售；日用杂品销售；家具销售；皮革制品销售；技术进出口；信息咨询服务 （不含许可类信息咨询服务）；互联网销售（除销售需要许可的商品）。（除依法须经批准的项目外， 凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动）。 ...

Economic Overview - The latest data indicates that the US economy is facing increasing risks of stagflation, with the services PMI almost stagnating and the manufacturing PMI dropping to a near one-year low, suggesting a complex situation of slowing economic activity and persistent inflation pressures [1][4] Services Sector - In July, the services PMI fell from 50.8 in June to 50.1, significantly below the market expectation of 51.5, indicating that the expansion pace of the services sector has nearly halted [2] - The services price index rose from 67.5 in June to 69.9 in July, approaching levels seen at the end of 2022, reflecting ongoing inflation pressures in the services sector due to tariffs and immigration policies [2] - The employment index decreased from 47.2 to 46.4, indicating a contraction in hiring levels and a weakening job market [2] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI declined from 49 in June to 48 in July, falling short of the market expectation of 49.5, further exacerbating the contraction trend [3] - Although the output index showed an acceleration in expansion, the new orders index slightly rebounded but remained in the contraction zone, with employment contraction reaching a near one-year high [3] - The price index decreased from 69.7 to 64.8, indicating a slowdown in inflation pressure, yet it remains significantly above the post-pandemic average [3] Federal Reserve Policy - The PMI data reveals stagflation risks, presenting the Federal Reserve with a challenging policy decision in the third quarter, balancing a weakening job market against rising inflation due to tariffs [4] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may maintain interest rates in September but could lower rates in October and December, with year-end policy rates projected to drop to 3.75%-4% [4] - The current economic conditions, characterized by slowing growth and a pressured job market alongside persistent inflation, complicate the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path [4]

知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 数据来源：中国海关，智研咨询整理 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国木制品行业市场运营格局及未来前景分析报告》 根据中国海关数据显示：2025年5月中国木及其制品进口数量为398万吨，同比下降18.9%，进口金额为 11.27亿美元，同比下降19.5%，2025年5月中国木及其制品出口数量为146万吨，同比增长20.2%，出口 金额为14.61亿美元，同比增长3.6%。 数据来源：中国海关，智研咨询整理 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

7月1日周二，ISM公布的数据显示，由于订单和就业萎缩加剧，美国6月ISM制造业连续四个月萎缩，美国制造业低迷的局面持续。与此同时，用于衡量原 材料支付价格的指标显示出通胀略有加速的迹象。 美国6月ISM制造业PMI指数为49，预期为48.8，前值为48.5。50为荣枯分界线。 重要分项指数方面： 新订单指数46.4，预期48.1，前值47.6。订单量创下三个月来的最大降幅，并已连续五个月减少，可能反映出关税上升以及整体美国经济放缓。 制造业产出在经历三个月收缩后，6月重新进入扩张区间。 就业指数45，降至三个月低点，预期47.1，前值46.8。就业指数已连续五个月处于收缩区间。 物价支付指数69.7，接近2022年6月以来的最高水平，预期69.5，前值69.4。原材料成本上升仍是制造商面临的问题。 订单积压指数下降2.8个点，为一年来的最大跌幅，至44.3。订单积压指数已连续33个月陷入收缩，创下历史纪录。 进口和出口指标仍处于收缩状态，但下降速度有所放缓。进口指数在上月大跌后在6月跳涨7.5点，创五年来最大单月涨幅。 媒体分析称，需求疲软和订单积压减少，部分解释了制造业就业加速下降的原因。ISM制造业商业 ...

Inventory Analysis - As of February, the overall actual inventory-to-sales ratio in the U.S. manufacturing and trade sectors is approximately 1.5 months, with manufacturers at 1.9 months, wholesalers at 1.3 months, and retailers at 1.4 months, all at low percentiles since the pandemic[2] - If assuming that the inventory of manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers only serves domestic retail sales, the overall inventory could cover about 4.2 months of sales[2] - The low inventory-to-sales ratio may indicate limited buffer space against supply-demand imbalances, potentially leading to upward pressure on inflation[2] Industry-Specific Insights - In the retail sector, the actual inventory-to-sales ratio for furniture, appliances, and consumer electronics is low at only 1 month, placing it in the 6.5% percentile since the pandemic[3] - Conversely, the inventory-to-sales ratio for motor vehicles and parts, as well as building materials, exceeds 2 months, with motor vehicles at approximately 2.5 months (88.5% percentile) and building materials at about 2 months (85.2% percentile)[3] - In manufacturing and wholesale, machinery, textile raw materials, and related products have higher inventory-to-sales ratios, all exceeding 2 months, with machinery at 2.9 months (83.6% percentile) and textile raw materials at 2.8 months (70.4% percentile)[3] PMI and Inventory Trends - As of April, the ISM manufacturing PMI inventory index decreased to 50.8% from 53.4% in March, indicating a cooling in pre-tariff stockpiling behavior[4] - The customer inventory index remains low at 46.2%, suggesting concerns about the sustainability of overall manufacturing inventory levels[4] - Among 18 manufacturing sectors, 5 reported increased inventory in April, while 8 sectors, including textiles and transportation equipment, saw declines[4]