长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 杨蝶 全球水泥工程行业巨头中材国际（600970.SH）再获大单。 长江商报记者注意到，中材国际市场开拓顺利，2025年以来，公司国内外大单不断。4月，公司在沙特的下属公司 与联想（沙特阿拉伯）创新科技（SILZ）有限责任公司签订合同，将以EPC总承包方式在沙特阿拉伯利雅得哈立 德国王国际机场的特殊综合物流区为后者建设一个消费电子制造基地，合同金额为2.63亿美元；8月，公司拿下卡 西姆水泥公司10000TPD熟料水泥生产线EPC总承包合同，合同总价2.98亿美元，预计23个月出熟料，24个月出水 泥。 中材国际主营业务涵盖工程技术服务、高端装备制造、生产运营服务等三大板块，其中工程技术服务业务为核心 业务，以EPC工程总承包服务为主，涵盖水泥和矿山工程、绿能环保和多元化工程等。 12月4日晚间，中材国际公告，公司全资公司作为承包联合体之一，签订了一份钼矿采选工程PC总承包合同，合 同总金额暂定为27亿元。 长江商报记者注意到，2025年以来，中材国际大单不断。前三季度，公司新签合同总额为598.82亿元，同比增长 13%；期末其合同负债达88.43亿元，同比增长17.12%。 ...

Summary of Zhongcai International's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zhongcai International - **Industry**: Engineering and Equipment Manufacturing Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue Growth**: Revenue for the first three quarters increased by 4% year-on-year, reaching 33 billion yuan [2][3] - **Gross Margin**: Overall gross margin stood at 17.18%, with improvements in both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter comparisons [2][3] - **Net Profit**: Net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.074 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.68% [2][3] - **Debt Management**: The debt-to-asset ratio decreased by 0.55 percentage points to 60.73% [2][4] Contract and Project Highlights - **New Contracts**: New contracts signed totaled 59.882 billion yuan, a 13% increase year-on-year, with overseas contracts accounting for 41.3 billion yuan, up 37% [2][6] - **International Projects**: The company has 72 cement clinker production lines, with nearly 60 located overseas, and 323 mining operation projects, including 16 overseas [2][9] Innovation and Sustainability - **Technological Innovation**: The company is focusing on solid waste resource utilization and has made significant strides in green and low-carbon industries [2][7] - **Solid Waste Projects**: Successful projects include the large-scale utilization of phosphogypsum and coal gangue, contributing to both profitability and environmental sustainability [2][7][17] Impairment and Receivables Management - **Impairment Increase**: The increase in impairment was attributed to the expansion of revenue scale and accounts receivable base, with adjustments made to the accounts receivable loss rate [2][8] - **Future Outlook**: The company expects a gradual recovery in accounts receivable collection as GDP improves [2][8] Market Expansion and Strategic Direction - **International Expansion**: The company plans to enhance its international presence, particularly in mining operations, and aims to increase the contribution of equipment and operations to revenue and profit [2][4][19] - **"14th Five-Year Plan" Strategy**: The focus will remain on engineering, equipment, and operations, with an emphasis on international market expansion [2][19] Cash Flow and Operational Efficiency - **Cash Flow Improvement**: The cash flow situation improved significantly in Q3, with a net outflow of only 21 million yuan compared to 1.1 billion yuan in the same period last year [2][5][13] - **Operational Focus**: The company aims to strengthen project execution, contract settlement, and accounts receivable collection to align cash flow with profit levels [2][5][13] Future Growth Areas - **Emerging Markets**: The company sees significant market potential in solid waste disposal projects, with strong policy support and a projected market size in the hundreds of billions [2][17][18] - **Diversification Strategy**: The company is diversifying into areas such as green energy and industrial engineering, leveraging existing client relationships and market knowledge [2][15][26] Conclusion Zhongcai International is positioned for steady growth through strategic international expansion, technological innovation, and a focus on sustainability. The company is actively managing its financial health while exploring new market opportunities in solid waste management and diversified engineering projects.

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company [4][14]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in cement engineering, maintaining the largest market share in the cement engineering service market for 17 consecutive years. It has integrated high-quality resources in domestic cement industrial research, design, equipment, and engineering, making it the only company with a complete industrial chain in the global cement technology equipment and engineering service market [2][7]. - The company is actively pursuing a transformation towards equipment and operations, with significant growth in international business under its "Two Outs" strategy, which focuses on "cement outside" and "overseas" [2][7]. - The company has a strong outlook for future growth, with expected high dividend yields in 2025-2026, providing stable investment returns [2][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2001 and listed in 2005, the company has undertaken 364 production lines in 91 countries and regions as of H1 2025, with a market share of 54% in overseas revenue [2][7]. - The major revenue contributions in H1 2025 were from engineering technology services (58.46%), production operation services (28.99%), and high-end equipment manufacturing (10.73%) [2]. Financial Performance - The company expects revenue growth from 484.46 billion yuan in 2025 to 539.29 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.03% to 5.58% [13][14]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 31.40 billion yuan, increasing to 35.63 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 5.25% to 6.76% [14][17]. Business Segments 1. **Engineering Technology Services** - Expected revenue of 276.68 billion yuan in 2025, with a stable growth rate of 2% annually [8][13]. - Anticipated gross margin of 16.00% in 2025 [8][13]. 2. **High-end Equipment Manufacturing** - Projected revenue of 65.87 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 6% [9][13]. - Expected gross margin of 23% [9][13]. 3. **Production Operation Services** - Expected revenue of 142.12 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 10% [11][13]. - Anticipated gross margin of 21.60% [11][13]. 4. **Other Businesses** - Projected revenue of 25.87 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 10% [12][13]. - Expected gross margin of 23.50% [12][13]. Valuation - The report estimates a target price of 11.89 yuan per share based on a 10x price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 [14][15].

Group 1: Mona Lisa (002918) - The company's revenue from distribution channels decreased by 10% year-on-year, while the engineering channel saw a decline of 42.68% in the first half of 2025 [1] - Distribution accounted for 82.98% of revenue in Q2, with ongoing declines in engineering [1] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements to cope with intense industry competition and is seeking a balance between volume and price [1] Group 2: Yuanjie Technology - The company experienced significant revenue growth in the data communication sector, particularly for 400G/800G optical modules, with an upward trend expected in the second half of 2025 [2] - Key products such as 100G PM4EML have passed customer validation, and the company is making core technological breakthroughs in high-power CW light sources and high-speed EML [2] - The U.S. factory is undergoing renovations and equipment procurement to support expansion, with ongoing investments in R&D to maintain high gross margins [2] Group 3: Obi Zhongguang - The company achieved a revenue of 435.47 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 104.14%, with a net profit of 60.19 million yuan [3] - The company is accelerating its strategy of "technology innovation investment to commercial results transformation" and focusing on essential markets with new product launches [3] - Collaborations with companies like Cloudwalk Technology and NVIDIA are underway to enhance product offerings in robotics and 3D scanning [3] Group 4: Weisi Medical - The company's lower limb exoskeleton device has been included in the medical insurance directory, enhancing its market position [4] - The company offers electrical stimulation products primarily used in obstetrics and gynecology departments [4] Group 5: China National Materials International - The company is the only global enterprise with a complete industrial chain in cement technology equipment and engineering services [5] - Successful localization of DeepSeek has been completed, providing large model applications and opening enterprise knowledge base scenarios [5] Group 6: Dongfang Shenghong - The refining segment reported a net profit of 257 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [6] - The company is expected to benefit from anti-involution policies as a large-scale integrated refining enterprise [6] - Two 200,000-ton/year ethylene vinyl acetate (EV) plants have been commissioned, with a 100,000-ton POE plant expected to start production in Q3 2025 [6] Group 7: Ningbo Jingda - The company specializes in heat exchanger equipment and precision pressure machine equipment, focusing on battery shell and motor shell stamping equipment [7] - Despite a slight decline in performance due to international trade factors, there was a recovery in Q2 with double-digit growth in orders [7] - The acquisition of Wuxi Weiyan has led to a 70% increase in export orders, with North American orders reaching last year's total [7]

Core Viewpoint - China National Materials Group's listed platform, China National Materials International (600970.SH), has secured a significant overseas contract worth $298 million, equivalent to approximately 2.14 billion RMB, indicating strong growth in both domestic and international markets [1][3]. Group 1: Contract and Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, China National Materials International signed new contracts totaling approximately 41.2 billion RMB, representing an 11% year-on-year increase, with overseas contracts contributing about 27.8 billion RMB, a 19% increase [1][4]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company's uncompleted contract amount reached approximately 62 billion RMB, reflecting a 5.94% increase from the end of the first quarter of 2025 [5]. - The company reported a contract liability of 7.314 billion RMB in the first quarter of 2025 [6]. Group 2: Market Segmentation and Growth - The revenue from overseas markets for China National Materials International was 20.089 billion RMB in 2023 and 22.268 billion RMB in 2024, accounting for 43.86% and 48.27% of total revenue, respectively [8]. - In 2024, domestic market revenue was 23.648 billion RMB, making up 51.27% of total revenue, indicating a balanced growth between domestic and international markets [9]. Group 3: High-End Equipment Manufacturing - The high-end equipment manufacturing segment has shown rapid growth, with new contracts amounting to 2.029 billion RMB in the second quarter of 2025 and 4.913 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 27% and 47%, respectively [10]. - The overseas market for high-end equipment manufacturing saw new contracts of 893 million RMB in the second quarter and 2.709 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with growth rates of 33% and 118% [10]. Group 4: Research and Development - China National Materials International's R&D investment has consistently exceeded 1 billion RMB annually from 2021 to 2024, totaling 6.141 billion RMB over four years [10]. - The company's technological innovation capabilities are highlighted by its achievements in the cement engineering sector, including several landmark projects both domestically and internationally [11].

Macro Strategy - The report emphasizes that expanding consumer demand is more effective than capacity reduction policies in addressing low inflation, as service prices have dropped to historical lows, which is the core issue of the current price cycle [1][10] - If consumption policies are strengthened, service prices could rise by 2 percentage points, leading to a GDP deflator increase from -0.7% to +0.39%, which would be more beneficial than the effects of capacity reduction [1][10] - Historical comparisons indicate that the current price pressure is primarily demand-driven, with the second industry contributing only 48% to the current low inflation, significantly lower than previous years [1][10] Fixed Income Strategy - The report discusses the introduction of buying and selling government bonds as a new monetary policy tool in China, aimed at managing interest rate risks amid a declining yield environment [2][12] - It highlights that the People's Bank of China has primarily focused on buying government bonds to release liquidity, given the current low inflation environment [2][12] - The effectiveness of these operations will depend on the central bank's ability to provide clear forward guidance to shape market expectations [2][12] Company Analysis: Zhengfan Convertible Bonds - Zhengfan Convertible Bonds are expected to list at a price between 115.63 and 128.82 yuan, with a subscription rate of 0.0048% [3][15] - The bonds have a solid debt protection feature, with a conversion premium rate of approximately 25% anticipated on the first day of listing [3][15] - Zhengfan Technology has shown steady revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 34.10% from 2019 to 2023, and a revenue of 38.35 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a 41.78% year-on-year increase [3][15] Company Analysis: Kelun-Botai - Kelun-Botai's revenue for 2024 is projected at 19.3 billion yuan, a 25.5% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit of 12.74 billion yuan, up 67.8% [5][16] - The company is expected to see rapid growth in multiple products as they commercialize, with significant clinical data supporting their efficacy [5][16] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 17.8 billion and 35.6 billion yuan, respectively, with an expected revenue of 58.9 billion yuan in 2027 [5][16] Company Analysis: China National Materials - China National Materials reported a total revenue of 461.27 billion yuan for 2024, a 0.7% increase, and a net profit of 29.83 billion yuan, up 2.3% [6][19] - The company has shown resilience in its Q4 performance, with overseas engineering and operation maintenance businesses performing well [6][19] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.5 yuan per 10 shares, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [6][19]