稳中求进每月看 绘就笃行致远新图景 11月全国各地经济社会发展观察 应播尽播 来年"丰"可期 多点开花 消费市场呈现新趋势 活力涌现 新质生产力加快发展 因地制宜 城市更新持续推进 下新华社国内部出品 新华社北京11月30日电 题：绘就笃行致远新图景——11月全国各地经济社会发展观察 新华社记者 应播尽播 来年"非"可期 秋冬种是一年农业生产中的关键 农事。一份耕耘,一份收获,各 地要抢抓农时不放松,不断提升 播种科技含量,为明年夏粮丰收 打下坚实基础。 新华社国内部出品 TTT 整地散墒、选用良种、加大播量……在河南省周口市国家农高区郸城核心区高标准农田里，一派繁 忙景象。 抢抓农时为明年夏粮生产打基础、消费市场实现多元化发展、新质生产力加快培育、城市更新扎实 推进……11月以来，全国各地铆足干劲，奋发向上，我国经济内生动力强劲，高质量发展迈出新步伐、 呈现新图景。 观察之一：应播尽播 来年"丰"可期 稳中求进每月看 观察之 "今年小麦晚播20多天，在省市农技专家的指导下，我选用了生长期短、耐受性强的品种，每亩地 播40斤种子，同时改施有机肥。"郸城县种粮大户于培康说，目前，他承包的2000多亩土地已全部种 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints - This week, the SCFI continued to rise. The container shipping bookings from China to the US have recovered to last year's level, and the US's restrictive measures may trigger a "rush to export" effect. Sino-US trade relations may see a turnaround. [2] - Real estate sales remained weak. New home sales were far below the seasonal level, while second-hand home sales were basically in line with the seasonality. [2] - Rebar and cement prices remained stable. In the short term, coking coal and coke performed well, supporting the steel price, but in the long term, it was limited by the weak supply-demand pattern. [2] - In terms of investment and production, commodity prices showed mixed trends. Rebar prices were flat, glass futures prices decreased, asphalt prices increased, and cement prices were basically unchanged. [2] - In industrial production, the operating rates were differentiated. The blast furnace operating rate of steel mills, PTA operating rate, and automobile tire operating rate increased, while the petroleum asphalt operating rate and coking enterprise operating rate decreased, and the polyester filament operating rate remained basically unchanged. [2] - In consumption, the mobility was strong. Subway ridership and domestic flights were above the seasonal level, automobile consumption was in line with the seasonality, and movie box office was below the seasonal level. [2] - In terms of inflation, pork prices decreased, vegetable prices increased, and oil prices increased. [2] - In exports, the SCFI increased, and the BDI decreased. [2] Summary by Directory 1. Real Estate Sales: Weak Real Estate Sales, Beijing Provides Support - New home sales this week (October 17 - October 23) increased slightly month-on-month, and the year-on-year decline continued to narrow. The new home sales area in Wind 20 cities increased by 2.83% month-on-month and decreased by 13.03% year-on-year. [7] - New home sales in first-tier and third/fourth-tier cities were significantly stronger than the previous period but weaker than the same period last year. Second-tier cities saw negative growth both month-on-month and year-on-year. [7] - In key cities, most cities saw an increase in new home sales month-on-month. Beijing was the only city with positive year-on-year growth. [7] - Second-hand home sales decreased slightly month-on-month and significantly year-on-year. All key cities saw a decline in second-hand home sales compared to the same period last year. [7] 2. Investment: Commodity Prices Show Mixed Trends - Commodity prices showed mixed trends this week. Rebar and cement prices were basically flat, glass futures prices decreased, and asphalt prices increased. [36] 3. Production: Operating Rates Show Differentiation - Operating rates showed differentiation this week. The blast furnace operating rate of steel mills, PTA operating rate, and automobile tire operating rate increased, while the petroleum asphalt operating rate and coking enterprise operating rate decreased, and the polyester filament operating rate remained basically unchanged. [45] 4. Consumption: Strong Mobility - Subway ridership and domestic flights were above the seasonal level, automobile sales were in line with the seasonality, and movie box office was below the seasonal level. [58] 5. Exports: SCFI Increases, BDI Decreases - The SCFI index increased this week, while the BDI index and CRB spot index decreased slightly. [61] 6. Prices: Pork Prices Decrease, Vegetable and Oil Prices Increase - Pork prices decreased, vegetable prices increased, oil prices increased, and rebar prices were basically flat. [65]

Core Insights - The report from JLL highlights the dynamics of China's retail real estate and consumer market in the first half of 2025, focusing on consumption fundamentals, supply and demand in retail real estate, structural adjustments, regional differences, and innovation trends [5][6]. Group 1: Consumption Fundamentals - In the first half of 2025, per capita disposable income continues to grow, supporting the consumer market [1]. - Consumer demand is becoming more diverse, with a notable emphasis on health, experience, and personalization, leading to increased attention on sectors like fitness and healthcare services [1]. - The integration of online and offline shopping experiences is deepening, with platforms like Douyin significantly influencing consumer decision-making [1]. Group 2: Retail Real Estate Supply and Vacancy Rates - There is a noticeable differentiation in the supply of retail real estate across key cities, with some cities seeing concentrated new supply, particularly in A-class cities [1]. - Overall market vacancy rates are showing regional disparities, with core city premium shopping areas experiencing lower vacancy rates, while non-core areas and some third and fourth-tier cities face pressure to reduce excess supply [1]. - Rental levels in core shopping districts remain relatively stable, while some emerging districts experience slight fluctuations [1]. Group 3: Structural Adjustments in Retail Formats - There are significant adjustments in the structure of retail formats, with varying proportions across categories. For instance, the share of dine-in restaurants in A-class cities dropped from 22.8% in the first half of 2024 to 15.3% in 2025 [2]. - Fast food and snacks maintain stable proportions, while coffee and beverage categories have seen increases, particularly in B-class cities [2]. - The service sector is growing significantly, with fitness venues in A-class cities increasing their share from 2.3% to 8.3% [2]. Group 4: Regional Market Performance - A-class cities (e.g., Beijing, Shanghai) leverage strong consumer power and commercial maturity, leading to a high proportion of emerging and experiential formats [3]. - B-class cities (e.g., Chengdu) show strong commercial vitality with active adjustments in dining and fashion sectors [3]. - C and D-class cities primarily focus on meeting basic consumer needs, with traditional dining and lifestyle formats dominating, while new formats are lagging [3]. Group 5: Innovation Trends - Retail spaces are increasingly focusing on creating engaging environments and collaborating with popular culture IPs to attract foot traffic [3]. - Membership systems are being upgraded, and VIP services are optimized to enhance consumer loyalty [3]. - Digital operations are deepening, with online platforms driving traffic and precision marketing, while some retail spaces explore "retail+" models to expand their business boundaries [3].

Macroeconomic Overview - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, with a slight slowdown in Q2 at 5.2% compared to 5.4% in Q1, indicating a stable economic performance amidst global economic uncertainties [1][9] - The contribution of consumption, investment, and net exports to growth improved in Q2, with consumption at 52.3%, investment at 24.7%, and net exports at 23.0%, highlighting a better balance between internal and external demand [1][2] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for large-scale industries increased by 6.4% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with June's growth accelerating to 6.8% [2][16] - Manufacturing output grew by 7.0%, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing showing significant growth rates of 10.2% and 9.5%, respectively [2][16] - New energy vehicles and industrial robots saw production increases of 36.2% and 35.6%, respectively, reflecting a trend towards high-end and intelligent manufacturing [2][16] Consumer Market - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.0% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with a notable acceleration in Q2 [3][16] - The "old-for-new" policy positively impacted sales in categories such as home appliances and communication equipment, with growth rates of 30.7% and 24.1%, respectively [3][16] - Service consumption also showed recovery, with service retail sales growing by 5.3% [3][16] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment grew by 2.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with manufacturing investment increasing by 7.5% [5][16] - Infrastructure investment rose by 4.6%, while private investment saw a decline of 0.6%, although other private investments excluding real estate grew by 5.1% [5][16] - Investment growth volatility is attributed to fluctuating upstream material prices and reduced capacity utilization in traditional sectors [5][16] Real Estate Market - New housing sales in the first half of 2025 decreased by 3.5% in area and 5.5% in value, although the decline rate narrowed compared to the previous year [6][16] - In June, housing prices in major cities showed a downward trend, with new residential prices in first-tier cities decreasing by 0.3% [6][16] - The government is expected to implement stronger measures to stabilize the real estate market, with policies aimed at boosting demand and supporting housing construction [6][16] Foreign Trade - Total goods imports and exports increased by 2.9% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with exports rising by 7.2% and imports falling by 2.7% [7][16] - The export of mechanical and electrical products grew by 9.5%, accounting for 60.0% of total exports, indicating a diversification of trade partners and resilience in external trade [7][16] - Trade with countries along the "Belt and Road" increased by 4.7%, providing a buffer against fluctuations in traditional markets [7][16] Financial Sector - The total social financing scale increased by 22.83 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, with June's new social financing reaching 4.2 trillion yuan [8][16] - The M2 money supply grew by 8.3% year-on-year, indicating improved liquidity and funding support for the real economy [8][16] - The structure of credit also showed positive changes, with stable growth in household loans and a rebound in medium to long-term loans for enterprises [8][16]