转自：前瞻产业研究院 行业主要上市公司：泡泡玛特(09992.HK);名创优品(09896.HK);奥飞娱乐(002292.SZ);高乐股份 (002348.SZ);元隆雅图(002878.SZ)。 本文核心内容：中国潮玩盲盒行业政策;各省市潮玩盲盒行业政策;政策解读 1、政策历程图 潮玩盲盒行业政策历经多阶段发展。2019年以前，依赖通用法规与市场自发调节，处于早期监管空白与 行业自律阶段。2020-2022年进入地方试点与专项整治期，地方先行探索，2021年上海发布首个地方指 引。2023年构建全国性规范体系，国家市场监督管理总局出台指引规范市场。2025年有文化赋能与出海 支持，提出"潮玩+非遗"模式;还推进标准细化与国际化接轨，如东莞借政策推动技术应用。 2、国家层面政策汇总及解读 | 发布时间 | 发布部门 | 政策名称 | 重点内容解读 | 政策性质 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2022年6月 | 工信部、人力资 源保障部等 | | 围绕健康、育幼、养老等迫切需求、大力发展 | | | | | | 功能食品、化妆品、休闲健身产品、婴童用品、 | | | ...

Core Insights - The Chinese潮玩盲盒 industry has experienced a decline in financing activity in recent years, with a peak of 17 financing events in 2021, dropping to only 2 events in 2024, but showing a slight recovery with 7 events from January to August 2025 [1][2] - The financing amounts have also fluctuated, peaking at 1.36 billion yuan in 2021, but dropping to 60 million yuan in 2024, with 283 million yuan raised in the first eight months of 2025 [2] - The industry is currently in a growth phase, primarily driven by A-round and angel investments, with a total of 30 A-round and 26 angel/seed round financing events [5] - Financing activities are concentrated in major cities such as Shanghai, Beijing, and Zhejiang, with Shanghai leading at 20 events, followed by Zhejiang with 16 and Beijing with 14 [6][8] - The investment focus is predominantly on cultural brands, which account for 54% of the investments, while trendy toys represent 35% [12] - The main investors in the潮玩盲盒 industry are investment firms, with notable participants including Sequoia Seed Fund and Alibaba Entrepreneur Fund, while operational companies like泡泡玛特 and 小红书 also play a role [15] - The industry is witnessing active mergers and acquisitions, with major players like Tencent,泡泡玛特, and万达电影 expanding their market presence through strategic acquisitions [17][19] Financing Trends - The潮玩盲盒 industry is in a growth phase, with A-round and angel investments being the primary focus [5] - The most frequent investment locations are Beijing and Shanghai, followed by Zhejiang [20] - Cultural brands are the main investment hotspots in the潮玩盲盒 sector [20] Mergers and Acquisitions - Large enterprises have a competitive advantage in mergers and acquisitions, with companies like Tencent and泡泡玛特 actively pursuing deals to expand their business footprint [20] - Recent acquisitions include strategic investments by阅文集团 in the毛绒潮玩 brand and万达电影's investment in52TOYS, enhancing their IP development capabilities [19]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the supply situation of IPs in the trendy blind box market, highlighting three main sources of IPs: classic famous animation characters, current blockbuster film and animation characters, and original characters created by artists [2][12]. IP Supply - The three sources of IPs have distinct advantages: classic IPs rely on cultural accumulation, blockbuster IPs leverage content popularity, and original IPs thrive on design innovation [2][12]. - Companies like Pop Mart utilize a "self-owned IP + co-branding" strategy for revenue diversification, while 52TOYS focuses on authorized IPs to solidify its niche market [2][12]. Raw Material Supply - The raw material supply for trendy blind boxes is categorized into basic materials, special materials, and auxiliary materials, with a market characterized by dispersed basic materials and concentrated high-end materials [5][7]. - Major brands, such as Pop Mart, establish deep ties with core suppliers to create competitive advantages, while smaller players benefit from industrial clusters in regions like Dongguan to reduce costs [5]. Production Supply - China has a vast toy manufacturing industry with over 70,000 toy manufacturers, providing a solid supply chain for trendy blind boxes [8]. - The ability of manufacturers to quickly respond to market demands through flexible production capabilities helps lower costs and ensures stable product supply [8][12]. Sales Channel Supply - The sales channels for trendy blind boxes are characterized by a multi-channel integration, driven by IPs, policy regulation, and technological innovation [9][12]. - Pop Mart's strategy includes a combination of online and offline sales, with plans to expand its physical stores and robot stores significantly by 2025 [11]. - Innovative sales tactics, such as pop-up stores and limited-time offers, have proven effective in driving consumer demand and enhancing sales [11].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese潮玩盲盒 (trendy blind box) industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by a young consumer base and diverse product offerings, with a projected market size of approximately 280 billion yuan by 2024 [25][36]. Industry Overview -潮玩盲盒 are defined as designer original cartoon figures and artistic dolls, featuring various styles and often linked to popular IPs, enhancing their appeal [2][5]. - The潮玩盲盒 industry is segmented into ordinary and hidden款 (hidden versions) [3]. Industry Chain Analysis - The潮玩盲盒 industry chain includes upstream (raw materials, production equipment, packaging, and IP), midstream (design and manufacturing), and downstream (various sales channels) [5][7]. - Key players in the upstream include suppliers of raw materials like金发科技 and packaging suppliers like万华化学, while midstream players include泡泡玛特 and 52TOYS [7]. Industry Development History - The潮玩盲盒 industry has evolved through three stages: the萌芽阶段 (nascent stage),缓慢发展阶段 (slow development stage), and快速发展阶段 (rapid development stage) [10][12]. - The rapid development phase began in 2015, with泡泡玛特 focusing on IP creation and blind box production, leading to increased popularity [12]. Industry Policy Background - The current policy landscape emphasizes both regulation and innovation, with guidelines established to protect consumers and promote cultural integration [13]. - A notable initiative includes a 10 billion yuan fund to support潮玩 IP's global expansion, aiming for over 30% of revenue from overseas by 2030 [13]. Current Industry Status - Major潮玩盲盒 brands include泡泡玛特, 52TOYS, and TOP TOY, each with unique IP strategies [16][18]. - The consumer demographic is predominantly young, with 75% of buyers being female and the largest age group being 18-24 years old [22]. Market Size - The潮玩盲盒 market was valued at approximately 97 billion yuan in 2021, with projections indicating it could reach around 280 billion yuan by 2024 [25]. Competitive Landscape - The潮玩盲盒 industry is characterized by a tiered structure, with泡泡玛特 leading the market, followed by名创优品 and other companies like奥飞娱乐 and高乐股份 [26][28]. - The majority of潮玩盲盒 companies are concentrated in Guangdong, Hainan, and Shandong provinces [29]. Future Development Trends - The潮玩盲盒 industry is expected to see deeper market penetration, ecological operation models, and technological innovations such as AI and AR [31][36]. - The market is projected to grow to 576 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.5% [36].

Core Insights - The collaboration between Zhou Shen and Pop Mart for the "Anti-Deep Pronouns" series of vinyl toys was launched on August 21, with a retail price of 129 yuan each, leading to over 140,000 pre-orders on Taobao before the official sale [1] - The toys sold out quickly, with fans reporting difficulties in accessing the purchase page, likening the experience to securing concert tickets [1] - Secondary market activity surged, with some sellers listing the toys for as high as 1,800 yuan before the official release, indicating a speculative trading environment [3] Group 1 - The "Anti-Deep Pronouns" series includes a total of 7 designs, with each blind box corresponding to a song from Zhou Shen's album, and the hidden variant having a rarity of 1 in 72 [8] - After the launch, the average transaction price for the series on secondary markets was reported at 1,018 yuan, with standard versions selling between 170 to 200 yuan, and hidden variants averaging around 970 yuan, with peak prices reaching 1,200 yuan [8] - Pop Mart has not implemented specific policies to manage the high-priced speculation prior to the official release, advising consumers to purchase through official channels [3] Group 2 - Zhou Shen has urged fans to practice rational consumption and be cautious of potential scams related to the resale of the toys, highlighting concerns over counterfeit products and fraudulent listings [10] - Fans have expressed concerns about the secondary market, warning each other to be vigilant against scams and to avoid giving scalpers opportunities to profit [10]

Summary of the Conference Call for Pop Mart Company Overview - **Company**: Pop Mart - **Industry**: Character IP (Intellectual Property) and Toy Industry Key Points and Arguments Industry Insights - Character IPs like Sanrio and Disney's Mickey Mouse and Winnie the Pooh have significant commercial potential, possibly surpassing content-based IPs due to their broad appeal and adaptability to market changes [2][3] - The commercial value of character IPs does not solely depend on content depth; successful IPs can attract audiences with lower barriers [3][4] Pop Mart's Business Strategy - Pop Mart maximizes the lifecycle value of its IPs through long-term operations and channel capabilities, attracting talented artists to create popular products [2][6] - The company has seen a long-term upward trend in the popularity of its key IPs, with shorter periods of decline compared to competitors [6][7] - The construction of an IP matrix is crucial for enhancing operational stability and risk resistance, allowing for cross-selling and increased frequency of hit products [7][8] International Expansion - Since July 2023, Pop Mart has made significant progress in international markets, with overseas revenue increasing by 140% year-on-year, now accounting for 17% of total revenue [2][8][15] - The successful international launch of the "Labbub" brand has driven explosive growth in company performance and valuation [8][15] Financial Performance - Pop Mart's gross margin and operating profit margin have significantly improved due to strong operational leverage and higher gross margins in overseas markets [3][18] - Revenue is projected to reach 30.5 billion yuan in 2025, a 134% year-on-year increase, with net profit expectations raised from 6.5 billion yuan to 10 billion yuan [3][18] Product and Marketing Strategies - The company regularly updates its product lines, introducing new series every six months to maintain consumer interest [17] - Marketing efforts include social media campaigns and collaborations with influencers, which have significantly boosted brand visibility [17][19] Challenges and Adjustments - The company faced challenges in profitability due to rising product costs and inventory pressures, leading to strategic adjustments in product line management [12][14] - Organizational restructuring has been implemented to enhance IP innovation and supply chain capabilities [14] Future Outlook - While short-term focus may be on the popularity of the "Labbub" brand, the long-term commercial value of Pop Mart's IP matrix is expected to be underestimated [20] - The company aims to expand its store presence and diversify its international markets to support the growth of various IPs [20] Valuation Comparison - Compared to global IP companies like Disney and Bandai, Pop Mart's current valuation of 23x PE is considered attractive given its higher profit growth expectations [21] Additional Important Insights - The overall market sentiment towards the blind box industry has been cautious due to regulatory uncertainties and competitive pressures [11] - Pop Mart's ability to adapt to changing consumer demands and market conditions is a key factor in its ongoing success [14][20]

Core Insights - Douyin E-commerce launched the "Interest Industry Belt Support Plan" in Guangzhou, marking a significant step in integrating digital economy with the real economy, aimed at fostering new consumption dynamics and driving industrial upgrades [1][6] Group 1: Interest Consumption Rise - The concept of "Interest Industry Belt" refers to geographic clusters of products that fulfill consumers' emotional and spiritual needs, characterized by niche, cultural, and social aspects [3] - In the past year, five interest industry belts on live-streaming e-commerce platforms achieved a payment GMV exceeding 10 billion, with 57 belts surpassing 100 million, and Guangzhou's related order volume exceeding 340 million [3] Group 2: Digital Empowerment and Upgrading - The growth of interest industry belts is facilitated by live-streaming e-commerce platforms, which have lowered operational barriers for small and medium-sized businesses through policies like zero-cost entry and zero-commission on product cards [4] - The complete industry chain for the Guangzhou water pet industry belt includes "pet breeding + equipment maintenance + knowledge payment," showcasing a successful transition from traditional offline models to online integration [4] Group 3: Building a Guangzhou Model - Guangzhou has been designated as a key area for pet consumption, with Douyin E-commerce providing services such as traffic subsidies and operational training to stimulate local industry vitality [6] - Douyin E-commerce's initiatives have reached 130 cities across 27 provinces, helping 332 industry belts achieve order volumes exceeding 10 million and 830 belts with sales over 100 million [6] Group 4: Economic Growth through Interest Consumption - Interest consumption is identified as a crucial direction for consumption upgrade, transforming niche interests into new growth for the real economy [7] - The ongoing implementation of the "Interest Industry Belt Support Plan" is expected to deepen the integration of digital and real economies, contributing to the construction of a new development pattern and fostering new productive forces [7]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a surge in consumer stocks, with notable companies reaching historical highs and significant market valuations, reflecting the unique appeal of the Hong Kong consumer sector characterized by high growth, strong brand power, and valuation opportunities [1] - The influx of southbound capital into Hong Kong stocks is driven by the narrative of asset revaluation in China, improving market liquidity, and a favorable policy environment, positioning the Hong Kong consumer sector as a new battleground for global capital [1] Group 2: Consumer Recovery - The consumer market is witnessing a revival, with increased foot traffic in shopping areas, packed cinemas, and a surge in online shopping, indicating a robust recovery in consumer spending [2] - During the recent Dragon Boat Festival holiday, domestic travel reached 119 million trips, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, with total spending of 42.73 billion yuan, up 5.9%, showcasing the recovery across various sectors including hospitality and transportation [2] Group 3: Policy Support - The Chinese government has prioritized boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand in its economic agenda, with comprehensive measures outlined in the "Special Action Plan for Boosting Consumption" to enhance consumer confidence and spending [3][4] Group 4: Emerging Consumer Trends - The rise of "self-care consumption" reflects a shift in consumer behavior, particularly among the Z generation, who prioritize emotional satisfaction and personal well-being in their purchasing decisions [5][6] - Emotional consumption, driven by the need for emotional fulfillment rather than just practical utility, is becoming increasingly popular, with key demands including self-care, value realization, personal expression, and emotional satisfaction [9][10] Group 5: Investment Opportunities in Hong Kong - The Hong Kong stock market is becoming a preferred destination for new consumer companies due to its more lenient listing requirements and the government's supportive measures for domestic companies seeking to list abroad [11] - The National Index for Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme has shown a cumulative increase of 32.3% in 2024, outperforming other consumer indices, indicating strong growth potential in the sector [15]

Core Insights - The "new consumption" concept is gaining significant market attention, with companies like Pop Mart expected to surpass 10 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, and IPs like LABUBU becoming globally popular, thus opening new consumer markets [1][2] - There is a notable divergence in performance between new and traditional consumption sectors, with new consumption stocks showing remarkable growth, prompting fund managers to adjust their portfolios [2][3] Industry Trends - The rise of new consumption began in 2020, driven by younger consumer groups (90s, 95s, and 00s) who have grown up during China's rapid economic development, leading to a significant shift in consumer behavior [2] - The new consumption index has increased by 17% year-to-date as of June 10, indicating strong market performance in sectors like gold jewelry, trendy toys, and pet economy [1][2] Investment Strategies - Fund managers are increasingly reallocating their investments as the beta of the consumption sector narrows, suggesting a future divergence within the sector [2][3] - Investment strategies should focus on both short-term explosive products with "internet celebrity" effects and long-term sustainable products like food and beverages, which rely on word-of-mouth [2][3] Market Opportunities - There are emerging opportunities in personalized consumption areas such as leisure entertainment, specialty food, and health products, which are currently underexplored [3] - The concept of "going global" presents additional investment opportunities, including production capacity expansion, cross-border e-commerce, and brand establishment overseas [3][4] Performance Metrics - As of June 10, the Xingyin Consumption New Trend Fund has achieved a return of 21% year-to-date, ranking in the top 5 among similar products, with a portfolio concentration of 38% in its top holdings [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in new consumption trends, represented by companies like Pop Mart, Lao Pu Gold, and Mixue Group, has led to significant stock price increases in the Hong Kong market, prompting a reevaluation of investment strategies in this sector [1][2]. Group 1: New Consumption Trends - New consumption has become a key investment theme in the Hong Kong market, with stock prices of representative companies reaching historical highs [1]. - Pop Mart's stock price peaked at 252.6 HKD per share on June 5, up from less than 90 HKD at the end of last year and under 10 HKD in October 2022 [1]. - Lao Pu Gold and Mixue Group also saw their stock prices reach 1015 HKD and 618.5 HKD per share, respectively, within a year of their listings [1]. Group 2: Changing Consumer Behavior - The rise of new consumption is attributed to the changing preferences of younger consumers, particularly Generation Z, who prioritize emotional value and self-expression in their purchasing decisions [2][3]. - The shift in consumer demographics reflects a broader change in consumption ideology, with younger generations willing to pay for intellectual property and brands that resonate with their values [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The new consumption sector is supported by consumption upgrades and policy incentives, alongside technological innovations like AI and big data, which enhance consumer experiences [4]. - As of the first quarter of this year, 182 public funds held shares in Pop Mart, with a total market value of 8.78 billion HKD, indicating strong institutional interest [5]. - Despite concerns about potential overheating in the market, analysts believe that many new consumption companies still have significant growth potential and that their valuations can continue to rise [6].