经济观察报记者 王雅洁 2025年12月31日下午，一家磷酸铁锂正极材料生产企业的销售部人士李峰，在发送完最后一封关于产品调价的通知函后，长长地舒了一口气。函件核心内容 只有一行：自2026年1月1日起，公司全系列磷酸铁锂产品加工费在现有基础上统一上调3000元/吨（未税）。 他知道，这封邮件将在下游电池客户中激起涟漪，但这也是无奈且必需的一步。"原料一天一个价，再不调整，生产一吨就多亏一吨。"他解释说，本次涨价 并非直接提升磷酸铁锂正极材料的销售单价，而是上调其中作为生产服务报酬的"加工费"部分。 这并非孤例。在2025年的最后几天，国内磷酸铁锂正极材料行业正酝酿着一场集体行动。 包括龙蟠科技（603906.SH）、万润新能（688275.SH）、安达科技等多家头部正极材料生产企业，陆续释放信号，计划从新年第一天起上调产品加工费。 这是行业在经历了三年多的价格寒冬后，面对核心原料碳酸锂价格急速拉升、下游需求结构性旺盛所做出的集体反应。 此次行业不约而同地选择上调"加工费"，而非调整原料与加工费合并的总价，主要因为在产业链定价惯例中，原料（碳酸锂）成本多随行就市，而加工费更 能直接体现生产企业的技术、制造与运 ...

6 点评报告 2025 年 12 月 29 日 晨会纪要 证书编号：S1080525070001 第一创业证券研究所 分析师：刘笑瑜 电话：0755-23838239 邮箱：liuxiaoyu@fcsc.com 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、宏观经济组： 事件： 12 月 27 日（星期六）国家统计局公布 11 月中国工业企业利润数据。 评论： 1-11 月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额 6.63 万亿元，同比增长 0.1%，比 1-10 月回落 1.8 个百分点，连续两个月回落；其中，1-11 月制造业同比增长 5.0%， 较 1-10 月回落 2.7 个百分点。11 月份，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长-13.1%， 而 10 月同比增速为-5.5%；这主要 是因为 PPI 的上涨主要集中在上游，并未向下游 传导。1-11 月，全国规模以上工业企业营业收入利润率为 5.29%（其中制造业为 4.62%），1-10 月为 5.25%（其中制造业为 4.57%）；11 月末产成品库存同比 4.6%， 较 10 月回升 0.9 个百分点; 资产负债率为 58.1%,10 月末为 58%。 从 ...

Economic News - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced that recent negotiations between China and the US resulted in a consensus, including the US's cancellation of the 10% "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods and a one-year suspension of its 301 investigation measures against China's maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries [1] - Several leading lithium iron phosphate cathode material manufacturers, including Jiangxi Shenghua New Materials Co., Ltd. and Hunan Youneng New Energy Battery Materials Co., Ltd., have announced plans for capacity expansion [1] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October is reported at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [1] - The China Iron and Steel Association reported that key steel enterprises had a total operating income of 4.56 trillion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.36%, while total profits increased by 1.9 times to 96 billion yuan [1] Company Insights - Kefu Medical has launched its first respiratory mask and plans to introduce multiple new masks and next-generation ventilators next year, enhancing its smart respiratory ecosystem [4] - Zhenyu Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement to invest 2.11 billion yuan in precision component manufacturing and humanoid robot modules in Ninghai County from 2025 to 2030 [4] - Huayu Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for the market launch of injectable paclitaxel (albumin-bound) in Portugal and the UK [4] - Qiaoyin Co., Ltd. won a bid for a sanitation integration project in Lai County, with a contract value of approximately 204.98 million yuan per year for 25 years [4] - Pro Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for L-carnitine injection, with a projected market size of 1.03 million units and sales of 9.65 billion yuan in 2024 [4] Daily Research Report - Qiaqia Food (002557.SZ) reported a total revenue of 4.501 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38%, with net profit down 73.17% to 168 million yuan [5] - The sunflower seed segment, traditionally a revenue driver, faced challenges due to poor quality and increased competition, leading to significant revenue declines [6] - The nut segment showed resilience, maintaining a revenue share of around 20%, supported by seasonal sales during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day [6] - New product launches, including high-end sunflower seeds and low-calorie konjac products, are in the early promotion stage and are expected to contribute to future growth [7] - The company is experiencing increased pressure on raw material costs, with a sales gross margin of 21.94% and a net profit margin of 3.76%, both showing a significant decline year-on-year [7] Investment Forecast and Ratings - Due to ongoing cost pressures and competitive challenges, the profit forecast for Qiaqia Food has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 459 million, 732 million, and 824 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 45.94% in 2025 [8] - Ningbo Bank (002142.SZ) reported a revenue of 54.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 22.45 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, both showing an 8.3% year-on-year increase [10] - The bank's net interest income grew by 11.8% year-on-year, benefiting from a narrowing decline in net interest margins and strong growth in loan and bond investments [11] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 375.9%, indicating effective risk management [13] - The bank is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory in revenue and profit, with projected net profit growth rates of 8.6%, 9.5%, and 10.0% for 2025-2027 [12]

Core Insights - The Shanghai Stock Exchange companies have shown positive performance in Q3 2025, with both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth in operating performance, driven by effective macro policies [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, listed companies in Shanghai achieved a total operating revenue of 37.58 trillion yuan, a slight year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 3.79 trillion yuan, representing a 4.5% year-on-year growth [2]. - In Q3 alone, net profit and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses increased by 11.4% and 14.6% year-on-year, respectively, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 16.9% and 19.2% [2]. - A total of 501 companies announced dividend plans, with cash dividends exceeding 600 billion yuan, a 3.3% increase year-on-year [2]. Sector Performance - The Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) companies reported a total operating revenue of 1.01 trillion yuan in the first three quarters, a 6.6% year-on-year increase, with a median R&D intensity of 12.4% [2]. - High-tech manufacturing services saw R&D investment of 229.6 billion yuan, up 9% year-on-year, driving revenue and net profit growth of 10% and 19%, respectively [4]. - The steel industry experienced a remarkable net profit growth of 550% year-on-year, with improved gross margins [5][6]. Private Enterprises - Private enterprises reported a year-on-year revenue and net profit growth of 4.5% and 10.0%, respectively, with net profit growth accelerating each quarter [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 2.37 trillion yuan, a 14.6% increase year-on-year, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities [3]. Trade and Export - Shanghai's foreign trade companies demonstrated resilience, with cargo throughput increasing by 5% year-on-year, and container throughput rising by 8% [7]. - Exports in the new energy vehicle sector surged by 71% year-on-year, with significant contributions from leading automotive companies [7]. - The establishment of factories by major tire companies in Southeast Asia reflects ongoing industrial cooperation in the region [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to issue A-shares to specific investors to optimize its capital structure and enhance its operational capabilities in response to the growing demand in the new energy and energy storage sectors, driven by national policies and market trends [1][5][21] Group 1: Background and Purpose of the Stock Issuance - The issuance is set against the backdrop of China's "dual carbon" goals, with the transportation sector transitioning to new energy, creating significant opportunities for the electric vehicle and energy storage industries [1][4] - The demand for energy storage is rapidly increasing due to the instability of renewable energy sources, leading to a surge in battery shipments, with China's power battery shipments expected to reach 630 GWh in 2023 and 780 GWh in 2024, representing year-on-year growth of 31.3% and 23.8% respectively [1][2] - The company aims to enhance its production capacity for high-performance lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode materials to meet the growing market demand, as LFP batteries are projected to dominate the market with a 72% share in power battery shipments by 2024 [1][2][3] Group 2: Investment and Financial Strategy - The company plans to raise up to 2 billion RMB through this issuance, primarily to fund the construction of production lines for high-performance LFP materials and to supplement working capital [5][12] - The issuance is expected to lower the company's debt-to-asset ratio, which stood at 78.41% as of June 30, 2025, thereby enhancing financial stability and reducing operational risks [4][5] - The company has been investing in R&D to develop differentiated products with higher energy density and longer cycle life, which are essential for maintaining competitiveness in the rapidly evolving battery market [3][4] Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company has established strong business relationships with major battery manufacturers such as CATL and LG Energy, positioning itself as a key player in the LFP materials market [4][5] - The competitive landscape is characterized by rapid capacity expansion in the LFP sector, with many companies entering the market, leading to potential overcapacity and increased competition [2][3] - The company aims to leverage its technological advancements and production capabilities to capture a larger market share in the high-performance cathode materials segment [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - Shareholders of Defang Nano (300769.SZ) are planning to reduce their holdings, indicating potential concerns about the company's performance and market conditions [1][2][4]. Shareholder Actions - Shareholder Qin Dongdong plans to reduce his holdings by up to 279.54 million shares, which is 1% of the total share capital after excluding repurchased shares [1] - Qin Dongdong's shareholding amounts to 14.0094 million shares, representing 5.01% of the company [1] - Another shareholder, Ji Xuewen, has also announced plans to reduce his holdings by up to 832.14 million shares, which is 3% of the total share capital [3] Financial Performance - Defang Nano's revenue for 2023 and 2024 is projected to be 16.973 billion yuan and 7.613 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year declines of 24.76% and 55.15% [4] - The company reported a net loss of 1.636 billion yuan in 2023 and is expected to incur a loss of 1.338 billion yuan in 2024 [4] - In the first quarter of this year, the company achieved a revenue of 2.004 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.90%, but still reported a net loss of 167 million yuan [5] Market Conditions - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode material industry is currently experiencing a downturn, with significant price fluctuations impacting Defang Nano's performance [4][6] - The company holds a market share of approximately 20% in the LFP cathode material sector, ranking second in the industry [4] - The overall market conditions have led to a decline in product sales prices and increased competition, contributing to the company's financial struggles [6] Loss Mitigation - A positive trend is noted as the company has shown a reduction in losses, with a year-on-year decrease in losses of 9.51% in the first quarter [7]